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US Elections 2024 and Crypto: How Will Trump or Harris Shape Regulations?

US Elections 2024 and Crypto: How Will Trump or Harris Shape Regulations?
  • Donald Trump wants to become the first “Bitcoin President,” while Kamala Harris promised crypto innovation.
  • A Trump victory could lead to a continuation of the deregulatory approach, but a Harris administration would likely prioritise consumer protection and financial stability.

As the United States gears up for another significant presidential election, the intersection of politics and cryptocurrency has emerged as a critical area of focus. The candidates, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, offer contrasting visions for the future of digital currencies and blockchain technology. This divergence is not only shaping the political landscape but also influencing financial markets, particularly the rapidly growing cryptocurrency sector.

The Crypto Landscape Amidst Political Uncertainty

Cryptocurrency, once a niche interest, has evolved into a major financial force. Its decentralized nature and potential for high returns have attracted a wide range of investors, from tech-savvy millennials to institutional giants. However, the regulatory environment remains uncertain, with policymakers grappling with how to integrate these digital assets into the existing financial system.

In this context, the upcoming U.S. presidential election could be a turning point. The candidates’ differing approaches to cryptocurrency regulation and adoption could have profound implications for the industry. As such, the election is not just a political contest but a referendum on the future of digital finance.

Wall Street’s Bet on Trump

Wall Street’s apparent preference for a Trump victory is rooted in his administration’s historical approach to regulation and taxation. Trump’s presidency was marked by a deregulatory agenda, which many investors believe could benefit the cryptocurrency industry. Lower taxes and fewer regulations could create a more favorable environment for crypto businesses, potentially spurring innovation and growth.

This sentiment is reflected in the behavior of prediction markets, where Trump’s odds of winning have surged. Platforms like Polymarket and PredictIt have seen significant bets placed on a Trump victory, with some investors wagering millions of dollars. These markets, which allow users to bet on the outcome of events using cryptocurrency, have become a barometer of investor sentiment.

The enthusiasm for Trump among crypto investors is not surprising. During his previous term, Trump expressed skepticism about cryptocurrencies but refrained from implementing harsh regulations. His administration’s focus on economic growth and deregulation aligns with the interests of many in the crypto community, who view excessive regulation as a barrier to innovation.

Harris and the Promise of Innovation

In contrast, Vice President Kamala Harris represents a more cautious approach to cryptocurrency. While she has not been as vocal about her stance on digital currencies, her campaign has emphasized the importance of innovation and technology. Harris has promised to encourage the development of emerging technologies, including artificial intelligence and digital assets while ensuring consumer protection and financial stability.

Harris’s approach reflects a broader Democratic strategy of balancing innovation with regulation. Her administration would likely prioritize consumer protection and financial stability, potentially leading to stricter regulations on cryptocurrencies. This could include measures to prevent fraud, protect investors, and ensure the stability of the financial system.

Despite these potential challenges, Harris’s focus on innovation could also benefit the crypto industry. By fostering a supportive environment for technological development, her administration could encourage the growth of blockchain technology and digital assets. This could lead to new opportunities for entrepreneurs and investors, even if it means navigating a more complex regulatory landscape.

The Role of Prediction Markets

The divergence between traditional polls and prediction markets highlights the unique dynamics of this election. While many polls show a close race between Trump and Harris, prediction markets have consistently favored Trump. This discrepancy can be attributed to several factors, including the influence of large investors, or “whales,” who have placed substantial bets on a Trump victory.

These markets, which operate on blockchain technology, offer a decentralized platform for betting on the outcome of events. They have gained popularity in recent years, particularly among crypto enthusiasts who appreciate their transparency and accessibility. However, their predictions should be interpreted with caution, as they reflect the views of a specific subset of investors rather than the broader electorate.

The influence of prediction markets on media coverage is also noteworthy. As these platforms have gained prominence, their odds have been cited as evidence of Trump’s growing lead. This has contributed to a narrative that may not fully align with traditional polling data, underscoring the complex relationship between media, markets, and public perception.

The Future of Cryptocurrency Regulation

The outcome of the election will have significant implications for the future of cryptocurrency regulation in the United States. A Trump victory could lead to a continuation of the deregulatory approach that characterized his previous administration. This could create a more favorable environment for crypto businesses, potentially attracting investment and fostering innovation.

On the other hand, a Harris administration would likely prioritize consumer protection and financial stability, potentially leading to stricter regulations. While this could pose challenges for the industry, it could also provide a more stable and secure environment for investors, ultimately benefiting the market’s long-term growth.

Regardless of the outcome, the election will serve as a critical juncture for the cryptocurrency industry. As digital currencies continue to gain traction, policymakers will need to strike a balance between fostering innovation and ensuring the stability and security of the financial system. This will require collaboration between regulators, industry leaders, and other stakeholders to develop a regulatory framework that supports the growth of digital finance while protecting consumers and maintaining financial stability.

Conclusion: A Pivotal Moment for Crypto

The U.S. presidential election is a pivotal moment for the cryptocurrency industry. The candidates’ differing approaches to regulation and innovation will shape the future of digital finance, influencing everything from market dynamics to investor sentiment. As such, the election is not just a political contest but a referendum on the future of cryptocurrency.

For investors and industry leaders, the stakes are high. A Trump victory could lead to a continuation of the deregulatory approach that has benefited the industry, while a Harris administration could introduce new challenges and opportunities. Regardless of the outcome, the election will serve as a critical juncture for the cryptocurrency industry, shaping its trajectory for years to come.

As the election approaches, the crypto community will be watching closely, eager to see how the outcome will impact the future of digital finance. Whether through deregulation or innovation, the next administration will play a crucial role in shaping the future of cryptocurrency, influencing everything from market dynamics to investor sentiment. In this context, the election is not just a political contest but a referendum on the future of digital finance.

 

Source: https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/us-elections-2024-how-will-trump-or-harris-administration-shape-crypto-regulations/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
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Crypto, Web3 & AI Offers Us All A Chance to Be Involved

Crypto, Web3 & AI Offers Us All A Chance to Be Involved

Reflecting on my recent speech at the Web3BB Tokyo event, I am struck by the potent mix of artificial intelligence and Web3, and what they hold for the financial industry.

Having had the privilege of leading AI-driven innovations in finance, I am convinced that the convergence of these two technologies is the key to unlocking a more secure, efficient, and personalized financial landscape. Allow me to share my vision.

Key Takeaways

  • AI and Web3 offer the financial industry security, efficiency, and personalization.
  • Combine them with the decentralized nature of Web3 to add transparency and a user focus.
  • AI-driven insights and Web3’s data management enable sophisticated financial predictions and risk assessments.
  • This is a future worth fighting for, and I am excited to be a part of it.

The Relationship Between AI and Web3

The relationship between AI and Web3 is nothing short of symbiotic. Web3’s decentralized architecture offers a framework in which AI can function with enhanced transparency, security, and user focus.

And then with AI, we can unearth new insights and efficiencies within the financial sector while upholding the highest standards of data integrity and security.

Apply the fusion of AI and Web3 to finance, and you get new ways to trade, invest, and handle your financial planning. AI can also find sophisticated models for predicting market trends, identifying risks, and optimizing investment strategies — the change is unparalleled.

For this to work well, a critical juncture in AI and Web3 is in data management. AI algorithms thrive on data, and Web3’s decentralized nature ensures that the data is secure, transparent, and siloed as appropriate for the user.

The goal is then for AI to analyze vast amounts of decentralized data and offer valuable insights while maintaining privacy and security.

Ushering in a New Era of Financial Innovation

As I gaze into the future, I am exhilarated by the potential impact of AI and Web3 on the financial industry. As the Chairman of Neurai, a pioneering AI startup in Singapore, we are committed to pushing the boundaries of AI-powered finance. Our flagship product, COPX.AI, is already reaping the benefits.

“The future of finance transcends mere trading; it’s about crafting a more secure, efficient, and personalized experience for users,” I emphasized during my speech at Web3BB Tokyo.

But what does this mean for the future of finance? In my view, it signifies a shift towards more decentralized and democratized financial systems. With AI and Web3, we can create more accessible, transparent, and secure platforms. For instance, AI-powered trading platforms can analyze vast amounts of market data to identify trends and patterns that human traders might overlook. This leads to more informed investment decisions and better returns for investors.

Similarly, AI-driven risk management systems can detect potential risks and alert investors before they escalate into major issues, thereby safeguarding investors’ assets and preventing financial losses.

Charting the Path Forward

As the financial industry continues to evolve, we need prioritize innovation and experimentation. The integration of AI and Web3 has the potential to unlock new possibilities and drive growth across the sector, but it necessitates a commitment to ongoing research and development.

At the Web3BB Tokyo event, I had the opportunity to meet over 20 founders of Web3 and AI companies. Their dedication to harnessing the power of AI and Web3 to create a better future for finance is palpable. Many believe that these technologies can democratize access to financial services, promote greater transparency and accountability, and unlock new avenues for growth and innovation.

Navigating the Challenges Ahead

Of course, the road ahead is not without challenges. One of the most significant hurdles is regulatory uncertainty. As AI and Web3 continue to evolve, it remains unclear how regulators will respond. Will they introduce new rules and regulations, or will they adopt a more laissez-faire approach?

Another challenge is the need for education and awareness. Many individuals in the financial industry are still unfamiliar with AI and Web3, necessitating education and training to help them understand the potential benefits and risks of these technologies.

Lastly, there is the challenge of scalability. As AI and Web3 continue to grow and evolve, it remains to be seen whether they can scale to meet the demands of the financial industry.

Where We Go Next

As I look to the future, I am excited to witness the impact of these technologies on the sector. Being deeply involved in AI-powered innovation, I am confident that we can create a more secure, efficient, and personalized financial experience for all.

But this journey is not just about us. It’s about the entire financial industry coming together  and creating a world that is more decentralized, democratized, and accessible to all.

I am convinced that the financial industry will become increasingly decentralized.

Decentralized finance is already becoming a reality, with platforms like MakerDAO and Compound enabling users to lend and borrow cryptocurrencies in a decentralized manner.

But DeFi is just the beginning. With AI and Web3, we can create decentralized platforms for trading, investing, and financial planning. These platforms will be more secure, efficient, and personalized.

I am also convinced that the financial industry will become increasingly democratized — with platforms that are accessible to all, regardless of income or social status.

We can develop platforms that allow anyone to invest in cryptocurrencies, regardless of their financial background, and that provide access to financial services to anyone, regardless of their location or income.

The Bottom Line

Finally, I believe that the financial industry will become increasingly secure — resistant to hacking and cyber-attacks.

We can develop platforms that utilize AI-powered security systems to detect and prevent cyber-attacks. We can create platforms that leverage Web3’s decentralized architecture to protect user data and prevent hacking.

This is a future worth fighting for, and I am excited to be a part of it.

 

Source: https://www.techopedia.com/anndy-lian-crypto-web3-ai-offers-us-all-a-chance-to-be-involved

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

Bitcoin Policy Competition Between China and US Would Benefit Industry, Says Justin Sun

Bitcoin Policy Competition Between China and US Would Benefit Industry, Says Justin Sun

Tron founder Justin Sun has urged China to reassess its position on Bitcoin, following former President Donald Trump’s endorsement of the digital currency and plans to make the U.S. the world crypto capital.

Trump pledged to create a “strategic Bitcoin stockpile” for the U.S. during his keynote address at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville on Saturday. 

“As the final part of my plan today, I am announcing that if I am elected, it will be the policy of my administration, the United States of America, to keep 100% of all the Bitcoin the U.S. government currently holds or acquires into the future,” Trump stated. “I hope you do well.”

Responding to Trump’s comments, Sun, a prominent figure in the crypto world, said competition between the two countries is likely to benefit the entire industry.

“China also needs to step up. Since President Trump pushed for Bitcoin, U.S. policies have warmed. China should make further progress in this area. Competition between China and the U.S. in Bitcoin policy will benefit the entire industry,” Sun said on Twitter.

This statement comes against the backdrop of China’s historically stringent stance on cryptocurrencies.

The country, once a global leader in Bitcoin mining and trading, has implemented some of the world’s most restrictive policies on digital currencies in recent years.

In 2013, the country emerged as a powerhouse in the crypto space, with Chinese miners accounting for more than 70% of the Bitcoin network’s mining power by 2017.

However, September 2017 marked a turning point when the government banned Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) and ordered the closure of domestic cryptocurrency exchanges.

Despite these initial restrictions, mining operations continued to thrive in China due to cheap electricity—particularly in regions like Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, and Sichuan. This allowed China to maintain its dominance in the global crypto mining landscape for several years.

However, the situation changed dramatically in 2021. In May of that year, Chinese Vice Premier Liu He announced a sweeping crackdown on Bitcoin mining and trading.

This was followed by a series of regulatory actions, culminating in September 2021 when the government declared all cryptocurrency transactions illegal, effectively banning mining nationwide.

The Chinese government cited several reasons for this hardline approach, including concerns over financial stability, environmental impact due to mining operations’ high energy consumption, prevention of capital flight, and the desire to maintain control over the financial system.

The impact of China’s ban was felt globally.

The Bitcoin network’s hash rate dropped by over 50% temporarily, and there was a mass exodus of mining operations to countries like Kazakhstan, Russia, and the United States.

While cracking down on decentralized cryptocurrencies, China has been actively developing its own Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), the digital yuan.

This state-controlled digital currency is seen as a way for China to modernize its monetary system while maintaining oversight of financial transactions.

Sun’s call for China to “step up” in the realm of Bitcoin policy represents a significant challenge to this status quo, suggesting that China risks falling behind in the global race for cryptocurrency adoption and innovation if it maintains its current prohibitive stance.

Industry experts suggest that a shift in China’s Bitcoin policy could have far-reaching implications for the global cryptocurrency market.

“The U.S., especially under President Trump and following administrations, has shown growing support for Bitcoin, establishing itself as a leader in the global crypto space. If China were to take a similar path, it could lead to healthy competition between the two economic powerhouses,” Anndy Lian, author and intergovernmental blockchain expert told Decrypt. “This competition could lead to advancements in blockchain technology, better regulatory frameworks, and broader cryptocurrency adoption.”

He added that the global market would benefit from increased liquidity, enhanced security measures, and stronger infrastructure. Additionally, balanced regulations in both countries could help mitigate risks related to volatility and fraud, increasing investor confidence.

 

Source: https://decrypt.co/242176/us-vs-china-bitcoin-competition-justin-sun

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j