Ethereum 2.0: What to expect from the long-awaited upgrade?

Ethereum 2.0: What to expect from the long-awaited upgrade?

Additional comments on top of what is quoted in the article: 

Well, back in 2020 everybody is talking about Ethereum 2.0 but now people no longer really care about it, the reason for that is based on my own observations are:

1) It is been delayed numerous times.  Till now we don’t have a trustworthy date for that,

2) A big portion of the Ethereum community is against it, especially the miners,
3) It doesn’t do much actually. If it includes sharding, many would look forward to 2.0, but since it does not matter,
4) Neither the speed nor the cost will go down a lot. This makes no difference in most instances.

As to the price prediction, when the 2.0 launches, we would most likely see a price increase, maybe a new time high. However, its just speculation, not aligned with its real value. Hence it will drop back to where it should be. This will also depend on the bigger economic and financial environment, 2022 could be a difficult year.

My final word to everyone. Crypto is very volatile. Invest with caution.

– Anndy Lian

Ethereum 2.0: What to expect from the long-awaited upgrade?

Ethereum’s native cryptocurrency, ether (ETH), saw a fruitful 2021 as the world’s second-largest coin surged by 404.21% in the last 12 months from $730.37 on 1 January 2021 to $3,682.63 on 31 December 2021.

With over 119 million ETH in circulation and a market capitalisation of $384bn, at the time of writing (14 January 2022), countless ETH investors are waiting impatiently for the cryptocurrency to release its series of updates known as Ethereum 2.0 or ETH2, aimed at making the decentralised blockchain faster, safer and more sustainable.

The ETH2 process kickstarted on 1 December 2020, pushing the coin to a 5.2% daily gain from its $602.87 opening price, by launching the Beacon Chain, that introduced proof-of-stake (PoS) to the blockchain, a new means to keep Ethereum more secure and help investors earn more ETH tokens in the process.

Initially known as Phase 0 on technical roadmaps, the ETH2 process consists of three phases in total, with Beacon Chain being the first.

Miners are currently anticipating the launch of Phase 1, which is planned for June 2022.

A final date for the Ethereum 2.0 release is yet to be announced, but the final phase of the blockchain’s launch is anticipated in 2023. What should investors expect from ETH2 and what are analysts saying?

What is Ethereum 2.0?

Initially known as ‘Serenity’,  the Ethereum 2.0 set of interconnected upgrades has been an active area of research and development since 2014. ETH miners, however, were first introduced to the concept during CEO Vitalik Buterin’s speech at the Devcon conference in Prague on 31 October 2018.

“Ethereum 2.0 is this kind of combination of a bunch of different features that we have been talking about for several years, researching for several years, actively building for several years, that are finally going to come together into this one coherent whole,” Buterin said, describing what Ethereum 2.0 entails.

The vision of ETH2 is to “bring Ethereum into the mainstream and serve all of humanity” by making it more “scalable, secure, and sustainable” as the blockchain aims to target three large-scale problems; clogged networks, lack of disk space and using too much energy (which is not eco-friendly).

In general, what ETH2 will do is switch up Ethereum’s algorithm from its current proof-of-work (PoW) consensus protocol, also used by Bitcoin, towards proof-of-stake. What this means for the blockchain is that mining ETH will come with less energy consumption, less hardware requirements, stronger immunity to centralisation and stronger support for shard chains, a key upgrade in scaling the Ethereum network.

Following Ethereum 2.0 updates, the blockchain itself will become more accessible as its move towards a proof-of-stake consensus protocol also plans to drop its expensive use price triggered by its popular demand and ability to only process between 15 to 45 transactions per second.

According to crypto investor Lark Davis  on Twitter, who shared a photo from CoinMarketCap, ETH transactions fees are the highest in comparison to all other blockchains, reaching $46.22 as of 13 January 2022.

The ETH2 roadmap consists of three phases, with Phase 0, the launch of Beacon Chain, already live. Possibly one of the most vital changes to the Ethereum blockchain, the Beacon Chain, does not alter anything about the way Ethereum is mined today, but introduces the proof-of-stake algorithm.

The Beacon Chain, currently, exists separately from the Mainnet (short for main network) Ethereum chain used. However, following Phase 1, coined by the blockchain’s creators as ‘the merge’, the two will become one. Currently, more than 8 million ETH coins are eligible for the Beacon Chain.

It is estimated that ‘the merge’ will launch in June 2022, with the possibility it could be delayed further if not ready. ‘The merge’s’ launch will mark the end of proof-of-work algorithms within the Ethereum blockchain and the full and final transaction into proof-of-stake.

Phase 2, the final of the ETH2 launch, Shard chains, was originally planned to launch before ‘the merge’ was complete.However, this plan was later changed because Shard chains can only enter the Ethereum ecosystem with an operating proof-of-stake consensus mechanism.

Because ETH2 upgrades are “somewhat interrelated”, one cannot fully operate without the other being complete, so Ethereum 2.0 will entirely launch into action once Phase 2 is released.

What will ETH2 do to the Ethereum price?

Firstly, Ethereum’s update will allow the cryptocurrency to catch up with its competitors, which are already much more advanced in terms of scalability and security. NEO , for example, can already master over 10,000 transactions per second, something Ethereum is unable to achieve due to its current proof-of-work consensus protocol.

In addition, the current cost of ETH transactions via the Ethereum Network is very high, therefore preventing a number of people from using it. The introduction of Shard chain aims to increase the transaction speed of the ETH token, potentially scaling it up to 100,000 transactions per second, thus having the possibility to lower Ethereum fees amid faster transactions.

“Technical updates usually have worked well for Ethereum’s price in the past, and the same could be expected for the 2.0 update,” said Yuya Hasegawa, market analyst at Bitbank.

News concerning ETH2 updates had also positively affected the performance of the token’s price so far.

On 20 January 2021, Ethereum Foundation Researcher Danny Ryan published a report stating that the launch of the Beacon Chain was a “resounding success”. Between the launch of Beacon Chain on 1 December 2020 and the end of January 2021, the token’s price skyrocketed by 123% from $587.32 to $1,314.

Yet BigOne Exchange chairman in Asia Anndy Lian notes that the Ethereum 2.0 price outlook could not be as bullish as it seems.

“As to the price prediction, when the 2.0 launches, we would most likely see a price increase, maybe a new time high. However, it’s just speculation, not aligned with its real value. Hence it will drop back to where it should be. This will also depend on the bigger economic and financial environment; 2022 could be a difficult year,” Lian told capital.com.

Please note that price predictions can be wrong. Forecasts shouldn’t be used as a substitute for your own research. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing. And never invest or trade money you cannot afford to lose.

Risks ahead for Ethereum 2.0 release

Lian notes that back in 2020 people were much more invested in the Ethereum 2.0 release than they are now for a number of reasons.

Firstly, Lian said it has been delayed “numerous times” and until now “we don’t have a trustworthy date”. Secondly, he added, “a big portion of the Ethereum community is against it, especially the miners”.

Lian said that it is likely ETH’s cost will not decrease by much, following the final launch of Ethereum 2.0, making no difference in most instances.

On the other hand, Bitbank’s Hasegawa disagreed and stressed that the two-year delay of the Ethereum 2.0 release date is “proof that the developers have been working hard to make sure no significant network failure would happen”. She said “technical risks are expected to be unlikely” once Ethereum 2.0 launches.

“An overall outlook for Ethereum is positive, with the upcoming update to 2.0, and the growing anticipation for the NFT and metaverse industries’ expansion,” Hasegawa concluded.

In a 2020 Macro Report, Crypto.com senior research analyst Kendrick Lau said that sharding, which is planned to be introduced alongside Ethereum 2.0, is “one of the most promising methods to add scalability to a blockchain network and in tandem with layer 2 scaling solutions, which can increase scalability by a factor of hundreds, if not thousands”.

Please note that analyst predictions can be wrong. Analyst comments shouldn’t be used as a substitute for your own research. Always conduct your own research before investing. And never invest or trade money you cannot afford to lose.

 

Original Source: https://capital.com/what-is-ethereum-20

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author “Blockchain Revolution 2030”. Currently, he is appointed as Chairman, Asia for BigONE Exchange and Chief Digital Advisor, Mongolia Productivity Organisation. Anndy is part of the Gyeongsangbuk-do Blockchain Special Committee, Government of Republic Korea, together with industry experts such as Brock Pierce. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region and was previously the Advisory Board Member of Hyundai DAC Technology.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

You can read more about Anndy’s work at www.anndy.com

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Crypto Adoption in 2022: What to Expect?

Crypto Adoption in 2022: What to Expect?
  • More institutions are expected to adopt BTC as an investment vehicle and inflation hedge.
  • Future adoption of bitcoin as legal tender depends quite heavily on El Salvador.
  • Many governments may move more towards CBDCs in 2022.
  • The use of crypto for payments is expected to gain further momentum in 2022.

The crypto market is having a strong end to 2021, with various cryptoassets — including bitcoin (BTC) — hitting new all-time highs. The question is: will we continue seeing increasing adoption of cryptocurrencies among investors, institutions, and even governments next year?

For most analysts and observers, 2022 will indeed be yet another year of increasing adoption of cryptocurrency, both in terms of its potential as an investment vehicle and inflation hedge, and also in terms of its utility for payments.

Of course, 2022 will not all be plain sailing for cryptocurrency when it comes to adoption, with governmental rejection of crypto remaining just as (if not more) likely in some nations as adoption. That said, with the market showing renewed signs of bullishness as we write this, it’s likely that the overall trend will be towards more adoption rather than less.

2021: How accurate were predictions last year?

Back in 2020, industry players predicted that bitcoin would see increasing investment interest from institutions in particular. This is indeed what happened, with the current bull market being largely driven by institutional investors.

They predicted the growth in Ethereum (ETH) and decentralized finance (DeFi), with the latter (in terms of total value locked in) growing, per DefiLlama data, from around USD 21bn at the start of the year to USD 241bn, as of writing. Likewise, Ethereum accounts for 67% of this value, indicating just how pivotal it has become.

One other thing the commenters predicted in our previous year’s ‘adoption trends’ article was the growth in interoperability platforms and protocols, something which would allow chains to pool resources and value. This was particularly true with regards to the launch of the various cross-chain bridges we saw during this year, such as WormholeAvalanche Bridge, and Harmony.

Expect more institutions to come

Given that a new bull market driven by institutions appears to be emerging, it may come as no surprise to learn that analysts are predicting even more institutional adoption of BTC and other cryptocurrencies in 2022. In part, this should be driven by growing inflationary fears, as well as by the increasing normalization of crypto, something helped by new exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

“After the successful launch of [the ProShares] BITO ETF, regulators in the US and elsewhere will be less resistant to more bitcoin and other crypto ETFs. As a result, I expect we’ll see increased institutional adoption of bitcoin and crypto as an investment vehicle going forward,” said Fawad Razaqzada, an analyst at ThinkMarkets.

For OKEx’s director Lennix Lai, the approval of ETFs really does open the door to significantly increased institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies in 2022.

“We definitely believe with the launch of the Bitcoin ETF, it will attract higher adoption across the spectrum. Reason being more traditional retirement plans, pension funds, brokerage accounts will not accept crypto investments, which is where the bitcoin ETF comes into place,” he told Cryptonews.com.

Other analysts largely agree with this overview, even if they note that it’s dependent on various factors. Simon Peters, an analyst with eToro, notes that institutional investors have accounted for increasing inflows into bitcoin for several weeks now, and that this trend will likely continue as more institutions come to adopt BTC as an investment vehicle and inflation hedge.

Bitcoin saw inflows totaling USD 95m last week, representing the largest inflows of all digital assets, per CoinShares data. While the inflows slowed down last week, in this 8-week bull-run they now total USD 2.8bn with year-to-date inflows now at a record USD 6.4bn.

Peters adds that the likelihood of increased institutional involvement with bitcoin will rise if the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approves a spot ETF (i.e. one where the fund actually holds BTC).

“Investors (both institutional and retail) who have been interested in bitcoin and cryptoassets more broadly, but are reluctant to buy the underlying asset due to concerns around regulation/insurance, etc. may feel more comfortable getting exposure via an ETF instead,” he said.

For Ben Caselin, the head of research and strategy at AAX, the approval of a spot-based Bitcoin ETF will be vital if institutional adoption of cryptocurrency is to really take off next year.

“Before we see larger players come into the market, we would need to see more ETFs pass the bar, including physically-backed ETFs. As the pressure continues to build on the Federal Reserve and central banks in general, we can expect more capital to flow from traditional inflation hedges to bitcoin,” he told Cryptonews.com.

Others suggest that while SEC approval is welcome, institutions will continue embracing bitcoin regardless in 2022, simply by virtue of its market growing in size.

“As the ecosystem grows in scale, their involvement is inevitable.  At the margin, the SEC’s latest move brings that inevitability a little closer,” said Lou Kerner, the head cryptocurrency analyst at Quantum Economics.

More legal adoption?

With El Salvador officially adopting bitcoin as legal tender in September, there’s also a distinct possibility that other nations will follow its example in 2022. However, this depends on just how successful El Salvador’s embrace of BTC ends up being, with many nations in similar situations mostly observing from a distance for now. As reported, the CEO of the crypto exchange giant BitMEX Alexander Höptner estimates that “at least five countries” will “accept bitcoin as legal tender” before next year is out.

“I think most would-be countries are just sitting back and watching to see how El Salvador’s economy will evolve with the adoption of BTC as legal tender. If successful, I am sure more countries will follow suit — if not fully like El Salvador, then at least in other ways — especially those with weak economies and where currency crises are prevalent,” said Fawad Razaqzada.

Ben Caselin also suggests that future adoption of bitcoin as legal tender depends quite heavily on El Salvador. Nonetheless, if things do go well, there are other countries that may similarly stand to gain from adoption.

“In countries like Mexico, Peru, and Colombia, unbanked communities comprise more than 50% of the population. In South East Asia, in countries such as the Philippines and Indonesia, we find similar figures,” he said.

While he doesn’t necessarily expect more formal adoption to take place in 2022, he does suggest that “we will see countries signaling their interest” in moving closer to crypto next year.

On the other hand, some analysts say it’s almost inevitable that other nations will turn to bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in one way or another, if not in 2022 then not long after.

“I think there is every possibility that other countries could follow in the footsteps of El Salvador and make bitcoin legal tender. Most of ‘the noise’ seems to be coming from Latin America at this moment in time,” said Simon Peters.

Lou Kerner is even more explicit about bitcoin and crypto’s chances in this respect, suggesting that it’s mostly a matter of ‘when, not if.’

“Just as the institutional adoption of crypto is inevitable,  so is the adoption of crypto by governments around the world. Adopting bitcoin as legal tender will be increasingly attractive for smaller governments without strong currencies,” he said.

Central banks and their tokens

That said, Anndy Lian, the Chairman of crypto exchange BigONE and the Chief Digital Advisor to the Mongolian Productivity Organization, says that developed nations will be more interested in central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) in 2022 than bitcoin or any other public cryptocurrency.

“The real crypto push from governments will be more likely to come in the form of central bank digital currencies, most notably in China. There the central bank is looking to use blockchain at the issuance layer for its digital yuan system, which is centralized,” he told Cryptonews.com.

He adds that a drive towards CBDCs may be catalyzed by Facebook (now – Meta), with its Novi app launching as a limited pilot in the US and Guatemala in October.

“If the Facebook initiatives take off then this could spur governments to action, if not creating their own digital currency, in supporting the growth of private sector solutions with improved regulations and support. A good example of this approach is in Ukraine, which voted almost unanimously to legalize and regulate cryptocurrency just a day after El Salvador’s official bitcoin adoption,” he added.

Lou Kerner also suggests that many governments may move more towards CBDCs in 2022, particularly those that feel threatened by bitcoin and other public and decentralized cryptocurrencies.

“Central bank digital currencies will be attractive for other governments looking to leverage technology to provide better financial infrastructure for internal or global use.   There will be some governments who resist out of fear of losing control, similar to countries who resisted the internet,” he said.

What about payments?

CBDCs bring us to the issue of payments, because while it seems likely that investors will increasingly adopt bitcoin and other cryptos as inflation hedges, it’s not clear whether the general public will increasingly use such currencies for making payments.

For Fawad Razaqzada, increasing payment use will follow on from increasing investment, with more holders and owners equaling more opportunities to use cryptocurrency for purchasing goods or services.

“This trend will likely gather momentum as more institutions get involved. So there is little doubt in my mind that 2022 could set a new record for crypto transactions for payments of actual goods and services,” he said.

Some analysts suggest that the use of cryptocurrency for payments is already picking up steam, and that it will therefore only gain further momentum in 2022.

“The usage of cryptocurrency to ‘make payments’ is already scaling rapidly. There’s more than USD 125 billion in stablecoins in circulation used to make payments,” Lou Kerner said.

He adds that cryptocurrency is already being used, for example, to incentivize community members to provide value to the community, from gaming (e.g. Axie Infinity) to talent networks (e.g. Braintrust).

“We expect this activity to continue to scale in 2022 and far beyond, similar to how e-commerce is continuing to scale 27 years after Amazon started selling books,” he said.

Likewise, Anndy Lian is another observer who argues that 2022 will only cement what is already happening in 2021.

“The trend towards greater use of crypto for payments has already started, with the recent news in the US that cinema chain AMC will soon be accepting cryptocurrency payments. It comes just a few months after PayPal decided to allow US consumers to use crypto to make purchases and news that Mastercard would be supporting cryptocurrency payments across its network,” he said.

Despite these significant inroads, Ben Caselin urges some degree of caution, arguing that while we see bitcoin’s use in El Salvador, for instance, we’re still very much in a growth phase where market volatility militates against everyday use of many cryptos.

He says, “For Bitcoin to take hold as an everyday payment system and currency, more adoption is needed […] It may take a few more years before we can see Bitcoin being used more for everyday payments globally.”

 

 

Original Source: https://cryptonews.com/exclusives/crypto-adoption-in-2022-what-to-expect.htm

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author “Blockchain Revolution 2030”. Currently, he is appointed as Chairman, Asia for BigONE Exchange and Chief Digital Advisor, Mongolia Productivity Organisation. Anndy is part of the Gyeongsangbuk-do Blockchain Special Committee, Government of Republic Korea, together with industry experts such as Brock Pierce. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region and was previously the Advisory Board Member of Hyundai DAC Technology.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

You can read more about Anndy’s work at www.anndy.com

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