Pokemon cards gained 22.8% while Bitcoin lost 20.7% and that gap should worry every investor

Pokemon cards gained 22.8% while Bitcoin lost 20.7% and that gap should worry every investor

Cryptocurrency ecosystems currently present a fascinating study in shifting momentum and changing investor psychology. At the time of writing this analysis, the flagship digital token trades at US$63,480.75. Over the last 24 hours, the financial environment experienced microscopic upward movement.

The primary cryptocurrency advanced 0.01 per cent to reach US$63,730. Concurrently, daily transaction volume increased by 1.27 per cent to reach US$22,340,000,000. These marginal shifts mask deeper structural fatigue gripping the broader speculative landscape. Buying momentum weakened significantly throughout August.

I closely monitor the 200-week simple moving average. This specific metric serves as a critical indicator of cyclical bottoms for long-term holders. The benchmark frequently marks accumulation zones during extended bear phases. Prices holding above this threshold typically signal bullish sentiment across the board. A decisive break below this line unleashes severe downward pressure.

The current technical setup places this vital support level under immense strain. Historically, the metric provided strong buying pressure around July. That strength helped prices stage a modest rebound during the summer months. I made a specific forecast six weeks ago that perfectly captured this dynamic. They predicted the benchmark would only provide short-term support in July and trigger a minor bounce.

Those experts cautioned about the distinct risk of a medium-term breakdown. Their warning proved entirely accurate. The digital coin found support last month. August brought no clear buying catalyst to sustain the previous momentum. The effectiveness of that foundational support markedly waned as weeks progressed.

The indicator reflects the average cost basis of long-term investors. A breakout below this line often triggers cascading selling pressure. A robust rebound off this line could signal an opportune entry point for brave buyers. Beyond technical charts, fundamental developments create additional headwinds for enthusiastic participants.

Deep governance divisions recently emerged over a specific protocol upgrade, BIP 110. This proposal highlights severe centralisation concerns and exposes the immense challenges of effective consensus building within the decentralised community. Participants argue endlessly over the future direction of the network. This infighting distracts from core value propositions and alienates newer users.

Security vulnerabilities also plague the ecosystem and shake consumer confidence. A major exploit of the Coldcard hardware wallet occurred too. This unfortunate event prompted a massive transfer of funds as users scrambled to protect their wealth. Owners moved billions of dollars’ worth of the digital asset into alternative, secure storage solutions. Such massive reactive movements demonstrate deep underlying anxiety. People fear losing their hard-earned money to sophisticated hackers.

When foundational governance fractures and top-tier security hardware fails, average individuals naturally retreat to safer pastimes. While retail participants retreat, major financial institutions continue to expand their footprint in the digital space. Goldman Sachs recently acquired the NEOS Bitcoin High Income exchange-traded fund. This strategic move allows the banking giant to expand into crypto-linked products utilising a covered call strategy.

Traditional finance clearly sees long-term value despite current retail apathy. Regulatory bodies also push forward with unprecedented approvals. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency issued a groundbreaking decision. United States digital asset firms can now apply to become fully chartered national banks. This regulatory milestone legitimises the industry and bridges the gap between traditional finance and decentralised networks.

These institutional manoeuvres create a fascinating dichotomy. Giant banks build complex financial products and secure federal charters while everyday investors lose interest and walk away. The smart money builds infrastructure for the next decade. The retail money takes profits and buys physical entertainment.

This divergence perfectly encapsulates the current maturation phase of the broader digital industry. Wall Street prepares for mass adoption while Main Street takes a break from extreme volatility. My personal preference for physical collectibles aligns perfectly with recent market data.

Physical trading cards have outperformed both the broader stock market and digital coins over the past three months. Rand Group compiled the specific figures behind this remarkable comparison. The financial firm tracks a specialised card index. This index monitors the aggregate value of graded physical collectibles. The metric functions like a traditional stock index but is built on physical items rather than corporate equities.

The three-month numbers reveal a massive performance gap across different asset classes. Physical trading cards climbed 22.8 per cent during this period. The broader stock market advanced by a respectable 4.7 per cent. The flagship digital token declined sharply by 20.7 per cent. This stark divergence highlights how physical collectibles behave as an independent asset class.

These tangible items remain largely disconnected from traditional financial markets and digital currency fluctuations. People buy these cards for nostalgia and the satisfaction of physical ownership. They do not worry about moving averages or hardware wallet exploits.

The tangible nature of cardboard provides a psychological comfort that purely digital assets simply cannot match during times of extreme market stress. The contrast between digital exhaustion and enthusiasm for physical collectibles offers a profound lesson for modern investors. Markets cycle through periods of extreme greed and deep apathy. The flagship cryptocurrency currently sits in a valley of apathy.

The 200-week moving average struggles to hold the line. Governance disputes and security exploits fuel the current pessimism. Institutional giants quietly accumulate and build infrastructure while everyday traders log off and seek simpler joys. I embrace this simpler approach completely. Watching Netflix on the couch provides far better mental health returns than stressing over microscopic percentage changes in transaction volume.

Buying a pack of trading cards offers a tangible thrill that a digital exchange simply cannot replicate. The numbers clearly validate this temporary retreat. Cardboard gained over 22.8 per cent while the premier digital currency lost nearly 20.7 per cent.

Smart investors recognise when to step away from the charts. They preserve their capital and their sanity until the environment provides a clearer signal. The next major catalyst might take months to materialise. Until that robust rebound arrives to signal a true entry point, I will happily enjoy my television shows and growing cardboard collection. God bless the broader ecosystem and its endless capacity to surprise us all.

 

Source: https://e27.co/pokemon-cards-gained-22-8-while-bitcoin-lost-20-7-and-that-gap-should-worry-every-investor-20260814/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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What Bitcoin’s US$70,000 support zone means for traders after this week’s volatility

What Bitcoin’s US$70,000 support zone means for traders after this week’s volatility

The cryptocurrency market just witnessed a powerful reminder of how leverage and sentiment can collide to create violent price moves. A sharp Bitcoin-led rally forced over-leveraged short sellers to cover, triggering around US$471 million in crypto derivatives liquidations across major exchanges within 24 hours. About US$471 million of futures positions were wiped out, with roughly US$348 million from shorts and US$123 million from longs as BTC pushed toward US$74,000.

This was not random noise. It was a classic short squeeze, fuelled by crowded bearish positioning, negative funding, rising open interest, and strong ETF inflows into BTC and ETH. I have seen this pattern repeat across cycles, and each iteration teaches the same lesson. When leverage builds on one side of the market, the reversal does not just correct the price; it resets positioning with force.

The scale of the flush matters because it reveals where the real risk lives. Data from derivatives trackers shows roughly US$471 million in crypto futures liquidations over 24 hours, with shorts taking the majority of the hit at about US$348 million versus US$123 million in longs, as Bitcoin and Ethereum ripped higher toward key resistance near US$74,000. This pattern matches reporting that a BTC surge to the mid-70,000s erased over US$500 million in leveraged positions, with the largest daily wipeout of shorts since late February in some samples.

The pain concentrated in major coins such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other large caps, where leverage runs deepest. That tells us the move was big enough to reset a lot of leveraged positioning, not just a minor intraday shakeout. When the largest shorts get squeezed in the most liquid names, the signal travels fast through the entire derivatives complex.

Behind the numbers sat a textbook setup. After recent macro and geopolitical volatility, many traders rebuilt short exposure, with funding rates turning negative and open interest climbing as BTC dipped into the mid-60,000s. When spot prices reversed higher amid renewed ETF inflows and easing macro fears, exchanges’ risk engines began liquidating underwater shorts into a rising market, forcing additional buy orders and accelerating the upside.

Similar dynamics played out on ETH, where more than US$100 million in shorts were liquidated in a day, compared with a much smaller amount of long liquidations. Bears leaning too hard into downside with high leverage can turn into forced buyers, amplifying rallies beyond what spot demand alone would justify. I view this as a structural feature of modern crypto markets, not a bug. Derivatives and ETF flows now act as powerful amplifiers, and anyone trading without watching funding rates and open interest is flying blind.

This squeeze did not happen in isolation. Global markets on 6 March 2026 were dominated by risk-off sentiment as the conflict among the US, Israel, and Iran drove a broad retreat in risk assets. While US stock futures showed some stability early in the day, Asian and European equities fell sharply, heading toward their steepest weekly losses in years. US major indices closed lower on Thursday due to soaring oil prices and geopolitical fears. The Dow Jones dropped 784.67 points to close at 47,954.74. The S&P 500 declined 0.56 per cent to 6,830.71. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.26 per cent to 22,748.99.

Overseas, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.1 per cent on Friday, marking its worst week in six years. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.66 per cent to 54,915 points. In Europe, major indices such as the FTSE 100, DAX, and CAC 40 declined by 1.5 per cent to 1.6 per cent amid ongoing energy disruption fears. Oil prices anchored the move, with WTI crude surging above US$80 per barrel following reports of an Iranian strike on an oil tanker and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Rising energy and labour costs fuelled fears that the Federal Reserve would maintain high interest rates to combat sticky inflation.

The US Dollar gained as a safe-haven, heading for its best week since 2024. Gold prices remained volatile, briefly hitting US$5,400 earlier in the week before settling near US$5,100 by Thursday. Investors awaited the US Non-Farm Payrolls and Retail Sales reports for February to gauge the health of the labour market. In that backdrop, Bitcoin’s initial surge toward US$74,000 stood out as a sharp counter-trend move before macro gravity reasserted itself.

Post-event, derivatives metrics suggest that some excess leverage on the short side has been cleared, with funding rates normalising and open interest stabilising slightly lower. Order book data still shows dense liquidity zones both above and below the current price, and prior episodes suggest that traders are quick to re-leverage once volatility cools.

For risk monitoring, the key signals are funding rates, especially if they flip extreme again, sharp jumps in open interest, and any renewed surge in ETF flows that could interact with crowded futures positioning. The immediate squeeze may be over, but this remains a high-leverage environment where sudden price moves and positioning shifts can still trigger large, fast liquidation cascades. I watch these signals closely because they often telegraph the next inflection before price confirms it.

Bitcoin now trades down 1.72 per cent to US$71,244.79 over the past 24 hours, underperforming a slightly weaker broader market, primarily driven by a risk-off shift amid escalating Middle East tensions. It shows a strong correlation of 0.86 with Gold, indicating a shared macro-driven move. The primary reason remains geopolitical risk from the US-Iran conflict, which spiked oil prices and triggered a flight from risk assets.

A secondary factor was technical rejection at the key US$74,000 resistance level, where selling pressure overwhelmed buyers. Near-term, if BTC holds above the US$70,000 to US$71,000 whale bid zone, it could retest US$74,000. A break below risks a move toward US$67,500. I see this range as the battlefield where macro narrative and derivatives positioning will duel for control.

What should readers take from this sequence?

  • First, the reported US$471 million liquidation wave resulted from an aggressive short buildup caught offside by a strong Bitcoin-led rebound, not from a structural failure in the market. It has cleared some speculative froth, and derivatives activity and ETF flows remain powerful amplifiers, so future positioning extremes could again translate into abrupt squeezes rather than smooth trend moves.
  • Second, in a world where oil can jump above US$80 on geopolitical headlines, and equities can post their worst week in years, crypto will continue to mirror macro risk while retaining its own leverage-driven volatility.
  • Third, independent analysis matters more than ever. Crowded narratives can flip fast when funding rates turn, open interest spikes, or ETF flows accelerate. I prefer to track the plumbing, not just the price.

With all that said, I expect volatility to remain elevated as markets digest geopolitical shocks, inflation data, and the ongoing tug-of-war between risk-on and risk-off flows. Bitcoin’s correlation with Gold at 0.86 reminds us that macro drivers can dominate in the short term, even for an asset built on decentralisation. The derivatives layer adds a crypto-native amplifier that can exaggerate moves in either direction. If funding rates flip extreme again or open interest jumps while price consolidates, prepare for another squeeze. 

 

Source: https://e27.co/what-bitcoins-us70000-support-zone-means-for-traders-after-this-weeks-volatility-20260306/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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S&P 500 correlation hits 60 per cent while Bitcoin tests critical support

S&P 500 correlation hits 60 per cent while Bitcoin tests critical support

The crypto market declined 0.65 per cent over the past 24 hours, bringing its total valuation to US$2.22 trillion. Bitcoin led the downturn as institutional sellers aggressively exited positions. Data shows a strong 60 per cent correlation with the S&P 500, indicating a shared macro-driven move across asset classes. Investors observe this connection to understand how traditional finance influences digital assets. Bitcoin’s dominance currently sits at 57.88 per cent, highlighting its role as the market leader.

The core driver remains continued institutional distribution as large holders reduce exposure. This shift means capital leaves the ecosystem at a significant rate. The primary reason for this drop involves sustained institutional outflows from the United States of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. SEC filings revealed net selling of these shares, equivalent to roughly 25,000 BTC, in the fourth quarter of 2025. This unwinding of institutional positions creates persistent sell pressure that weighs heavily on prices. Capital exits the regulated gateway for institutional crypto exposure, undermining a key pillar of recent market support. Traders watch daily ETF flow data closely because a consecutive string of net inflows would stabilise Bitcoin and the broader market.

The secondary reasons for the decline include spillover from a risk-off move in tech equities and persistently negative market sentiment. Readings reflect extreme fear in the market with the Fear and Greed Index at 11. This low number suggests investors feel panic rather than opportunity. Crypto moves with traditional risk assets and does not decouple during these periods. A sell-off in tech stocks contributed to the risk-off environment, and uncertainty around AI advancements, such as the Anthropic Claude launch, fuelled this sentiment. This sentiment compounds the extreme fear in crypto and amplifies the downturn.

Negative macro sentiment and equity weakness work together to push values lower. Investors should watch for stabilisation in major tech indices such as QQQ and SPY as a precursor to relief in crypto. Sentiment shifted from AI disruption fears to AI opportunity after the AMD Meta deal. Battered software stocks also stabilised as investors reconsidered the immediate threat of AI replacing existing enterprise systems. This stabilisation in tech could help crypto if the correlation holds true.

The near-term market outlook depends on Bitcoin defending the US$2.17 trillion total market cap, which marks the yearly low. The Relative Strength Index at 36.96 suggests the market is approaching oversold territory but has not yet reached it. A break below US$2.17 trillion could trigger another leg down toward the 200-day moving average near US$3.07 trillion, according to the provided technical analysis. Conversely, a hold above support combined with a return of positive ETF flows could set the stage for a technical bounce.

The key trigger to watch involves the release of daily United States Bitcoin ETF flow data. A reversal hinges on sustained positive ETF net flows. Without this change, the bearish pressure will likely continue. The downturn fuels itself through institutional capital rotation out of Bitcoin ETFs, and correlated weakness in tech stocks exacerbates the pressure. Technical indicators show the market becomes oversold, but a definitive bottom requires a shift in institutional behaviour.

Broader economic factors also play a critical role in shaping this landscape. Policy uncertainty emerged as a new 10 per cent global United States tariff came into effect on 24 February. Markets appeared to have largely priced in the impact following recent Supreme Court rulings. Consumer confidence supports the S&P 500 after the Consumer Confidence Index rose to 91.2 in February. This number beat economist predictions of 87.4 and provides some stability to equities.

Energy and geopolitics influence the picture as crude oil prices eased by approximately one per cent. Iran indicated readiness to negotiate ahead of nuclear talks scheduled for Thursday. Brent futures settled at US$70.77 per barrel, which helps reduce inflationary fears slightly. Commodities and Treasury yields show mixed signals that affect risk appetite. Gold prices pulled back slightly on 24 February to approximately US$5,150 per ounce as profit-taking occurred after Monday’s record-setting rally. Indian-based prices for 24K gold reached a new high of ₹1.62 lakh per 10 grams on 25 February, driven by continued safe-haven demand. This divergence shows that investors are seeking safety in physical assets as trading volumes adjust in Western markets.

Treasuries indicate steady yield expectations, as the benchmark 10-year United States Treasury yield held near 4.04 per cent. The two-year yield ticked up slightly to 3.459 per cent, which signals short-term rate expectations remain firm. Currency markets show the United States Dollar firmed while the Japanese Yen weakened. The USD/JPY pair pulled above 155.25, reflecting strength in the greenback against major peers.

A strong dollar often pressures risk assets like crypto because it reduces the appeal of non-yielding investments. Sentiment shifted from AI disruption fears to AI opportunity after the AMD Meta deal. Battered software stocks also stabilised as investors reconsidered the immediate threat of AI replacing existing enterprise systems. This stabilisation in tech could benefit crypto if the correlation holds. The business landscape evolves rapidly, and these shifts matter for digital asset valuations. Investors must weigh the tariff impacts against the gains in consumer confidence. The interplay between oil prices and gold demand shows a complex global picture.

Market outlook remains bearish under current conditions. Only a sustained shift in the above-mentioned areas will reverse the current trend. The market waits for clarity on institutional intent and macro stability. Until then, the pressure remains on the downside.

 

Source: https://e27.co/sp-500-correlation-hits-60-per-cent-while-bitcoin-tests-critical-support-20260225/

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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