Market recap: Europe gains, crypto falls, and trade fears grow

Market recap: Europe gains, crypto falls, and trade fears grow

The market wrap for February 27, 2025, paints a vivid picture of a world grappling with choppy risk sentiment, spurred by US President Donald Trump’s latest pronouncements on trade policy. His remarks during Wednesday’s cabinet meeting—laden with ambiguity about tariffs on Canada and Mexico, hints of a delay from March to April, and a firm declaration of 25 per cent reciprocal tariffs on European autos—have sent ripples of unease across global markets.

Add to that a slew of economic data points, corporate earnings, and geopolitical developments, and you’ve got a recipe for volatility that’s keeping investors on their toes. Here’s my take on what’s unfolding, grounded in facts and a healthy dose of skepticism about where this all might lead.

Let’s start with Trump’s trade rhetoric, which has once again thrust uncertainty into the spotlight. His contradictory signals about tariffs on Canada and Mexico—major US trading partners—suggest a strategy that’s either deliberately fluid or frustratingly inconsistent.

On one hand, he’s floated a potential delay, pushing the timeline from March to April, which could buy time for negotiations or simply prolong the suspense. On the other, he’s doubled down with a pledge for 25 per cent tariffs on European autos and other goods, a move that’s less about surprise (given his long-standing “tariff man” persona) and more about escalation.

The markets despise ambiguity, and Trump’s words have delivered it in spades. Investors are left parsing his intentions: Is this a negotiating tactic to extract concessions, or a genuine prelude to a broader trade war? The historical precedent from his first term—where tariffs on steel and aluminum roiled markets but often softened in practice—offers little comfort when the stakes now seem higher and the global economy more fragile.

The economic data isn’t helping soothe nerves either. US new home sales took a nosedive in January, dropping 10.5 per cent to 657,000 units. That’s a stark signal of cooling demand in a housing market already battered by high interest rates and affordability woes. For context, this figure undershoots even the most pessimistic forecasts, hinting at deeper structural issues—perhaps a pullback in consumer confidence or a ripple effect from trade-related uncertainty.

Housing is a bellwether for broader economic health, and this bearish turn could amplify growth concerns, especially as Trump’s policies threaten to layer on inflationary pressures via tariffs. It’s no wonder equity markets have been volatile, with traders caught between macroeconomic red flags and the micro-level drama of corporate earnings.

Speaking of earnings, Nvidia’s latest report was the week’s marquee event, and it didn’t disappoint—or rather, it didn’t fully satisfy. The chip giant, a darling of the tech rally, posted results that beat analyst expectations, yet the stock wobbled in after-hours trading. Why? After two years of blowout performances that fuelled AI-driven euphoria, this “modest beat” felt like a letdown.

Investors have grown accustomed to Nvidia shattering ceilings, and anything less sparks doubts about whether the growth story has peaked. The broader MSCI US index eked out a negligible 0.03 per cent gain, buoyed by a 0.8 per cent rise in the Info Tech sector, but the lack of decisive momentum reflects a market wrestling with bigger questions. Are we seeing the limits of tech-led optimism in an environment where tariffs and inflation could crimp corporate margins?

Meanwhile, fixed-income markets offered their own commentary. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield slipped 4 basis points to 4.25 per cent, a subtle nod to growth fears trumping inflation worries—for now. Lower yields signal a flight to safety, as investors bet on a slowing economy potentially forcing the Federal Reserve to rethink its rate-cut trajectory.

The US Dollar Index, up 0.1 per cent to 106.49, suggests some resilience, likely propped up by Trump’s tariff threats enhancing the greenback’s safe-haven appeal. Gold, too, ticked up 0.1 per cent to US$2,915.92 an ounce, hovering near record territory as a hedge against uncertainty. These moves aren’t dramatic, but they underscore a cautious repositioning amid the noise.

Across the Atlantic, MSCI Europe climbed a solid 1.0 per cent, lifted by a new minerals deal between the US and Ukraine. It’s a rare bright spot, hinting at strategic shifts in resource alliances that could cushion Europe against trade disruptions. But let’s not kid ourselves—European autos, now squarely in Trump’s tariff crosshairs, could drag sentiment down fast. Companies like Volkswagen and Stellantis, with heavy exposure to North American supply chains, face a reckoning if those 25 per cent duties stick. The sector’s already nursing wounds from a post-pandemic slump, and this could be salt in the wound.

Asia, meanwhile, tells a tale of resilience and divergence. The MSCI Asia ex-Japan index rebounded 1.5 per cent, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng stealing the show at a 3.3 per cent surge. The catalyst? News that China plans to recapitalise its biggest banks, a move that could stabilise a financial system creaking under bad debt and sluggish growth.

It’s a bold step, and the market’s enthusiastic response suggests hope that Beijing’s got more tricks up its sleeve. Yet, early trading today showed Asian indices mixed, and US equity futures point to a softer open stateside. The global mood remains jittery, and China’s bank rescue might be a temporary salve rather than a cure.

Then there’s the cryptocurrency saga, a wild subplot in this market drama. Over US$800 billion has evaporated from global crypto markets in recent weeks, a brutal reversal from the post-election euphoria tied to Trump’s perceived pro-crypto stance. Bitcoin shed 3.6 per cent on Wednesday, hitting US$85,600, while Ethereum took a 4 per cent dive to US$2,275—its lowest since September.

The culprits are manifold: inflation fears, tariff anxieties, a cooling meme coin craze, and a US$1.4 billion hack at the Bybit exchange, linked to the notorious Lazarus group. The forensic fallout confirms it was a targeted attack, not a flaw in Safe Wallet’s smart contracts, but the damage to confidence is real. Crypto’s 4 per cent daily drop mirrors the broader sell-off in risk assets, and Ethereum’s 53 per cent lag from its 2021 peak is a stark reminder of how far the mighty can fall when sentiment sours.

Oil, too, is feeling the heat. Brent crude slipped 0.7 per cent to US$72.71 a barrel, pressured by an unexpected buildup in US fuel inventories and whispers of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal. The latter could ease supply concerns, but the former points to weakening demand—a troubling sign when paired with the housing data. Energy markets are a microcosm of the push-pull between geopolitical hope and economic reality, and right now, reality’s winning.

So, what’s my point of view on all this? I have mentioned this many times in the past few days. I see a world at a crossroads, where Trump’s trade gambit could either spark a manageable reshuffling of global commerce or tip us into a deeper slowdown. The data—housing’s slump, oil’s slide, crypto’s crash—screams caution, yet pockets of strength in Europe and Asia hint at adaptability.

Nvidia’s underwhelming “win” feels symbolic: growth is still possible, but the easy gains are gone. Investors are right to be skittish; tariffs could stoke inflation just as growth falters, a stagflationary nightmare the Fed’s ill-equipped to handle if yields keep dropping. I’m skeptical of Trump’s ability to thread this needle—his track record leans more toward disruption than finesse. But markets are nothing if not resilient, and the next few weeks, with Fed testimony and more tariff clarity looming, will test that resilience to the hilt. For now, I’d say buckle up: this ride’s only getting bumpier.

 

Source: https://e27.co/market-recap-europe-gains-crypto-falls-and-trade-fears-grow-20250227/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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India calls for uniform crypto regulations as Asian markets grow amid boom and bust cycle

India calls for uniform crypto regulations as Asian markets grow amid boom and bust cycle
  • ‘One country alone cannot do everything’ if regulation is required, says India’s financial minister as she leads the push for uniform rules in the group
  • New Delhi’s call is likely to resonate with Southeast Asia, a popular destination for crypto investors, after a string of high-profile collapses last year, observers say

 

Indian businessman Saurabh Tiwari’s interest in cryptocurrency grew after he made a significant profit on a bunch of different tokens within a few months of buying them in 2020. But the boom soon turned to bust following a series of events such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the collapse of crypto exchange FTX last year.

“I am now down 60-70 per cent (on these investments). It does not make sense for me to get out,” says 29-year-old Pune-based Tiwari, who also lamented that India lacked a crypto market regulator to protect investors like him.

India, president of the Group of 20 (G20) this year, is leading the push for crypto regulation and is proposing uniform regulations across the group’s members. The move is likely to strike a chord especially after a string of crypto exchange failures, bankruptcies and fraud allegations last year spooked global investors.

“If it requires regulation, then one country alone cannot do anything,” India’s Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman told reporters in New Delhi this week.

“We are talking with all nations, if we can make some standard operating procedure which is followed by everyone making a regulatory framework, and if it can be effective,” she said ahead of a G20 meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors in the country later this month.

The proposal to jointly regulate crypto markets is likely to be watched closely in Southeast Asia, a popular destination for crypto investors and entrepreneurs.

Singapore and Hong Kong have well-regulated crypto markets, but most of the governments in the region are just beginning to understand the power of cryptocurrencies that could open up new financing opportunities.

Asian investors have also been shaken by crypto’s boom and bust cycles, following last year’s Terra-Luna’s US$40 billion implosion, the collapse of Three Arrows Capital and the bankruptcy of FTX that wiped out around 25 per cent of the crypto market capitalisation.

This year’s G20 chair India is set to meet global finance ministers and central bank governors later this month. Photo: AP

Southeast Asia, with nearly 700 million residents, has one of the world’s fastest-growing populations, with some 480 million of them being active internet users. The region is expected to have the world’s fourth-largest economy by 2030 and has emerged as a fertile ground for hundreds of crypto and blockchain start-ups.

There are more than 600 crypto or blockchain companies currently headquartered out of Southeast Asia, according to a report by global investment platform White Star Capital.

Consumers in countries like Vietnam and India have been among the fastest worldwide to adapt to cryptocurrencies, but authorities in many places have not yet found a path to govern the ecosystem effectively.

Rajagopal Menon, vice-president of India’s biggest cryptocurrency exchange WazirX, said the Indian government had probably realised that the only way to “mitigate the bad effects of crypto” was to have a global consensus on a regulatory framework that exists for traditional banking.

A tough terrain

Crypto assets have been around for more than a decade, but it is only now that efforts to regulate them have gathered pace as they have evolved from niche products to mainstream speculative and payment instruments.

Evolving regulation around them is tricky because countries will have to train regulators in new technology skills and keep tabs on thousands of market participants who may not be subject to typical disclosure or reporting requirements.

Crypto assets refer to a wide range of digital products that are privately issued and can be stored or traded using primarily digital wallets and exchanges.

The assets are merely codes that are stored and accessed electronically and may or may not be backed by physical or financial collaterals or pegged to the value of fiat currencies.

In markets with crypto regulations, certain entities are typically authorised to carry out specific activities. Many functions in mainstream financial activities such as lending and deposits are now replicated in the crypto world, leading to more calls to harmonise the system.

Some countries such as Japan and Singapore have amended or introduced new legislation to cover crypto assets and their service providers, while others such as India are at a drafting stage.

The lack of uniform regulations across different nations leave space for traders and companies to flock to jurisdictions with more lenient or no regulations, and exploit arbitrage opportunities that creates cross border risks to the financial system, analysts say.

“Unregulated guys can do anything they want. Having uniform regulations will help regulated entities like ours to compete well with the unregulated players,” said Bo Bai, executive chairman and co-founder of Singapore-based MetaComp, an accredited payment services provider including for digital tokens. “I think it will be very helpful to establish a harmonious set of rules for all the crypto service providers.”

He said consumers from unregulated markets had flocked to the company in recent months despite having to undergo an extensive screening process, as they were realising the value of safety in the wake of the recent global contagion.

The logo of FTX is seen at the entrance of the FTX Arena in Miami, Florida. Photo: Reuters

Industry executives say last year’s collapse of FTX revealed systemic flaws that need to be plugged and that harmonising regulations would help.

“Some of those failures were issues of poor design and poor governance with no oversight. It’s not a failure of the underlying technology. FTX is a brilliant case of those governance failures,” said Esme Hodson, chief compliance officer of SC Ventures, a business unit of Standard Chartered Bank which invests in disruptive financial technology.

“The financial system requires innovation but that should not come at the cost of stability and exploiting any kind of customer vulnerability,” Hodson added.

New Delhi could take a leaf from regulated markets like Singapore and Dubai and strive to find a middle ground among nations especially in the region to restore confidence among crypto investors, analysts say.

“India has the technical know-how in IT and has been trying to introduce a regulation on cryptos,” said Raj Kapoor, founder of India Blockchain Alliance. “Investments in crypto are quite strong in Asia, including in South Korea, Japan, Vietnam and even Pakistan.”

Other industry executives say uniform regulations would help aspects such as reducing arbitrage, but could end up delaying implementation of laws locally because of the time it will take to reach a common point.

“Ultimately, the ideal approach to regulating cryptocurrencies is likely to be a balance between these two perspectives, where countries adopt a common set of principles while still retaining the flexibility to tailor regulations to their specific circumstances,” said Anndy Lian, a partner at Singapore-based Passion Venture Capital and author of the book NFT: From Zero to Hero.

Source: India calls for uniform crypto regulations as Asian markets grow amid boom and bust cycle | South China Morning Post (scmp.com)

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Anndy Lian, Advisory Board Member at Hyundai DAC Spoke at Global DeFi Summit “Do the right thing for DeFi for it to grow.”

Anndy Lian, Advisory Board Member at Hyundai DAC Spoke at Global DeFi Summit “Do the right thing for DeFi for it to grow.”

Anndy Lian, an early adopter of blockchain and cryptocurrency spoke at the Global DeFi Summit on 6 January 2021.

“Decentralized Finance (DeFi) will see a stronger interest from institutional investors this year. The macroeconomic trends of low-interest rate globally will also mean DeFi is more relevant to the companies. Traditional finance world keeps breaking, money and people will be redirected to Defi.” Anndy Lian shared.

What is the fastest-growing DeFi area or trend in 2021?

Defi will continue to grow rapidly in 2021.

A) Staking on Defi will grow faster than in 2020. This is closely linked to Ethereum 2.0. The launch of 2.0 is a critical step towards scaling ETH to a much larger capacity. The shift to POS allows huge amount of wealth to be staked as collateral. I would also think more users will not leave their ETH on exchanges. This then spurred to another observation.

B) I think there will be more Cefi and Defi integration in 2021. We will see integrations in traditional products. Crypto backed derivatives and cross-chain products will hit its peak by Q3 2021. We may also be seeing more crypto proprietary trading in 2021.

What challenges should we expect to arise for DeFi in 2021? Will regulators attempt to restrict or limit it in any way?

The challenges did not change. The reason why Defi grew so fast is due to the flawed financial structure. Governments will step in hard for 2021 but they are still playing a catch-up game. Based on what I know, governments know there are underlying enforcement issues. They are resorting to looking at using on-chain digital id to track and trace and enforce AML but this will again take time.

For example, DeFi lending projects will most likely be regulated in a similar way as financial institutions that offer margin lending. They will also be asked to register as a bank, a non-bank lender or a broker.

In conclusion, Anndy emphasized that we need to work closely together in this ecosystem and do the right thing for DeFi to grow.

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial blockchain entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author “Blockchain Revolution 2030” and currently the Advisory Board Member of Hyundai DAC Technology. He plays a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region. Anndy is also part of the Gyeongsangbuk-do Blockchain Special Committee, Government of Republic Korea, together with industry experts such as Brock Pierce.

This event is organised by Gulf Xellence and sponsored by YFDAI. Blockcast.cc is the PR company representing Anndy Lian.

 

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Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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