The US Wants Crypto Innovation: So Why Is It Still Regulating with an Orange-Era Test?

The US Wants Crypto Innovation: So Why Is It Still Regulating with an Orange-Era Test?
  • The Howey test struggles to classify decentralized crypto networks and modern token designs.
  • Functional token utility should matter more than speculative trading expectations.

The United States financial regulatory landscape stands at a critical juncture. With the recent passage of key stablecoin legislation, the GENIUS Act in July 2025, and the ongoing, highly anticipated debate over comprehensive market structure bills like the CLARITY Act in early 2026, the nation is opening up to the crypto economy.

This momentum, coupled with a discernible shift in administrative posture from enforcement-heavy to innovation-friendly, signals a new era for digital assets.

Why the Howey Test No Longer Fits Crypto

The cornerstone of U.S. securities law, the 1946 Howey test, remains an anachronistic and ill-suited tool for the nuances of a rapidly evolving, often decentralized technological paradigm.

It is my firm opinion that relying solely on this decades-old precedent for a modern, multi-trillion-dollar global market is a fool’s errand that stifles innovation while failing to provide genuine investor protection. A new, crypto-centric framework is not just a regulatory desire; it is an economic necessity.

An Orange Grove Test Meets Decentralized Finance

The original Howey test, born from a dispute over orange groves in Florida, determines a security if there is an investment of money in a common enterprise with a reasonable expectation of profits derived solely from the efforts of others.

This framework, while flexible in its time, struggles to capture the essence of decentralized finance (DeFi), where the efforts of others are often distributed among countless, sometimes anonymous, participants, governed by immutable code rather than a central corporation.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has attempted to modernize its application, most notably with 2025 guidance emphasizing the expectation of profit and issuer influence criteria. This still leaves a gaping chasm of uncertainty, particularly for projects aiming for true decentralization.

Legal Uncertainty and the Cost to Institutional Adoption

The current approach fosters an environment where an asset may be considered a security at launch but a commodity later. This legal gray area is what most institutional investors fear to tread, thus hindering mainstream adoption and keeping the U.S. from cementing its crypto capital status.

We need a bespoke instrument, a DeFi Howey, that provides the clear token taxonomy that regulators and builders alike desperately need. This new test must be built on the reality of distributed ledger technology (DLT), not shoehorned into an outdated agricultural precedent.

Toward a Crypto-Centric Regulatory Framework

Drawing on proposals such as Commissioner Hester Peirce’s safe harbor and the functional token taxonomy advanced by industry leaders, I propose a crypto-centric regulatory framework built around four core rules. The goal is to promote U.S. innovation while preserving investor protection.

Rule One: The Decentralization Threshold

A modern framework must establish a clear, verifiable standard for decentralization. Once a network or protocol meets this threshold, it should exit securities law oversight and fall under a commodity framework, likely overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

Rather than relying on vague claims of “no central party,” regulators should assess measurable factors such as token ownership dispersion, the number of independent validators, and the immutability of smart contracts.

For example, if no single entity, including the founding team, controls more than a defined share—such as 20%—of governance tokens or validation power, the project would qualify. This provides a predictable path from launch to decentralization, addressing one of the industry’s most persistent legal uncertainties.

Rule Two: Functional Utility Versus Speculative Intent

The framework should prioritize a token’s actual use within a live network over speculative expectations. Tokens that serve clear, consumptive purposes—such as paying network fees, accessing services, or participating in on-chain governance—should be treated differently from passive investment instruments.

This functional approach better reflects how crypto networks operate and reduces the risk of utility tokens being swept into securities litigation solely due to secondary-market trading behavior.

Rule Three: Transparency and On-Chain Disclosure

Investor protection should be achieved through standardized, on-chain disclosures rather than traditional prospectuses. Projects should provide machine-readable information on audits, token supply and distribution, governance structures, and material risks.

This “code is law, disclosure is compliance” model aligns with the transparency of public blockchains and builds on disclosure principles embedded in the CLARITY Act.

Rule Four: Intermediary Liability and Consumer Safeguards

Regulation should focus on centralized intermediaries where most retail users interact. The GENIUS Act sets a useful precedent through reserve requirements and AML obligations. Strong oversight of exchanges and service providers can protect consumers without constraining decentralized innovation.

A Narrow Window to Get Crypto Regulation Right

The U.S. is at a pivotal moment. The current legislative momentum offers a rare chance to get this right. By moving beyond the archaic limitations of the Howey test and embracing a bespoke, forward-thinking framework, we can provide the regulatory clarity the market craves, protect investors, and ensure America remains a global leader in the digital financial revolution.

Sticking to the old ways in a new world is a path to irrelevance, and that is a price the U.S. economy cannot afford to pay.

 

Source: https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/the-us-wants-crypto-innovation-so-why-is-it-still-regulating-with-an-orange-era-test/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Crypto in the danger zone: Technical weakness, low volume, and a critical support test

Crypto in the danger zone: Technical weakness, low volume, and a critical support test

January 22 delivered a compelling narrative of a global financial landscape in flux, where traditional equities soared on the wings of diplomatic optimism while the volatile realm of digital assets cooled significantly. The day was marked by a second consecutive session of gains for major US stock indices, a direct consequence of easing geopolitical tensions and a corresponding retreat of the US dollar. This confluence of factors painted a complex picture for investors everywhere, highlighting a clear rotation of capital back into regional markets and safe-haven commodities.

My view is that these events highlight a fragile market sentiment, heavily influenced by headline news and the immediate unwinding of risk positions. The market’s sharp positive reaction to President Trump’s reported “framework” deal over Greenland, which ostensibly cooled global tensions and averted a looming trade war with new European tariffs, reveals a nervous system quick to price in relief. This optimism was evident in the performance of the S&P 500, which advanced 0.55 per cent to close at 6,913.35, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which rose 0.63 per cent (306.78 points) to 49,384.01, and the Nasdaq Composite, which gained 0.91 per cent to settle at 23,436.02. This movement was not without specific stock stories, as tech giants such as Nvidia, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms all ended higher, and Intel shares rose slightly ahead of their quarterly results. Conversely, Abbott Laboratories shares fell sharply, reminding us that company-specific fundamentals, such as the impact of higher prices on sales growth, always matter, even amid broader market rallies.

The easing of global tensions also had a palpable effect on commodities and currencies. The US dollar index was 0.5 per cent lower at 98.30, marking its biggest single-day fall in a month. This decline acted as a potent catalyst for gold, the traditional safe-haven metal, which soared to an all-time high, climbing above US$4,960 an ounce in the spot market. It is a classic market reaction: a weakening dollar and reduced global risk perception often see a surge in the appeal of the yellow metal. Concurrently, WTI crude futures fell below US$60 a barrel, declining more than two per cent to US$59.35, as the geopolitical risk premium that often elevates oil prices evaporated with news of the diplomatic breakthrough. The bond market remained relatively stable throughout, with the 10-year Treasury yield at approximately 4.25 per cent, little changed from the previous day’s close.

However, a different, more cautious mood permeated the digital asset ecosystem. While traditional assets rallied, the crypto market fell 0.64 per cent over the last 24 hours, extending a seven-day decline of 6.5 per cent. This divergence suggests a distinct risk-off environment within the crypto space, driven by specific structural concerns rather than immediate global headlines. My take is that the crypto market is currently grappling with a crisis of conviction, primarily stemming from large institutional players. The data is clear: spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded US$1.58 billion in net outflows this week, a powerful signal of institutional profit taking and reduced exposure. This consistent selling pressure is outweighing retail buying, creating a market that lacks a necessary institutional bid to support prices.

The lack of institutional support is compounded by a significant plunge in trading activity. Total 24-hour trading volume fell 32.8 per cent to US$98.43 billion, with derivatives volume down 37 per cent. This sharp drop indicates low trader conviction and reduced liquidity, making prices prone to slippage even on modest sell orders. In thin markets, downward moves are often amplified. Technically, the market is testing a critical support level at the 78.6 per cent Fibonacci retracement level of US$3.01 trillion global market cap. The RSI sits at 43.74, neutral but weak. The conclusion I draw is that this is not a broad market panic but a targeted period of consolidation rooted in institutional caution and evaporating volumes.

For holders, the immediate future hinges on whether these ETF outflows persist and if that crucial US$3.01 trillion support level can hold firm over the next 48 hours. The contrasting performance of traditional and digital markets on this day provides a fascinating study of how different asset classes react to unique combinations of macro and microeconomic pressures.

 

Source: https://e27.co/crypto-in-the-danger-zone-technical-weakness-low-volume-and-a-critical-support-test-20260123/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j

Trump’s Davos reversal sparks massive relief rally in global stocks, cryptocurrencies

Trump’s Davos reversal sparks massive relief rally in global stocks, cryptocurrencies

I see a powerful reversal in global markets today, driven by a sudden calming of geopolitical waters that had only recently threatened to boil over. The primary catalyst was American President Donald Trump stepping back from the brink of a trade conflict with Europe. This immediate de-escalation saw a massive rotation back into riskier assets, effectively erasing the previous session’s sharp sell-off and highlighting just how sensitive modern markets are to political rhetoric.

My observation is that we live in an era in which a single statement from a world leader can swing billions of dollars in value in mere hours. The abandonment of tariff threats, framed around a supposed framework deal over Greenland at the World Economic Forum in Davos, instantly surged investor appetite for risk. This dynamic makes market stability a fragile thing, tethered closely to the whims of political negotiation.

US stock markets ended the day sharply higher, with every major index gaining over 1.1 per cent. The rally was broad and decisive. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ascended 588.64 points, a 1.21 per cent gain, to close at 49,077.23. The S&P 500 advanced 78.76 points, or 1.16 per cent, ending at 6,875.62. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite also jumped, adding 270.50 points, a 1.18 per cent rise, to reach 23,224.83. This momentum was not confined to American shores, as Asian markets also registered gains, signalling a global response to eased tensions.

Simultaneously, a potent dose of AI optimism fueled specific sectors. NVIDIA Corp. Chief Executive Jensen Huang’s statements at Davos, emphasising the critical need for multi-trillion-dollar investments in global AI infrastructure, provided a significant boost to chip stocks and related suppliers. This confluence of geopolitical relief and technological foresight created a strong bullish environment for equities.

The shift in sentiment profoundly impacted commodity markets. Safe-haven demand for gold evaporated as the fear gauge dropped, pushing the spot price down nearly one per cent to around US$4,793.63 per ounce. This followed a record peak in the previous session, perfectly illustrating gold’s traditional role as a crisis hedge. Meanwhile, crude oil prices, specifically West Texas Intermediate, edged up slightly to US$60.76 a barrel, a modest rise likely tied to broader economic optimism rather than supply-side concerns.

In the currency and bond markets, moves were more subdued but still reflected the risk-on mood. The euro was largely unchanged against the dollar, trading at US$1.1685. The Japanese yen fell slightly to 158.47 per dollar, a classic sign of receding risk aversion. The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced one basis point to 4.25 per cent, indicating slightly less demand for the safety of government debt. Investors are now keenly awaiting today’s American economic data releases, including Final GDP and Initial Jobless Claims figures, which could provide the next impetus for market movement.

The cryptocurrency market presented a fascinating, slightly divergent narrative. The broader crypto market rose 0.82 per cent over the last 24 hours, driven by unique internal dynamics involving institutional developments and derivatives activity, even as headline cryptocurrencies Bitcoin and Ether edged lower in the daily market snapshot, with Bitcoin trading around US$89,926.23. My view here is that the crypto market is maturing, developing drivers that are not always perfectly correlated with traditional finance’s daily movements.

The underlying strength in crypto stems from smart money accumulation. On-chain data reveals a clear divergence: Bitcoin whales, holding over 1,000 BTC, accumulated during a recent dip to US$89.4K, while smaller retail wallets sold off. This signals long-term confidence among major players, who see current levels as undervalued. The result was a 49 per cent fall in 24-hour Bitcoin liquidations to US$184.5 million, significantly reducing forced selling pressure and indicating robust underlying support.

Institutional milestones provided further bullish impetus. BitGo priced its initial public offering at US$18 per share, becoming the first major crypto custody firm to go public. This landmark event, coupled with F/m Investments’ filing to tokenise a Treasury exchange-traded fund on-chain, signals maturing infrastructure and regulatory progress. These developments attract traditional capital; indeed, TradFi inflows via ETFs remained stable, with assets under management totalling US$120.7 billion.

The derivatives market is where things get truly dynamic, if a little risky. Perpetual volume spiked 36 per cent to a massive US$1.32 trillion, with average funding rates rising 85 per cent weekly. Short-term traders are clearly leveraging bullish bets. However, open interest fell four per cent, suggesting some profit-taking after recent rallies. High funding rates, around +0.0037 per cent, also increase the inherent volatility risk, underscoring the need for careful management of this momentum.

In conclusion, today’s market activity is a powerful combination of global political relief and targeted sectoral optimism. The crypto uptick reflects strategic whale buying and institutional validation. While technical indicators show the market remains in a state of ‘Fear,’ as indicated by a CMC Index of 34, these underlying factors point toward cautious optimism prevailing.

All eyes are now on Bitcoin’s reaction as it tests the critical US$90K psychological level and on the forthcoming SEC decisions on F/m’s innovative tokenised ETF. The landscape remains complex, but for today, the bulls are firmly in control.

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j