Posts from the 'Op-Ed' Category

Bitcoin short squeeze wipes out US$400M in 24 hours: What comes next

Bitcoin short squeeze wipes out US$400M in 24 hours: What comes next

Bitcoin’s sharp rebound did more than reclaim lost ground. It triggered a broad crypto short squeeze that wiped out roughly US$400 million of bearish futures bets in a single day. This move reflects a market driven less by fresh fundamentals and more by crowded positioning, negative funding, and thin liquidity that amplified a relatively modest spot bid. The rally itself was a technical bounce driven by extreme fear and heavy short positioning, rather than a clear new macro catalyst. That distinction matters because it shapes how we interpret the next leg of price action.

The scale of the liquidation event underscores the fragility that had built up. One report estimates that over US$400 million in crypto shorts were liquidated in 24 hours, out of about US$463 million in total liquidations. Bitcoin led the charge, bouncing from the low US$60,000s to near US$69,000. Ethereum gained around 12 per cent while Solana advanced nearly 14 per cent in the same window. The broader market added about six per cent to seven per cent in a day. That liquidation tally included roughly US$200 million in Bitcoin shorts, US$153 million in Ethereum, and around US$22 million in Solana shorts across major derivatives venues. This forced buying from short sellers covering positions created a powerful feedback loop that pushed prices higher with remarkable speed.

Positioning had become dangerously one-sided in the weeks leading up to the rebound. Persistent outflows from Bitcoin products and fresh inflows into short Bitcoin vehicles showed investors had leaned bearish via derivatives and ETPs. Derivatives data revealed negative funding rates and liquidity skewed toward upside liquidations. One study highlighted roughly US$3.5 billion of shorts vulnerable if Bitcoin revisited US$70,000, versus about US$1 billion of longs at risk near US$63,000. That imbalance created an upside liquidity magnet for the price. Analysts characterised the rally as a technical bounce driven by extreme fear, heavy short positioning, and thin liquidity, rather than a clear new macro or fundamental catalyst. This dynamic rewards those who monitor funding rates and open interest as leading indicators of potential volatility.

The crypto move did not occur in isolation. Traditional markets provided a supportive backdrop. NVIDIA shares rose in extended trading after forecasting first-quarter revenue of US$76.4 billion to US$79.6 billion, significantly exceeding the US$72.8 billion analyst consensus. In the previous session, the S&P 500 reclaimed the 6,900 level, closing at 6,946.13 with a gain of 0.81 per cent. The Nasdaq Composite surged 1.26 per cent to end at 23,152.08. The US 10-year Treasury yield edged up slightly to 4.05 per cent. Markets remain focused on a 98 per cent probability that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at its March 18 meeting. Spot gold rose to US$5,186.22 per ounce, continuing its bullish trend amidst geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainty. Crude oil traded near US$65.68 a barrel as traders balanced high US inventories against potential sanctions on Iran. These cross-asset moves helped stabilise risk sentiment just as crypto derivatives were primed for a squeeze.

Regional developments added further nuance. The SET Index in Thailand rose 1.72 per cent following an unexpected 25-basis-point rate cut by the Bank of Thailand to 1.0 per cent. The South Korean won eased to approximately 1,446 per dollar as investors grew cautious ahead of the Bank of Korea’s policy meeting on February 26, where rates are expected to hold steady at 2.50 per cent. Corporate results are also filtered through. Karoon Energy reported 2025 sales revenue of US$628.6 million, noting headwinds from lower oil prices despite solid production. Integrated Research saw its shares fall 6.25 per cent following a challenging first-half fiscal report. These regional and corporate signals remind us that crypto does not trade in a vacuum. Global capital flows and risk appetite shift in tandem across asset classes and geographies.

After the squeeze, Bitcoin futures open interest slipped from over 240,000 BTC to around 235,000 BTC while funding remained slightly negative. This suggests leverage was reduced, but the market has not fully flipped to aggressive longs. Option flows also matter. Around 115,000 BTC options, notionally worth several billion dollars, are set to expire at the end of the month. Positioning around max pain levels will likely influence short-term price paths. Key technical levels many traders watch are resistance zones near US$70,000 to US$72,000 and support in the low US$60,000s, where prior selling exhausted and buyers stepped in. These levels frame the battlefield for the next move.

For informed observers, this means we are in a positioning reset phase. If shorts rebuild near resistance, another squeeze remains possible. If longs crowd in and funding flips strongly positive, the next move could be a sharp pullback instead. The market now trades in a broad range with significant options and derivatives overhang. Volatility can stay elevated as participants navigate this delicate balance. I watch funding rates, open interest trends, and price behaviour around the US$70,000 to US$72,000 band as critical signals. The upcoming options expiry adds another layer of complexity that could amplify moves in either direction.

Those who focus on positioning data rather than headlines will be better equipped to navigate what comes next. In a market where technicals and leverage often overshadow fundamentals, disciplined analysis of derivatives flows remains the most reliable compass.

 
 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

S&P 500 correlation hits 60 per cent while Bitcoin tests critical support

S&P 500 correlation hits 60 per cent while Bitcoin tests critical support

The crypto market declined 0.65 per cent over the past 24 hours, bringing its total valuation to US$2.22 trillion. Bitcoin led the downturn as institutional sellers aggressively exited positions. Data shows a strong 60 per cent correlation with the S&P 500, indicating a shared macro-driven move across asset classes. Investors observe this connection to understand how traditional finance influences digital assets. Bitcoin’s dominance currently sits at 57.88 per cent, highlighting its role as the market leader.

The core driver remains continued institutional distribution as large holders reduce exposure. This shift means capital leaves the ecosystem at a significant rate. The primary reason for this drop involves sustained institutional outflows from the United States of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. SEC filings revealed net selling of these shares, equivalent to roughly 25,000 BTC, in the fourth quarter of 2025. This unwinding of institutional positions creates persistent sell pressure that weighs heavily on prices. Capital exits the regulated gateway for institutional crypto exposure, undermining a key pillar of recent market support. Traders watch daily ETF flow data closely because a consecutive string of net inflows would stabilise Bitcoin and the broader market.

The secondary reasons for the decline include spillover from a risk-off move in tech equities and persistently negative market sentiment. Readings reflect extreme fear in the market with the Fear and Greed Index at 11. This low number suggests investors feel panic rather than opportunity. Crypto moves with traditional risk assets and does not decouple during these periods. A sell-off in tech stocks contributed to the risk-off environment, and uncertainty around AI advancements, such as the Anthropic Claude launch, fuelled this sentiment. This sentiment compounds the extreme fear in crypto and amplifies the downturn.

Negative macro sentiment and equity weakness work together to push values lower. Investors should watch for stabilisation in major tech indices such as QQQ and SPY as a precursor to relief in crypto. Sentiment shifted from AI disruption fears to AI opportunity after the AMD Meta deal. Battered software stocks also stabilised as investors reconsidered the immediate threat of AI replacing existing enterprise systems. This stabilisation in tech could help crypto if the correlation holds true.

The near-term market outlook depends on Bitcoin defending the US$2.17 trillion total market cap, which marks the yearly low. The Relative Strength Index at 36.96 suggests the market is approaching oversold territory but has not yet reached it. A break below US$2.17 trillion could trigger another leg down toward the 200-day moving average near US$3.07 trillion, according to the provided technical analysis. Conversely, a hold above support combined with a return of positive ETF flows could set the stage for a technical bounce.

The key trigger to watch involves the release of daily United States Bitcoin ETF flow data. A reversal hinges on sustained positive ETF net flows. Without this change, the bearish pressure will likely continue. The downturn fuels itself through institutional capital rotation out of Bitcoin ETFs, and correlated weakness in tech stocks exacerbates the pressure. Technical indicators show the market becomes oversold, but a definitive bottom requires a shift in institutional behaviour.

Broader economic factors also play a critical role in shaping this landscape. Policy uncertainty emerged as a new 10 per cent global United States tariff came into effect on 24 February. Markets appeared to have largely priced in the impact following recent Supreme Court rulings. Consumer confidence supports the S&P 500 after the Consumer Confidence Index rose to 91.2 in February. This number beat economist predictions of 87.4 and provides some stability to equities.

Energy and geopolitics influence the picture as crude oil prices eased by approximately one per cent. Iran indicated readiness to negotiate ahead of nuclear talks scheduled for Thursday. Brent futures settled at US$70.77 per barrel, which helps reduce inflationary fears slightly. Commodities and Treasury yields show mixed signals that affect risk appetite. Gold prices pulled back slightly on 24 February to approximately US$5,150 per ounce as profit-taking occurred after Monday’s record-setting rally. Indian-based prices for 24K gold reached a new high of ₹1.62 lakh per 10 grams on 25 February, driven by continued safe-haven demand. This divergence shows that investors are seeking safety in physical assets as trading volumes adjust in Western markets.

Treasuries indicate steady yield expectations, as the benchmark 10-year United States Treasury yield held near 4.04 per cent. The two-year yield ticked up slightly to 3.459 per cent, which signals short-term rate expectations remain firm. Currency markets show the United States Dollar firmed while the Japanese Yen weakened. The USD/JPY pair pulled above 155.25, reflecting strength in the greenback against major peers.

A strong dollar often pressures risk assets like crypto because it reduces the appeal of non-yielding investments. Sentiment shifted from AI disruption fears to AI opportunity after the AMD Meta deal. Battered software stocks also stabilised as investors reconsidered the immediate threat of AI replacing existing enterprise systems. This stabilisation in tech could benefit crypto if the correlation holds. The business landscape evolves rapidly, and these shifts matter for digital asset valuations. Investors must weigh the tariff impacts against the gains in consumer confidence. The interplay between oil prices and gold demand shows a complex global picture.

Market outlook remains bearish under current conditions. Only a sustained shift in the above-mentioned areas will reverse the current trend. The market waits for clarity on institutional intent and macro stability. Until then, the pressure remains on the downside.

 

Source: https://e27.co/sp-500-correlation-hits-60-per-cent-while-bitcoin-tests-critical-support-20260225/

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

Why Bitcoin dropped to US$64,100: Trump tariffs, US$2.6B ETF outflows, and extreme fear grip crypto

Why Bitcoin dropped to US$64,100: Trump tariffs, US$2.6B ETF outflows, and extreme fear grip crypto

The cryptocurrency market faces a sharp correction as macroeconomic headwinds collide with fragile investor sentiment. President Trump’s announcement to raise global tariffs from 10 per cent to 15 per cent ignited a risk-off cascade, pulling capital from volatile assets like Bitcoin into traditional safe havens such as gold. This move, framed as a protective measure for the domestic industry, instead sparked immediate fears of a global trade war and resurgent inflation. Investors reacted swiftly, and the digital asset space bore the brunt of this repricing.

Macroeconomic pressure serves as the central catalyst for today’s decline. The tariff hike represents more than a trade adjustment. It signals a potential shift toward protectionism that could disrupt global supply chains and elevate costs for consumers and businesses alike. Geopolitical tensions, including a potential conflict between the United States and Iran, compound this anxiety and further strain market confidence. When traditional markets wobble, crypto often amplifies the move due to its higher beta.

Bitcoin’s drop below the critical US$65,000 support level triggered over US$460 million in liquidations across the market. This cascade of forced selling from overleveraged traders accelerated the price drop, creating a feedback loop that pushed Bitcoin near US$64,100, a decline of approximately five per cent. Ethereum followed suit, falling below US$1,900 to trade near US$1,840. Altcoins experienced even steeper losses, with Solana down seven per cent and XRP down six per cent. The Fear and Greed Index now sits at 11, reflecting extreme fear among investors. This metric, while useful, often captures short-term emotion rather than long-term value.

Institutional flows provide another layer to this downturn. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen significant outflows, with roughly US$2.6 billion exiting year to date. Major institutions, like BlackRock, reported single-day outflows of up to US$373 million. These numbers highlight how quickly institutional capital can rotate when macro conditions shift. It remains important to distinguish between strategic rebalancing and panic selling.

Some institutions may be reducing exposure temporarily to manage portfolio risk, not abandoning the asset class entirely. On-chain data adds further context, showing increased selling from whales and mining companies. Bitdeer, for instance, reportedly sold its entire Bitcoin holdings to support its balance sheet. While this activity adds selling pressure, it also reflects the diverse motivations of market participants. Miners often sell to cover operational costs, and large holders may take profits or adjust positions based on their own risk assessments. These actions are part of a maturing market’s ecosystem, not necessarily a signal of impending collapse.

The broader equity market painted a similar picture of risk aversion. Major US stock indices ended sharply lower on Monday, February 23, 2026, driven by renewed tariff uncertainty and mounting fears that artificial intelligence could disrupt corporate profits. The Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered its worst session in weeks, plunging 821.91 points to close at 48,804.06. The S&P 500 fell 1.04 per cent to 6,837.75, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slid 1.13 per cent to 22,627.27. Tariff uncertainty weighed heavily on trade-sensitive stocks like American Eagle Outfitters and Ralph Lauren. Simultaneously, markets grappled with a viral research report suggesting that AI could spark a race to the bottom in white-collar work.

IBM became the S&P 500’s biggest loser, tumbling 13 per cent in its worst day since 2000, after Anthropic’s Claude Code was touted as a tool to modernise COBOL programming, potentially threatening IBM’s legacy mainframe business. Financials also faced significant declines, with JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and American Express all posting major losses. Consumer Staples bucked the trend, leading the few gainers as investors sought defensive positions. This sector rotation underscores how quickly capital moves when uncertainty rises.

Global markets reacted with mixed signals on Tuesday, February 24, 2026. Asian markets opened with divergence. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.79 per cent following a holiday, while mainland Chinese shares saw gains as they returned from the Lunar New Year break, supported by optimism over potentially lower US tariffs following the Supreme Court’s ruling. This regional variation highlights how local factors can temper or amplify global trends.

For crypto, which trades continuously across borders, these disparities create both challenges and opportunities. Arbitrage possibilities emerge, but so does increased volatility as traders digest conflicting signals. The market is currently testing the US$60,000 psychological support level for Bitcoin. A break below this could signal further downside toward US$50,000. Support levels are not immutable. They represent zones where buyer interest may emerge, not guaranteed floors.

From my perspective, today’s decline reflects the growing pains of an asset class still finding its place within the global financial system. Crypto markets remain highly sensitive to macroeconomic narratives, but this sensitivity does not invalidate their long-term potential. The convergence of AI and blockchain, a theme I explore extensively, suggests that technological innovation will continue to drive value creation beyond short-term price action. The current risk-off environment tests investor resolve, but it also separates speculative noise from substantive projects. Decentralised systems offer resilience that traditional finance often lacks, and they are not immune to sentiment shifts.

The key lies in maintaining a focus on fundamentals: network activity, developer engagement, and real-world utility. These metrics matter more than daily price fluctuations.

 

Source: https://e27.co/why-bitcoin-dropped-to-us64100-trump-tariffs-us2-6b-etf-outflows-and-extreme-fear-grip-crypto-20260224/

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j