Bitcoin ETFs just lost US$1B: What smart money knows that you don’t

Bitcoin ETFs just lost US$1B: What smart money knows that you don’t

United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds experienced their most severe single-day outflow since late January. Investors pulled approximately US$648.6 million from these products in just one trading session, marking a stark reversal of fortune for digital asset investment vehicles that had enjoyed relatively stable inflows in recent months. This exodus represents more than an isolated incident, as cumulative withdrawals across roughly five trading days have now reached approximately US$1.8 billion, with close to US$1 billion exiting these funds in just the most recent 24 to 48-hour period.

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust bore the brunt of this selling pressure, accounting for roughly US$448 million of the total outflows. The redemption scale from the market’s largest Bitcoin ETF underscores the seriousness of the investor retreat. Ark 21Shares’ ARKB product saw approximately US$110 million in outflows, while Fidelity’s FBTC experienced about US$63 million in redemptions. The selling pressure proved to be universal across the sector, with smaller but notable withdrawals affecting products from Bitwise, VanEck, Invesco, and Franklin. Not a single Bitcoin ETF recorded inflows on May 18, painting a picture of wholesale investor retreat from cryptocurrency exposure through regulated investment vehicles.

This Bitcoin-specific weakness coincides with deeper structural concerns plaguing the broader decentralised finance ecosystem. Ethereum’s Total Value Locked has contracted by approximately US$43 billion since its January peak, according to Yahoo Finance data. This massive capital depletion locked into DeFi protocols signals waning confidence in the yield-generating opportunities that once attracted billions to the space.

Compounding these concerns, news that six core researchers departed the Ethereum Foundation has raised legitimate questions about leadership stability and the pace of innovation at the world’s second-largest blockchain network. These developments suggest that the weakness in cryptocurrency extends beyond simple price volatility to fundamental questions about ecosystem health and development momentum.

The total cryptocurrency market capitalisation declined to US$2.55 trillion, with Bitcoin’s 24-hour price movement tracking the broader market’s decline closely. This correlation indicates a beta-driven, risk-off environment rather than weakness specific to any particular digital asset. The Fear and Greed Index reading of 39, firmly in fear territory, reflects the anxious sentiment pervading cryptocurrency markets. Investors appear to be treating Bitcoin and other digital assets as what they truly are: high-beta risk assets that get sold aggressively when broader market conditions deteriorate.

Traditional equity markets provided no sanctuary for investors seeking stability. The S&P 500 Index closed at 7,353.61, down 49.44 points or 0.67 per cent. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite fared worse, falling 220.02 points to 25,870.71, representing a 0.84 per cent decline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 322.24 points to 49,363.88, a 0.65 per cent loss, while the small-cap Russell 2000 Index suffered the steepest percentage decline at 1.01 per cent, falling 27.38 points to 2,747.07. These losses marked the third consecutive session of declines for major United States benchmarks, with Asian stocks extending their losing streak to four days. The major indices logged their sharpest three-day cumulative declines since late March, signalling intensified selling pressure across asset classes.

The root cause of this broad-based selloff traces directly to the bond market, where a brutal rout has pushed Treasury yields to multi-decade highs. The 30-year United States Treasury yield settled at 5.18 per cent, its highest level since July 2007. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.67 per cent. These rising risk-free rates have compressed the equity risk premium, making high-growth sectors like technology and cryptocurrencies significantly less attractive. When investors can earn over five per cent with virtually no risk from long-dated government bonds, the calculus for holding speculative assets with uncertain cash flows changes dramatically.

Inflation anxieties continue to simmer, exacerbated by energy prices that refuse to retreat. Global oil prices remain stubbornly above US$110 per barrel despite temporary pullbacks following political headlines. This persistent elevation in energy costs functions as a tax on corporate margins and consumer demand, reinforcing fears of systemic producer price inflation.

The situation grew more tense after United States President Donald Trump announced the postponement of planned military strikes against Iran in favour of continued negotiations. With no definitive resolution to the Middle East conflict, markets remain highly reactive to risks surrounding energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, where any disruption could send oil prices even higher.

Geopolitical volatility extends beyond the Middle East. In Asia-Pacific markets, broad declines swept across regional indices. South Korea’s KOSPI dropped 3.25 per cent, weighed down severely by memory chip and microprocessor hardware exporters. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.44 per cent as a higher GDP deflator of 3.4 per cent intensified domestic inflation fears. The United States dollar index strengthened to a six-week high on safe-haven flows and hawkish Federal Reserve rate expectations, creating additional headwinds for emerging markets and commodity prices.

Corporate developments provided mixed signals amid the broader weakness. Chip stocks pulled back ahead of Nvidia’s market-moving earnings, with additional pressure stemming from indications that China is shifting demand away from Western microprocessors to prioritise domestic technology.

Standard Chartered shares fell 2.2 per cent following an announcement to eliminate over 7,800 positions globally, with the bank directly citing a structural shift toward generative AI and automation workflows. In a rare bright spot, Macy’s shares jumped four per cent on news that Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway initiated a fresh equity position in the retail chain, suggesting that value opportunities still attract patient capital even in turbulent times.

These factors create a challenging environment for risk assets like Bitcoin. Rising bond yields, persistent inflation, geopolitical tensions, and equity market weakness form a perfect storm that drives investors toward safety and away from speculation. Smart money understands that market cycles test conviction, and those who maintain discipline during periods of fear often position themselves for outsized returns when sentiment eventually shifts.

 
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Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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SEC gives crypto win, markets don’t care: Why macro forces just crushed US$200M in Bitcoin

SEC gives crypto win, markets don’t care: Why macro forces just crushed US$200M in Bitcoin
The convergence of escalating Middle East tensions, stubborn inflation, and unyielding central bank policies has created a treacherous environment for investors across asset classes. From the trading floors of Wall Street to the digital exchanges powering cryptocurrency markets, fear has taken hold as traders grapple with the prospect of prolonged economic uncertainty.

The numbers tell a sobering story. Traditional equity indices posted modest declines, but the magnitude of these losses masks the underlying turbulence. The S&P 500 slipped 0.3 per cent to 6,606.49, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite mirrored this decline, also falling 0.3 per cent to 22,090.69. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fared slightly worse, shedding 0.4 per cent to close at 46,021.43. These movements occurred against the backdrop of triple witching, the quarterly expiration of stock options, futures, and other derivatives estimated at a staggering US$5.7T. Such events typically amplify volatility, and today proved no exception.

The cryptocurrency market experienced even more pronounced stress. Digital assets fell 0.81 per cent over 24 hours, with the total market capitalisation dropping to US$2.42T. Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, tumbled below the psychologically important US$70,000 threshold. More than US$142M in Bitcoin long positions faced liquidation within a single day, forcing leveraged traders out of the market and accelerating the downward spiral. What makes this selloff particularly noteworthy is the 92 per cent correlation between cryptocurrency prices and gold, suggesting that digital assets are increasingly behaving like traditional inflation hedges rather than the high-growth technology bets they once were.

The root cause of this market-wide anxiety traces back to two interconnected factors. First, the Federal Reserve delivered a hawkish message on March 19, holding rates steady at 3.50 per cent to 3.75 per cent while upgrading its inflation forecasts. The European Central Bank adopted a similarly cautious stance. These decisions reflect central bankers’ growing concern about sticky inflation, particularly as energy prices surge due to geopolitical disruptions. Second, tensions in the Middle East have intensified, with conflicts threatening the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments.

Oil markets have reacted predictably to these developments. West Texas Intermediate crude, after spiking on news of the Hormuz disruptions, retreated 1.7 per cent to US$93.95 a barrel on Friday. This pullback provided some relief to Asian markets, where the MSCI Asia Pacific Index managed a 0.2 per cent gain as oil prices stabilised. Japanese markets remained closed for a holiday, sparing traders from the day’s volatility. European equities faced steeper losses, with the STOXX 600 falling 0.7 per cent as tech and utility stocks bore the brunt of energy price pressures. The index closed at 598.00, reflecting the continent’s particular vulnerability to energy supply disruptions.

Bond markets sent mixed signals about investor sentiment. The US 10-year Treasury yield edged slightly lower to 4.25 per cent, suggesting some flight to safety. The policy-sensitive 2-year yield climbed to 3.79 per cent, indicating that traders expect the Federal Reserve to maintain higher rates for longer. This yield curve dynamic reinforces the challenging environment for risk assets, as borrowing costs remain elevated and the prospect of near-term rate cuts fades.

Amid this macroeconomic turbulence, cryptocurrency markets received a glimmer of positive news that ultimately failed to move the needle. On March 18, the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission issued joint guidance classifying major tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum as digital commodities. This regulatory clarity represents a structural positive for the industry, potentially paving the way for broader institutional adoption. This development was completely overshadowed by macro fears, demonstrating that cryptocurrency markets remain highly sensitive to traditional financial conditions despite their decentralised nature.

The immediate outlook hinges on several critical support levels. Bitcoin must defend the US$69,000 to US$70,000 zone to prevent further deterioration. Ethereum needs to hold above US$2,150. A failure at these levels, combined with another spike in the US Dollar Index, could push the total cryptocurrency market capitalisation toward US$2.3T. Derivatives open interest currently stands at US$416.64B, and any continued decline from this level would reduce systemic squeeze risk but would likely be accompanied by further price weakness.

Interestingly, not all market segments moved in lockstep. The Russell 2000 index, which tracks smaller US companies, bucked the negative trend, posting a 0.65 per cent gain to 2,494.71. This outperformance suggests that domestic-focused smaller firms may be better positioned to weather geopolitical storms than their multinational counterparts, which face greater exposure to international supply chain disruptions and currency fluctuations.

The path forward remains fraught with uncertainty. The next Federal Open Market Committee meeting on May 6 and 7 will provide crucial insights into whether policymakers maintain their hawkish stance or pivot in response to economic data. Any escalation in Middle East conflicts could send oil prices higher, further complicating the inflation picture and forcing central banks to keep rates elevated. A de-escalation of tensions combined with softer inflation data could restore some confidence to risk assets.

For now, investors face a difficult calculus. The regulatory progress in cryptocurrency markets offers long-term promise, but short-term sentiment remains dictated by interest rates and oil prices. Traditional equity markets show resilience but lack conviction. The correlation between digital assets and gold suggests a fundamental shift in how investors perceive cryptocurrency, and this new identity as an inflation hedge provides little comfort when both assets face pressure from the same macroeconomic forces.

The question every market participant must answer is whether current valuations adequately reflect these risks or if further adjustment lies ahead. With Bitcoin testing critical support levels, equity indices hovering near session lows, and bond yields signalling prolonged monetary restraint, the coming weeks will prove decisive in determining whether this represents a temporary setback or the beginning of a more sustained market correction. 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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‘Don’t Embarrass Yourself’: Haseeb Qureshi Fires Back in Dragonfly Capital Feud on X

‘Don’t Embarrass Yourself’: Haseeb Qureshi Fires Back in Dragonfly Capital Feud on X

Dragonfly Capital’s biggest fundraise sparked a public fight. Days after closing a $650 million Fund IV, managing partner Haseeb Qureshi published a lengthy essay on X titled “How to Build a VC Firm,” positioning himself as the architect behind one of crypto’s most powerful venture firms. Former co-founder Alexander Pack was not having it.

“Bo and I co-founded Dragonfly 1+ year before we hired you to join us. The firm was not at 0, we led plenty of great deals,” Pack, who now runs Hack VC, wrote.

He pointed to early investments in Bybit, Amber Group, and Crusoe as proof that Dragonfly was already deploying capital before Qureshi entered the picture.

Qureshi Hits Back: ‘It Was a Fund of Funds’

Qureshi did not hold back. He challenged Pack’s version of events directly, claiming the firm had never led a single deal before his arrival.

“Alex, don’t embarrass yourself. Dragonfly had never led a single deal before I joined. It was literally a fund of funds,” Qureshi responded.

He added that his first demand upon joining was to end fund-of-funds investments, a move Pack reportedly resisted. Qureshi, a former professional poker player turned crypto VC, has long been the public face of Dragonfly through his role on the Chopping Block podcast and viral posts on Crypto Twitter.

‘You Did Not Build Dragonfly’

Qureshi followed up with a longer post, rejecting the claim he was “hired.” He joined as the third Managing Partner after leaving MetaStable, while Dragonfly’s first fund was only half raised with roughly $55 million in AUM. The firm now manages $4 billion.

He claimed Pack resisted the pivot from fund-of-funds, but Bo Feng sided with him. Pack was out within a year.

“You did not build Dragonfly. Me, Bo, Tom, and Rob did,” Qureshi wrote, closing with a jab at Hack VC’s current fundraise: “You might want to check out a blog post I wrote recently.”

What Fortune’s Reporting Confirms

Fortune deep-dive published last week corroborates key parts of the timeline. Dragonfly was founded in 2018 by Pack and Bo Feng as a $100M cross-border fund backed by major Asian tech investors. Qureshi joined in 2019. Pack departed in 2020.

Fortune described the split as “the stuff of crypto VC lore.” Qureshi told Fortune that Feng “threw the car keys” to him, marking what he calls “the birth of modern Dragonfly.”

Crypto Community Picks Sides

The exchange drew fast reactions on X. Some users backed Pack, writing that “everyone that matters in the crypto venture capital business knew that the Bo relationship was from Alex alone.”

Anndy Lian took a diplomatic stance, acknowledging Qureshi’s “8-9 years of hard work” without weighing in on who started the firm.

What This Means for Dragonfly’s $650M Fund

The timing makes this more than personal drama. Dragonfly Capital Partners now manages roughly $4 billion. In a crypto VC landscape where active US firms have dropped over 25% since 2021, LP trust depends on accurate track record attribution.

How Dragonfly’s early deal history is framed could face scrutiny from institutional investors evaluating the firm alongside competitors like Pantera Capital and Paradigm.

 

Source: https://coinpedia.org/news/dont-embarrass-yourself-haseeb-qureshi-fires-back-in-dragonfly-capital-feud-on-x/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j