Tag Archives: explained

China Can’t Export Electricity, So It Did Something Smarter: The AI Token Revolution Explained

China Can’t Export Electricity, So It Did Something Smarter: The AI Token Revolution Explained

China’s electricity cannot cross its borders, but Chinese tokens are already sold globally. These two phenomena are essentially the same thing. Tokens are China’s true electricity export. I know this concept may not have fully clicked yet, but every sentence I share is backed by data.

China generates 10 trillion kilowatt-hours of electricity annually, surpassing the EU, Russia, India, and Japan combined. This is not because China lacks the desire to sell. It is physically impossible. Electricity cannot be stored or loaded onto ships. Extending high-voltage transmission lines across national borders involves negotiations that can drag on for a decade. It is like holding the world’s largest gold mine where the gold is too heavy to transport, leaving it piled up in your own backyard.

Tokens have shattered this bottleneck.

First, let us clarify what a token represents. When you converse with an AI like DeepSeek, every character and line of code it returns consists of tokens. On the surface, they appear as text or dialogue. Fundamentally, they are digitally encapsulated electrical energy. If you doubt this, consider the math. In the cost structure of AI inference, electricity plus compute depreciation together account for a staggering 80% to 90%. In other words, nearly 90 cents of every dollar spent on a token effectively pays for electricity.

A token is a compressed packet of electrical energy, representing the final product refined from China’s northwestern green electricity through GPU computation.

So how does this relate to exports? When a Silicon Valley developer sits at their computer and calls a Chinese large language model API, data instantly traverses undersea fiber-optic cables to reach computing centers in Ningxia or Inner Mongolia. Thousands of GPUs roar to life, consuming China’s cheapest northwestern green power to perform logical inference. They return the result to a screen in San Francisco within seconds. Throughout this entire process, not a drop of oil was burned, and not a single power cable crossed a border. The value of Chinese electricity has already been delivered across borders via tokens. This is dimensional warfare involving zero physical output, light-speed cross-border transfer, and near-zero loss.

The most powerful insight is yet to come. Why is China uniquely positioned to execute this? The answer lies in two words. Electricity prices.

China is uniquely positioned to lead in the AI race because it has solved the “physical” constraint of intelligence: electricity prices. While algorithms are digital, running them requires massive amounts of power, and China’s ability to provide this power at a fraction of the cost in the West is becoming a decisive competitive edge.

Electricity for data centres in China can be as low as 3 cents per kilowatt-hour, roughly one-third the price in the U.S.. Unlike the U.S., where regional grids often operate with thin reserve margins, China maintains a deliberate surplus of electricity. This allows them to “soak up” the massive power demands of AI without destabilising the grid.

The State Grid Corporation of China plans to invest approximately 4 trillion RMB (US$579 billion) between 2026 and 2030 to further upgrade the power grid, specifically to support the future “intelligent economy”. Local governments often provide electricity subsidies for data centres, sometimes cutting power bills by up to 50% if they use domestic chips, further offsetting other costs.

In northwestern China, the situation is different. In specialized wind and solar power zones in Zhongwei, Ningxia, or Qingyang, Gansu, electricity prices can drop as low as 0.20 RMB (0.029 USD) per kilowatt-hour. This represents the absolute global price trough. The per-token cost gap between China and the U.S. can be seen from here.

Now you understand why DeepSeek API pricing can be nearly 20 to 30 times cheaper than OpenAI. This is not due to subsidies. This is not dumping. This is northwestern green electricity pushing cost advantages to their absolute limit within large language models.

Even more ingenious is the export mechanism for tokens. When you export electric vehicles, you face tariffs, trade barriers, and customs inspections at ports. Tokens travel via fiber optics. Under current WTO rules, electronic transmissions are temporarily exempt from tariffs. There are no containers, no cargo ships, and no customs declarations. Chinese electricity, cloaked in data, walks boldly into every terminal device worldwide. This is, without question, the strongest strategic backdoor available for China’s energy strategy.

Now consider another set of data that may surprise you. Recent statistics show that 4 out of the top 5 models on OpenRouter are Chinese large models, including MiniMax’s M2.5, Moonshot AI’s Kimi K2.5, Zhipu’s GLM-5, and DeepSeek’s V3.2. Their combined consumption reaches 85.7%. Chinese AI models have evolved from followers to price setters. This is only the beginning.

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang has long predicted that the inflection point for the AI Agent era has arrived. In the future, a single AI completing a task may consume 10 to 50 times as many tokens as it does today. Institutional forecasts project that by 2030, China’s AI inference token consumption will grow from 100 trillion in 2025 to 390,000 trillion by 2030. The ceiling for demand is not even visible yet.

So what is the essence of this transformation? Throughout human history, every reconstruction of the great-power order has begun with a revolution in the form of energy. The British Empire rose on coal and steam. The United States rose on oil and internal combustion. Today, China is quietly rewriting the rules through the ultimate coupling of electricity and computing.

Those northwestern green power resources that once had to be curtailed, causing heartache due to the inability to absorb them, are now being repriced and redeployed as tokens. Previously, we exchanged sweat for foreign exchange. Now, we exchange algorithms for foreign exchange. This is not overtaking on a curve. This is switching to an entirely new track.

Have you noticed? The changes that truly reshape the world often do not happen in headlines. They happen when an ordinary person opens a chat window on their phone, types a line of text, and waits for a reply. Behind that moment lies the wind of Inner Mongolia, the hydropower of Sichuan, and the sunlight of Xinjiang. They travel thousands of kilometers, burn inside GPUs, transform into tokens, cross the Pacific, and land on their screen.

What we are exporting is not merely data. It is the confidence of a civilization.

After reading this, do you believe token exports represent the smartest strategic move in China’s energy history? Pay attention. This is just the beginning.

 

Source: https://www.benzinga.com/Opinion/26/03/51533819/china-cant-export-electricity-so-it-did-something-smarter-the-ai-token-revolution-explained

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

Why your portfolio is down: The Fed’s hawkish hold explained

Why your portfolio is down: The Fed’s hawkish hold explained

The Federal Reserve delivered a sobering message that sent shockwaves through equities, cryptocurrencies, and commodities alike. Chair Jerome Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee kept interest rates steady at 3.50 per cent to 3.75 per cent, but simultaneously raised their 2026 inflation forecast to 2.7 per cent from the previous 2.4 per cent projection. This hawkish hold shattered hopes for aggressive monetary easing and forced investors to recalibrate their expectations for the remainder of the year.

The immediate market reaction proved severe and widespread. United States equities bore the brunt of the selloff, with all eleven S&P 500 sectors closing in negative territory. The S&P 500 index fell 1.36 per cent to settle at 6,624.70 while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.63 per cent to 46,225.15. The technology-heavy Nasdaq declined 1.46 per cent to 22,152.42 as growth stocks faced renewed pressure from the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates. Consumer Staples led the decline with a 2.44 per cent drop, followed closely by Consumer Discretionary, down 2.32 per cent, as investors worried that persistent inflation would erode household purchasing power and dampen retail sentiment.

European markets offered no refuge from the turmoil. The FTSE 100 slipped 0.94 per cent to 10,305.29 while Germany’s DAX 40 fell 0.96 per cent to 23,502.25. The synchronised global selloff reflected a fundamental reassessment of risk as traders priced out expectations for multiple rate cuts in 2026. The Fed’s updated dot plot now signals only one rate cut for the remainder of the year, a dramatic shift from previous expectations that had fuelled earlier market rallies.

Adding fuel to the fire, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East escalated dramatically with reports of military strikes targeting Iranian natural gas facilities in South Pars. Brent Crude surged toward the US$110 to US$120 per barrel range as supply concerns mounted. This energy shock created a particularly pernicious dynamic where rising oil prices threatened to further entrench inflation, potentially forcing central banks to maintain restrictive monetary policy for an extended period. The correlation between traditional markets and alternative assets became strikingly evident as cryptocurrencies moved in lockstep with equities and gold, showing an 89 per cent correlation with the S&P 500 and a remarkable 96 per cent correlation with gold.

The cryptocurrency market experienced its own cascade of selling pressure, declining 3.63 per cent to US$2.44 trillion in market capitalisation over twenty-four hours. This macro-driven selloff triggered a brutal liquidation event that wiped out over US$151 million in Bitcoin long positions within a single day. The forced closures represented a 127 per cent increase in liquidations and served as an accelerant, intensifying the downward spiral. Bitcoin traded near the critical pivot zone at US$70,283, while the broader crypto market showed vulnerability within its yearly downtrend. The Fear and Greed Index held at 33, firmly in Fear territory, reflecting the anxiety permeating digital asset markets.

Treasury markets reflected uncertainty, with the 10-year yield settling around 4.22 per cent after earlier gains were pared following the Fed announcement. The US Dollar strengthened as traders adjusted their expectations for monetary policy easing. Gold held relatively steady near the US$5,000 mark as safe-haven demand balanced against rising real yields, which typically pressure the non-yielding metal. This tug-of-war between geopolitical risk and monetary policy tightness created a complex environment in which traditional hedges struggled to find a clear direction.

The market faces critical technical levels that will likely determine the near-term trajectory. The cryptocurrency market must hold above the key Fibonacci 50 per cent retracement level at US$2.38 trillion to avoid deeper losses. A break below this support could extend the decline toward US$2.29 trillion, potentially triggering another wave of liquidations. The path forward hinges on several key factors, including upcoming US economic data releases, particularly the Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation reading, and the progress of the Clarity Act through the Senate Banking Committee, with markup expected in April.

The current corrective phase appears to be a necessary purge of excessive leverage and overoptimistic positioning rather than a fundamental breakdown of the broader uptrend. Investors must remain vigilant as the combination of sticky inflation, elevated energy prices, and restrictive monetary policy creates a challenging environment for risk assets. Those who maintain positions must prepare for continued volatility as markets digest the reality that the Federal Reserve prioritises price stability over growth support, even at the cost of short-term market pain. The coming weeks will test whether this selloff represents a buying opportunity or the beginning of a more sustained downturn.

Market participants should watch for stabilisation in funding rates and a decline in liquidation volume as signals that selling pressure may be exhausting. A weekly close below US$2.38 trillion would confirm deeper correction risk, while a reclaim of US$2.48 trillion could restore bullish momentum. The interplay between macro data and regulatory developments will likely dictate the next major move. For now, the message from policymakers remains clear. Inflation control takes precedence, and markets must adapt to a reality where liquidity conditions tighten further before any meaningful relief arrives. 

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

Asian markets flash red while US stocks climb, Bitcoin rebound: The divergence explained

Asian markets flash red while US stocks climb, Bitcoin rebound: The divergence explained

Markets found their footing today as a surprising burst of strength in American manufacturing activity recalibrated investor expectations across asset classes. The US ISM manufacturing survey for January delivered an unexpected leap from 47.9 in December to 52.6, well above the 48.5 estimate and the highest level since August 2022.

This single data point acted as an anchor for risk sentiment, lifting US equities: the Dow Jones climbed 1.05 per cent, the S&P 500 added 0.54 per cent, and the Nasdaq gained 0.56 per cent. Chipmakers and AI-related companies led the advance, while smaller-cap stocks surged sharply, reflecting a broadening of market participation beyond the narrow leadership that has characterized recent sessions. The VIX Index retreated to 16.34, signaling diminished anxiety among options traders even as the underlying catalyst suggested an economy with more momentum than previously assumed.

This resilience in risk assets despite stronger economic data presents a nuanced picture of market psychology. Typically robust manufacturing numbers would pressure equity valuations by reinforcing expectations of higher-for-longer interest rates, yet Treasury yields absorbed the news with measured moves. The two-year yield rose 4.9 basis points to 3.572 per cent while the ten-year climbed 4.2 basis points to 4.277 per cent. The modest rate repricing suggests investors are separating near-term data strength from a firmly entrenched expectation of Federal Reserve easing later this year. Markets appear to be pricing a pause in early 2026, coinciding with Jerome Powell’s scheduled departure as Fed Chair in May, followed by two anticipated rate reductions in the second and third quarters. This forward-looking stance allows equities to rally on current strength while bonds gradually reposition in anticipation of eventual monetary accommodation.

The US dollar capitalised on this dynamic, strengthening against all G10 currencies with the Dollar Index climbing 0.66 per cent to 97.632. The greenback’s advance drew additional support from a pronounced sell-off in precious metals as investors rotated out of traditional safe havens. Gold tumbled 4.8 per cent to 4661 dollars per ounce while silver plunged 7 per cent to 79 dollars per ounce. This flight from metals into dollars created a self-reinforcing cycle of dollar strength visible in major pairs. The euro weakened against the dollar, closing at 1.1791, down 0.5 per cent, while the Japanese yen extended its decline, with USD/JPY rising 0.55 per cent to 155.63. Concerns about fiscal sustainability following projections of a strong election win for Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi added pressure on the yen, creating a divergence between US and Japanese monetary trajectories.

Commodities faced headwinds beyond the dollar’s strength. Brent crude fell 4.4 per cent to settle at 66 dollars per barrel as easing tensions between the US and Iran removed a geopolitical premium from oil prices. This move aligned with a cautiously negative outlook for crude given its sensitivity to diplomatic developments.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market staged a technical rebound, rising 2.65 per cent to a total valuation of 2.64 trillion dollars. This recovery followed a violent weekend deleveraging event that flushed over two and a half billion dollars in liquidations, primarily from overextended long positions. The bounce reflected an oversold condition rather than a fundamental shift with Bitcoin’s correlation to the S&P 500 holding at 85 per cent, underscoring the macro-driven nature of the move. Select altcoins, including Hyperliquid, surged on project-specific catalysts, but the broader market remains fragile, hinging on Bitcoin’s ability to defend the 73,000 to 78,000 dollar support zone.

Asian markets told a contrasting story opening the week deep in negative territory as regional investors trimmed risk exposure amid the precious metals collapse and crypto volatility. South Korea’s Kospi Index tumbled 5.3 per cent, triggering an intraday trading halt amid anxiety over potential US tariff actions. China’s Shanghai Composite fell 2.5 per cent while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng retreated 2.2 per cent, reflecting regional sensitivity to shifts in global risk appetite. These losses highlighted the uneven nature of the global recovery, with emerging Asian markets reacting more sharply to risk-off signals than their US counterparts. Yet the divergence proved temporary as Asian indices traded higher by Tuesday morning, with US futures pointing upward, suggesting the initial sell-off represented an overreaction to weekend events rather than a structural breakdown.

President Trump’s announcement of a US-India trade deal added a geopolitical dimension to the session. The agreement immediately lowers reciprocal tariffs with the US, reducing the US rate on Indian goods from 25 per cent to 18 per cent, while India eliminates its tariffs and non-tariff barriers on American products. This development signals a pragmatic recalibration of trade policy that could ease supply chain friction and support manufacturing activity going forward. The deal arrives at a time when markets are seeking catalysts beyond monetary policy to sustain economic momentum, making its timing particularly relevant for cyclical sectors like industrials and financials.

My perspective on this market configuration centres on sustainability. The rally in US equities driven by manufacturing strength and trade optimism faces a fundamental test in the months ahead. Strong data today supports risk assets, but persistent strength could delay the Fed easing cycle that markets have priced in for mid-year. The bond market’s muted reaction to the ISM surprise suggests investors believe this manufacturing rebound is isolated rather than the start of a broad-based acceleration. I view the current environment as a transitional phase in which markets balance near-term resilience against medium-term vulnerability, particularly in labour markets, where weakness is expected to manifest ahead of anticipated rate cuts.

The crypto rebound exemplifies this fragility. A 2.65 per cent gain after massive liquidations represents technical exhaustion, not renewed conviction. The market’s tight correlation with the S&P 500 confirms it is a risk asset rather than a diversifier. True stabilisation requires Bitcoin to hold above 78000 dollars and spot ETF outflows to moderate, neither of which has occurred decisively. Similarly, the dollar’s strength may prove temporary if Fed easing materialises as expected, though near-term momentum favours continued greenback resilience.

Looking forward, the path of least resistance for markets depends on whether the manufacturing rebound broadens into other sectors or proves ephemeral. Investors should monitor labour market indicators closely, as any deterioration would validate the Fed’s easing narrative, supporting both bonds and equities. In the interim, a barbell approach makes sense, overweighting quality fixed income with five to seven-year duration while maintaining exposure to select cyclicals and defensives within equities. The recovery remains uneven and fragile, but the combination of strong data trade progress and technical rebounds has created a window of stability that markets are using to reposition for the next phase of the cycle. How long this window remains open depends on whether economic strength proves durable or gives way to the softening that monetary policy anticipates.

 

Source: https://e27.co/asian-markets-flash-red-while-us-stocks-climb-bitcoin-rebound-the-divergence-explained-20260203/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j