以太坊价格展望:2025年ETH会达到5,000美元吗?

以太坊价格展望:2025年ETH会达到5,000美元吗?

截至2025 年3月12日,以太坊(ETH)市场价格约为1,899美元。这一价格虽然较历史高点有所回落,但仍然是市场上最具影响力加密资产之一。随着区块链技术进步、去中心化金融(DeFi)应用发展以及机构投资者逐步入场,ETH未来价格走势成为市场关注焦点。

然而市场对于以太坊未来走势预测存在巨大分歧。一方面,乐观分析认为,以太坊发展潜力依然强劲,随着供需关係演变,ETH价格有望在2025 年突破5,000美元,甚至创下历史新高。另一方面,也有专家持悲观态度,认为若市场进入长期熊市,ETH价格可能大幅下跌。Yuga Labs区块链副总裁甚至表示,ETH价格可能跌至200美元,这将是当前价格90%暴跌。这种极端预测反映了市场不确定性,也显示了投资者应保持谨慎态度。

 

以太坊价格预测概述

年份 目标价格 关键因素
2025 $3,300-$5,050
  • 技术不断进步
  • 增加机构采用
2026 $4,350-$9,900
  • 发展 DeFi 和 NFT 生态系统
  • 增强市场情绪
2030 $9,850-$79,600
  • 广泛采用区块链
  • 宏观经济趋势与以太坊在 Web3 中的主导地位

2025 年ETH价格预测:乐观与保守并存

多家分析机构对ETH在2025 年价格预测给出了不同数据,但整体而言,大多数预测都显示以太坊可能会迎来显着增长。根据Binance数据,Changelly预计ETH最低价格可能达到7,336.62美元,而CoinCodex则认为ETH有可能在2025 年底突破28,700美元高点。这一数据显示,市场对以太坊未来仍抱有较高期待。

LiteFinance分析师则给出了更为保守预测,认为到2025 年12月,ETH价格可能在7,223.05美元至8,232.65美元之间,若市场环境不如预期,价格甚至可能仅达4,048.85美元。Cryptopolitan预测则显示,2025 年底ETH平均市场价格可能为5,594美元,并且预计到2028年,ETH价格将稳步提升至17,426美元至19,808美元之间,平均价格约为18,011美元。

此外,Finder专家小组研究显示,在42位加密货币行业专家评估下,ETH价格可能在2025 年飙升至17,810美元。这些数据显示,即便市场可能会出现短期波动,但整体趋势仍然以增长为主。

以太坊价格分析

影响 ETH 价格的近期事件

2024 年以太坊取得重大进展,对其生态系统及其在机构融资中的作用产生了显著影响。其中一大亮点是美国证券交易委员会(SEC)于 5 月份批准了首批以太坊 ETF,并于 7 月份开始交易。

这些现货 ETF 直接跟踪以太坊的价格,为投资者提供了一种更简单的方式来获得该资产的风险敞口,预计将吸引大量机构资金流入。最佳以太坊ETF包括富达以太坊基金(FETH)和Bitwise以太坊ETF(ETHW)。

此外,Dencun升级旨在增强以太坊网络的可扩展性并降低交易成本。这次升级,特别是通过Proto-Danksharding(EIP-4844),降低了第 2 层卷积的气体费用,使以太坊更加高效、更具竞争力。然而,Solana 最近在日活跃用户数和交易量上的优异表现表明竞争日益激烈。这些指标凸显了以太坊继续创新以保持其市场主导地位的必要性。

影响ETH价格核心因素

ETH价格变动并非单纯依赖市场情绪,而是受到多方面因素影响。首先,以太坊2.0技术升级将是决定其价格走势关键。以太坊2.0不仅将提升网络效率和可扩展性,还将引入权益证明(PoS)机制,降低交易成本,增强ETH作为金融资产吸引力。如果技术升级顺利,ETH价值将有望进一步提升。

其次,以太坊市场採用率同样是影响价格重要因素。作为DeFi和NFT生态系统核心,ETH需求与这些新兴应用发展息息相关。如果DeFi继续扩展,NFT市场重新回暖,或者出现更多基于以太坊区块链应用,那麽ETH需求将进一步推高价格。

此外,全球监管环境变化也是影响ETH价格重要因素。各国政府对加密货币监管政策可能影响投资者信心,例如美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管行动,或者其他主要经济体对加密资产政策变动,都可能影响市场流动性和ETH投资前景。如果监管政策趋严,可能会抑制ETH增长;相反,如果监管框架趋于明朗且有利于市场发展,那麽ETH价格可能会受到激励,迎来新一轮上涨。

未来 30 天以太坊价格预测

最近,比特币因创下历史新高而成为人们关注的焦点,以太坊加密货币也致力于打破其在 2021 年 11 月 10 日创下的价格纪录。

以下以太坊价格预测基于我们专有的估算技术。我们的分析师在现有历史数据的基础上使用数学和统计方法进行预测。以太坊预测和估计目标价格每天更新。

日期 低位 平均价格 潜力高位
2025 年 3 月 13 日 $1,894.57 $1,894.90 $1,897.38
2025 年 3 月 14 日 $1,894.92 $1,895.56 $1,900.56
2025 年 3 月 15 日 $1,895.25 $1,896.22 $1,903.68
2025 年 3 月 16 日 $1,895.60 $1,896.89 $1,906.89
2025 年 3 月 17 日 $1,895.93 $1,897.53 $1,909.96
2025 年 3 月 18 日 $1,896.29 $1,898.23 $1,913.25
2025 年 3 月 19 日 $1,896.62 $1,898.87 $1,916.33
2025 年 3 月 20 日 $1,896.96 $1,899.53 $1,919.44
2025 年 3 月 21 日 $1,897.31 $1,900.20 $1,922.68
2025 年 3 月 22 日 $1,897.63 $1,900.83 $1,925.65
2025 年 3 月 23 日 $1,898.00 $1,901.55 $1,929.10
2025 年 3 月 24 日 $1,898.33 $1,902.19 $1,932.12
2025 年 3 月 25 日 $1,898.65 $1,902.82 $1,935.11
2025 年 3 月 26 日 $1,899.02 $1,903.54 $1,938.57
2025 年 3 月 27 日 $1,899.33 $1,904.14 $1,941.40
2025 年 3 月 28 日 $1,899.70 $1,904.85 $1,944.80
2025 年 3 月 29 日 $1,900.04 $1,905.52 $1,948.01
2025 年 3 月 30 日 $1,900.37 $1,906.15 $1,951.00
2025 年 3 月 31 日 $1,900.69 $1,906.79 $1,954.04
2025 年 4 月 1 日 $1,901.07 $1,907.52 $1,957.50
2025 年 4 月 2 日 $1,901.37 $1,908.10 $1,960.27
2025 年 4 月 3 日 $1,901.77 $1,908.89 $1,964.04
2025 年 4 月 4 日 $1,902.11 $1,909.54 $1,967.14
2025 年 4 月 5 日 $1,902.46 $1,910.22 $1,970.38
2025 年 4 月 6 日 $1,902.73 $1,910.74 $1,972.85
2025 年 4 月 7 日 $1,903.06 $1,911.38 $1,975.91
2025 年 4 月 8 日 $1,903.40 $1,912.04 $1,979.05
2025 年 4 月 9 日 $1,903.79 $1,912.81 $1,982.72
2025 年 4 月 10 日 $1,904.07 $1,913.36 $1,985.33
2025 年 4 月 11 日 $1,904.49 $1,914.16 $1,989.14

2025 年 ETH 价格预测

  • 价格展望:预计 2025 年的价格区间为 2,900 美元(低)至 5,050 美元(高),平均价格为 3,300 美元。
  • 潜在上升空间: 如果机构投资增长,监管更加清晰,ETH 可能会突破 5,000 美元。
  • 驱动因素:网络升级、DeFi 和第二层增长、更广泛的区块链应用,以及全球经济和地缘政治条件导致的市场波动。

2025 年以太坊的价格将受到多种因素的影响,包括网络升级和宏观经济状况。

技术上,ETH 在继续测试 2,700 美元附近的关键支撑位时,可能会在 3,700 美元附近遇到阻力。

区块链技术 更广泛的加密货币市场的发展轨迹和主要机构可能采用 区块链技术 也将推动需求。全球经济不确定性和地缘政治紧张局势可能会加剧加密货币市场的波动。

尽管如此,以太坊在 DeFi 和 层-2 解决方案 中发挥的作用越来越大,这可能会推动以太坊走向更加看涨的趋势。如果机构投资增加, 加密货币法规 变得更加清晰,根据我们的估计,以太坊可能会在 2025 年达到 5000 美元,超过其 2021 年创下的 4800 美元历史高点。

然而,我们的2025 年以太坊价格预测 预测最低价为3300美元,最高价为5050美元,平均价为4175美元。

到 2025 年,ETH 的价格将达到 6,105 美元。

尽管Bitwise的首席投资官马特-侯根(Matt Hougan)没有给出确切的以太坊价格目标、他对以太坊的前景保持看涨,即使在最近的价格下跌期间也是如此。

“以太坊拥有最活跃开发者、最活跃用户,市值是其最接近的竞争对手的5倍。它是唯一一个在美国获得一定监管支持的可编程区块链,拥有蓬勃发展的受监管期货市场和数十亿美元的 ETF 市场。

“侯根补充说:”它就像区块链中的微软。

谈到 2025 年以太坊价格预测 时,Sparsh Jhamb、Plena Finance CEO斯帕什-詹姆布(Sparsh Jhamb)建议 回顾上一轮牛市。他告诉我们:

“当比特币创下 69000 美元的历史新高时,其市值约为 1.3 万亿美元。以太坊一如既往地不甘落后,市值达到5750亿美元,是当时比特币市值的44%。”

“现在,如果比特币在下一轮牛市中达到 25 万美元,其市值将飙升至约 4.9 万亿美元(基于约 1966 万 BTC 的流通供应)。如果以太坊持有比特币市值的 35%–比上次少一点–其市值仍将达到约 1.72 万亿美元。预计到 2025 年,以太坊的流通量将达到 1.2 亿 ETH,这将使以太坊的价格达到 14335 美元左右。这比我们在上一轮周期中看到的 44% 的主导地位要低一些,但仍然是巨大的增长。

Anndy Lian 政府间区块链专家这样说:

“到 2025 年,以太坊将过渡到权益证明,并在去中心化金融(DeFi)和 NFT 方面发挥越来越大的作用,其价格可能会在 5000 美元到 8000 美元之间”。

VijayPravin Maharajan ,bitsCrunch 的首席执行官兼创始人,维持类似的目标价格:

“展望2025 年,考虑到以太坊在本轮牛市中的表现不如比特币,8000美元是一个合理的目标。然而,以太坊的价格轨迹将取决于能否成功解决网络长期存在的碎片化问题,而市场上第二层解决方案的传送带加剧了这一问题。”

根据 Gemini Institutional Insights 最近的一份报告,大约每 19 天 就会推出一个新的以太坊第 2 层解决方案 ,这引起了人们对流动性分散和可交易资产分散到多个平台的担忧。Maharajan 解释说:

“虽然 L2 卷积对以太坊的发展至关重要,但其中许多都依赖于集中式排序器,这导致了流动性孤岛,并限制了以太坊主网上的价值捕捉。”

2026 年 ETH 价格预测

价格展望:2026 年的预期区间为 4,350 美元(低点)至 9,900 美元(高点),在 7,125 美元附近盘整。

潜在上升空间:DeFi、NFT 和 Web3 的广泛采用将推动大幅增长。

驱动因素:区块链融入全球金融、行业采用、地缘政治发展、监管清晰度和宏观经济稳定性。

到 2026 年,随着区块链技术越来越多地融入全球金融和去中心化应用(dApps),以太坊可能会实现大幅增长。以太坊在 DeFi、NFTs和 Web3 等领域的应用可能会刺激需求。

Rob Viglione ,Horizen 实验室 的联合创始人告诉 我们:

“尽管以太坊的主导地位自2024年夏季以来呈下降趋势,但该资产可能会在2025 年表现出令人难以置信的浮力。以太坊无与伦比的生态系统控制着 DeFi 总价值锁定的一半以上,其二层网络也在不断扩大,基础依然牢固。”

“以太坊ETF可能获得批准,2025 年对加密货币友好的美国证券交易委员会(SEC)将增加机构采用,贝莱德(BlackRock)等主要参与者的代币化努力也将不断增加,这些都可能带来重大利好。结合以太坊的技术成熟度和网络效应,这些因素表明,尽管以太坊近期表现不佳,但仍有强劲的上涨潜力。”

美国和欧洲等关键地区的地缘政治因素和监管清晰度也将在决定价格走势方面发挥关键作用。如果通货膨胀和利率等宏观经济条件趋于稳定,以太坊可能会出现稳步上升的趋势。

然而,经济不稳定或地缘政治紧张局势可能会导致加密货币市场波动加剧。

根据目前的技术指标,2026 年, 以太坊可能会在 7 125 美元附近盘整,在 4 350 美元附近有较强支撑,而在 9 900 美元附近面临阻力。

同时,渣打银行分析师兼加密货币研究主管杰夫-肯德里克(Geoff Kendrick)预测,以太坊可能在2026年达到8000美元。

他说,这只是通往 26,000 美元至 25,000 美元更高估价的 “垫脚石”,但没有给出更高估价的时间框架。

bitsCrunch 的 Maharajan 认为,到 2026 年, 以太坊作为 Web3 骨干的地位可能会将其价格推得更高、”随着第 2 层解决方案的进一步成熟和机构对以太坊 ETF 兴趣的增强,以太坊的价格有可能达到 15000 美元 。”

Lian赞同这一预测,认为”以太坊可能受益于第2层扩展解决方案,有可能达到8000-15000美元 “。

然而,Plena Finance 的Sparsh Jhamb却不那么乐观。他说:

“到 2026 年,我们可能会进入下一个熊市–这通常发生在大牛市之后。但这一次,情况可能不会那么戏剧化。随着机构甚至政府开始采用比特币和以太坊,我们可能会看到一个比以往周期更加稳定的市场。”

2030 年 ETH 价格预测

价格展望:预计 2030 年的价格区间为 9850 美元(低价)至 79600 美元(高价),平均价格约为 12000 美元。

潜在上升空间:在主流区块链采用、可扩展性改进和机构参与的推动下,以太坊可能创下新高。

驱动因素:DeFi和企业采用、”蛰伏 “后的市场动态、增强的可扩展性、监管清晰度、市场波动性和地缘政治稳定性。

概述2030年以太坊价格预测,在DeFi和企业解决方案广泛采用的推动下,我们可能会预期ETH的价格会大幅上涨。从历史上看,”蜕壳 “后的周期会引发 整个加密货币市场的牛市运行 ,以太坊很可能会遵循这种模式。

考虑到之前的周期,以太坊可能会在 2030 年经历类似的暴涨,就像 2021 年的牛市一样。届时,随着区块链应用成为主流,以太坊的价格可能平均达到 12,000 美元,测试20,000 美元附近的阻力。

可扩展性的提高和机构的采用等因素将在保持这一势头方面发挥至关重要的作用。主要市场更广泛的地缘政治稳定性和监管清晰度将进一步支持以太坊的增长。

如果这些趋势得以保持,以太坊可能会达到前所未有的高点,使其成为全球数字经济的核心资产;否则,它可能会面临 4600 美元的低点。

根据 VanEck 的 ETH 长期价格预测:

“以太坊可能会成为数字资产中的强者,预计到 2030 年,其代币价格将达到 11.8 千美元。以太坊的独特方法结合了全球分布式基础设施、智能合约功能和可实现无信任交易的数字商务模式。

Finder 的专家小组成员支持 VanEck 看涨以太坊的立场,预计以太坊到 2030 年将达到 12 059 美元。

展望以太坊的未来,Sparsh Jhamb说:

“如果以太坊的市值达到比特币的30%,那么它的市值将达到3万亿至4.5万亿美元。估计有1.2亿个ETH在流通,以太坊的价格将在25000美元到37500美元之间,这反映了它作为去中心化应用和智能合约的基础区块链的持续优势。”

“这些预测可能听起来雄心勃勃,但随着以太坊的迅速普及和巨大潜力,它们是完全可以实现的”。

Vijay Pravin Maharajan称:”以太坊的价格可能会攀升至2万美元或更高,但来自其他区块链的激烈竞争和市场波动期带来了无处不在的挑战。

Anndy Lian 也持类似观点,他说:”以太坊作为 Web3 的支柱,到 2030 年可能会超过 2 万美元。

Storm Trade的联合创始人丹尼斯-瓦辛(Denis Vasin)告诉我们,但没有给出确切的价格目标:

“如果我们展望未来数年,以太坊以牺牲 L2 为代价的潜力增长将体现在其价值上。因此,我们可能会看到一个稳定的增长,不是因为瞬间的投机,而是因为使用这个平台的经济学发生了根本性的变化。”

以太坊的协议升级会影响 ETH 的价格吗?

以太坊即将进行的协议升级,特别是Pectra升级,旨在提高网络效率和用户体验。

Pectra 结合了 Prague 和 Electra 的升级,引入了 EIP-3074 等功能,通过账户抽象将传统钱包与智能合约整合在一起。这种集成简化了交易,降低了燃气费,可能会提高用户采用率。

从历史上看,此类改进通过吸引更多用户和开发者,对以太坊的价格产生了积极影响。例如,2024 年 3 月的 Dencun 升级提高了可扩展性,导致价格飙升。

在谈到 Pectra 对以太坊未来的影响时,Vijay Pravin Maharajan 告诉 Cryptonews:

以太坊网络即将迎来自 “合并 “以来最具影响力的更新,即将到来的 Pectra 升级将成为以太坊生态系统变革的里程碑。Pectra 将于 2025 年初推出,旨在提高可扩展性和可访问性。以太坊可扩展性升级的完成对于提高交易吞吐量和降低成本、吸引更多开发者和用户加入生态系统至关重要。

预计 Pectra升级不会对以太坊的价值产生重大影响。她说:

“与以太坊的任何全网升级一样,在 Pectra 发布前后,ETH 的波动可能会加剧,如果出现与升级相关的任何意外错误或故障,价格可能会出现负面波动。”

不过,她认为Pectra升级不成功的可能性很小,因为代码修改在主网激活之前要经过大量的实战测试,而以太坊协议开发人员拥有丰富的经验。

“因此,除非在升级前和升级后不久 ETH 出现暂时性波动,否则 Pectra 中与修复协议各部分相关的代码更改预计不会对 ETH 价值产生长期的正面或负面影响。”

以太坊历史:重要里程碑

 

  • 2015:以太坊发布,引入智能合约和 dApps。
  • 2016:DAO 黑客事件导致以太坊/以太坊经典分裂。
  • 2017年:ICO热潮推动以太坊价格突破1400美元。
  • 2018年:2017年ICO热潮之后,市场出现调整,以太坊价格下跌。
  • 2019:以太坊通过伊斯坦布尔升级重点关注可扩展性。
  • 2020:Beacon Chain 的发布开始了以太坊向权益证明(PoS)的转变。
  • 2021: 合并完成了以太坊向 PoS 的过渡。
  • 2023: 上海升级版启用了注资提款功能,提高了用户的灵活性。
  • 2024:Dencun 升级专注降低交易成本;现货 ETF 获批。ATH为4878美元。

结论:以太坊未来走向何方?

综合各方观点来看,ETH未来充满机遇与挑战。虽然市场分析普遍对ETH未来持乐观态度,并预测价格可能在2025 年达到5,000美元甚至更高,但市场高度波动性仍然使得投资者需要谨慎行事。ETH价格走势将取决于技术升级进展、去中心化应用发展速度及监管环境变化。

对于投资者而言,虽然ETH具备长期增值潜力,但仍需关注市场风险,并根据自身风险承受能力制定投资策略。在加密货币市场中,每一次波动都可能带来新机遇,而关键在于如何把握时机,做出理性决策。随着以太坊技术持续升级,ETH仍然有望在未来成为市场上重要资产,甚至进一步巩固其在区块链生态系统中核心地位。

 

 

 

Source: https://cryptonews.com/cn/cryptocurrency/ethereum-price-prediction/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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US Rep. Byron Donalds to introduce bill codifying Trump’s Bitcoin reserve

US Rep. Byron Donalds to introduce bill codifying Trump’s Bitcoin reserve

A new bill set to be introduced in Congress aims to formalize President Donald Trump’s executive order establishing a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, a move that could further integrate Bitcoin into the nation’s financial strategy.

Trump signed an executive order on March 7 to use Bitcoin seized in government criminal cases to establish a national reserve.

The legislation, introduced by US Representative Byron Donalds, seeks to ensure the Bitcoin reserve becomes a permanent fixture, preventing future administrations from dismantling it through executive action.

“For years, the Democrats waged war on crypto,” Donalds, a Florida Republican, said in a statement to Bloomberg. “Now is the time for Congressional Republicans to decisively end this war.”

If the bill is passed, it would ensure that the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and the US Digital Asset Stockpile could not be eliminated via executive actions by a future administration.

The bill will require at least 60 votes in the Senate and a House majority to pass. With Republicans holding a Senate majority — and a generally more crypto-friendly stance —the bill has a chance of passing.

According to Bitcoinlaws data, at least 23 US states have introduced legislation supporting a Bitcoin reserve, reflecting growing state-level interest in integrating crypto into fiscal policy.

A “pivotal moment” for US crypto regulations

The introduction of the Bitcoin reserve-related bill marks a pivotal moment for the wider crypto industry, not just BTC.

The legislation “aims to cement the reserve as a permanent fixture, shielding it from reversal by future administrations,” according to Anndy Lian, author and intergovernmental blockchain expert.

The bill signals the US government’s intent to integrate Bitcoin into its financial framework, Lian told Cointelegraph, adding:

“It builds on Trump’s earlier executive action by providing a statutory backbone, potentially clarifying the government’s stance on digital assets. If passed, the bill could reduce uncertainty that has long plagued the crypto space, where agencies like the SEC and CFTC have often clashed over jurisdiction.”

“A codified reserve might encourage a more cohesive regulatory approach, offering businesses and investors a clearer path forward,” he added.

However, identifying the right funding mechanisms and custody solutions for the Bitcoin reserve is a challenging step for governmental entities that may delay the fund’s creation.

Donalds’ bill may also provide more clarity on the government’s future Bitcoin acquisition strategies. Although the current plan does not involve government Bitcoin purchases, the order does not rule them out in the future.

The order authorizes the US Treasury and Commerce secretaries to develop “budget-neutral strategies” to buy more Bitcoin for the reserve, provided there are no additional costs to taxpayers.

 

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/trump-bitcoin-reserve-bill-congress

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j

Crypto Firms Earmarked Over $134 Million for U.S. Elections in 2024: Report

Crypto Firms Earmarked Over $134 Million for U.S. Elections in 2024: Report

Cryptocurrency companies have spent more than $134 million on the 2024 U.S. elections, according to a March 7 report by the Center for Political Accountability (CPA), substantially increasing their political involvement to influence crypto-friendly regulations and raising concerns among regulators, policymakers, and investors about potential conflicts of interest.

Fairshake PAC Leads Crypto Political Influence

The CPA report highlights the increasing financial ties between crypto firms and U.S. elections, sparking unease among regulators, investors, and policymakers.

https://twitter.com/MetaEraHK/status/1899054181631270986

A major portion of this funding has been funneled through Fairshake, a political action committee (PAC) backed by major industry players such as Coinbase, Ripple, and Andreessen Horowitz.

Fairshake has reportedly spent more than $40 million to support candidates aligned with pro-crypto policies, influencing legislative outcomes in competitive congressional races.

Its affiliated PACs have also directed funds toward candidates favorable to digital assets.

Beyond corporate-backed donations, high-profile tech figures have also contributed substantially.

The report points out political donations from industry leaders, including Elon Musk, Reid Hoffman, and Chris Larsen.

Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen previously contributed $1 million in XRP to Vice President Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign.

Despite these high-profile individual donations, most funds originate from corporate treasury contributions and private firms like Andreessen Horowitz.

Additionally, a major portion of the funding flows through obscure 501(c)(4) organizations, such as the Cedar Innovation Foundation, making it difficult to trace the full extent of crypto’s electoral spending.

Coinbase’s $25M Contribution, Concerns Over Insider Trading, and Political Influence

Coinbase, one of Fairshake’s largest backers, recently announced a $25 million donation supporting pro-crypto candidates in the 2026 U.S. midterm elections, reinforcing its role in influencing crypto-related political outcomes.

However, the report also highlights regulatory concerns surrounding Coinbase.

In June 2023, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) charged Coinbase with operating as an unregistered securities exchange.

The following month, the SEC ordered Coinbase to cease trading certain non-crypto assets, a directive with which the company refused to comply.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has vowed to fight the matter in court, arguing that the regulatory agency lacks clarity in its enforcement actions.

The CPA report also raises concerns about potential insider trading among elected officials due to the large influx of crypto donations.

With many of the largest contributions originating from industry founders and investors, there is increasing speculation that regulatory decisions may be swayed in favor of major crypto players.

Additionally, figures within the Trump administration could personally benefit from the crypto sector’s growing political engagement.

David Sacks, a South African entrepreneur and investor known as President Trump’s “crypto czar,” has reportedly divested his personal holdings following Trump’s executive order to create a “strategic crypto reserve.”

https://twitter.com/pbartstephens/status/1897008176467468349

If the U.S. government were to amass large amounts of digital assets, Sacks and other insiders could stand to profit, raising concerns over potential conflicts of interest.

The Regulatory Debate: Innovation vs. Capture

Despite concerns about regulatory capture and undue influence, some industry experts argue that crypto’s political involvement is essential for fostering innovation-friendly regulations.

“As someone deeply involved in crypto, I see this spending as necessary for regulatory clarity, crucial for stability and growth,” said Anndy Lian, an intergovernmental blockchain advisor and author.

https://twitter.com/anndylian/status/1898987109865623765

While some view these contributions as a means to secure fairer regulations, others warn that prioritizing corporate interests over investor protection could undermine trust in the industry.

As crypto industry spending on U.S. elections reaches unprecedented levels, regulators and voters face a critical question: Can policymakers objectively navigate between fostering innovation and preventing regulatory capture?

The substantial political investments by crypto firms may deliver clearer industry regulations, but they also challenge the integrity of legislative processes.

Ultimately, the balance struck in coming elections will determine whether the cryptocurrency sector is viewed as a legitimate economic force or as a cautionary example of corporate influence reshaping democracy.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

What broader effects might crypto political spending have on democratic decision-making?

Crypto funding in politics blurs the line between business interests and public welfare, leaving citizens feeling overlooked. This influence risks shifting policy toward entrenched power, straining democratic balance.

How might increased crypto spending affect investor confidence in the market?

A surge in crypto political contributions can unsettle investors, fueling doubts over fair oversight. This uncertainty might trigger market volatility and caution as regulatory signals become less clear.

What measures could help mitigate excessive crypto influence in elections?

A3: Stricter disclosure rules and enhanced oversight can curb excessive crypto influence in elections. Clearer regulations would promote transparency, leveling the playing field for political participation.

 

Source: https://cryptonews.com/news/crypto-firms-134m-us-elections-2024/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j