Donald Trump Inauguration Will Bring ‘Noise’ to 2025 Crypto Market: Analysts

Donald Trump Inauguration Will Bring ‘Noise’ to 2025 Crypto Market: Analysts

Monday’s inauguration of Donald Trump isn’t likely to bring any significant price moves for major cryptocurrencies, according to industry experts who spoke to Decrypt before Friday night’s surprise drop of an official Trump meme coin.

Well-established coins such as Bitcoin, Solana, and XRP have risen considerably since the Republican’s election victory on November 5, leading some experts to suggest that the market has already priced in the inauguration.

“I do not anticipate any significant movements on Monday,” YouHodler’s chief of markets Ruslan Lienkha, told Decrypt.

“The event appears to be already priced in, and the inauguration is mainly ceremonial rather than market-moving,” he added.

Some observers also highlight the possibility of a “sell-the-news” day for major tokens, with Bitcoin having already gained strongly in the runup to Trump’s swearing in.

“With [positive] CPI data already priced in and Trump’s inauguration unlikely to introduce any immediate, game-changing policies for crypto, Monday could see a pullback as short-term traders lock in gains,” suggests Anndy Lian, an intergovernmental blockchain advisor and cryptocurrency author.

This suggestion resonates with starker warnings given by figures such as BitMex co-founder Arthur Hayes, who predicted last month that Bitcoin may suffer a “vicious sell-off” when Trump takes office.

While not as pessimistic as Hayes, Swarm co-founder Philipp Pieper tells Decrypt that the inauguration itself doesn’t provide the market with any new information.

“It’s really important to underline here that any price movement on Monday is going to be mostly noise in the bigger picture,” he explained.

But this picture could change as soon as Trump and his administration gets to work, with traders waiting to see whether the current President-elect will live up to earlier pronouncements.

“I’m more closely focused on what he (and his administration) will implement over the next few months,” eToro market analyst Simon Peters told Decrypt.

Peters notes that Trump complained at a recent press conference that interest rates are “far too high,” suggesting that the incoming President may push to lower them.

“A loosening of financial conditions under his administration could provide a tailwind for crypto-asset prices,” Peters adds.

And assuming that recent reports of crypto-related executive orders are accurate, analysts are relatively confident that the general trajectory of the market this year will be upwards.

Pieper explained: “As the regulatory environment becomes clearer and the market grasps tangible updates for the first year of the Trump administration, we’re likely to see a general uplift in prices.”

Legislative and regulatory moves are also likely to combine with tentatively improving macroeconomic indicators, such as US inflation.

“Inflation and rate sensitivity matters because it ultimately has a major say in the outlook for money supply and market liquidity,” said Pieper. “The more liquidity in the market, the more it will raise asset prices.”

Yet while the arrival of both crypto-friendly macroeconomics and presidents should point towards generally rising prices, some analysts warn that some of Donald Trump’s other economic policies could indirectly bite the cryptocurrency market.

“Other policies, such as the potential intensification of trade wars and the imposition of new tariffs, could sustain elevated inflation levels and exert downward pressure on financial markets,” warns Youhodler’s Ruslan Lienkha.

This is perhaps why it would be premature to expect major moves on Monday, since the market will need the new administration to act before it can begin differentiating perceptions from reality.

On the other hand, Monday may expose smaller cap tokens and (politically themed) meme coins to a greater degree of volatility.

“For instance, tokens like MAGA or DOGE [Department of Government Efficiency] may stage a rally, influenced by emotional trading rather than substantive factors,” Lienkha suggested.

However, Phillipp Pieper cautions that they may just as easily crash, in view of their low liquidity.

“The issue with these kinds of token is they’re largely sentiment-driven which can be extremely volatile and difficult to underpin the inherent value,” he said.

 

Source: https://decrypt.co/301635/donald-trump-inauguration-2025-crypto-market

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Market Makers in Crypto: Heroes or Villains?

Market Makers in Crypto: Heroes or Villains?

Cryptocurrency has taken the financial world by storm, offering new opportunities and challenges. Among the many facets of this digital revolution is market making, a practice that ensures cryptocurrencies remain liquid and tradable. However, recent legal actions by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have brought to light the ethical and regulatory dilemmas that accompany this essential function.

What Exactly Is Market Making?

Imagine trying to buy or sell a cryptocurrency, only to find that there are no buyers or sellers. This is where market makers come in. They act as intermediaries, always ready to buy or sell, which keeps the market moving smoothly. Quoting both buy and sell prices helps reduce the gap between what buyers are willing to pay and what sellers want to receive, known as the bid-ask spread. This is crucial in the world of cryptocurrencies, where prices can swing wildly in a matter of minutes.

In traditional finance, market making is a well-established practice, governed by clear rules and regulations. It helps maintain market stability and efficiency, which benefits everyone, from small investors to large institutions. But the world of cryptocurrency is different—less regulated, more volatile, and often shrouded in mystery. This environment can sometimes blur the lines between legitimate market making and unethical manipulation.

The SEC’s Crackdown: A Wake-Up Call

Recently, the SEC charged several companies and individuals, including ZM Quant, Gotbit, and CLS Global, with market manipulation. The allegations are serious. These entities are accused of creating a false sense of activity in the market, misleading investors about the true demand for certain crypto assets. Practices like wash trading—where the same asset is bought and sold repeatedly to inflate trading volumes—are at the heart of these charges. Such tactics are illegal in traditional markets and undermine trust in the financial system.

Wash trading gives the illusion of liquidity and demand, enticing unsuspecting investors to jump in. Another tactic, known as spoofing, involves placing large orders with no intention of executing them, misleading traders about market conditions and unfairly influencing prices. These manipulative strategies have long been outlawed in traditional markets, but the relative novelty and complexity of cryptocurrencies have made them easier to exploit.

The ethical landscape of cryptocurrency market making is complex. Transparency and honesty are crucial for maintaining trust and fairness. Market makers should clearly disclose their trading activities, strategies, and any potential conflicts of interest. This transparency allows other market participants to make informed decisions and helps regulators keep an eye out for manipulative practices.

Conflicts of interest are another significant concern. Market makers might have stakes in specific projects or hold large positions in the assets they trade. These conflicts can skew their trading decisions, potentially harming clients and the broader market. To mitigate these risks, market makers should implement strict policies to separate their market-making activities from other trading operations and disclose any potential conflicts to clients and regulators.

The Regulatory Landscape: A Work in Progress

Regulating cryptocurrency market making is a challenge, with different countries taking varied approaches. In the United States, the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) have started to regulate cryptocurrency markets, especially when digital assets are classified as securities or derivatives. These agencies have issued guidelines and taken enforcement actions to curb manipulative practices and protect investors.

Elsewhere, countries like Japan and South Korea have introduced specific licensing requirements for cryptocurrency exchanges and market makers. These regulations aim to enhance transparency, protect investors, and promote market integrity. However, the global and decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies presents significant challenges for regulators. The lack of a central authority and the pseudonymous nature of transactions make it difficult to monitor and enforce compliance effectively.

Additionally, the cross-border nature of cryptocurrency trading means that market makers may be subject to different regulations in different jurisdictions, leading to potential regulatory arbitrage.

To address these challenges, regulators and market participants must collaborate to develop a more unified and coordinated approach to cryptocurrency market regulation. This could involve creating international standards and best practices, as well as leveraging advanced technologies like blockchain analytics tools to monitor and enforce compliance.

Looking Ahead: The Future of Market Making

As the cryptocurrency industry continues to grow and mature, the role of market makers will remain crucial in ensuring liquidity and stability. However, the industry must address the ethical and regulatory challenges that have emerged. Market makers must adhere to high ethical standards, promoting transparency and fairness in their operations. Regulators, on the other hand, need to develop comprehensive frameworks that protect investors while fostering innovation.

The convergence of regulatory standards with those of traditional financial markets is likely to happen as the cryptocurrency industry matures. This will require market makers to adapt to evolving regulations and ensure that their practices align with principles of fairness, transparency, and investor protection.

In conclusion, while market making is a legitimate and necessary practice in cryptocurrency trading, it is essential to distinguish between ethical market making and manipulative practices. The recent SEC charges serve as a reminder of the potential for abuse in this space and underscore the need for robust regulatory frameworks and ethical standards. By addressing these challenges, the cryptocurrency industry can continue to thrive, offering new opportunities for investors and market participants alike.

 

 

 

Source: https://news.shib.io/2024/10/28/market-makers-in-crypto-heroes-or-villains/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Chinese Investors Face Heavy Losses in Crypto Investments Amid Market Downturn

Chinese Investors Face Heavy Losses in Crypto Investments Amid Market Downturn

A recent survey of Chinese investors revealed that crypto enthusiasts have faced a difficult year. It noted that out of 574 respondents, around 59.8% reported losses in their crypto investments this year.

Among them, only 23% managed to see a profit. Out of the remaining lot (17.2%), people indicated their investments neither gained nor lost value, showcasing the volatile nature of the market in 2024, according to the survey.

The crypto market struggles this year can be attributed to factors like tightening regulations, a global economic slowdown, and increased scrutiny from financial institutions.

Chinese investors faced an even more complex scenario due to its stringent regulation on cryptocurrency trading and mining. China’s central bank announced that all transactions related to cryptocurrencies will be illegal, including digital tokens like Bitcoin.

The People’s Bank of China identified virtual currency-related business activities to be illegal and shared that it can endanger the safety of people’s assets. However, recently, speculations have been rife that China may be reconsidering its stance on cryptocurrency.

Justin Sun, founder of blockchain-based platform TRON, shared a cryptic post earlier on X, stating, “China unbans crypto. What’s the best meme for this?”

Rumors of China unbanning cryptocurrency have persisted, with market observers like Sun noting this could impact the global crypto space massively. China used to be one of the largest markets for cryptocurrencies, and lifting the ban would mean an increase in trading volumes and a rise in prices.

Amid the speculation, industry experts like Anndy Lian have discussed the potential for China to reconsider its cryptocurrency restrictions if Donald Trump were to win the upcoming U.S. presidential election. However, Lian noted that given the strained relations between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, a complete reversal of China’s crypto policies is unlikely.

“#China to Lift Crypto Ban if #Trump Is elected? Trump and Xi are not BFFs. It will not unban. At most certain economic zones are granted special rights. For now, Hong Kong is the closest. Remember this,” he said.

His viewpoints reflect the existing complex geopolitical factors and the need for a nuanced understanding of China’s policy-making processes. As of now, investors and market analysts are closely monitoring these developments in the crypto space. The regulatory landscape remains firmly restrictive, without any indication of a policy reversal regarding cryptocurrencies.

Under current circumstances, financial institutions like the People’s Bank of China continue to enforce these regulations, while also working on its own central bank digital currency, the Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DCEP).

 

 

 

 

Source: https://news.shib.io/2024/08/29/chinese-investors-face-heavy-losses-in-crypto-investments-amid-market-downturn/

 

 

 

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j