ETH to BTC prediction: Will post-Merge Ethereum rise to challenge Bitcoin domination?

ETH to BTC prediction: Will post-Merge Ethereum rise to challenge Bitcoin domination?

Bitcoin (BTC), the crypto market pioneer, is, by market capitalisation, twice the size of ethereum (ETH), the second largest coin. Will ETH eclipse BTH following successful completion of The Merge that saw it switch to the proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism?

Here we take a look at the ETH to BTC exchange rate, and what factors are shaping ETH/BTC in 2022 and beyond.

What is ETH/BTC?

ETH/BTC represents the exchange rate between ether, the Ethereum blockchain’s native coin, and bitcoin, the native coin on the Bitcoin Network.

ETH/BTC represents how many bitcoins can be bought for one ether, with the rise in ETH/BTC signifying either a rise in ETH or fall in BTC, and vice-versa.

BTC was meant to be “a purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash”. However, over the years the cryptocurrency has also become a store of value and a comparison to gold as a hedge against rising inflation.

Bitcoin mining relies on a blockchain that connects all public transactions. Using a proof-of-work (PoW) consensus, BTC miners compete against one another to solve mathematical equations and confirm the legitimacy of transactions. They are rewarded in BTC tokens.

In order to reduce the rate at which new BTCs are given as rewards, the cryptocurrency was designed to undergo halving events roughly every four years. A halving reduces the number of bitcoins released into circulation by half, limiting supply.

Ethereum, a programmable network for building decentralised applications (dApps), was launched in 2015, and was inspired by bitcoin’s limitations.

“While Bitcoin is only a payment network, Ethereum is more like a marketplace of financial services, games, social networks and other apps that respect your privacy and cannot censor you,” Ethereum’s website says.

Another key element of Ethereum is the blockchain’s ability to run smart contracts – computer programmes on the blockchain that allow for the creation and smooth running of dApps.

Just like BTC, ETH initially used a PoW mechanism, but since 15 September 2022 relies on PoS. The change became known as ‘The Merge’, and was designed to reduce Ethereum’s energy consumption by around 99.95%.

The Merge is one of a series of upgrades. In a July presentation, the platform’s co-founder, Vitalik Bouterin, named the following development stages, but did not specify when they will happen:

  • The Surge – the addition of Ethereum sharding, which will lower the cost of bundle transactions and make operating easier.
  • The Verge – users will be able to become validators without having to store large amounts of data.
  • The Purge – will simplify the Ethereum protocol and cut down on the amount of space the blockchain uses.
  • The Splurge – this upgrade includes “all of the other fun stuff”.

These updates also have potential to affect the ETH price  shaping the ETH to BTC exchange rate.

ETH to BTC historical rate chart

The ETH to BTC exchange rate surged by 2,518% in the first two years after the pair started trading, from 0.005767BTC in August 2015 to the all-time high of 0.151BTC in June 2017, signifying the quicker rise in ether’s price.

However, this peak in the ETH to BTC price chart did not last long. The exchange rate fell to 0.02427BTC in December 2017 – down 83.9% since the June peak.ETH to BTC exchange rate, 2015 - 2022

The ETH value reached $1,396.42 in January 2018, and the ETH to BTC rate jumped to 0.09724 BTC.

ETH to USD exchange rate, 2015 - 2022

ETH managed to uphold its positive trend against BTC for the next three weeks as the price chart gained 16% more, peaking at 0.1131BTC on 1 February 2018.

ETH to BTC performed fairly well for the duration of 2021, peaking in mid-May at 0.08178BTC, when the ETH price reached $4,168.7 and BTC was trading at $50,000.

The ETH/BTC pairing was not hugely affected when the BTC value reached its all-time high of $66,971.83 in November 2021, It did peak in December 2021 at 0.0879BTC after briefly falling to 0.06034BTC on 19 October 2021.

BTC to USD exchange rate, 2015 - 2022

Following the collapse of the TerraUSD (UST) stablecoin and its sister token LUNA and the wider crypto crash that followed, the ETH to BTC exchange rate fell by nearly 30% from 0.07554BTC in May 2022 to 0.05373BTC in July, indicating a faster decline of ETH price.

ETH’s price dipped to as low as $993 in June, with BTC slumping to $19,017 amid the bearish sentiment in the cryptocurrency world sparked by LUNA collapse and tightening monetary policy.

Ether rose  to 0.0846BTC in September 2022 in anticipation of The Merge. The current exchange rate stood at 0.07088 BTC, as of 20 September.

Is The Merge driving ETH/BTC?

On 15 September Ethereum successfully upgraded its system from PoW to PoS after a six-year build-up. However, the ETH price did not rally as much as investors were anticipating.

Anndy Lian, chief digital advisor at the Mongolian Productivity Organisation and author of NFT: From Zero to Hero. noted that right after The Merge, the price swung above $1,640 and fell shortly after:

“This is very much expected. There was much influx of ETH into various exchanges since the 12th and then building up to around 1.8 million ETH before the completion. In this case, I see that investors could be planning to sell off before the price fell.”

Lars Seier Christensen, chairman of the Concordium Foundation and founder of Saxo Bank, said that the Ethereum community anticipated a “much more positive reaction to the successful Merge”. He added that the recent rally was what in TradFi we call “buy the rumour, sell the fact” and that whoever saw The Merge as upbeat news had already bought ETH.

“Merge is really a non-event. It changes nothing in terms of scalability or fees, and actually antagonises a number of long-term Ethereum supporters – the miners,” he added.

Eugene Zomchak, CoinLoan’s head of product, told Capital.com that the value of ETH to BTC is likely affected by other microeconomic factors such as the cryptowinter and the Fed’s policy tightening than The Merge, noting:

“There are some positive forecasts coming in from enthusiasts who note that the Merge was a landmark event and the price of ether could surge by two, three and even five times.”

Since The Merge, the BTC price has been fluctuating between $19,000 and $20,000. ETH reached $1,469.74 on 17 September before falling to around $1,300, as of 20 September.

Lian stressed that it is important investors remind themselves that the effects of The Merge, possibly including the ETH to BTC price, will only be felt in the long-term:

“The gas fees will remain the same, and other scalability issues are still unsolved. The community at large must wait for Surge, Verge, Purge, and Splurge improvements to see a reduction in transaction costs and boost scalability significantly.”

Concordium Foundation’s Christensen also noted that the current market environment is challenging:

“The correlation to broader asset markets is very clear, and if stocks don’t recover, this will add to negative sentiment. If Ethereum goes decisively below 1,400, I think we could see a significant sell-off.”

Christensen added that the next Ethereum upgrades will be in focus:

“The most important thing is increased scalability, which will reduce fees. Until that happens, Ethereum is in effect not much use, and entirely reliant on Layer 2 solutions that provide much less security than Ethereum itself.
“Considering how difficult the Merge has been to execute, with years of delay, my personal belief that Ethereum can deliver the next stages in a speedy fashion is limited. Ethereum has one advantage and one advantage only: a very loyal ecosystem that will go through the most extraordinary and irrational hurdles, just to stay loyal. I wonder how long that will last.”

ETH/BTC exchange rate forecasts

Based on its analysis of past price performance as of 20 September, algorithm-based forecasting service Wallet Investor predicted that ETH/USD could trade at $2,391.383 in 2023 and reach $7,135.056 by 2027.

In terms of bitcoin prediction, the site saw BTC/USD trade at $33,668.92 in 2023 and reach $79,969.28 by 2027.

While Wallet Investor did not provide a direct ETH/BTC exchange rate forecast, the data suggests that they expected the rate to be 0.335BTC in 2023 and 0.421BTC in 2027.

DigitalCoinPrice supported a positive ETH/USD forecast, as of 20 September, and expected the coin to grow to $1,832.85 by the end of 2022, $3,032.72 in 2023 and $5,417.40 in 2025. Its long-term prediction saw the token surge past $18,000 in 2030.

The site also gave an upbeat BTC/USD forecast, expecting the coin to grow to $27,580.79 by the end of 2022, $41,874.03 in 2023 and $76,453.11 by 2025, passing $264,000 in 2030.

DigitalCoinPrice expected the rate to be 0.0665BTC by the end of 2022, 0.0724BTC in 2023, 0.708BTC  by 2025 and 0.068BTC by 2030.

Note that forecasts and analysts’ expectations shouldn’t be used as a substitute for your own research. Always conduct your own due diligence and rely on your own projections. And never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

 

Source: https://capital.com/eth-btc-prediction-ethereum-bitcoin-merge-domination

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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SudoRare shuts shop, makes off with 519 ETH

SudoRare shuts shop, makes off with 519 ETH

Before any investment, you got to DYOR “Do your own research”. The Sudorare team is fully anonymous and not doxxed anywhere. This is what I warned my community on 18 August 2022 when they came to me about investing in them.

This is not a one-off case. If you remember, Frosties freeze rug pull nets 335 ETH. Big Daddy Ape Club also took around the same amount at 9,136 SOL for NFTs that did not even exist. Evil Ape dupes the Evolved Apes NFT community managed to rug 798 ETH from project investors just one week after the collection’s launch. Their social media and website were also gone almost immediately.

SudoRare’s social media is gone. I cannot find their Twitter and Discord anymore. I would suggest those who have used their wallets on them to revoke your access.

– Anndy Lian, author of the new book NFT: From Zero to Hero, in an interview

 

SudoRare shuts shop, makes off with 519 ETH

SudoRare, an automated-market maker protocol, shut its services and social media accounts and made away with 519 Ether (ETH) worth about $815,000, according to blockchain investigator Peckshield.

A member of the crypto community was the first to draw attention to a suspicious transaction that used LooksRare (LOOKS) and USD Coin (USDC) tokens to siphon a sizable amount of money from SudoRare.

Peckshield then put out an alert about the rug pull of 519 ETH and the diversion of the stolen funds to three new addresses. SudoRare also deleted its social media accounts and all of its services.
Anndy Lian, chief digital advisor for the Mongolian Productivity Organization, said the incident once again highlighted the need for investors to do their own research before making investments in shady projects.

“The SudoRare team is fully anonymous and not doxxed anywhere. This is what I had warned my community on August 18, 2022, when they came to me about investing in them,” he said.

Evil Ape duped the Evolved Apes NFT community in October 2021 and managed to rug pull 798 ETH from investors one week after the collection’s launch. Their social media and website were also gone almost immediately.

Crypto scams

Over $7 billion was stolen in cryptocurrency scams in 2021, according to a report from Chainalysis. This represents an 81 percent rise from figures in 2020.

In 2021, rug pulls accounted for over $2.8 billion stolen, or 37 percent of all cryptocurrency scam revenue. This is a significant increase compared to 1 percent in 2020.

 

Original Source: https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/sudorare-shuts-shop-makes-off-with-519-eth-9075501.html

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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BAYC NFT Sells For 777 ETH – Zero To Hero NFT Grows 6,600% In Price Amid Crypto Slump

BAYC NFT Sells For 777 ETH – Zero To Hero NFT Grows 6,600% In Price Amid Crypto Slump

The NFT space continues to be impacted and feeling the heat even more. Coming into the third week of August, the global sales volume for NFT is around $639 million. With that, this could be the third consecutive month that NFT sales fall below the $1 billion mark.

The market is not all bad. According to Cryptoslam’s statistics, the leading collection is Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC), with sales of $2.5 million. Amid this downturn, BAYC managed to sell their “golden ape” at 777 ETH or around $1.5 million. Despite the high price, this golden ape has ranked only 320th in rarity according to the website Rarity Tools.

“I wanted to collect a golden monkey. 777eth is a suitable price. Yuga [Labs, the creator of BAYC] will be the first successful social [meta]verse,” said buyer and collector Vis.Eth in an interview with BAYC news outlet Bored Ape Gazette.

The other highlight would be on Bybit‘s NFT Marketplace. They have announced the launch of its brand-new specialized NFT portal GrabPic, where users can purchase state-of-the-art NFTs at attractive prices, with no gas fee, and trade for profit in the secondary market. With GrabPic, Bybit offers high-quality, exclusive NFT projects from crypto-native and traditional artists, GameFi projects, Metaverse projects, and many more.

Their first GrabPic listing is Zero to Hero. This is its very first NFT book collection offered to their users. This new NFT collection is created by Anndy Lian, a celebrated thought leader in the crypto and NFT community.

All 8,000 NFTs listed were sold out in 1 min.

Image Source: https://twitter.com/Bybit_NFT/status/1559138807152508928

The selling pricing at launch was 2.99 USDT. At one point, due to the demand, the floor price was pushed to 30 USDT. Then upon revealing the rarity of the NFT collection, one of the legends NFT reached 200 USDT, a 6,600% price rise.

Image Source: https://twitter.com/Bybit_NFT/status/1559783341028933632

“I am very grateful that my NFT book collection was all sold out. This gives a firm push for other creators to come forward to share their works and a confident booster for myself when I launch the book on Amazon next month. In my book, I have mentioned several times that the NFT space is still in its early days, and early adopters can be a “hero” in their search for new possibilities.” Anndy Lian, the book author of NFT: From Zero to Hero said.

The low price; high-quality strategy helps to bring more interest and brings life to the NFT marketplace on Bybit. Additionally, the marketplace will have a merge card function to be announced later in the month. Holders of previous GrabPic collections can get a chance to merge their NFT to receive more surprises. Anndy Lian also mentioned that he would be releasing an NFT music soundtrack with the book, and this will also be made available to the GrabPic users.  “GrabPic enables artists and creatives curious about the NFT space to enter with minimal technological barriers, and serves a niche audience through showcasing affordable and unique NFT art. GrabPic aims to democratize the NFT experience for those underserved by existing offerings on both the creator and the collector sides. We have many other projects lined up for our NFT marketplace. We will reveal them to all of you by batches.” Jenny Zheng, BD Lead, Bybit NFT Marketplace commented.

Looking beyond the crypto native markets, more companies are adding NFTs to their existing business. The cost of entry to the market is relatively lower and more transparent now. The outlook of the NFT market, in the long run, is still bullish.

 

Original Source: https://www.benzinga.com/22/08/28569589/bayc-nft-sells-for-777-eth-zero-to-hero-nft-grows-6-600-in-price-amid-crypto-slump

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j