Vitalik Buterin Calls for Inclusion of Prediction Markets, DAOs in Creator Coin Ecosystem

Vitalik Buterin Calls for Inclusion of Prediction Markets, DAOs in Creator Coin Ecosystem
A combination of prediction market mechanisms and decentralized autonomous organizations may be key to improving the growth and utility of creator coins, according to Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin.

Tweeting one of his characteristic mini-essays on Sunday, Buterin offered his take on how he “would do creator coins,” which he suggested do not currently match Substack in terms of providing meaningful incentives to creators.

He said that Substack is successful in ensuring that “high quality” creators generally become the most popular on its platform, and that for the most part these creators “are people who would not have been elevated without Substack’s presence.”

By contrast, he suggests that the current crop of creator coin platforms, such as Zora, tend to elevate creators who already “have very high social status” and who are notable primarily for reasons unrelated to their content.

A two-track solution

As a solution to this, Buterin suggested a combination of two mechanisms: creator DAOs dedicated to particular subjects and/or types of content; and prediction markets for creator coins.

According to Buterin, the DAOs would be modestly sized (no greater than 200 members) and would anonymously vote for the inclusion of new members (and the exclusion of old ones).

On the other side of the equation, the prediction markets would place bets on which creators would be admitted to which DAOs, doing so presumably by trading the coins of specific creators.

Such markets effectively become a discovery mechanism for creator DAOs, who can look to prediction markets to see which new creators may be deserving of membership.

Conversely, Buterin says that a “portion of […] proceeds” from a given DAO will be used to burn the coins of a creator who is selected for membership, something which would in theory increase the value of their coin by reducing the supply.

The two elements in this system reinforce and support each other, while ensuring that creator coins do not simply become the objects of pure speculation.

“This way, the token speculators are NOT participating in a recursive-speculation attention game backed only by itself,” Buterin wrote. “Instead, they are specifically being predictors of what new creators the high-value creator DAOs will be willing to accept.”

Concluding the post, Buterin says that the “ultimate decider” of which creators/creator coins become prominent will not be speculators, but rather the creators themselves, who produce good enough content to earn admission into a DAO.

Maximizing accountability

In a follow-up tweet, the Ethereum co-founder goes on to describe the prediction market layer as “maximally open” and one that “maximizes accountability,” while he suggests that the DAO layer “maximizes space for intrinsic motivation” (i.e. motivation to create content).

Buterin then suggests that a prediction market is the correct way to organize a “decentralized executive,” since it would provide the highest degree of accountability in a permissionless context.

While his views did draw some skepticism from certain industry figures, including Dogecoin founder Bill Markus (who described creator coins as an “inherently flawed concept”), others see the logic in his suggestions.

“[Buterin] proposes a two-layer system: an inner, non-tokenized DAO of high-quality creators who curate membership based on taste and alignment (like Protocol Guild), and an outer prediction market where speculators trade creator coins whose value is tied to DAO admission,” said Anndy Lian, an intergovernmental blockchain advisor and author, who also replied to Buterin’s initial post.

Speaking to Decrypt, Lian agreed that within this kind of system, token value would be anchored by real revenue, given that final judgements related to membership would reside with creators.

He said, “I think his model thus leverages decentralization without sacrificing curation, recognizing that surfacing quality requires mission-driven, opinionated communities – not neutral, open markets.”

Lian also agrees that creator coins and creator coin platforms remain flawed as they are, since they generally treat attention as synonymous with value, rewarding celebrity or pure speculation instead of serious work.

“Vitalik’s proposal cuts through that by making token economics dependent on curation, not clicks,” he said. “If a creator gets into a high-trust DAO, their token gets backed by real revenue flows.”

Loxley Fernandes, Co-Founder and CEO of prediction market Myriad, called the evolution of social media economics using prediction market mechanics “compelling.”

Fernandes, whose prediction market Myriad is owned by Decrypt‘s parent company Dastan, noted that the technology enables communities to “define values and standards, while markets forecast outcomes within those constraints.” Together, he added, they are “far more robust than letting speculation or follower counts decide who or what matters.”

 

Source: https://decrypt.co/356902/vitalik-buterin-calls-for-inclusion-of-prediction-markets-daos-in-creator-coin-ecosystem?amp=1

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Circular capital: Inside the closed-loop ecosystem propelling (and distorting) the AI boom

Circular capital: Inside the closed-loop ecosystem propelling (and distorting) the AI boom

The artificial intelligence sector is experiencing an unprecedented surge, driven by what many observers describe as an arms race among tech giants and startups alike. Major players like Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia, and Oracle are pouring billions into promising AI ventures such as OpenAI, Anthropic, and Scale AI, creating intricate funding ecosystems that blur the lines between investment and self-serving commerce.

These startups, in turn, funnel much of that capital back into the investors’ own products, including cloud computing services, specialised chips, and data infrastructure. This circular flow of money strengthens the positions of a handful of dominant companies while raising serious questions about competition and the efficient use of resources in a field still in its early stages.

Circular capital loops

This setup resembles a high-stakes poker game where the house always wins, potentially stifling innovation from smaller players and inflating valuations beyond sustainable levels. The industry appears to operate on the belief that AI could evolve into a winner-take-all market, justifying these closed loops as a necessary hedge against being outpaced.

Recent reports indicate OpenAI’s valuation has climbed to around 324 billion dollars, with Anthropic not far behind at 178 billion dollars, figures that underscore the rapid escalation in private market enthusiasm. Scale AI, meanwhile, maintains a valuation near 29 billion dollars, often tied more to projected spending on infrastructure than to immediate revenue streams.

Regulatory scrutiny mounts

Regulatory scrutiny is intensifying as these dynamics unfold, with authorities expressing growing alarm over market concentration and potential antitrust issues. Nvidia, commanding over 80 per cent of the AI chip market, faces investigations from the US Department of Justice regarding its acquisition of Run:ai, a move that could further entrench its dominance.

The Financial Stability Board has issued warnings about the systemic risks posed by AI’s heavy reliance on a limited number of infrastructure providers, highlighting vulnerabilities in areas like cybersecurity and model governance that could cascade through the financial system. In my view, these concerns are well-founded, as the concentration of power in a few hands echoes past tech bubbles where over-dependence on key suppliers led to widespread disruptions.

Capital allocation risks

The circular capital loops exacerbate this, as seen in deals where OpenAI commits to massive spending on Oracle’s cloud services following investments from similar tech behemoths. While analysts remain optimistic about AI’s transformative potential in the long term, they caution against short-term returns hampered by regulatory hurdles and inefficient capital allocation.

The risk of overvaluation looms large, with private AI firms’ worth often predicated on future infrastructure expenditures rather than proven profitability, a pattern that could precipitate corrections if growth expectations falter.

Macro market backdrop

Shifting to broader economic indicators, global risk sentiment stays subdued as markets await new developments amid worries ranging from labor market slowdowns to persistent inflation. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming US initial jobless claims data, with estimates around 233,000 following last week’s 231,000, a figure that could sway perceptions of the Federal Reserve’s policy direction.

The Swiss National Bank recently held its policy rate at 0.00 per cent, aligning with expectations and reflecting a cautious approach to monetary easing in the face of stable inflation. Wall Street closed lower on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.37 per cent at 46,121, the S&P 500 off 0.28 per cent at 6,638, and the Nasdaq declining 0.34 per cent to 22,498, driven by retreats in technology stocks amid valuation concerns.

Wall Street and commodities

Treasury yields edged higher, with the 10-year note at 4.147 per cent and the 2-year at 3.604 per cent, signalling mixed expectations for interest rate paths. The US dollar index strengthened by 0.6 per cent to 97.873, while gold prices dipped 0.7 per cent to 3,736 dollars per ounce, pulling back from recent highs as the dollar gained ground. Brent crude rose 2.5 per cent to settle at 69.31 dollars per barrel, buoyed by supply concerns from ongoing geopolitical tensions in Ukraine impacting Russian oil facilities.

Asian equities showed mixed performance, with Chinese markets buoyed by AI and tech optimism, though early trading today indicated continued variability. US equity futures point to a higher open, suggesting some rebound potential. In my opinion, this muted sentiment reflects a market grappling with uncertainty, where AI hype provides sporadic lifts but broader economic signals like job data and yields temper enthusiasm, potentially setting the stage for volatility if inflation proves stickier than anticipated.

Crypto under pressure

Turning to cryptocurrencies, contrary to chatter among some circles that altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin, the data paints a different picture of weakening momentum for alternatives. The CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index stands at 68 out of 100, still in altcoin territory but down 4.23 per cent over the past 24 hours from last week’s 77, indicating a cooling trend.

Bitcoin’s dominance has risen to 57.97 per cent, up 0.25 points in the last day, as capital shifts toward the flagship cryptocurrency amid altcoin retreats. Ethereum, a bellwether for the sector, has fallen 11.6 per cent weekly, with Chainlink down 11.2 per cent and Cardano dropping 12.0 per cent, underscoring broader underperformance.

Derivatives markets reinforce this caution, with altcoin funding rates turning negative at -0.00035835 per cent and open interest declining 4.1 per cent in 24 hours, compared to Bitcoin’s more resilient metrics.

Investor takeaway

From my standpoint, this shift signals a risk-off environment in crypto, where Bitcoin’s perceived safety draws inflows during uncertainty, much like gold in traditional markets. Historically, Altcoin Season Index readings dipping below 70 often herald Bitcoin dominance rebounds, and current social discussions around Ethereum’s high fees and upcoming upgrades like Pectra in Q4 2025 add to the drag.

Traders unwinding leveraged positions faster in altcoins than in Bitcoin further erodes confidence in near-term rallies for alternatives, suggesting investors should prioritise Bitcoin amid this rotation.

Overall, the interplay between AI’s frenetic funding cycles, emerging regulatory pressures, subdued macro conditions, and crypto’s Bitcoin-centric tilt illustrates a financial landscape fraught with opportunity and peril.

I believe the AI arms race, while fuelling innovation, risks over-investment that could echo the dot-com era’s excesses if not tempered by competition and oversight. Investors would do well to diversify beyond concentrated bets, monitoring systemic risks and market signals closely to navigate what may prove a pivotal juncture for technology-driven growth.

 

Source: https://e27.co/circular-capital-inside-the-closed-loop-ecosystem-propelling-and-distorting-the-ai-boom-20250925/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Building a Blockchain Ecosystem: Insights from Crypto Expo 2025

Building a Blockchain Ecosystem: Insights from Crypto Expo 2025

At the Crypto Expo 2025 held in Dubai, a dynamic panel discussion titled Building a Blockchain Ecosystem: Partnerships, Innovation, and Growth brought together industry leaders to explore the pivotal role of partnerships in advancing blockchain technology. Moderated by Anndy Lian, an intergovernmental blockchain advisor, the panel featured Hakim Bousba (Surge Group), Jehanzeb Awan (J. Awan & Partners), Mete AI (ICB Network), and Pratik Gauri (5ire). Their insights illuminated strategies for fostering collaboration, driving mass adoption, and addressing gaps in the blockchain ecosystem. This article synthesizes their perspectives, highlighting actionable strategies and visionary ideas for the future of blockchain.

The Power of Partnerships in Blockchain

The panel unanimously emphasized that partnerships are the backbone of a thriving blockchain ecosystem. Anndy Lian set the tone by sharing his experience as a former partnership chief at Bybit, where collaborations with global brands like Formula 1’s Red Bull and German soccer club Borussia Dortmund (BVB) yielded significant results. “Partnerships always stay very true to us,” Lian remarked, underscoring their enduring value despite market fluctuations.

Hakim Bousba highlighted partnerships as a gateway to mass adoption, particularly through sports and entertainment. He cited examples like Tezos’ collaboration with Red Bull and Chiliz’s partnerships with football clubs such as FC Barcelona and PSG, which leveraged fan bases to introduce crypto through NFTs and tokenized voting rights. Bousba also pointed to Binance’s efforts to integrate stablecoin trading with stock markets, predicting that such moves could attract traditional traders to crypto. “By attracting stock traders to the crypto markets, we can bring a lot of volume and users,” he noted.

Jehanzeb Awan offered a pragmatic perspective, stressing the need for partnerships to deliver mutual economic value. “Behind any strategic initiative, you have to understand why you’re trying to do that,” Awan cautioned, noting that many partnerships fail due to a lack of clear value propositions. He used a vivid analogy: “If I have 50 mangoes and you have 200 apples, I can either plant an apple tree or partner with you to get the apples.” Awan warned against superficial PR-driven partnerships, referencing a $900 million stadium naming deal that fizzled out, and urged a focus on sustainable, value-driven collaborations.

Mete AI emphasized ICB Network’s collaborative approach, particularly with educational institutions. “We are making so many collaborations with universities and ministries of education worldwide,” he said, detailing initiatives to tokenize certificates and KYC processes via NFTs. These partnerships aim to integrate blockchain into e-learning and identity verification, bridging Web2 and Web3 ecosystems. Mete’s vision underscores the potential for blockchain to transform traditional sectors through strategic alliances.

Pratik Gauri, whose 5ire platform champions sustainability, highlighted partnerships as critical for credibility and adoption. He shared 5ire’s collaborations with the World Economic Forum, the Nobel Peace Prize Forum, and the government of India, which trained over a million students in blockchain for free. “Partnerships play a massive role for adoption, credibility, and brand building,” Gauri stated, emphasizing their role in onboarding Web2 users to Web3.

Bridging Web2 and Web3: Strategies for Adoption

A recurring theme was the challenge of transitioning Web2 users to Web3, with panelists offering diverse strategies. Gauri argued that education is key to making Web3 accessible, particularly for retail investors intimidated by crypto’s volatility. “There needs to be an educational toolkit to bring legitimacy and credibility,” he said, advocating for partnerships with banks and governments to normalize crypto. He also noted the growing acceptance of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and crypto trading on major exchanges as catalysts for adoption.

Mete AI proposed practical solutions like using NFTs as event tickets to familiarize users with blockchain. “If we can use an NFT as a ticket, it changes a lot of minds,” he said, suggesting that such initiatives could spark curiosity and drive crypto usage. He also envisioned AI-driven education within metaverse platforms to teach blockchain concepts globally, targeting younger generations to build long-term adoption.

Awan took a contrarian view, arguing that expecting mass understanding of blockchain’s technicalities is unrealistic. “How many of you know how the internet works technically?” he asked the audience, drawing parallels to Web3 adoption. “Web3 has to get to a place where nobody thinks about it—you just use it.” Awan identified user interface (UI) simplicity as a critical factor, advocating for platforms that reduce interactions to “three clicks” to buy crypto. He also distinguished between retail and institutional investors, noting that the latter require robust hedging strategies absent in current crypto markets.

Bousba contextualized adoption within market cycles, observing that bull markets drive hype but often lack substance. “During a bear market, everybody is building; during a bull market, everybody is scared,” he said, stressing the need for education to sustain interest beyond market peaks. He also championed technical innovations like account abstraction (ERC-4337), which simplifies blockchain interactions by allowing key recovery and conditional phrases, making Web3 more user-friendly for non-technical users.

Lian reinforced the integration of Web3 into Web2 startup ecosystems. Drawing from his experience in Mongolia, where he advised policymakers, he noted surprise among officials at Web3’s potential. “Merge yourself with startup communities,” he advised, suggesting that demo days and startup events are fertile ground for preaching Web3’s benefits and fostering organic partnerships.

Gaps in the Ecosystem: Education, Regulation, and Trust

The panel identified critical gaps in the blockchain ecosystem, with education and regulation emerging as top priorities. Gauri lamented the lack of university partnerships, particularly in Southeast Asia, where young populations could drive adoption. “The awareness level of younger kids would go higher with university partnerships,” he said, criticizing reliance on influencers as misleading entry points.
Mete AI echoed the education gap, proposing AI as a solution to democratize blockchain knowledge. “With AI, we can educate everyone on blockchain,” he said, envisioning a future where AI-powered platforms teach NFT and crypto applications to kids, fostering a blockchain-literate generation.

Awan highlighted regulatory challenges, noting that regulators face a “lose-lose” scenario: strict rules stifle innovation, while lax ones risk scams. He advocated for balanced regulations that protect investors without stifling growth, citing the high costs of compliance as a barrier for startups. “If you’re not funded, you shouldn’t be in it,” he said, emphasizing the need for robust infrastructure to handle investor funds.

Bousba stressed the need for intra-industry partnerships among layer-1 (L1) and layer-2 (L2) blockchains to standardize technologies like account abstraction. “We need partnerships inside the blockchain industry,” he said, arguing that technical collaboration could streamline user experiences and accelerate adoption.

The Role of Influencers: Opportunity or Obstacle?

The panel debated the role of key opinion leaders (KOLs) and influencers in blockchain adoption. Bousba was skeptical, noting that many KOLs promote multiple projects daily, eroding credibility. “The audience is losing trust because influencers are just trying to make money,” he said, though he acknowledged that celebrities with reputational stakes could drive meaningful adoption.

Awan took a hardline stance, drawing from traditional finance. “If you promote coins that don’t do well or are rug pulls, you should end up in jail,” he asserted, advocating for regulatory oversight of influencer promotions. He distinguished memecoins, often driven by speculation, from utility-driven projects, warning against the “get-rich-quick” mentality.

Mete AI was critical of KOLs, accusing many of exploiting investors. “Mostly, KOLs get money to rob your money,” he said, though he acknowledged their role in memecoin and NFT markets, particularly in Asia. Gauri predicted a diminishing role for KOLs as adoption matures, comparing crypto to stock markets where informed investing reduces reliance on influencers. “Ten years down the line, the role would considerably decrease,” he said.

Lian offered a balanced view, recognizing both “good and bad” influencers. He noted the evolving regulatory landscape, referencing former President Trump’s framing of NFTs as collectibles, which could reshape influencer accountability.

Closing Thoughts: Community and Real-World Impact

In their final remarks, the panelists crystallized their visions for the blockchain ecosystem. Gauri emphasized scale, predicting a $10 trillion industry driven by large-scale partnerships. Mete AI urged startups to prioritize venture capital and blockchain collaborations over wasteful PR spending. Awan advocated for real-world use cases, citing stablecoin-enabled trade finance in Africa as a model for creating tangible value. Bousba saw crypto’s chaos as an opportunity, urging a safe yet innovative approach.

Lian concluded with a powerful reminder: “Community is the best partnership. Without people to use the tech, there will be no future.” His call to treasure communities resonated as a unifying theme, underscoring that partnerships—whether with governments, universities, or startups—must ultimately serve users to drive blockchain’s growth.

Conclusion

The Crypto Expo 2025 panel offered a roadmap for building a robust blockchain ecosystem through strategic partnerships, education, and user-centric innovation. From sports-driven mass adoption to AI-powered education and regulatory balance, the panelists’ insights provide a blueprint for bridging Web2 and Web3. As the industry evolves, their emphasis on community, credibility, and real-world impact will guide blockchain’s journey toward mainstream adoption.

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j