US Elections 2024 and Crypto: How Will Trump or Harris Shape Regulations?

US Elections 2024 and Crypto: How Will Trump or Harris Shape Regulations?
  • Donald Trump wants to become the first “Bitcoin President,” while Kamala Harris promised crypto innovation.
  • A Trump victory could lead to a continuation of the deregulatory approach, but a Harris administration would likely prioritise consumer protection and financial stability.

As the United States gears up for another significant presidential election, the intersection of politics and cryptocurrency has emerged as a critical area of focus. The candidates, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, offer contrasting visions for the future of digital currencies and blockchain technology. This divergence is not only shaping the political landscape but also influencing financial markets, particularly the rapidly growing cryptocurrency sector.

The Crypto Landscape Amidst Political Uncertainty

Cryptocurrency, once a niche interest, has evolved into a major financial force. Its decentralized nature and potential for high returns have attracted a wide range of investors, from tech-savvy millennials to institutional giants. However, the regulatory environment remains uncertain, with policymakers grappling with how to integrate these digital assets into the existing financial system.

In this context, the upcoming U.S. presidential election could be a turning point. The candidates’ differing approaches to cryptocurrency regulation and adoption could have profound implications for the industry. As such, the election is not just a political contest but a referendum on the future of digital finance.

Wall Street’s Bet on Trump

Wall Street’s apparent preference for a Trump victory is rooted in his administration’s historical approach to regulation and taxation. Trump’s presidency was marked by a deregulatory agenda, which many investors believe could benefit the cryptocurrency industry. Lower taxes and fewer regulations could create a more favorable environment for crypto businesses, potentially spurring innovation and growth.

This sentiment is reflected in the behavior of prediction markets, where Trump’s odds of winning have surged. Platforms like Polymarket and PredictIt have seen significant bets placed on a Trump victory, with some investors wagering millions of dollars. These markets, which allow users to bet on the outcome of events using cryptocurrency, have become a barometer of investor sentiment.

The enthusiasm for Trump among crypto investors is not surprising. During his previous term, Trump expressed skepticism about cryptocurrencies but refrained from implementing harsh regulations. His administration’s focus on economic growth and deregulation aligns with the interests of many in the crypto community, who view excessive regulation as a barrier to innovation.

Harris and the Promise of Innovation

In contrast, Vice President Kamala Harris represents a more cautious approach to cryptocurrency. While she has not been as vocal about her stance on digital currencies, her campaign has emphasized the importance of innovation and technology. Harris has promised to encourage the development of emerging technologies, including artificial intelligence and digital assets while ensuring consumer protection and financial stability.

Harris’s approach reflects a broader Democratic strategy of balancing innovation with regulation. Her administration would likely prioritize consumer protection and financial stability, potentially leading to stricter regulations on cryptocurrencies. This could include measures to prevent fraud, protect investors, and ensure the stability of the financial system.

Despite these potential challenges, Harris’s focus on innovation could also benefit the crypto industry. By fostering a supportive environment for technological development, her administration could encourage the growth of blockchain technology and digital assets. This could lead to new opportunities for entrepreneurs and investors, even if it means navigating a more complex regulatory landscape.

The Role of Prediction Markets

The divergence between traditional polls and prediction markets highlights the unique dynamics of this election. While many polls show a close race between Trump and Harris, prediction markets have consistently favored Trump. This discrepancy can be attributed to several factors, including the influence of large investors, or “whales,” who have placed substantial bets on a Trump victory.

These markets, which operate on blockchain technology, offer a decentralized platform for betting on the outcome of events. They have gained popularity in recent years, particularly among crypto enthusiasts who appreciate their transparency and accessibility. However, their predictions should be interpreted with caution, as they reflect the views of a specific subset of investors rather than the broader electorate.

The influence of prediction markets on media coverage is also noteworthy. As these platforms have gained prominence, their odds have been cited as evidence of Trump’s growing lead. This has contributed to a narrative that may not fully align with traditional polling data, underscoring the complex relationship between media, markets, and public perception.

The Future of Cryptocurrency Regulation

The outcome of the election will have significant implications for the future of cryptocurrency regulation in the United States. A Trump victory could lead to a continuation of the deregulatory approach that characterized his previous administration. This could create a more favorable environment for crypto businesses, potentially attracting investment and fostering innovation.

On the other hand, a Harris administration would likely prioritize consumer protection and financial stability, potentially leading to stricter regulations. While this could pose challenges for the industry, it could also provide a more stable and secure environment for investors, ultimately benefiting the market’s long-term growth.

Regardless of the outcome, the election will serve as a critical juncture for the cryptocurrency industry. As digital currencies continue to gain traction, policymakers will need to strike a balance between fostering innovation and ensuring the stability and security of the financial system. This will require collaboration between regulators, industry leaders, and other stakeholders to develop a regulatory framework that supports the growth of digital finance while protecting consumers and maintaining financial stability.

Conclusion: A Pivotal Moment for Crypto

The U.S. presidential election is a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency industry. The candidates’ differing approaches to regulation and innovation will shape the future of digital finance, influencing everything from market dynamics to investor sentiment. As such, the election is not just a political contest but a referendum on the future of cryptocurrency.

For investors and industry leaders, the stakes are high. A Trump victory could lead to a continuation of the deregulatory approach that has benefited the industry, while a Harris administration could introduce new challenges and opportunities. Regardless of the outcome, the election will serve as a critical juncture for the cryptocurrency industry, shaping its trajectory for years to come.

As the election approaches, the crypto community will be watching closely, eager to see how the outcome will impact the future of digital finance. Whether through deregulation or innovation, the next administration will play a crucial role in shaping the future of cryptocurrency, influencing everything from market dynamics to investor sentiment. In this context, the election is not just a political contest but a referendum on the future of digital finance.

 

Source: https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/us-elections-2024-how-will-trump-or-harris-administration-shape-crypto-regulations/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Investors Beware, South Korea is Tightening Crypto Regulations

Investors Beware, South Korea is Tightening Crypto Regulations

In a landmark move to safeguard its burgeoning cryptocurrency market, South Korea has rolled out stringent new regulations, including round-the-clock real-time monitoring of digital asset transactions. Spearheaded by the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS), this initiative aims to ensure that virtual asset exchanges can smoothly fulfill their legal obligations. The FSS has teamed up with exchanges to draft the ‘Abnormal Transaction Monitoring Guidelines’ and support the establishment and operation of a regular surveillance system for abnormal transactions.

Simultaneously, a consortium of 20 South Korean cryptocurrency exchanges under the Digital Asset Exchange Alliance (DAXA) has embarked on a six-month review of 1,333 digital assets to address concerns about potential mass delistings under these new regulations. This review process is mandated by South Korea’s new investor protection laws, set to take effect on July 19.

The primary motivation behind these regulations is to protect investors and maintain market stability. While the cryptocurrency market offers significant opportunities, it is also fraught with risks, including fraud, market manipulation, and substantial financial losses. By implementing real-time monitoring and stringent review processes, South Korea aims to mitigate these risks and create a safer environment for investors.

The FSS’s guidelines for abnormal transaction monitoring are designed to detect and prevent suspicious activities, such as money laundering and fraud. This proactive approach is crucial in a market where transaction anonymity and decentralization can often obscure illicit activities. By working closely with exchanges, the FSS ensures that these entities have the necessary tools and protocols to promptly identify and address abnormal transactions.

These regulations represent both a challenge and an opportunity for cryptocurrency exchanges. The requirement for 24-hour real-time monitoring and the comprehensive review of digital assets necessitate significant investments in technology and compliance infrastructure. Exchanges must develop and implement sophisticated monitoring systems capable of analyzing vast amounts of transaction data in real-time. This can be a daunting task, particularly for smaller exchanges with limited resources.

On the other hand, these regulations offer an opportunity for exchanges to enhance their credibility and attract more investors. By demonstrating a commitment to security and compliance, exchanges can differentiate themselves in a crowded market and build trust with their users. Moreover, the collaboration between the FSS and exchanges in developing the monitoring guidelines suggests a cooperative approach that could facilitate smoother implementation and compliance.

The introduction of these regulations in South Korea is part of a broader global trend towards increased regulation of the cryptocurrency market. Governments and regulatory bodies worldwide are grappling with the challenges posed by digital assets, seeking to balance the need for innovation with the imperative of protecting investors and maintaining financial stability.

In this context, South Korea’s approach is noteworthy for its comprehensiveness and rigor. The combination of real-time monitoring, abnormal transaction guidelines, and a thorough review of digital assets represents a multi-faceted strategy to address the various risks associated with cryptocurrencies. This could serve as a model for other countries looking to regulate their own cryptocurrency markets.

While the intentions behind these regulations are commendable, there are potential downsides that must be considered. One concern is the risk of overregulation, which could stifle innovation and drive cryptocurrency businesses out of South Korea. The cryptocurrency market thrives on innovation, and excessive regulatory burdens could deter new entrants and stifle the development of new technologies and services.

According to Crystal Intelligence, the landscape of cryptocurrency regulation has shifted globally, with a majority of nations establishing guidelines influenced primarily by anti-money laundering (AML) directives. This regulatory evolution has precipitated a notable rise in operational costs for crypto exchanges. Consequently, such financial pressures have compelled various exchanges to either cease their activities or relocate to jurisdictions with more favorable regulatory climates. This trend is evident in the United States.

Moreover, the requirement for real-time monitoring and comprehensive asset reviews could impose significant costs on exchanges, particularly smaller ones. These costs could be passed on to users in the form of higher fees, potentially making cryptocurrency trading less accessible and attractive in South Korea. However, the benefits in terms of reduced fraud and increased market integrity can be substantial.

The success of South Korea’s new regulations will depend on several factors. First, the effectiveness of the real-time monitoring systems and abnormal transaction guidelines will be crucial. These systems must be capable of accurately detecting and addressing suspicious activities without generating excessive false positives, which could overwhelm exchanges and regulators.

Second, the collaboration between the FSS and exchanges will be key. By working together, regulators and exchanges can ensure that the regulations are implemented smoothly and effectively. This collaborative approach could also help to address any issues or challenges that arise during the implementation process.

Finally, the impact of these regulations on the broader cryptocurrency market will be important to monitor. If the regulations succeed in reducing fraud and increasing market integrity without stifling innovation, they could serve as a model for other countries. However, if the regulations prove to be overly burdensome and drive businesses out of South Korea, this could have negative implications for the country’s position as a hub for cryptocurrency innovation.

South Korea’s regulations are a bold experiment, one with the potential to reshape the global cryptocurrency landscape. If successful, it could usher in a new era of responsible crypto adoption, with robust safeguards for investors and a framework for sustainable growth. However, a misstep could lead to unintended consequences, stifling innovation and fragmenting the market.

The world is watching with bated breath. Will South Korea strike the delicate balance between stability and progress? The answer will determine not just the fate of its own cryptocurrency industry, but also the course of global regulation. This is a test case with far-reaching implications, and its outcome could set the stage for a future where cryptocurrencies become a mainstream financial tool or remain a niche asset class.

The key lies in international cooperation. If regulatory bodies around the world can learn from South Korea’s experience, fostering collaboration between regulators and industry leaders, a global framework for responsible crypto adoption can emerge. This framework would need to be adaptable enough to accommodate innovation while ensuring the safety and security of investors. Only through such collective effort can the potential of cryptocurrencies be fully realized, fostering financial inclusion and a more dynamic global economy. The future of cryptocurrency hinges not just on the success of South Korea’s regulations, but on a global commitment to responsible innovation.

 

Source: https://intpolicydigest.org/investors-beware-south-korea-is-tightening-crypto-regulations/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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USDC Becomes Compliant as MiCA Regulations Change Crypto: Expert Analysis

USDC Becomes Compliant as MiCA Regulations Change Crypto: Expert Analysis

On July 1, 2024, stablecoin issuer Circle announced that its France-based unit received an Electronic Money Institution (EMI) license, which will allow the company to issue USDC and EURC stablecoins in a compliant manner across the European Union (EU) region.

Circle is the first stablecoin issuer in the world to comply with the EU’s landmark crypto regulatory framework, the Markets in Crypto-Assets Act (MiCA).

But what does this mean for the stablecoin industry? Let’s find out below.

Key Takeaways

  • The first phase of MiCA regulations was passed in June 2023 in the EU.
  • On June 30, 2024, MiCA rules to regulate stablecoins went into effect.
  • Circle’s USDC and EURC mint and redeem platform called Circle Mint is officially available to business customers across Europe.
  • Experts say regulations will create a “comply or vanish” scenario for crypto issuers in Europe.
  • Anndy Lian says “decentralization might not be a casualty” of the incoming crypto regulatory wave.

What is the Markets in Crypto-Assets Act (MiCA)?

The MiCA is widely regarded as the world’s most comprehensive law that covers how cryptocurrencies are regulated. The first phase of MiCA regulations was passed in June 2023 in the EU.

On June 30, 2024, MiCA rules to regulate stablecoins went into effect.

Issuers are now required to hold MiCA licenses to publicly offer and trade cryptocurrencies and stablecoins within the EU region.

Under the MiCA rules, issuers are required to stop the issuance of non-euro stablecoins if they exceed a limit of over 1 million stablecoin transactions or if the value of stablecoin transactions exceeds 200 million euros.

Other MiCA compliances require issuers to have an office in an EU country, implement anti-money laundering rules, and disclose risks about issued cryptos, a portion of reserve funds held as bank deposits, among others.

The final phase of MiCA regulations will be implemented by the end of 2024.

Crypto research firm Chainalysis said: “Previously, frameworks focused solely on anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing. MiCA aims to unify the currently fragmented regulatory landscape by establishing harmonized rules, providing legal certainty, protecting consumers and investors, and supporting the integrity and stability of the European financial system while fostering innovation.”

USDC Stablecoins for Financial Institutions

Now that Circle is compliant with MiCA’s regulatory obligation for stablecoins, it has opened up a new market for its USDC stablecoin.

Circle’s USDC and EURC mint and redeem platform called Circle Mint is officially available to business customers across Europe.

Institutions will now be able to leverage near-instant settlement, low transaction costs and 24/7 availability of Circle’s stablecoins. Businesses will also be able to provide stablecoin access to their customers through their app or website.

 

Incoming Crypto Regulations Means ‘Comply or Vanish’

The landmark stablecoin regulation introduced in Europe points to a future where only compliant stablecoins are considered legal and, therefore, easily accessible to the public through centralized crypto exchanges (CEX).

“Stablecoin offerings, both local and global, will either comply or ultimately vanish from the EU market in the short to mid-term, as evidenced by recent announcements from exchanges like Binance, Bitstamp, Kraken, OKX and others that are either delisting or phasing out non-compliant tokens,” said Circle’s Dante Disprate and Patrick Hansen in a blog post for The Bretton Woods Committee.

The duo added that the stablecoin industry in the EU will consolidate around regulated tokens. They said that the EU crypto market is expected to undergo “a massive transformation” as clear regulations and strong protections increase the EU’s competitiveness to host the next evolution of the crypto industry.

Expert views: Future of Stablecoins and Decentralized Finance

In conversation with Techopedia, Anndy Lian, an intergovernmental blockchain expert, said compliant stablecoins are poised to be a “tipping point” that has the potential to supercharge stablecoin adoption globally.

Lian said:

“Regulations build trust, especially for remittance and dollar exposure, attracting new users. Integration with traditional finance unlocks wider applications for payments and financial products … Challenges remain, but compliant stablecoins have the potential to supercharge global adoption.”

When asked about the future of decentralized finance (DeFi) in the face of inevitable crypto regulations, Lian added that “decentralization might not be a casualty” of the regulations that are currently reshaping the crypto landscape.

“The dream of a decentralized future for cryptocurrencies doesn’t have to be squashed by upcoming regulations. Instead, crypto can adapt and even thrive alongside these new rules.

 

“Regulations might not extinguish the desire for decentralization, but rather create a parallel, regulated crypto space that coexists with the existing one.”

The Bottom Line

The crypto industry is evolving with incoming regulations for the better or worse depending on how you look at it. The MiCA regulations are only the start as more regions including the US are yet to implement crypto rules in their jurisdiction.

One thing is for certain. The MiCA rules will deeply influence how regulations are framed in other nations.

 

 

Source: https://www.techopedia.com/usdc-becomes-compliant-as-mica-regulations-change-crypto-expert-analysis

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j