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Does Biden Exit Mean a Lot for Crypto? Experts’ Insights

Does Biden Exit Mean a Lot for Crypto? Experts’ Insights

The shocking news of Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the 2024 United States presidential election race has sent shockwaves through the financial markets, including the crypto community, particularly concerning liquidations.

Such sudden political news caused significant market volatility. In the 30 minutes following President Biden’s announcement, around $67 million worth of leveraged long positions in the crypto market were sold, data on Coinglass showed.

Total liquidation of crypto assets in 1-hour time slots in the last 24 hours. Source: Coinglass

As former US president Donald Trump entered his presidential campaign with a seemingly obvious pro-crypto agenda, Biden’s exit brought a new surge of questions about the future of crypto, especially following Biden’s endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris’ entrance into the presidential race.

We spoke to industry experts to see where their thoughts stand, on the future of the cryptocurrency industry ahead of the upcoming US presidential elections.

Key Takeaways

  • Biden’s unexpected withdrawal caused significant market volatility, leading to the liquidation of around $67 million worth of leveraged long positions within 30 minutes.
  • Investors are unsure whether the next administration will adopt a more stringent or lenient approach to cryptocurrency regulation, causing market volatility as they adjust their positions.
  • Trump’s entry into the presidential race with a pro-crypto agenda has fueled speculation that his potential victory could lead to favorable regulations and broader adoption of cryptocurrencies.
  • Harris’s position on cryptocurrency regulation remains unclear, adding to market uncertainty.
  • The outcome of the presidential election is expected to have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market.

Crypto Markets Strongly React to Biden’s Exit

Cryptocurrency markets are known to react loudly and effectively to stressful political events, and Biden’s exit from the presidential election campaign was no exception.

During that time, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) fell by around 1.4% from $67,461.61 to $66,493.43. The cryptocurrency has been volatile ever since, falling to as low as $65,500 on July 23, 2024, and currently trading at about $66,000.

Anndy Lian, an intergovernmental blockchain expert and author of Blockchain Revolution 2030, told Techopedia that Biden’s “unexpected withdrawal introduced a level of unpredictability, causing investors to quickly adjust their positions” in the market. The immediate liquidation of long positions indicated that many traders were “caught off guard and moved to mitigate potential losses.”

On top of that, Biden’s endorsement of Kamala Harris has the potential to reshape the political landscape, further influencing market sentiment. Lian said:

“Investors might have perceived Harris as having different policy stances on cryptocurrency regulation compared to Biden, prompting a reassessment of the market’s future. This shift in political dynamics can lead to volatility as traders speculate on how new leadership might impact the regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies.”

Ben Kurland, the CEO of crypto research and charting platform DYOR, added that Biden’s announcement is largely seen as a positive within the crypto community, which was also reflected in BTC’s price which gained about 2.8% after falling by 1.4% post-announcement.

“Investors reacted strongly to the news as Biden’s exit signals a shift in future regulatory policies. The prospect of a new administration with positive views on cryptocurrency is seen as a bullish sentiment. This development indeed suggests that the upcoming elections could have a much larger impact on the crypto market than previously anticipated.”

Biden’s Decision Triggered Uncertainty Over Future Regulations

The relationship between the US and its regulatory policies regarding cryptocurrency markets is a never-ending story, and Biden’s decision to exit the presidential race has certainly opened up new concerns about where regulatory policies, economic strategies, and international relations could be headed in the future.

“Cryptocurrencies are particularly sensitive to regulatory news. Under Biden’s administration, there were ongoing discussions and actions regarding the regulation of digital assets. His exit could mean a potential shift in regulatory approaches depending on who succeeds him.

“Investors might anticipate either a more stringent or a more lenient regulatory environment, leading to volatility in the market as they adjust their positions based on these expectations,” Lian noted.

Vijay Pravin Maharajan, the CEO and founder of bitsCrunch, an AI-enabled decentralized blockchain data network, added that following Biden’s announcement, investors could expect more of Trump’s crypto-friendly rhetoric, especially at the upcoming Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, where Trump is due to speak.

However, Maharajan also reminded that in the long term, the future of crypto will still hinge on progressive regulatory advancements and not just pure speculation.

Of course, Biden’s exit also means that investors and stakeholders will now closely be watching the new candidate’s stance on crypto regulation, as it has the potential to significantly influence market sentiment and investment strategies.

DYOR’s Kurland added that with Biden’s exit, many in the crypto industry are confident that Trump could win the elections.

Expectations For Trump’s Presidency on the Rise

Trump is using the hype surrounding cryptocurrencies to bolster his candidacy during presidential campaigns; however, industry experts note that current events could continue to favor him.

Alex Momot, the founder and CEO of Peanut Trade told Techopedia that while Biden’s exit might not play a significant role for the future of crypto, it could still affect Republican policies and the overall expectation that Trump could become the next president.

Momot added that in that case, regulations from the Vice President or rumors about Larry Fink could also play a very positive role in the crypto industry. In recent days, the New York Post reported that if Trump wins the elections, he could appoint BlackRock’s CEO, Larry Fink, as the next Treasury Secretary due to their shared history. However, Trump denied this possibility.

DYOR’s Kurland added that Trump has shown he is willing and able to support crypto, especially in his recent comments that BTC and other digital currencies “are very much here to stay.”

“If Trump wins, I believe it will not simply be an initial shock but will likely propel Bitcoin to new heights and allow for more innovation and growth in the sector in the US, which should time up nicely with an anticipated extension to this bull market cycle.”

However, all of this could also be very ambiguous as it highly depends on where Kamala Harris stands in relation to cryptocurrency policies.

Kamala Harris & Crypto: An Uncharted Territory

Speaking with Techopedia, Lian noted that Harris’s stance on cryptocurrency policies continues to remain ambiguous. However, in a recent interview with Decrypt, US entrepreneur and BTC enthusiast Mark Cuban noted that he has received a handful of questions about crypto from Harris’ campaign team.

Lian added that Harris does have a history of being tech-friendly, stemming from her time as District Attorney of San Francisco and Attorney General of California, where she engaged with the tech industry extensively. Thus, her background suggests she may have a more open and innovative approach to technology, including cryptocurrencies.

“Secondly, as Vice President, Harris has been part of an administration with a cautious but progressive stance toward digital assets,” Lian added. “The Biden administration has focused on balancing innovation with consumer protection and regulatory oversight. If Harris continues in this vein, we might expect her to support a regulatory framework that encourages innovation while ensuring market stability and protecting investors.”

Michael Brescia, the CEO and co-founder of Cerus Markets, agreed, noting that while Democrats tend to be more pro-regulation than Republicans, there is a slight possibility that Harris will take a more balanced approach toward crypto regulation.

However, since Harris is yet to outline her views on crypto regulation, it leaves much room for speculation.

BitsCrunch’s Maharajan added:

“Given the plaudits that Trump has received from the crypto community, the Harris campaign should at the very least outline their plan for fostering crypto innovation on US soil. Talk of overly restrictive policies would certainly dampen market momentum.”

The Bottom Line

After speaking with some pro-crypto experts, Lian noted that the general sentiment within crypto circles is that Trump could win the current US presidential election, especially given the ongoing aftermath of Biden’s exit.

“To be very honest, I did a quick poll and most of my pro-crypto friends are all assuming that Trump will win. Most of them do not care about Harris. Maybe this is also an Elon Musk effect.”

Biden’s exit has definitely added a “wild card” to the election campaign, Cerus Markets’ Brescia added, making the outcome much harder to predict than ever before. On the contrary, he believes that the current events have led Trump’s odds of winning the election to decline.

One thing stands clear, however: no one can predict the direction of the crypto markets unless Harris opens up about her stance on crypto regulations.

 

Source: https://www.techopedia.com/what-does-biden-exit-mean-for-crypto

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

The Binance Effect: What CZ’s Exit Means for Crypto Markets

The Binance Effect: What CZ’s Exit Means for Crypto Markets

Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, has been facing a series of regulatory challenges in various jurisdictions since 2022.

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) have both filed lawsuits against Binance and its CEO Changpeng Zhao, also known as CZ, for allegedly violating securities and derivatives regulations, among other charges.

They have also been fined by the Dutch Central Bank, the UK Financial Conduct Authority, and the Australian Securities and Investments Commission for offering crypto services without proper authorization.

In a not-so-surprising move (at least to me), CZ announced on November 21, 2023, that he was stepping down as the CEO and handing over the reins to Richard Teng, the former head of their non-US markets. CZ said that he made this decision to “focus on the bigger picture” and to “support the growth of the crypto industry as a whole”. He also said that he was confident in Teng’s leadership and that he would remain as the chairman of the board.

What does this mean for Binance? Is there any impact on the crypto industry?

CZ’s departure from the CEO role could have both positive and negative implications for Binance and the crypto industry. On the one hand, it could signal a shift in the company’s strategy to become more compliant with the regulators and to cooperate with the authorities to resolve the pending lawsuits. Teng, who has a background in traditional finance and regulation, could bring more credibility and stability to their operations and reputation.

He could also leverage his experience and network to expand it’s presence and partnerships in new and emerging markets, such as Africa, Latin America, and the Middle East.

On the other hand, CZ’s departure could also create some uncertainty and risk for Binance and the crypto industry. CZ has been the face and the voice since its inception in 2017. He has built a loyal and passionate fan base among the crypto community, who admire his vision, innovation, and charisma. He has also been a vocal advocate and defender of the crypto industry, often challenging the regulators and the critics on social media and in interviews.

When I looked online, some of his supporters felt disappointed by his decision to step down, and if not handled properly they may lose trust or interest in the exchange. Moreover, CZ’s departure could also create a power vacuum or a leadership crisis within, as Teng may face resistance or opposition from some of the existing executives or employees who are loyal to CZ or who have different views or agendas.

Based on what I know Teng, a fellow Singaporean is well respected by their English-speaking colleagues and has been making important decisions within the ecosystem for a while. I think there isn’t any major issue.

Paying the fine in this early stage is a good move for CZ. He is a free man. He is still the largest shareholder. This may also mean that BNB price will go up. Here’s why.

One of the reasons why CZ decided to step down as the CEO was to settle the lawsuits with the US regulators and to pay the fines that they imposed on him and the company. According to the Yahoo Finance, they have agreed to fork out a total of $4 billion to the SEC and the CFTC to resolve the allegations of operating unregistered exchanges, selling unregistered securities, mishandling customer funds, and violating derivatives rules. The settlement also includes a requirement for Binance to hire an independent monitor to oversee its compliance with the US laws and regulations. CZ has also agreed to pay $50 million and sentencing will occur at a later date.

Paying the fine in this early stage is a good move for several reasons. First, it could help them avoid a prolonged and costly legal battle that could drain their resources and damage their reputation. Second, it could help them restore their relationship and trust with the US regulators and the US market, which is one of the most important and influential in the crypto industry. Third, it could help them clear their name and reputation from the allegations and accusations that have been hanging over their heads for months. Fourth, it could help them focus on their core business and innovation, rather than on legal and regulatory issues.

By making this move, CZ is also freeing himself from the legal and regulatory burdens and risks that come with running a global crypto exchange. After all, he is still the largest shareholder, which means he still has a significant stake and influence in the company. He can also pursue other interests and projects that he is passionate about, such as philanthropy, education, research, or even launching a new venture. He can also continue to support and promote the crypto industry as a whole, as he said in his announcement.

This may also mean that BNB price will go up. Here is why.

BNB is the native token of Binance, which is used to pay for fees, access services, and participate in various activities on the exchange platform and ecosystem. BNB is also one of the most popular and widely used cryptocurrencies in the market, with a market capitalization of over $35 billion as of November 20, 2023, ranking fourth among all cryptocurrencies according to CoinMarketCap.

The price has been affected by the regulatory challenges and lawsuits that they have faced in the past year. It reached a high of $349 in April 2023, but then dropped to around $206 in October 2023, amid intensified scrutiny and pressure from the regulators. It has recovered somewhat since then, trading at around $253 as of November 21, 2023, but still below its peak level.

However, the BNB price could benefit from the settlement and the leadership change that has been announced. The settlement could remove the uncertainty and the downside risk that have been weighing on the price for months. It could also boost the confidence and the sentiment of the holders and investors, who may see the settlement as a positive sign of commitment and ability to comply with the regulators and to operate legally and legitimately in the US and other markets.

The leadership change could also create new opportunities and possibilities for Binance and BNB, as Teng may introduce new products, services, partnerships, and innovations that could increase the demand and the utility of the token.

Does that mean after paying the US, UK and many other countries will start doing the same and open another can of worms?

The settlement with the US regulators does not necessarily mean that they are off the hook from other countries that have also taken action against them. The settlement only covers the US jurisdiction and does not affect the ongoing investigations or proceedings in other countries, such as the UK, Germany, Japan, Singapore, and Canada.

They may still face legal and regulatory consequences in these countries, depending on the nature and severity of their alleged violations. They may also have to pay additional fines or penalties or comply with additional requirements or restrictions, in order to operate or offer their services in these countries.

The settlement with the US regulators could also have a positive effect on their relations with other countries. The settlement could demonstrate their willingness and ability to cooperate and compromise with the regulators and the authorities, and to take responsibility and accountability for their actions and mistakes.

The settlement could also set a precedent and a benchmark for other countries to follow, in terms of how to deal with Binance, and how to resolve their disputes or issues. The settlement could also encourage them to improve and enhance their compliance and governance standards, and to align their operations and activities with the local laws and regulations of the countries where they operate or offer their services.

In a nutshell

The recent developments surrounding Binance, including CZ’s decision to step down as CEO and the settlement with US regulators, undoubtedly provoke speculation about the future of Binance and the broader crypto industry. As CZ relinquishes his role, both positive and negative implications emerge for Binance’s trajectory.

This move could signify a strategic shift within Binance, aiming to embrace regulatory compliance and foster stability under Richard Teng’s leadership. Teng’s background in traditional finance and regulation might herald a more compliant and credible approach, potentially expanding Binance’s global presence.

However, CZ’s departure may also introduce uncertainties. His charismatic leadership and vocal advocacy for the crypto community have garnered a loyal following, raising concerns about potential trust erosion or a leadership vacuum within the exchange. Yet, based on the insights available, Teng’s leadership seems promising, garnering respect within the ecosystem and potentially mitigating any major disruptions.

Notably, CZ’s move to settle the lawsuits and pay fines signals a strategic decision to preempt prolonged legal battles. This resolution could restore trust with US regulators, essential for their operations within the influential US market, and may help repair their reputation marred by past allegations. Maybe start a brand new decentralized Web3 journey with their newly launched Web3 wallet product.

Nevertheless, the settlement only addresses US regulatory concerns, leaving unresolved legal matters in various other jurisdictions. Consequently, Binance may face continued challenges and potential penalties or restrictions in these regions, depending on ongoing investigations and the gravity of alleged infractions.

The impact of these recent developments extends beyond Binance itself. The settlement may set a precedent for how other countries approach Binance’s regulatory compliance and pave the way for improved governance standards within the crypto industry globally.

The burning question remains: Will other countries follow suit in demanding similar settlements from Binance, further complicating their legal landscape? The answer lies in the subsequent actions of global regulators, as each country’s response may significantly shape Binance’s future and the broader regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies worldwide.

As the crypto industry witnesses this pivotal moment, the repercussions of CZ’s departure and the settlement with US regulators continue to raise critical questions. How will these events influence Binance’s strategies, partnerships, and innovations moving forward? Can this settlement establish a framework for improved industry compliance on a global scale?

The coming days will provide clarity on the far-reaching implications of these recent events, not just for Binance but for the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency regulation worldwide.

 

 

Source: https://www.blockhead.co/2023/11/22/the-cz-effect-binances-overhaul-and-what-it-means-for-crypto-markets/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j