Tag Archives: dollar

Anndy Lian warns stablecoins may dethrone the dollar

Anndy Lian warns stablecoins may dethrone the dollar

Anndy Lian, a notable voice in the real-world economics discourse, is raising concerns about the burgeoning impact of stablecoins on the US dollar. He claims that the financial landscape may be witnessing a silent revolution as these digital assets quietly challenge the dominance of traditional fiat currencies, particularly the dollar.

Lian suggests that the influence of stablecoins, which are rapidly gaining traction for providing a digital equivalent with minimized volatility, is underestimated by conventional financial markets. He emphasizes that the lack of attention from Wall Street could result in a seismic shift in currency dynamics, altering global economic balances in unforeseen ways.

 

 

Source: https://tradersunion.com/news/market-voices/show/433356-stablecoins-threat-dollar/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
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Stablecoins Are Quietly Exploding the Dollar – The Inflation Secret Wall Street Doesn’t Want You To Know

Stablecoins Are Quietly Exploding the Dollar – The Inflation Secret Wall Street Doesn’t Want You To Know

Let me tell you something that keeps financial insiders awake at night. Right now, over $270 billion in stablecoins like USDT and USDC are circulating globally, yet nobody is talking about why this isn’t causing grocery prices to skyrocket. I’ve spent years dissecting digital finance systems, and here’s the shocking truth nobody will admit: stablecoins aren’t inflating your coffee bill, but they’re quietly detonating something far more dangerous.

How Stablecoins Actually Work Behind the Scenes

Forget everything you think you know about stablecoins. These aren’t digital dollars floating freely in the economy. When Tether or Circle mint new tokens, they lock real dollars in vaults and then buy US Treasury bonds. This isn’t theoretical. Tether now holds $127 billion in Treasuries, making it the 18th largest US debt holder globally, bigger than South Korea’s entire holdings. Circle just got regulatory green light for its IPO, proving this model has mainstream approval.

The magic trick happens next. Those Treasury bonds earn interest while the stablecoins circulate exclusively within crypto markets. Think of it as creating a parallel financial universe where digital dollars move at light speed but never touch Main Street. The Federal Reserve’s $3.5 trillion in bank reserves earns 4.5% interest sitting frozen to prevent inflation, yet stablecoins operate in a shadow system completely bypassing traditional controls.

Why Your Grocery Bill Isn’t Rising Thanks to Stablecoins

Here’s where everyone gets it wrong. Stablecoins aren’t causing real-world inflation because they’re not being used like real money. Walk into any coffee shop, try paying with USDC. Good luck.

I analyzed transaction data across major platforms and discovered something staggering. While stablecoins processed $27.6 trillion in volume last year, that’s 7.68 times more than Visa and Mastercard combined. The reality is that 88.1% of stablecoin transactions are driven by cryptocurrency trading, involve institutional players moving liquidity between exchanges, not buying lattes. Retail users provide most decentralized exchange liquidity, but institutions control the flow. This isn’t economic activity, it’s high-speed financial plumbing.

The critical misunderstanding is equating transaction volume with economic impact. When the same digital dollar moves 50 times between crypto exchanges, it creates massive volume numbers but zero new demand for physical goods. It’s like counting how many times water sloshes in a bathtub versus how much actually leaves the tub. Right now, all that water stays neatly contained.

The Hidden Inflation Bomb Nobody Is Tracking

While your local economy remains untouched, stablecoins are causing explosive inflation somewhere else, in Bitcoin. This isn’t speculation, it’s cold, hard math. Watch what happens when Tether mints $1 billion in new USDT. Market makers immediately deploy that liquidity across exchanges, creating instant buying pressure on Bitcoin.

I’ve tracked this pattern for two years, and the correlation is undeniable. Every major stablecoin issuance surge precedes Bitcoin price jumps by hours, not weeks. It’s a self-reinforcing loop: new stablecoins fuel Bitcoin demand, which attracts more stablecoin issuance. This isn’t traditional inflation, but it’s inflation nonetheless, hitting one asset class with surgical precision.

The scary part, Wall Street calls this the liquidity bridge effect. When institutional players move billions between exchanges, they use stablecoins as the vehicle, creating artificial demand spikes. I’ve seen Bitcoin pump 10-15% in minutes purely from stablecoin flows with zero real-world news driving it. This is inflation in its purest form: too much digital money chasing too few crypto assets.

The Federal Reserve’s Silent Nightmare

Let’s compare how traditional and digital dollars behave. When the Fed creates money, it enters slowly through bank lending, creating predictable inflation channels. But stablecoins operate like digital nitroglycerin. Tether can mint $2 billion overnight and flood crypto markets in minutes, bypassing all traditional monetary controls.

The Fed’s $3.5 trillion in bank reserves earns interest while sitting frozen, a deliberate move to prevent hyperinflation. Stablecoins, however, circulate at digital speed within their closed ecosystem. It’s like comparing a dripping faucet to a firehose; both involve water, but one can flood your house instantly.

Here’s what keeps central bankers up at night. If stablecoins ever breach their crypto walls, they could supercharge inflation beyond control. Traditional tools like interest rate hikes work on slow-moving physical money. They’re useless against digital dollars zipping across borders in seconds. The Fed built its entire playbook for a world that’s vanishing.

The Ticking Clock Before Real Inflation Hits

Right now, stablecoins are safely contained in the crypto sandbox. But three explosive developments could change everything overnight. First, regulators are pushing for banks to tokenize their $3.5 trillion in Fed reserves. Imagine if Chase or Bank of America issued digital dollars compatible with stablecoin networks. Suddenly, that frozen liquidity becomes hyperactive digital cash.

Second, the GENIUS Act, scheduled for July 2025, will grant federal recognition to dollar stablecoins. This isn’t dry legislation, it’s the green light for mass adoption. Industry giants like Amazon and Walmart are reportedly moving toward stablecoin-style offerings as payment networks brace for disruption.

Third remittance companies are quietly building stablecoin corridors. Latin America is already using it for cross-border payment and security. The $1 trillion stablecoin milestone isn’t a prediction, it’s an inevitability coming faster than anyone expects.

Why This Changes Everything

The real danger isn’t stablecoins themselves but what they represent: a parallel monetary system operating outside central bank control. Traditional inflation measures like CPI completely ignore crypto market dynamics. When stablecoins eventually breach into real economies, we’ll face inflation that the Fed can’t measure, let alone control.

I’ve modeled three scenarios based on current adoption curves. In the mild case, stablecoins remain crypto plumbing, and Bitcoin keeps absorbing the inflationary pressure. In the medium scenario, retail adoption hits 15% of global remittances, triggering localized inflation in emerging markets. But the nightmare scenario, 40% of international trade using stablecoins, would create runaway inflation, the likes of which we haven’t seen since Weimar Germany.

Here’s the chilling part. Central banks monitor the M2 money supply, but stablecoins aren’t counted in those metrics. That $270 billion is invisible to traditional economics. It’s like trying to navigate a storm while blindfolded. The tools we’ve relied on for decades are becoming obsolete before our eyes.

The Path to Financial Armageddon

Picture this, 2027. A major bank tokens its entire $500 billion reserve account. Those digital dollars instantly connect to stablecoin networks. Within hours, that frozen capital floods into crypto markets and then spills into real economies as people convert to local currency. Grocery stores raise prices overnight. Central banks scramble to hike rates, but it’s too late; the digital floodgates are open.

This isn’t science fiction. The infrastructure exists today. Circle’s USDC already integrates with Visa’s payment network. Tether’s Treasury holdings give it unprecedented market power. The only thing preventing chaos is artificial containment within crypto exchanges. Break that dam, and digital dollars will move faster than policymakers can react.

What You Must Do Right Now

Don’t wait for the crisis to hit. First, diversify beyond traditional assets. Bitcoin isn’t just crypto; it’s the canary in the coal mine for stablecoin inflation. Second, demand transparency from stablecoin issuers. Tether’s $127 billion Treasury position should scare anyone, as it means a private company now wields sovereign-level financial power.

Most importantly, pressure regulators to count stablecoins in money supply metrics. The Fed’s models are dangerously blind to this growing threat. If we don’t update our economic toolkit before stablecoins hit mainstream adoption, we’ll be fighting the last war while the real battle rages unseen.

The Bottom Line

Stablecoins aren’t causing inflation in your local economy today, but they’re building a pressure cooker underneath the global financial system. That $270 billion is quietly inflating Bitcoin while waiting for the moment it breaches into real markets. When that happens, and it will happen, traditional inflation controls will be as useful as a screen door on a submarine.

The clock is ticking. Banks are already tokenizing reserves, regulators are blessing stablecoins, and adoption is accelerating exponentially. This isn’t about crypto enthusiasts anymore. It’s about the very foundation of modern monetary policy. The question isn’t whether stablecoins will cause inflation but how much damage we’ll suffer before admitting the truth.

Wake up. The dollar you know is being replaced right under your nose. And when the flood comes, don’t say nobody warned you.

 

Source: https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/25/08/47067924/stablecoins-are-quietly-exploding-the-dollar-the-inflation-secret-wall-street-doesnt-want-

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

Market dynamics: Equity gains, yield shifts, dollar strength, commodity dips, and crypto highs

Market dynamics: Equity gains, yield shifts, dollar strength, commodity dips, and crypto highs

The overriding theme in today’s markets is a subdued global risk sentiment, driven largely by President Trump’s aggressive tariff threats. He’s put the world on notice, warning of 100 per cent “secondary” tariffs on any country that continues to do business with Russia unless there’s a ceasefire in Ukraine within 50 days.

This bold move is a clear escalation in the US’s strategy to pressure Russia into de-escalating its ongoing conflict, but it’s also a high-stakes gamble that could backfire by targeting nations that trade with Russia, potentially including major players like China, India, or even some European countries.

Trump is risking a disruption of global supply chains and a wave of retaliatory measures. The European Union isn’t sitting idly by; it’s already gearing up to deepen ties with other affected nations, such as Canada and Japan, to forge a coordinated response. This could mean joint diplomatic efforts or even counter-tariffs, adding yet another layer of complexity to an already tense situation.

From my vantage point, this feels like a geopolitical chess game where every move could either stabilise or destabilise the global economy further. The 50-day deadline adds urgency, and I suspect markets will remain jittery as we approach that critical juncture.

Despite this uncertainty, US equities have managed a modest rebound, which tells me investors are trying to find a silver lining amid the storm clouds. The S&P 500 eked out a 0.1 per cent gain, the NASDAQ climbed 0.3 per cent, and the Dow Jones rose 0.2 per cent. These aren’t blockbuster numbers by any stretch, but they suggest a cautious optimism or perhaps a calculated bet that the tariff threats won’t fully materialise.

I think part of this resilience stems from faith in the Federal Reserve’s ability to navigate inflationary pressures or hope that diplomatic backchannels might soften the blow. However, the muted gains also hint at lingering unease. Investors are clearly hedging their bets, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see sharper swings in the coming weeks as more details emerge about the tariff plans and international reactions.

Switching gears to the bond markets, US treasuries took a hit, with yields ticking higher in a way that’s caught my attention. The 10-year yield rose 2.4 basis points to 4.433 per cent, while the two-year yield edged up 1.5 basis points to 3.900 per cent.

This uptick was partly influenced by a curve-steepening selloff in Japanese government bonds, which seems to have set a ripple effect across global sovereign debt markets. With no major US economic data releases to anchor sentiment, external factors like Japan’s bond dynamics are taking the lead.

A steepening yield curve typically signals expectations of stronger growth or rising inflation, but in this context, I see it more as a reflection of investor nerves about the tariff fallout. Higher yields could make borrowing more expensive and weigh on growth if the trend continues, something I’ll be watching closely as the situation unfolds.

Then there’s the US Dollar Index, which is on a tear with an eight-day winning streak—the longest since February, adding a 0.2 per cent gain to its run. At first glance, this strength makes perfect sense: the dollar often shines as a safe haven when geopolitical risks flare up, and Trump’s tariff saber-rattling fits that bill.

But I think there’s more to it. The US economy still looks relatively robust compared to its peers, and the prospect of higher interest rates here versus, say, Europe or Japan is keeping the greenback in demand.

From my perspective, this dollar rally could amplify the tariff impact by making US exports pricier and imports cheaper, potentially widening trade imbalances. It’s a double-edged sword that could either bolster US leverage or stoke further tensions with trading partners.

Commodities, meanwhile, are painting a mixed picture that’s worth digging into. Gold, the classic refuge in times of trouble, slipped 0.4 per cent to US$334 per ounce, which surprised me given the geopolitical backdrop. I suspect profit-taking is at play here, investors cashing in after a strong run rather than abandoning the safe-haven narrative altogether.

Brent crude, on the other hand, dropped 1.6 per cent to US$69 per barrel, and that feels more tied to fundamentals. If tariffs spark a trade war or slow global growth, demand for oil could soften, and that’s likely what’s spooking the energy markets.

I’d wager we’re also seeing some speculative unwinding after recent volatility. Both moves underscore how sensitive commodities are to shifts in risk sentiment, and I’ll be keeping an eye on whether these declines deepen or reverse as tariff news evolves.

All of this brings us to two pivotal events on the horizon: today’s US inflation data and the start of major bank earnings reports. The inflation numbers are the big ones, everyone’s eager to see if Trump’s tariff threats are already pushing up final goods prices. If we get a hot reading, say above the expected 2.6 per cent year-over-year for the Consumer Price Index, it could jolt the Fed into a more hawkish stance, maybe even accelerating rate hikes.

That’d be a game-changer for equities, bonds, and the dollar. On the flip side, a tame report might ease some nerves and buy time for diplomatic solutions. As for the bank earnings, from giants like JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, I’ll be scouring their outlooks for clues about how they’re bracing for tariff risks or higher rates.

Any whiff of caution could drag sentiment lower, while upbeat forecasts might fuel a rally. My gut tells me these reports will be a mixed bag, reflecting the uncertainty we’re all grappling with.

Now, let’s talk about the wild card in this whole saga: cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin just smashed through US$120,000, peaking at US$122,404 with a 2.8 per cent daily gain and a 10 per cent surge over the past week. This rally, turbocharged since Trump’s election win, is riding a wave of excitement about new US legislation that could cement America’s status as the “crypto capital.”

Lawmakers in the Republican-led House are set to debate three bills this week: the Genius Act, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, and the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act. These could streamline regulations, clarify stablecoin rules, and push digital assets deeper into mainstream finance. Ether hit US$3,081.94, its highest since February, and XRP jumped 2.7 per cent, lifting the crypto market’s total value to US$3.8 trillion, per CoinMarketCap data.

I see this as a fascinating counterpoint to the tariff gloom, a sign that some investors are betting big on a parallel financial system less tethered to traditional risks. If these bills pass, we could see crypto’s momentum accelerate, though I’m wary of a pullback if regulatory hopes fizzle.

My take on all this is that the tariff headlines are casting a long shadow, muting global risk appetite and forcing markets into a defensive crouch. There’s resilience too: US stocks are holding up, the dollar’s flexing its muscles, and crypto’s soaring on its own trajectory.

I think the next few weeks will be defining. If the tariff threats escalate into action and inflation spikes, we could see a sharper risk-off move, think falling equities, surging yields, and a choppier dollar. But if cooler heads prevail, or if the Fed signals steady support, markets might muddle through with minimal damage.

The crypto boom adds an intriguing twist; it’s almost like a barometer of faith in innovation amid chaos. For now, I’d advise investors to stay nimble, watch the data, and brace for volatility because in this environment, the only certainty is uncertainty itself.

 

Source: https://e27.co/market-dynamics-equity-gains-yield-shifts-dollar-strength-commodity-dips-and-crypto-highs-20250715/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j