Additional comments by Anndy Lian on top of what CoinTelegraph has mentioned.
The Merge is the right direction for cleaner crypto mining. The more direct impact I see after the transition is that bitcoin becomes the biggest target for green activists. There were more reports about bitcoin’s energy usage and mostly negative.
And because of the switch, many experts also said miners would forgo POW mining, but I say otherwise. I see the ETH POW Forks projects are working hard. The miner communities are now more united now than ever. For example, Bitmain also brought down the prices of their Antminers to help the miners get back into profits. These various factors helped the miners offset their operating costs in this bear market, keeping them alive.
Additionally, a good point to highlight is bitcoin’s hash rate. The hash rate continues to surge, recording new all-time high daily. The chip shortage has turned around, and the price of GPU is now at a more reasonable value. Taking GeForce RTX 3090 Ti, for example, the MSRP is $2,000, and it came down to $1,030 in September. These are positive signs for bitcoin.
As I have said before the transition, the impact of The Merge will not have too much boost for the crypto industry in the short run. What Vitalik has planned for Ethereum is a long-term vision. As for bitcoin, it is another kind of animal; it is the big brother. If bitcoin drops, the impact on every other cryptocurrency is inevitable.
Apples and oranges? How the Ethereum Merge could affect Bitcoin
While the Ethereum Merge failed to move Bitcoin from a price standpoint, the industry believes we have yet to see the effects of its shift from PoW to PoS.
It’s been a month since Ethereum said goodbye to an essential feature its blockchain shared with Bitcoin. Called the Ethereum Merge, the long-hyped upgrade was widely celebrated, with the blockchain ecosystem. However, for the mainstream audience or even for the average trader, it felt more like a Star Wars Day celebrated by sci-fi geeks than an early Christmas.
As the Ethereum Merge occurred on Sept. 15, the most extensive blockchain ecosystem parted ways with the proof-of-work (PoW), the energy-hungry consensus mechanism that makes Bitcoin tick. The Ethereum blockchain now works on a more eco-friendly proof-of-stake (PoS) mechanism that doesn’t require any mining activities, leaving thousands of miners worldwide scratching their heads.
Price-wise, Bitcoin is yet to take a hit from the fundamental shift of its closest competitor. A whole month has passed since the Ethereum Merge, and the BTC price is still stuck between $18,000 and $20,000.
However, the overarching mainstream narrative of “Bitcoin should contribute to the world, not destroy it by depleting energy resources” is rekindled with Ethereum’s significant switch to a system that keeps blockchain alive with minimal resource consumption.
Ethereum avoided a dead end
Cointelegraph reached out to industry insiders to get a clearer picture of the Ethereum Merge’s impact on Bitcoin.
“PoW was a dead end for Ethereum,” says Tansel Kaya, a lecturer at Kadir Has University and the CEO of blockchain developer Mindstone, “Because an Ethereum network that doesn’t scale can not live up to its promise.”
However, the Bitcoin community is not happy with the way its biggest price competitor took, according to Kaya. The BTC community often criticizes PoS for being vulnerable to censorship, he remarked, adding:
“If what [Bitcoin maximalists] say is true, Ethereum will either turn into a docile fintech network that is censored by governments, or a centralized structure like EOS, controlled by wealthy investors.”
Speaking to Cointelegraph, Gregory Rogers, CEO and founder of crypto-based gifting platform Graceful.io, noted that the Merge solidified the two distinct blockchains’ positions in the market. “Ethereum remains the transaction chain of choice with its increased speed and reduced fees,” Rogers said, adding, “Bitcoin is now the store of value of choice. They were already headed in this direction, but the Merge simply clarifies it.”
From a price point, though, multichain marketplace UnicusOne founder and CEO Tashish Raisinghani believes that Bitcoin price will take a hit. “The crypto industry had a hard time because of macro-level challenges which resulted in the current bear market,” he said, adding that the Merge would make Ethereum more sustainable compared to Bitcoin, “Which hasn’t yet been able to recover from the Chinese mining crackdown in 2021.”
PoW is unrivaled in network security
Addressing the energy side of the argument, John Belizaire, CEO of eco-focused data center company Soluna Computing, told Cointelegraph that even though Ethereum’s switch to PoS could save energy, “It will also undermine the core decentralization aspect of cryptocurrency.”
Although Bitcoin’s PoW consensus mechanism is energy-intensive, it is also fundamental to the blockchain and “is the best choice for any cryptocurrency that prioritizes network security.”
Co-locating flexible crypto mining centers with renewable energy plants can help stabilize the electric grid, solve renewables’ wasted energy issue, and provide an abundant source of cheap energy to crypto miners, Belizaire added.
The Merge united crypto miners
Bitmain also brought down the prices of Antminers, its flagship crypto mining units, to help miners get back into profits, he added:
Despite the Merge, Ether miners won’t simply forgo PoW mining just because Ethereum Classic is not minted via mining anymore, according to Anndy Lian, author of the book NFT: From Zero to Hero. Lian told Cointelegraph that the EthereumPoW (ETHW) project — the result of a hard fork after the Merge — is working hard and the miner community is more united than ever.
“These various factors helped the miners offset their operating costs in this bear market, keeping them alive.”
Joseph Bradley, the head of business development for Web3 service provider Heirloom, likened Bitcoin to “a global risk asset that is correlated to TradFi markets.” Bradley told Cointelegraph that, although Ether may be traded similarly, it still has neither the market depth nor the size that Bitcoin has. “Do we expect the world to become more or less chaotic in the coming years?” he asks rhetorically, answering:
“Most people would lean towards more chaotic. Security will matter during this time. Bitcoin will become even more important. Expensive energy will create innovation with miners — They will most likely move toward positioning Bitcoin mining as an extension of the electrical grid itself.”
Bitcoin and Ethereum: “Apples and oranges”
Not everyone agrees that the Ethereum Merge will have an impact on Bitcoin, though. Martin Hiesboeck, head of research at crypto exchange Uphold, dismissed a direct comparison between Ethereum and Bitcoin as “apples and oranges.”
Hiesboeck told Cointelegraph that Ethereum is basically a “company controlled by venture capitalists,” that’s why the transition to proof-of-stake aims to improve its economic and environmental credentials:
“Bitcoin doesn’t need to do that. Bitcoin is not a brand. Bitcoin is a computer network. Its output represents money. Nobody owns it. There is no brand. No CEO.”
Khaleelulla Baig, the founder and CEO of crypto investment platform Koinbasket, supported Hiesboeck’s argument, telling Cointelegraph that the Merge won’t have any meaningful impact on Bitcoin as these assets serve different purposes.
Bitcoin’s purpose is “to prove itself as a superior store of value to fiat currencies,” according to Baig. The PoW mechanism goes well with the purpose of Bitcoin, “As it helps the network maintain the scarcity of 21 million BTC via its difficulty adjustment rate,” he added.
Bitcoin as a PoW and Ethereum as a PoS network are making significant contributions to the crypto-asset ecosystem by competing with their best features. Tansel Kaya summarizes: “Having two distinct approaches rather than one is more suitable for the spirit of decentralization.”
Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.
Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.
An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.