South Korea Wants to Tame Crypto. Good Luck With That.

South Korea Wants to Tame Crypto. Good Luck With That.

There is a particular kind of optimism unique to government press briefings in Seoul, where a chairman stands before the National Assembly and promises that a landmark piece of legislation—one that 10 competing bills, two political parties, and an entire financial sector cannot agree on—will be wrapped up neatly by December.

On July 29, Financial Services Commission Chairman Lee Eok-won did exactly that. He told the Political Affairs Committee that the government’s consolidated Digital Asset Basic Act—a single statute meant to govern everything from stablecoin issuance and exchange ownership to anti-money-laundering enforcement—would be completed by year’s end. He said it with the confidence of a man who has clearly not attended a subcommittee meeting lately.

The ambition is genuine. The execution is another matter entirely.

To give credit where it is due, the architecture South Korea is attempting is not trivial. The proposed act would consolidate 10 separate crypto-related bills currently languishing in the National Assembly into one integrated framework. It would define what constitutes a digital asset business, set entry requirements for exchanges, mandate disclosure systems for token issuance and distribution, impose financial-sector-level internal controls on operators, and, most consequentially, create a legal regime for won-denominated stablecoins from scratch.

On paper, this is sophisticated. It mirrors the direction in which the United States, the European Union, and Singapore are all moving: away from reactive, piecemeal regulation and toward comprehensive statutes that treat crypto as a permanent feature of the financial system rather than a speculative anomaly to be tolerated.

The FSC has organized the bill around three pillars—industry structure, market integrity, and user protection—and explicitly linked stablecoin oversight to stronger anti-money-laundering enforcement. Lee personally briefed President Lee Jae-myung on July 15, identifying crypto-based money laundering as a national priority. The message is clear: Seoul wants to be seen as a jurisdiction that welcomes innovation while keeping a firm hand on the tiller.

Yet the two most consequential provisions in the entire package remain unresolved, publicly contested, and, as of this writing, locked inside a government draft that the regulator has not released.

The first is the so-called “51 percent rule,” which would require any won-denominated stablecoin issuer to be structured as a bank-led consortium, with traditional financial institutions holding a majority stake. The second is a proposed ownership cap of 15 to 20 percent for the country’s major exchanges—Upbit, Bithumb, Coinone, Korbit, and GOPAX—designed to prevent any single operator from accumulating dominant market power.

These are not minor technical details. They are the load-bearing walls of the entire structure. The 51 percent rule determines whether South Korea’s stablecoin ecosystem will be an extension of its banking sector or an independent fintech industry. The ownership caps determine whether the exchange landscape remains an oligopoly or opens to new entrants. Getting these provisions wrong would do more than delay the bill. It would risk creating a regime that the market simply routes around.

Meanwhile, the FSC has completed its draft but has not disclosed the details. Committee Chairman Yoo Dong-soo, to his credit, has publicly urged the commission to hurry up and bring it forward. But “hurry up” is not a legislative strategy. It is a plea.

The Geopolitical Clock is Real

If there is one reason to take the year-end deadline seriously, it is not domestic politics. It is Washington.

The U.S. GENIUS Act, the federal stablecoin law signed in 2025, takes effect on January 18, 2027. Its implementation will reshape how dollar-denominated stablecoins operate globally, and every major Asian financial center is recalibrating in response. Ruling party committee liaison Park Sang-hyuk acknowledged this directly after a closed-door FSC briefing on July 20, noting that “market outlooks differ on the effects of the GENIUS Act” and that there was broad consensus on the need to move quickly.

This is the one external pressure that might actually force a compromise. South Korea does not want to become the place where local companies issue stablecoins through Singaporean or American entities because Seoul spent 18 months arguing over bank-consortium ownership ratios. In this case, the reputational and economic cost of irrelevance is a more effective whip than any parliamentary procedure.

Lurking beneath all of this is a contradiction that no amount of legislative speed can resolve. The government plans to introduce a cryptocurrency income tax in 2027, giving regulators visibility into capital gains and, by extension, a meaningful tool for monitoring how money moves through the digital asset ecosystem.

The opposition, however, has formally introduced a bill to abolish the levy before it ever takes effect, arguing that taxing crypto gains while many equity investments remain exempt would create an unfair two-tier system. It is not an unreasonable argument. But stripping the tax from the package while simultaneously constructing an elaborate compliance architecture around transparency and anti-money-laundering screening is a little like installing a state-of-the-art security system and then removing the cameras.

You cannot control what you cannot see. And right now, South Korea’s legislators are debating whether to look away.

It is worth being precise about what Seoul is and is not attempting. Despite the rhetoric of “controlling capital flows,” the Digital Asset Basic Act is not a capital-control mechanism in the traditional sense. No one is proposing restrictions on money entering or leaving the country. What the FSC is building is a gatekeeping system: determining who can issue stablecoins, who can operate exchanges, how transactions are disclosed, and whether those transactions are taxed and screened.

That is a legitimate and, in the current global environment, necessary posture. But calling it “capital-flow control” oversells the state’s reach and undersells the market’s creativity. Crypto capital is, by design, difficult to contain. A well-regulated on-ramp in Seoul does not prevent a Korean investor from using an offshore platform. A 51 percent bank-consortium rule does not prevent a technology company from issuing a stablecoin in Tokyo.

The law will matter. But it will matter most as a signal—to domestic institutions, foreign competitors, and the market itself—of whether South Korea intends to participate in the next phase of digital finance or merely spectate while writing very detailed rules for a game it declined to play.

The Digital Asset Basic Act is the right legislation at the right time, pursued by a government that has not yet decided what it actually wants the law to say. The year-end deadline is less a timeline than an aspiration. The unresolved disputes over stablecoin issuance, exchange ownership, and taxation are not speed bumps. They are the road.

Lee’s promise to the National Assembly was sincere. Sincerity, unfortunately, does not consolidate 10 bills, reconcile two parties, satisfy five exchanges, appease the banking lobby, and outpace the U.S. Congress—all before the snow falls on Yeouido.

South Korea will get a digital asset law. The question is whether it will get one that works or one that merely exists.

 

Source: https://intpolicydigest.org/south-korea-wants-to-tame-crypto-good-luck-with-that/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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The fork that died in 8 hours: What Bitcoin’s failed split reveals about consensus

The fork that died in 8 hours: What Bitcoin’s failed split reveals about consensus

Asian trading desks opened Monday to a quiet tape while United States participants enjoyed their weekend. Bitcoin spent this lull moving sideways near US$64,800. This calm surface hides a significant development: an attempted protocol split collapsed within hours. Market participants can now remove one source of uncertainty from their mental checklist. Traders appreciate this swift resolution because prolonged protocol disputes typically drain liquidity and distract developers from core improvements.

The past few days have combined this failed fork with a steady institutional bid, a soft-spot environment, and a macroeconomic calendar that holds the next real catalyst. The split began at block 961,632, when machines running BIP-110 software rejected any batch that lacked support for the proposal. This proposal sought to pause the storage of images, text, and other non-financial data in transactions for one year. Proponents argue such material clogs the ledger and raises costs for people sending payments. Opponents counter that anyone who pays the fee has the right to use the space, and miners should not judge legitimate transactions.

Consensus never emerged because only 2.53 per cent of batches signalled for the proposal over the prior two weeks, falling short of the 55 per cent activation threshold. A minority chose to leave instead. The escape attempt stalled almost immediately. About eight hours after going live, the minority chain produced just two batches and sat at block 961,633 while the main network reached 961,681. This gap of 48 batches represents most of a day of activity on one side and almost nothing on the other.

AntPool mined the first non-signalling batch that the broader ecosystem accepted and BIP-110 nodes rejected. A miner using Ocean produced the alternative that the breakaway group followed. Mining pools combine massive computing resources to maintain the ledger and process transactions, earning newly issued tokens and fees for the work.

Operators prioritise profitability above ideological purity, and the math simply does not support abandoning the main chain. The primary network recalculates mining difficulty every 2,016 batches to keep 10-minute intervals. The breakaway group inherited the current setting with only a tiny share of machines. The monitor puts its next difficulty adjustment 350 days away, compared to 14 days for the primary ledger. Miners see no reason to keep it moving.

Removing the fork risk returns attention to a chart showing mixed alignment. Spot pricing at US$64,800 falls within a 30-day range of US$61,800 to US$66,900 and is 3.1 per cent below the top of that range. The asset is above the 20- and 50-day moving averages but remains below the 200-day moving average. This configuration makes the short-term picture look firmer than the long-term one. The relative strength index at 54 sits perfectly neutral. A volume ratio of 0.77 confirms the thin participation implied by weekend tape.

Asian buyers typically set the tone for the week, and their hesitation suggests a broader wait-and-see attitude across global time zones. Decision resistance at US$66,900 sits 3.2 per cent above spot. Structural support defines the floor while liquidation walls appear light near US$65,600 above and US$63,100 below. Neither side faces an imminent forced cascade. The digital asset simply lacks the kinetic energy to push through overhead supply without a fresh catalyst. Chartists view the 200-day moving average as a formidable ceiling that requires significant volume to breach.

Institutional flows supply the most constructive thread in this quiet environment. United States spot exchange-traded funds recorded a five-day net inflow streak. The momentum is decelerating, though. BlackRock attracted nearly US$900M of net inflows to IBIT and ETHA over five sessions. The daily sequence runs through US$233.1M on July 30, US$170.1M on August 3, US$211.5M on August 4, US$244.4M on August 5, and US$137.6M on August 6. The flow dashboard puts the latest one-day print at US$101.7M, or 0.1 per cent of assets under management, and the five-day total at US$865.3M, or 1.1 per cent.

These traditional finance vehicles allow pension funds and wealth managers to gain exposure without managing private keys or worrying about custodial security. Wealth advisors increasingly allocate a small slice of client portfolios to these regulated products to capture asymmetric upside. IBIT leads with US$693.5M while HODL shows the largest outflow at US$53.6M.

The Coinbase premium of -0.086 per cent points to soft domestic retail demand, even though it ranks higher than 53 per cent of the last 30 days. Long-term holders accumulate while retail absorption sends a contradictory message. Wall Street continues buying while everyday participants hesitate to chase the rally.

Derivatives provide cautious confirmation of the broader thesis. Open interest rose 0.2 per cent over seven days. Funding sits at +0.005 per cent and rising. Positioning confirms the trend with balanced crowding rather than a one-sided bet. The spot cumulative volume delta is US$301.6M, against a futures cumulative volume delta of US$2.79B.

This massive divergence shows where trading energy is concentrated. Speculators drive the action while physical buyers take a backseat. Leverage amplifies moves in the derivatives arena without conferring permanent ownership. The capital structure around corporate treasuries shows no stress. STRC trades at US$95.01, 5 per cent below par but inside the normal zone.

The co-movement between MicroStrategy and the underlying asset stays mixed over five days. A scenario map keeps the analysis honest. A daily close above US$64,909 with a volume ratio of 1.2 or higher confirms the bullish case. A daily close below US$64,451 with open interest still rising invalidates the setup. The macroeconomic backdrop gives gold the leading role right now. Bitcoin tracks the precious metal more closely than any other asset. The correlation is 0.71 over the recent window, compared to 0.60 over 30 days, and continues to rise. The link to equities remains borderline.

This alignment turns the inflation calendar into the key driver. The core consumer price index year-over-year release on August 12 at 12:30 UTC stands as the next major test. The United States Treasury also imposed sanctions on crypto exchanges accused of financing the IRGC two days ago. That measure failed to shift the valuation path. Market maturity explains this calm reaction to geopolitical headlines. With gold sensitivity high, an inflation surprise will likely travel straight into the digital asset through the correlation channel.

The death of the fork removes a tail risk. Soft retail appetite and thin volume argue against chasing a breakout before confirmation. Sideways trading is not stagnation here because the market is consolidating and waiting for a concrete trigger to fire. Institutional buyers provide a solid floor while retail traders wait for clearer directional signals.

 

Source: https://e27.co/the-fork-that-died-in-8-hours-what-bitcoins-failed-split-reveals-about-consensus-20260810/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Bitcoin holds US$64,341 while miners bleed US$1.26B: What is really happening?

Bitcoin holds US$64,341 while miners bleed US$1.26B: What is really happening?

Bitcoin trades at US$64,341 after reaching a daily high of US$64,916 and establishing a daily low of US$64,114. The digital asset currently sits 3.8 per cent below its 30-day high of US$66,900. Traders observe a mixed moving average posture across multiple time frames. I believe the market currently lacks strong conviction, leaving participants waiting for a clear catalyst to break this tight consolidation phase. The current price remains strictly below the 20-day moving average but comfortably above the 50-day moving average, while sitting below the 200-day moving average.

This specific technical setup indicates absolutely no confirmed short-term trend direction at the current price level. The relative strength index rests precisely at 51. This neutral reading confirms the asset successfully avoids both overbought and oversold conditions. The trading volume ratio stands at 0.87. Traders identify immediate resistance at US$66,900, which sits exactly 3.9 per cent above the current spot price. Investors place strong structural support at US$62,600.

Macroeconomic factors heavily influence current price action and dictate broader market sentiment. The digital asset tracks gold most closely among traditional macroeconomic assets right now. The correlation between the two assets is exactly 0.58 over the recent observation window and has remained at that exact value over the last 30 days. Bitcoin prices itself independently of equities at this moment.

The asset shows borderline independence from traditional stock markets and ignores broader equity trends. Traders eagerly anticipate the upcoming nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate release, scheduled for today at exactly 12:30 UTC. The market expects no clear macro transmission from recent labour data to affect digital assets directly, despite the release’s high-profile nature.

Geopolitical events also fill the broader news cycle and capture investor attention. Officials concluded the United States and Iran’s diplomatic talks on Tuesday. The direct crypto impact from these diplomatic talks remains completely unclear to analysts. My analysis suggests that traditional macroeconomic indicators currently fail to drive digital asset momentum and compel participants to look inward to sector-specific metrics for guidance.

Institutional participation has sent mixed signals in exchange-traded fund flows over the past week. United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recently recorded massive inflows, establishing a streak. Daily net flows exhibit a distinct, volatile pattern over the past five trading days.

Funds experienced a massive US$265.4M outflow on August 2. Buyers completely reversed the trend on August 3 with a US$170.1M inflow. August 4 saw a strong US$211.5M inflow enter the market. August 5 brought in exactly US$244.4M. The positive momentum slowed significantly on August 6 with a US$9.3M inflow. The one-day change represents a tiny 0.01 per cent increase in total assets under management. The five-day total inflows reach US$369.9M, adding 0.47 per cent to total assets under management.

Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF led the five-day inflows with exactly US$31.4M. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust experienced the largest outflow and lost exactly US$45.1M over the same five-day period. The four-day inflow streak decelerates sharply right now. Long-term holders actively distribute their assets while the spot market absorbs these new inflows. This aggressive holder distribution directly diverges from the positive net flow data, creating underlying selling pressure.

Derivatives markets display balanced positioning across major exchanges. Traders increased open interest by exactly 1.6 per cent over the last seven days. The funding rate remains neutral, while the broader funding trend declines steadily. The futures cumulative volume delta exceeded the spot cumulative volume delta by a noticeable margin. This metric confirms flat positioning across the broader derivatives market.

Liquidation walls sit very lightly on both sides of the current price action. The upper liquidation wall rests at US$65,200, and the lower liquidation wall sits at US$62,100. These distance calculations use the Binance four-hour perpetual reference contract. Spot demand from the United States shows slight weakness today. The Coinbase premium sits at negative 0.088 per cent. This flat trend indicates soft United States spot demand with absolutely no strong buying or selling pressure from domestic investors.

The current premium ranks above exactly 47 per cent of observations over the last 30 days. I view this soft domestic demand as a clear warning sign that institutional buyers currently lack the aggressive appetite required to push the asset past immediate resistance levels.

Capital structure metrics reveal underlying stress in the broader corporate ecosystem. STRC trades at exactly US$94.06 and sits 5.9 per cent below par value. Analysts place this specific asset in a strict watch zone. The price shows a moderate discount to par while successfully avoiding a hard stress signal.

MicroStrategy and Bitcoin’s alignment has remained mixed over the last five days. This alignment completely decouples reflexive risk for the moment. The mining sector faces severe structural stress, driving near-term bearish pressure on the overall price. Major public miners report steep losses amid a sector-wide revenue decline.

MARA Holdings reported a massive US$1.26B net loss in quarter one of the 2026 fiscal year. The company generated only US$174.6M in revenue. The trailing 12-month profit margin sits at negative 234.83 per cent. Deep losses and negative US$531M in levered free cash flow prove the core mining business burns cash faster than the company can replace it. CleanSpark posted a US$239.8M net loss and lost US$0.89 per basic share. The company also suffered steep revenue declines.

Simultaneous weakness across major public miners points directly to structural stress in mining economics following the recent halving event. Both MARA and CleanSpark now redirect resources toward artificial intelligence compute infrastructure. This strategic pivot reduces the urgency to expand mining capacity. The economics of pure digital-asset mining no longer justify aggressive reinvestment in these massive public companies.

This shift signals a bearish indicator for near-term hash rate growth and increases selling pressure on miners across the network. I consider this pivot toward artificial intelligence as a glaring red flag for the fundamental security budget. We will have our days. Maybe when tech stocks aren’t that “hot.”

 

Source: https://e27.co/bitcoin-holds-us64341-while-miners-bleed-us1-26b-what-is-really-happening-20260807/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j