How Important is Donald Trump to the Future of Crypto?

How Important is Donald Trump to the Future of Crypto?

The failed assassination attempt on pro-crypto US presidential candidate Donald Trump’s life has the crypto community reevaluating his importance to the future of the crypto industry.

As we come to terms with the shocking incident that occurred at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania on July 13, 2024, we speak to experts about Trump’s importance to the crypto industry and what could happen if he becomes the 47th president of the United States.

In this article, Techopedia’s expert panel discusses everything from the US Securities and Exchange Commission‘s (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler’s future to Trump’s anti-central bank digital currency (CBDC) campaign.

Key Takeaways

  • Polls suggest a return to the White House for former president Trump after the assassination attempt on his life.
  • Experts consider the crypto landscape under Donald Trump based on his recent crypto remarks.
  • Anndy Lian says Donald Trump’s influence on the future of cryptocurrency is significant.
  • Shiven Moodley says Gary Gensler will be replaced by a pro-crypto candidate if Trump wins.
  • Jacob Martin says a Republican win will see crypto rally alongside stocks.
  • Vijay Pravin says halting CBDCs could “undermine America’s dominance”
  • Trump confirms he will deliver a speech at the Bitcoin 2024 Conference event in July.

How important is Donald Trump to the Future of Crypto?

Over the weekend, absurd new Trump-based memecoins surfaced, and crypto prices traded in the green as the market breathed a sigh of relief after government officials reassured the public that the former President was safe.

 

We contacted experts, analysts, and crypto fund managers to hear their opinions on Trump’s importance to the crypto industry.

Anndy Lian, intergovernmental blockchain expert and author of ‘Blockchain Revolution 2030, told Techopedia:

“In my humble opinion, Donald Trump’s influence on the future of cryptocurrency is significant.

“His potential re-election could usher in a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment, fostering innovation and growth in the sector.

“The recent events have only strengthened his position as a key figure for the crypto community, making his political fortunes closely tied to the future trajectory of digital currencies.”

 

Sergei Chmel, managing partner of alternative investment firm SeQuant Capital, acknowledged that Trump was “more favorable” for the crypto industry in comparison to current U.S. President Joe Biden.

However, Chmel added that the crypto industry had become too big for the White House resident to ignore at the end of the November 2024 U.S. Presidential election.

“Maybe Trump is a bit more favorable to crypto than Biden, but considering ETH ETF approval, it seems the Biden administration realizes how big the industry has become. They can’t undo it anymore.”.

Shiven Moodley, chief operating officer and macro strategist at brokerage firm 80eight Group, said Trump was “somewhat important” for the crypto industry in the US over the long-term.

Moodley added that Trump’s “free market ideology, promise of lower corporate taxes and crypto-friendly regulations could have “cascading effects.”

Is Trump a Genuine Crypto Supporter or Testing a Political Strategy?

Next, we asked crypto market experts what they thought of Trump’s sudden shift to pitch himself as the “Crypto President.”

After all, not so long ago, in July 2019, Trump tweeted that he was not a “fan of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” calling them “highly volatile,” “based on thin air” and “unregulated.”

Vijay Pravin, founder of NFT data platform bitsCrunch, shared his view with Techopedia:

“Trump’s viewpoint has obviously changed since he made disparaging remarks about crypto. Since that time frame, the crypto market has evolved substantially, with the long-awaited ETF approvals spurring on greater levels of institutional interest.”

Meanwhile, Lian pointed out three key reasons as to why Trump has had this change of heart:

  • Progress on the crypto regulatory front
  • Crypto’s growing political and economic influence
  • Trump’s election strategy to differentiate himself from the Biden camp.

Lian added:

“Trump has shifted his position, likely recognizing the growing influence and voter base within the crypto community. This change of heart seems to be driven by the desire to capitalize on Biden’s regulatory approach, which has not been well-received by many crypto advocates.”

What Happens to Gary Gensler if Trump Gets Elected?

The U.S. SEC chairman Gary Gensler has been crypto’s arch-nemesis since President Biden took office in 2021.

From suing crypto exchanges and custodial wallet developers to repeatedly calling cryptocurrencies (other than Bitcoin) unregistered securities, Chair Gensler has done enough to provoke the ire of the crypto faithful.

The length of Gensler’s tenure as SEC chair will entirely depend on the U.S. Presidential election results, as the U.S. president has the power to select one of the five SEC commissioners to be the organization’s chairman.

According to Moodley, Gensler will likely be replaced as SEC chair for a “pro-blockchain technology individual” if Trump gets elected for his second term.

“That will lead to major blockchain developments coming from the US but will also shift the regulatory framework from backwards-thinking to forward-looking.”

Elsewhere, Jacob Martin, general partner of crypto venture capital firm 2Punks Capital, told Techopedia:

“A Republican win is likely a boon for crypto and American tech in general. I would assume a stock market rally to coincide.

“At the same time, a Democrat win with Biden as the nominee and a non-removal of Gary Gensler would be about the most bearish and confusing possible outcome for the next few years in crypto.”

What Will Happen to CBDCs Under Trump?

Next, we talk to industry experts about how CBDC development will take shape in the U.S. with Trump at the helm.

Trump’s anti-CBDC stance has been well-received by the crypto faithful. The former president shares community concerns related to privacy breaches and mass surveillance that many fear will arise with CBDC deployment.

In fact, Trump promised to “never allow the creation of a central bank digital currency.”

 

But will Trump as president have the power to stop CBDC developments in the US?

Lian told Techopedia that Trump’s power to end the ongoing CBDC development program is limited by the independence of the Federal Reserve.

“The Federal Reserve, which is responsible for the development and potential implementation of a CBDC, operates independently of the executive branch. This means that while Trump could influence policy and public opinion, he would not have the direct authority to unilaterally halt the CBDC program.”

Meanwhile, Pravin took a cautious stance and said that halting the CBDC development project could “undermine America’s position as a dominant hub for crypto activity.”

“CBDCs are a significant pillar of the digital economy, and a range of nations have already explored the concept of CBDCs to modernize payment systems, enhance financial inclusion and strengthen monetary control.

“Halting CBDC development might discourage innovation and investment in the US crypto space, potentially causing large firms to set up operations in more crypto-friendly jurisdictions.”

The Bottom Line

The crypto industry is doubling down on Donald Trump. After the assassination attempt in Pennsylvania, the chances of Trump winning the November 2024 U.S. Presidential election hit an all-time high of 71% on crypto-based prediction market Polymarket.

Since the attempt on his life, Trump has already confirmed that he will deliver a speech at the Bitcoin 2024 Conference event scheduled to start on July 25, 2024, where he is sure to receive a hero’s welcome.

But, whatever happens in November 2024, this election campaign has showcased crypto’s newfound political relevance. Chmel, one of our expert panel members, summed it up:

“No matter who will be in charge, the genie is out of the bottle, and industry will grow rapidly from here.”

 

Source: https://www.techopedia.com/how-important-is-donald-trump-to-the-future-of-crypto

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Why Bitcoin ETF Approval is Not Important Any More

Why Bitcoin ETF Approval is Not Important Any More

Bitcoin ETFs, or exchange-traded funds that track the price of Bitcoin, have been a long-awaited and highly anticipated product in the crypto space. For years, investors have hoped that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) would approve a Bitcoin ETF, as it would provide a convenient and regulated way to gain exposure to the leading cryptocurrency.

However, after several rejections and delays, the SEC has yet to approve a spot Bitcoin ETF, which would hold actual Bitcoin in custody. Instead, the SEC has only approved Bitcoin futures ETFs, which track the price of Bitcoin futures contracts traded on regulated exchanges. These ETFs have their own drawbacks, such as high fees, tracking errors, and rollover risks.

Moreover, the demand for Bitcoin ETFs has been declining, as investors have found other ways to access Bitcoin, such as through crypto exchanges, wallets, apps, and platforms. These alternatives offer more flexibility, security, and control over one’s Bitcoin holdings, as well as lower costs and better performance.

Declining Demand for Bitcoin ETFs

One of the main reasons why the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF is not important any more is that the demand for Bitcoin ETFs has been declining as investors have found other ways to access Bitcoin.

Based on a report, there were $1.9 billion of inflows from Bitcoin ETF last year. This represents 87% of the total inflows. This is a relatively small amount compared to the total market capitalization of Bitcoin, which was nearly $900 billion as of January 5, 2024, according to statistics from CoinMarketCap.

According to Forbes Advisors, the largest Bitcoin ETF, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO), had an AUM of around $904 million, followed by the ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF (BITI), which had an AUM of $69 million and VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF (XBTF) with $45 million. The other ETFs had less than $25 million each in AUM.

The low AUM of Bitcoin ETFs indicates that investors are not very interested in these products, as they have other options to access Bitcoin. For example, investors can buy and sell Bitcoin directly on crypto exchanges, such as Coinbase, eToro and Robinhood. These exchanges offer a variety of features, such as low fees, high liquidity, advanced trading tools, and custodial services.

Investors can also store and manage their Bitcoin in crypto wallets, such as Ledger, Trezor, and MetaMask. These wallets allow users to have full control over their private keys, which are the passwords that grant access to their Bitcoin. Users can also send and receive Bitcoin to and from anyone in the world, without intermediaries or restrictions. Investors can also access Bitcoin through crypto apps and platforms, such as Square, PayPal, and Bakkt. These apps and platforms enable users to buy, sell, and spend Bitcoin with ease and convenience, as well as integrate Bitcoin with other financial services, such as payments, lending, and rewards.

These alternatives to Bitcoin ETFs offer more flexibility, security, and control over one’s Bitcoin holdings, as well as lower costs and better performance. For instance, the expense ratio of Bitcoin ETFs ranges from 0.65% to 1.20%, which means that investors have to pay an annual fee of $6.50 to $12 for every $1,000 invested. On the other hand, the fees for buying and selling Bitcoin on crypto exchanges are much lower, typically ranging from 0% to 0.6%, depending on the volume and type of transaction.

Moreover, the performance of Bitcoin ETFs may not match the performance of Bitcoin itself, due to factors such as tracking errors, premiums and discounts, and rollover risks. Tracking errors occur when the price of the ETF deviates from the price of the underlying asset, due to market inefficiencies, liquidity issues, or technical glitches.

Premiums and discounts occur when the market price of the ETF differs from its net asset value (NAV), which is the value of its underlying assets. Rollover risks occur when the ETF has to sell its expiring futures contracts and buy new ones, which may incur losses or gains depending on the price difference.

These factors can result in Bitcoin ETFs underperforming or outperforming Bitcoin, depending on the market conditions. For example, take the reference point from January 1, 2023 to December 19, 2023.

ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) price on January 1, 2023, was $14.54. On December 19, 2023, the price was $20.87. This represents a return on investment (ROI) of approximately 43.6% for this period. The Bitcoin spot price on January 1, 2023, was $16,540.69. On December 19, 2023, the closing price was $42,270.53. This represents an ROI of approximately 155.2% for this period. This means that BITO underperformed Bitcoin by 111.6%.

Therefore, the demand for Bitcoin ETFs has been declining, as investors have found other ways to access Bitcoin, which offer more flexibility, security, and control over one’s Bitcoin holdings, as well as lower costs and better performance.

Reasons Why the SEC Has Not Approved a Bitcoin ETF

Another reason why the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF is not important any more is that the SEC has not approved Bitcoin ETF, despite the numerous applications and the growing maturity of the Bitcoin market.

The SEC has been very cautious and conservative in approving Bitcoin ETFs, as it has raised several concerns, such as market manipulation, investor protection, custody, valuation, and liquidity. The SEC has also been very slow and inconsistent in reviewing and deciding on the Bitcoin ETF applications that have been filed over the years.

One of the main concerns that the SEC has expressed is the risk of market manipulation, as Bitcoin is traded on unregulated and fragmented markets, which may be subject to fraud, hacking, or price distortion. The SEC has also questioned the reliability and accuracy of the Bitcoin price indices that are used by the Bitcoin ETFs to track the performance of Bitcoin.

Another concern that has been raised is investor protection, as Bitcoin ETFs may expose investors to high volatility, operational risks, and cybersecurity threats. The SEC has also emphasized the need for adequate disclosure and education for investors, as Bitcoin ETFs may involve complex and unfamiliar concepts and technologies.

A third concern that was cited is custody, as Bitcoin ETFs would have to hold actual Bitcoin in a secure and compliant manner, which may pose technical and legal challenges. The SEC has also stressed the importance of having qualified custodians and auditors for Bitcoin ETFs, as well as contingency plans for potential loss or theft of Bitcoin.

A fourth concern that the SEC has mentioned is the valuation, as Bitcoin ETFs would have to determine the fair value of Bitcoin on a daily basis, which may be difficult due to the lack of standardization and transparency in the Bitcoin market. The SEC has also highlighted the potential for discrepancies and conflicts between the NAV and the market price of Bitcoin ETFs, which may result in premiums or discounts.

A fifth concern that the SEC has pointed out is liquidity, as Bitcoin ETFs would have to meet the liquidity requirements and standards of the SEC, which may be challenging due to the limited availability and trading volume of Bitcoin. The SEC has also warned about the potential for market disruptions and price swings in the Bitcoin market, which may affect the liquidity and stability of Bitcoin ETFs.

These are some of the reasons in my opinion why the SEC has not approved Bitcoin ETF, despite the numerous applications and the growing maturity of the Bitcoin market.

The Delay and its Consequences

The final reason why the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF is not important any more is that the delay in the SEC’s decision has not made much difference for the Bitcoin market or the adoption of Bitcoin.

Some analysts have speculated that the delay in the SEC’s approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF is due to the change in leadership and priorities of the SEC, as well as the ongoing regulatory and legal developments in the crypto space. For example, the SEC chairman, Gary Gensler, is known for his expertise and interest in cryptocurrencies, but also for his strict and rigorous approach to regulation. The SEC has also been involved in several lawsuits and investigations against crypto companies, such as Ripple and Coinbase.

However, the delay in the SEC’s approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF has not made much difference for the Bitcoin market or the adoption of Bitcoin, as Bitcoin has continued to grow and thrive without the need for a spot Bitcoin ETF. Bitcoin has exhibited a remarkable performance in 2023, reaching new highs and attracting more investors and users. Bitcoin has also gained more recognition and acceptance from governments, central banks, and financial institutions around the world.

Moreover, the delay in the SEC’s approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF has not deterred the innovation and competition in the crypto space, as more fund providers and issuers have launched and applied for different types of Bitcoin ETFs, such as futures ETFs, inverse ETFs, leveraged ETFs, and actively managed ETFs. These ETFs offer various strategies and features to cater to different investor preferences and risk appetites. However, these ETFs also have their own limitations and challenges, as discussed earlier.

Therefore, the delay in the SEC’s approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF has not made much difference for the Bitcoin market or the adoption of Bitcoin, as Bitcoin has continued to grow and thrive without the need for a spot Bitcoin ETF. Of course, I could be wrong too.

Still Important?

In conclusion, the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF is not important any more, as it would not have a significant impact on the Bitcoin market or the adoption of Bitcoin. The demand for Bitcoin ETFs has been declining, as investors have found other ways to access Bitcoin, which offer more flexibility, security, and control over one’s Bitcoin holdings, as well as lower costs and better performance. Bitcoin is already a highly liquid and legitimate asset, with a global and decentralized network of users, miners, developers, and exchanges.

Bitcoin ETFs may still have some challenges and opportunities in the future, depending on the regulatory and market developments. However, they are not likely to be the catalyst or the driver for the growth and innovation of Bitcoin. Bitcoin ETFs are rather a reflection and a result of the evolution and maturation of Bitcoin, as it becomes more mainstream and accepted by the world.

 

Source: https://www.blockhead.co/2024/01/09/why-bitcoin-etf-approval-is-not-important-any-more/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Declaring proof of reserves is important, but it’s not enough

Declaring proof of reserves is important, but it’s not enough

Proof of reserves plays a critical role in the cryptocurrency industry by providing a vital security mechanism for investors. Given the industry’s lack of regulation and transparency, investors may have reservations about putting their money into the market. In response, many leaders in the industry are stepping up to assure users of their reserves.

“The #Binance Proof of Reserve system has now integrated with zk-SNARK, a zero-knowledge verification method. It will also be made open source. We hope this would help the entire industry benefit,” Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, the CEO of Binance, recently tweeted.

Ben Zhou, CEO of Bybit, has also reassured clients that “Bybit has always [been] committed to client fund safety and guarantees 1 to 1 reserves.”

OKX, led by founder, Mingxing “Star” Xu, recently announced their fifth proof-of-reserves report showing over US$8.9 billion in “clean assets” held in the exchange reserves, including over 100% reserves for BTC, ETH and USDT.

This past week, Texas also jumped on the “proof of reserves” bandwagon as its House of Representatives passed a bill that would require it for crypto companies operating in the U.S. state. By requiring adequate reserves, the proposed legislation seeks to prevent situations where a company is unable to meet its obligations to customers due to insufficient funds.

These words and measures may help alleviate some investor concerns that their digital assets held by a crypto exchange are safe and not being used by the exchange for other purposes, such as trading or investment. However, many crypto users still do not understand the concept of “proof of reserves” and how it works.

Here is an overview of what proof of reserves is all about, the potential gaps in how it’s being carried out, and how investors can demand more accurate and timely data for protecting their crypto holdings.

What proof of reserve does

Proof-of-reserve audits are crucial in verifying that exchanges hold the total amount of crypto assets they claim to have on behalf of their customers. This gives investors the confidence to know that their assets are securely stored and not at risk of being lost or stolen. It is especially important given the recent high-profile hacks and security breaches in the industry, which have resulted in the loss of millions of dollars worth of digital assets.

Proof of reserves provides a level of accountability for crypto exchanges. By ensuring that they are holding customers’ assets safely and securely, exchanges are incentivized to maintain high levels of transparency and openness. This can help to prevent suspicious or illegal financial activities from occurring on the exchange, which is vital for the overall credibility and legitimacy of the industry. Thus, it plays a crucial role in maintaining investor confidence and promoting the growth and success of the cryptocurrency industry.

But many people have a mixed understanding of what proof of reserve means and what it entails. There are three methods for proof-of-reserve verification, including “public wallet address,” “third-party audit,” and the most widely used “Merkle tree” proof.

  1. Proving reserves through public wallets

A public wallet is one method for proving reserves, which entails an exchange publicly sharing the addresses of its crypto wallets that contain customer funds. This approach offers a transparent and verifiable mechanism for both customers and regulators to confirm that the exchange is indeed holding the funds it claims to possess.

Through public wallets, customers of a crypto exchange can monitor the wallet addresses and ascertain that the funds contained in those wallets match the amounts they have deposited with the exchange. Such a high level of transparency can bolster trust between customers and the exchange and reassure customers that their funds are safe.

Apart from total transparency and enhancing accountability, a public wallet can also serve as an early warning mechanism for investors to detect any irregularities in a crypto exchange’s financial situation. For instance, if the balance of a wallet suddenly decreases without any explanation, it could signal potential fraudulent activity.

Just a word of caution: A public wallet may not be sufficient in revealing how the reserves are being managed or invested. Hence, it is critical to view a public wallet as just one part of a more extensive transparency and oversight framework, which includes other techniques such as live audits and continuous proof of solvency.

  1. Third-party audits

Third-party audits of proof of reserve are a method of validating an exchange’s reserves through an independent auditor. This approach aims to provide an unbiased evaluation of an exchange’s financial status and can enhance trust between customers, regulators and the exchange.

During a third-party audit, the auditor investigates the exchange’s records and verifies that the funds the exchange holds correspond to the amount owed to its customers. The auditor also confirms that the funds are held in secure and auditable accounts while scrutinizing any potential irregularities or discrepancies that may indicate fraudulent activities.

Using third-party auditors can yield several benefits, including preventing crypto exchanges from exaggerating their reserves or engaging in fraudulent activities, fostering confidence among customers and regulators, and promoting transparency and accountability within the largely unregulated cryptocurrency industry.

There are some drawbacks to relying on third-party audits for proof of reserves. Finding an impartial auditor with the required expertise and experience to carry out the audit may not always be feasible. In addition, the audit may only reflect a specific snapshot of the exchange’s financial status at a particular moment in time, potentially overlooking other fraudulent activities or ongoing mismanagement.

  1. Merkle tree

A Merkle tree is a cryptographic technique that plays a significant role in securing the blockchain. It employs a complex process that creates a series of hash values representing a block of transactions stored on the exchange. This process is done by combining the hash values of each transaction within the block, thus producing a unique hash value for the entire block.

The creation of this unique hash value is crucial as it provides an extra layer of security for the digital assets held by the exchange. Any attempt to tamper with a single transaction within the block would result in a change to the hash value of the entire block, which the system would detect. As a result, any unauthorized modification of the block can be quickly detected and prevented.

For crypto investors, verifying the hash value of their digital assets is an essential process that enables them to confirm the security of their assets. By doing so, they can be confident that their crypto assets are stored securely on the exchange and not stolen or compromised. Moreover, verifying the hash value of their assets is crucial because it helps to maintain their personal privacy regarding the total amount of assets held on the exchange.

Merkle tree provides this added privacy by only revealing the specific block of transactions that the hash value represents while not revealing any information about the total amount of assets held by the holder. This privacy protection is crucial for holders who want to verify the security of their assets while keeping the total amount of their assets private.

Importance of proving reserves

Proof of reserve plays a vital role in the cryptocurrency industry for three key reasons. Firstly, it allows customers to ensure the accuracy of their holding balances and verify that their assets are safe and secure. As the cryptocurrency market lacks regulation and transparency, It is an essential tool that empowers customers to confirm that their assets are not being used for unauthorized investment purposes, such as trading or lending.

Secondly, it incentivizes exchanges to operate in a more transparent and accountable manner. By verifying the accuracy of their reserve holdings, exchanges are held responsible for their actions, which promotes greater transparency and responsibility in the industry. This creates an environment that discourages suspicious or illegal financial activities, which is crucial for the growth and legitimacy of the market.

Thirdly, it prevents exchanges from acting like traditional banks by lending customer deposits to third parties. In the past, traditional banks have used customer deposits to make loans, putting depositors’ funds at risk. With proof of reserves, customers can verify that their assets are not being lent out, which provides peace of mind and ensures the safety and security of their assets. This important feature sets cryptocurrency exchanges apart from traditional banks and promotes trust and credibility in the industry.

Can public statements be trusted?

Publicly disclosing proof of reserves can have several benefits for cryptocurrency exchanges and crypto holders alike. By verifying the accuracy of reserve holdings, holders can feel confident that their assets are being securely stored and not being utilized for other purposes. This increased trust can attract more users to trade on the exchange, boosting its reputation and market share. Public proof of reserves can also help enhance the stability of an exchange’s operations by preventing the use of customers’ deposits for investment or other business activities. Many mainstream exchanges, including Binance, OKX, Bitget, KuCoin and Bybit, have publicly disclosed their reserves to showcase their commitment to transparency and security. By doing so, these exchanges create a more stable and sustainable operating environment.

While this is a step in the right direction toward greater transparency and accountability, such disclosures are not foolproof and may have some flaws and loopholes. For instance, exchanges can manipulate their reserves data by temporarily moving funds into a hot wallet just for the purpose of verification. Additionally, it only proves that an exchange has enough reserves at a specific point in time, and it does not guarantee that the reserves will remain the same in the future.

One potential solution to the flaws is combining proof of reserve with other transparency methods. Through the use of multiple methods, it is possible to instill greater confidence in both customers and regulators regarding an exchange’s adherence to its claims of reserve holdings. This is particularly critical as an exchange’s failure to maintain adequate reserves can have far-reaching consequences, including reputational damage and financial losses.

By leveraging additional methods, such as live audits and continuous proof of solvency, it is possible to detect fraudulent activities in real time, thereby providing a more detailed and current view of the exchange’s financial position. This proactive approach to monitoring can enable irregularities to be immediately identified and addressed, in contrast to relying on infrequent or less comprehensive audit approaches.

Necessary but not sufficient

The dynamic nature of the crypto industry suggests that proof of reserve may not be the ultimate solution but rather a building block to the development of more advanced and robust methods of verifying reserves. Despite its limitations, it is a formidable tool in the crypto industry’s quest for greater transparency and accountability. While it is true that disclosing proof of reserve is not infallible, it represents a significant stride in the right direction, as it bolsters confidence in the sector and cultivates a more mature market.

The widespread adoption of proof of reserve could significantly enhance the credibility and legitimacy of the crypto industry. This would benefit investors and open doors to innovative financial tools and services that could revolutionize the broader economy. Ultimately, as the crypto industry evolves and adapts, its limitations could be addressed and overcome, leading to greater trust and confidence in the sector.

To me, trust can be a really “cheap” word. If you are truly worried, withdraw your crypto and keep it all to yourself and only yourself.

The best way to test proof of reserve is to put on a stress test. If the exchange can withstand withdrawals of any sort in a timely manner, this is the best proof.

 

Source: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/declaring-proof-reserves-important-not-030300774.html

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j