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SpaceX’s US$75B IPO will drain crypto liquidity. Here is what happens next

SpaceX’s US$75B IPO will drain crypto liquidity. Here is what happens next

The cryptocurrency market recently climbed 1.85 per cent to reach a total valuation of US$2.17 trillion over a 24-hour period. Observers might mistake this movement for a sudden resurgence of blockchain-native innovation. This rally stems entirely from a broader macroeconomic rebound rather than any internal technological catalyst.

The digital asset space currently exhibits a 91 per cent correlation with the S&P 500 and an 85 per cent correlation with gold. These numbers prove that traditional interest-rate expectations and global liquidity flows dictate current price action. I view speculative financial activities like crypto trading as a form of gambling that simply offers better odds than traditional casinos. The current market structure forces retail participants into a rigged game in which institutional algorithms dominate order flow. Today, the house plays by traditional macroeconomic rules, and digital assets merely ride the coattails of institutional capital as it rotates through risk-sensitive instruments.

Traditional equity markets experienced a massive surge following distinct geopolitical developments. President Trump cancelled a planned bombing operation, and Tehran subsequently approved a draft agreement to extend the current ceasefire. Major US benchmarks closed sharply higher and reached their best levels of the session on this news. The S&P 500 recorded its best single day since April 8, which marked the initial ceasefire announcement. Small-cap stocks led this broad risk-on rotation with the Russell 2000 climbing 3.02 per cent. Market participants rapidly unwound their fear positions as geopolitical tensions eased, causing the VIX to fall 12 per cent to 19.4.

This unwinding of the previous spike demonstrates how quickly institutional algorithms react to geopolitical headlines. This rapid adjustment proves that modern trading algorithms prioritise geopolitical headlines over fundamental asset values. Investors treat these global conflicts exactly like casino bets, adjusting their exposure the moment a diplomatic headline offers a slight statistical advantage.

Beneath this optimistic equity rally lies a troubling macroeconomic reality, highlighting the urgent need for decentralised financial alternatives. US producer prices rose 1.1 per cent month-on-month in May, completely ignoring analyst estimates of 0.7 per cent. This pushed the year-on-year reading to 6.5 per cent, marking the hottest annual inflation pace since November 2022.

Core producer prices also climbed 0.4 per cent, sitting just below the 0.5 per cent consensus and proving that fuel prices drive the current inflation burden. The World Bank recognised this deteriorating environment and cut its 2026 global growth forecast to 2.5 per cent from 2.9 per cent. They explicitly warned that growth could plummet to 1.3 per cent if energy disruptions deepen further.

The Bank also projects China will achieve only 4.2 per cent growth this year, down from five per cent in 2025, while the Eurozone stagnates at 0.8 per cent. Furthermore, US inflation has erased a full year of inflation-adjusted wage gains, leaving real pay up only 0.1 per cent since Trump took office. Even Japan faces economic headwinds as large manufacturer sentiment turned negative in the second quarter due to the Middle East conflict. Traditional financial systems consistently fail the working class by eroding purchasing power through hidden inflation taxes and arbitrary monetary policy shifts. This harsh economic reality reinforces my core belief that we must build intelligent decentralised Web4 networks to protect human wealth from centralised mismanagement and ensure transparent monetary rules.

Internal crypto mechanics amplified this macro-driven rebound through aggressive margin unwinds and speculative capital rotation. Exchanges liquidated US$75.43 million in Bitcoin positions over the past 24 hours, and short sellers accounted for 86 per cent of that total. This massive short squeeze forced bearish traders to buy back their positions, artificially inflating the price. Simultaneously, speculative capital chased high-momentum narratives, pushing the Intent category up 62.75 per cent. Tokens like Velvet surged over 90 per cent as day traders chased quick profits. This behaviour perfectly encapsulates the speculative gambling nature of the current market.

We even see prominent figures acknowledging this reality. Michael Saylor recently joked about telling his followers never to sell their Bitcoin, while clarifying that he never made the same promise for his own holdings. This candid admission strips away the cult-like devotion and reminds everyone that even the most vocal proponents treat these assets as speculative vehicles. True decentralisation requires moving beyond these personality-driven price pumps and focusing on the actual utility of artificial intelligence-enhanced blockchain architectures. We need smart contracts that execute based on verifiable real-world data rather than the whimsical tweets of influential billionaires.

Meanwhile, the technology sector prepares for a monumental liquidity event. SpaceX plans to price its initial public offering after Thursday’s close at a fixed US$135 per share. This massive offering will raise about US$75 billion at a valuation of roughly US$1.75 trillion, making it the largest listing in recorded history. Such a colossal capital raise will inevitably absorb massive amounts of global liquidity and force investors to make difficult choices between traditional tech equities and digital assets.

The near-term technical outlook for the crypto market hinges entirely on maintaining this fragile correlation with traditional equities. The immediate resistance sits at the US$2.22 trillion level, which aligns perfectly with the 78.6 per cent Fibonacci retracement. A daily close above this threshold would provide bullish confirmation and open the door for further upside. Conversely, support rests at the recent low of US$2.1 trillion, and a break below this level would signal a complete failure of the current rebound. Market participants must closely monitor traditional market reactions to major liquidity events over the next 48 hours. If traditional markets pause or reverse due to the SpaceX offering or worsening inflation data, crypto will likely follow suit.

Watch closely.

Source:
 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

Bitcoin’s US$61,789 breakdown: Why geopolitics just overrode every technical indicator

Bitcoin’s US$61,789 breakdown: Why geopolitics just overrode every technical indicator

Today, Bitcoin trades at US$61,789.80, reflecting a 1.36 per cent decline over the past 24 hours. This drop mirrors a broader 1.17 per cent contraction in the total crypto market capitalisation. Mainstream commentators attribute this movement entirely to a sudden risk reaction.

My independent analysis reveals a more complex convergence of geopolitical shocks and institutional liquidity drains. The immediate catalyst for this sell-off is escalating tensions in the Middle East. President Donald Trump announced a military response after Iran shot down an Apache helicopter. This geopolitical shock instantly triggered a flight from risk assets across global markets.

Bitcoin behaved precisely as a correlated risk asset in this environment, dropping to an intraday low near US$60,892 before buyers stepped in. We see this exact same behaviour in traditional equities. The S&P 500 briefly dipped 2.2 per cent on the news before recovering into the close. Major benchmarks finished mixed, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average managed only a marginal gain. This tight correlation between cryptocurrency and traditional tech-heavy indices confirms that institutional algorithms currently treat digital assets as an extension of the broader risk complex.

Structural weaknesses in institutional demand continue to suppress price action beyond the geopolitical headline. U.S.-listed Bitcoin exchange-traded funds extended their outflow streak, underscoring a persistent lack of buy-side conviction. Analysts at Wintermute correctly point out that this environment reflects weak institutional inflows rather than outright panic.

This specific dynamic makes establishing a durable bottom incredibly difficult. Concurrently, the market experienced a severe leverage flush. Traders lost over US$112 million in Bitcoin long positions within a single day. This forced liquidation accelerated the downward momentum and punished overextended speculators.

I have always viewed highly leveraged crypto trading as a form of gambling with slightly better odds than a casino. The liquidations simply represent the house collecting its due. The removal of this excess leverage clears the order book and sets the stage for potentially less volatile price discovery in the coming sessions. We must also contextualise this crypto sell-off within the broader global macroeconomic environment to fully grasp the implications. Technology stocks face their own headwinds. The 3.6 per cent drop in Apple shares following the final World Wide Developer Conference keynote from CEO Tim Cook highlights these pressures. Shares had already fallen close to two per cent on Monday due to poor market reception of the Siri artificial intelligence update.

The market now turns its attention entirely to the macroeconomic data driving central bank policy. The government will release the May United States Consumer Price Index report on June 10. This print serves as the primary directional catalyst for the near term. Consensus expects headline inflation to rise to 4.2 per cent.

This expectation follows an April inflation reading of 3.8 per cent year-on-year. That April figure marked the highest level since 2023. A massive 17.9 per cent jump in energy costs largely drove that previous spike. If the May data prints cooler than expected, we could see a relief rally pushing Bitcoin toward the US$64,000 resistance level. Conversely, a hot inflation reading will reinforce hawkish monetary policy and likely force a retest of the critical US$60,000 support zone.

From a technical perspective, the current market structure demands careful observation from all active market participants. Bitcoin currently trades below key moving averages and maintains a bearish short-term trend. The Relative Strength Index on the 14-day timeframe sits at 23.89. This deeply oversold condition suggests that a technical bounce remains highly probable. A cooler inflation print could fuel a rally targeting the US$64,000 level, which aligns perfectly with the 78.6 per cent Fibonacci retracement level. If buyers fail to defend the US$60,000 support, the price will likely cascade toward the next major liquidity zone around US$55,000. Traders must watch the US$64,000-US$66,000 supply zone closely. A decisive reclaim of those levels would provide the first technical confirmation of strengthening momentum.

Global trade and corporate spending metrics provide further context for this market environment. China reported robust May exports, rising 19.4 per cent year on year, and imports jumped 27.4 per cent. This beat expectations and widened the trade surplus to US$103.22 billion. Meanwhile, Bank of America warns clients to take profits because seven of its 10 bear-market signposts have been triggered. They highlight that hyperscaler capital expenditure will soon hit 100 per cent of operating cash flow. This contrasts starkly with the 40 per cent ratio from 2023.

These megacorporations will soon spend every dollar they generate on AI infrastructure. Investor demand in other sectors shows an immense appetite for new tech ventures. SpaceX’s initial public offering demand now reportedly approaches 4 times oversubscribed levels. Commodity markets also reflect this complex web of geopolitical and economic pressures across the globe today. Oil retreated after the US Energy Secretary noted that traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is increasing. This observation eased the supply premium created by tensions with Iran.

The confluence of geopolitical stress and institutional selling has driven Bitcoin lower. A sustained reversal requires either diplomatic de-escalation or a positive macroeconomic surprise from the inflation data. I will continue to monitor these structural shifts independently and look past the mainstream narratives. Identifying the true drivers of value in this evolving financial landscape demands rigorous analysis and a forward-looking perspective. The market is at a critical inflexion point, with macroeconomic data set to dictate the next major price move.

Based on what I see and referencing the historical cycle structures, US$44,XXX represents a high-probability macro floor, but it is the deep end, not the baseline, of the expected bottoming range.

Source:
 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

From US$60K to US$55K: The data pointing to Bitcoin’s next leg down

From US$60K to US$55K: The data pointing to Bitcoin’s next leg down

Bitcoin currently sits at US$62,864.20 and presents a truly fascinating case study in market manipulation and leveraged gambling. Many retail participants mistakenly view the recent price action as a genuine recovery. The current rally completely lacks genuine structural support. The US$60,000 level demonstrates weak buying pressure, and we have witnessed three lower lows since mid-May. This technical reality signals that large buyers simply refuse to accumulate at these prices. Derivative mechanics, rather than underlying utility or true decentralisation, dictate this market.

The recent price spike originates directly from a massive and highly coordinated liquidation event. Exchanges aggressively wiped out roughly US$599 million of leveraged positions in a single 24-hour window. Short sellers absorbed the vast majority of this pain, accounting for approximately US$455 million of the losses, while long traders lost US$144 million.

Total liquidation figures across various platforms range between US$588 million and US$655 million, with short losses exceeding US$500 million. This violent repricing pushed the total crypto market capitalisation from US$2.06 trillion to roughly US$2.19 trillion. Bears who piled into short positions near the bottom took severe damage. Their forced buybacks artificially propelled the rally higher. This dynamic perfectly illustrates my long-held belief that speculative trading in both crypto and traditional stocks operates primarily like a casino, where leverage dictates immediate price action.

We must examine the sentiment driving these leveraged bets to understand the fragility of this rebound. The preceding week saw Bitcoin drop nearly 14 per cent and briefly trade below US$60,000. That severe drawdown pushed the Fear and Greed Index into extreme fear territory, registering a reading in the mid 10s. Market participants positioned themselves heavily for a continued collapse. Such extreme positioning usually precedes a violent correction in the opposite direction once the initial catalyst exhausts itself.

Derivatives data reveal that open interest actually rose by nearly US$1 billion during this period, indicating that traders simply reloaded their leverage rather than stepping aside. High leverage combined with extreme pessimism creates a highly volatile environment. The market merely flushed out the crowded bearish positions, resetting the board for the next directional move.

Despite the flashy rebound, the underlying data points to further downside. Technical and on-chain metrics show deep conflict, but the bearish signals carry more weight. Institutional flows continue to register as negative, proving that smart money refuses to chase this relief rally. Furthermore, realised losses currently stand at US$174 billion. This figure sits below the US$211 billion peak we observed during the last bear market, but it still represents massive capital destruction.

The recent rally looks increasingly like a classic bull trap. A move toward US$55,000 looks far more likely as the market seeks true price discovery. Traders who mistake this short squeeze for a macro trend reversal will likely face severe consequences.

We cannot analyse cryptocurrency in a vacuum, as digital assets correlate highly with traditional macroeconomic forces. The recent crypto volatility mirrors the exact same pressures battering Wall Street. Traditional markets finished mixed recently, but the underlying breadth tells a much darker story. The S&P 500 managed a mere 0.30 per cent gain after rising as much as 1.13 per cent in early trade. The Dow Jones Industrial Average actually fell 0.16 per cent. This weakness follows a brutal Friday session where the Nasdaq plummeted 4.18 per cent, marking its worst performance since April 2025. A stronger-than-expected May jobs report triggered this equity rout, forcing traders to reprice their interest rate expectations.

The bond market perfectly captures this shifting macroeconomic reality. The US two-year yield jumped 10 basis points immediately following the jobs report. Fed funds futures now price in 21 basis points of rate hikes by the end of the year, a significant increase from the 13 basis points priced prior to the employment data. This rising cost of capital directly pressures risk assets across the board. Investors clearly recognise that higher borrowing costs will inevitably compress corporate valuations and reduce speculative appetite across all asset classes. When traditional finance tightens, liquidity dries up in the crypto casino. We also see this pressure in commodities, where Brent crude oil whipsawed between US$94 and US$98 following direct military exchanges between Israel and Iran. Global capital faces immense stress from both inflationary pressures and geopolitical instability.

Global equity markets show even more severe fractures when we look beyond US indices. The KOSPI index tumbled 8.2 per cent, triggering a trading halt as investors aggressively dumped tech stocks amid rising inflation concerns. Wall Street strategists attempt to project optimism to calm the masses. Citigroup recently raised its S&P 500 target to 8,100 from 7,700, citing stronger earnings forecasts. Nvidia executives publicly frame the global tech selloff as a buying opportunity. Tech companies also provide shiny distractions, with Micron bouncing 9.8 per cent after sliding 13 per cent the previous day, and Google ordering 3 million AI chips from Intel for 2028 production. These corporate manoeuvres mask the fundamental reality that the market faces a flood of mega IPOs and equity offerings that threaten to overwhelm available buyer capital. SpaceX also saw its initial public offering become well oversubscribed before order books closed on Wednesday afternoon.

The current market environment perfectly encapsulates the profound flaws of our centralised financial system. Whether participants trade Bitcoin on a crypto exchange or buy tech stocks on the Nasdaq, they actively engage in the exact same speculative gambling where leverage and macroeconomic manipulation dictate the outcomes.

 

Source:
 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j