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The crypto catalyst: How inflation, rates, and risk sentiment shape Bitcoin’s path

Bitcoin, the world’s pioneering and largest cryptocurrency, has been riding a wave of momentum in recent days, hovering tantalisingly close to its all-time high of just under US$112,000, a peak it reached on May 22. As of Wednesday morning, Bitcoin’s price surged to US$110,400 before retreating slightly to US$108,800, mirroring a broader pullback in US stock markets.

This performance comes against a complex backdrop of cooling US inflation data, escalating trade tensions, and shifting global risk sentiment. With the cryptocurrency staging a decisive breakout above a technical flag pattern earlier this week, investors are eyeing potential new highs, even as macroeconomic uncertainties loom large. Let’s take a look.

A technical breakout signals bullish momentum

From a technical analysis standpoint, Bitcoin’s recent price action paints an encouraging picture for bulls. Earlier this week, the cryptocurrency broke out above a flag pattern—a chart formation that typically emerges after a sharp price move, signalling a period of consolidation before the trend resumes.

In this case, the breakout suggests that Bitcoin is poised for another leg higher, building on its rally over the past week. Key resistance levels to watch are US$112,000—the previous record high—and US$137,000, which could serve as the next major target if upward momentum persists.

On the flip side, support levels at US$107,000 and US$100,000 provide critical floors. Should Bitcoin slip below US$107,000, it could trigger a deeper correction, potentially testing the US$100,000 mark. For now, the breakout above the flag pattern reinforces a bullish narrative, but these key levels will determine whether Bitcoin can sustain its climb or face a near-term setback.

Technical analysis alone doesn’t tell the whole story, but it provides a roadmap for interpreting price movements. The flag pattern’s bullish implication is bolstered by Bitcoin’s 16 per cent gain since the start of the year, a performance that has outpaced major US stock indices, such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which ended Wednesday down 0.27 per cent and 0.50 per cent, respectively.

This divergence highlights Bitcoin’s growing appeal as an alternative asset, even as traditional markets grapple with renewed trade tensions sparked by President Donald Trump’s pledge to set unilateral tariff rates within two weeks.

Fundamental drivers: From political support to institutional adoption

Beyond the charts, a confluence of fundamental factors is underpinning Bitcoin’s resilience. One of the most striking developments is the cryptocurrency’s newfound legitimacy, driven in part by political support. President Trump, who was once a skeptic of digital currencies, has recently expressed enthusiasm for cryptocurrencies, alongside several allies in Congress.

This shift could pave the way for more favorable regulatory frameworks, a stark contrast to the early days when Bitcoin was dismissed as a speculative oddity. While Trump’s tariff threats have rattled global markets, his pro-crypto stance offers a counterbalancing positive for Bitcoin, potentially boosting its long-term adoption.

Institutional interest is another powerful tailwind. Publicly traded companies like Strategy (MSTR) have been aggressively accumulating Bitcoin, using proceeds from equity sales to bolster their corporate treasuries with the digital asset.

This trend reflects a growing perception of Bitcoin as a store of value and a hedge against inflation, particularly in an environment where traditional safe havens like US Treasuries are seeing yields slip—the 10-year yield fell 6 basis points to 4.12 per cent on Wednesday following cooler-than-expected inflation data.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen their total assets balloon to US$132 billion this month, up from US$91 billion in early April. This surge highlights the growing demand from institutional investors, who now have regulated avenues to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly holding the asset.

Perhaps most telling is the steady decline in Bitcoin held on centralised exchanges. Since the beginning of 2025, exchange balances have dropped 14 per cent, reaching 2.5 million BTC—a level last seen in August 2022. This trend signals growing investor confidence and a shift toward long-term holding.

When investors move Bitcoin into cold storage or custodial wallets, it reduces the liquid supply available for trading, limiting short-term sell pressure. Large entities, including institutional players and so-called “whales,” often withdraw coins after buying, suggesting accumulation is underway. With fewer coins readily available to flood the market, this dynamic could amplify upward pressure on Bitcoin’s price, especially if demand continues to climb.

Macro context: Inflation, rates, and risk sentiment

Bitcoin’s recent surge hasn’t occurred in a vacuum—it’s been fuelled by encouraging macroeconomic signals. On Wednesday, US CPI and Core CPI data revealed a modest 0.1 per cent increase in May, weaker than economists had forecast. This softer-than-expected inflation print suggests that companies are absorbing higher tariff costs rather than passing them on to consumers, easing inflationary pressures.

For investors, this is a green light: cooler inflation strengthens the case for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates as early as September. Lower rates typically diminish the appeal of yield-bearing assets, such as bonds, driving capital toward riskier investments, including equities and cryptocurrencies. Gold, a traditional inflation hedge, edged up 0.1 per cent to US$3,324.72 per ounce on the news, while Bitcoin’s rally reflects a similar flight to alternative stores of value.

Yet, the macroeconomic picture isn’t uniformly rosy. Global risk sentiment took a hit as Trump’s tariff threats dialed up trade tensions, sending US stocks lower and dragging the US Dollar Index down 0.47 per cent to 98.63. Asian equity markets were mixed on Thursday morning, and US equity futures pointed to a lower open, signalling persistent unease.

In commodities, Brent crude jumped 4.3 per cent to US$69.77 per barrel amid escalating US-Iran tensions, highlighting geopolitical risks that could ripple across asset classes. Bitcoin, often touted as “digital gold,” may benefit from this uncertainty, but its correlation with risk assets, such as stocks, suggests it’s not immune to broader market sell-offs.

Risks and opportunities: A balanced perspective

The outlook for Bitcoin remains overwhelmingly bullish, but it’s not without caveats. On the positive side, the technical breakout, institutional adoption, and declining exchange balances form a robust foundation for further gains.

The prospect of Fed rate cuts, bolstered by Wednesday’s inflation data, adds fuel to the fire, as does the growing political and corporate embrace of cryptocurrencies. If Bitcoin can clear the US$112,000 hurdle, US$137,000 becomes a plausible target, potentially marking a new chapter in its ascent.

However, risks loom on the horizon. Regulatory uncertainty remains a wildcard—while political support is growing, the specifics of future legislation are unclear, and adverse rules could dampen enthusiasm. Bitcoin’s high volatility is another concern; sharp price swings are par for the course, and a sudden shift in risk sentiment could trigger a pullback.

The broader economic context adds complexity: Trump’s tariff plans could disrupt global trade, and a resulting downturn might drag risk assets, including Bitcoin, lower. Finally, despite its gains, Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition is still debated. Critics argue it lacks intrinsic value, while proponents see it as a hedge against fiat currency debasement. This tension keeps the asset class polarising.

My point of view: Optimism tempered by caution

Tracking Bitcoin’s evolution, I’m struck by how far it’s come—from a fringe experiment to a mainstream contender. Its recent performance reflects a maturing asset class, buoyed by institutional credibility and macroeconomic tailwinds.

I’m optimistic about its near-term prospects; the technical breakout and fundamental drivers suggest more upside, especially if the Fed pivots to rate cuts. The declining exchange balances, in particular, strike me as a powerful signal of conviction—investors aren’t just speculating, they’re committing for the long haul.

That said, I can’t ignore the risks. Bitcoin’s volatility is a double-edged sword, and its sensitivity to global risk sentiment means it could falter if trade tensions escalate or economic clouds gather. For all its progress, it’s still a young asset, and its fate hinges on factors beyond its control—regulation, geopolitics, and market psychology among them.

My view is one of cautious optimism: Bitcoin has the wind at its back, but investors should tread carefully, balancing its potential rewards against its inherent uncertainties.

 

Source: https://e27.co/the-crypto-catalyst-how-inflation-rates-and-risk-sentiment-shape-bitcoin-path-20250612/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

From trade talks to Bitcoin barons: How Saylor’s grip could derail market optimism

From trade talks to Bitcoin barons: How Saylor’s grip could derail market optimism

From the de-escalation of trade tensions between the United States and China to rising inflation pressures, shifting bond yields, and a booming cryptocurrency market, there’s a lot to unpack.

Let’s explore how these elements are shaping the world economy, what they mean for investors, and how they align—or clash—with my views on financial systems, particularly regarding bitcoin’s trajectory.

US-China trade tensions: A breath of fresh air for global risk sentiment

One of the most significant developments recently is the de-escalation of trade tensions between the US and China. After months of uncertainty that rattled global markets, both nations have agreed to a preliminary deal to implement a consensus reached in Geneva. This step forward, further solidified by optimistic tones from two days of talks in London, has injected a dose of optimism into financial markets.

The immediate impact was visible in the US stock markets on Tuesday, where the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed by 0.25 per cent, the S&P 500 rose by 0.55 per cent, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.63 per cent. Tesla, a leader among megacap stocks, spearheaded these gains, reflecting investor enthusiasm for companies poised to benefit from smoother trade relations.

This improvement in global risk sentiment is no small feat. For years, the US-China trade dispute has been a dark cloud over the global economy, disrupting supply chains, increasing costs, and dampening consumer confidence.

A preliminary deal suggests a willingness to negotiate, which could stabilise markets and encourage investment. Asian equity indices echoed this positivity with modest gains on Wednesday morning, and even though US equity index futures hinted at a lower opening, the overall mood remains cautiously upbeat.

But let’s not get carried away. This deal is preliminary, a first step in what could be a long and bumpy road. History shows that US-China trade relations can be volatile, with breakthroughs often followed by setbacks. The market’s enthusiastic response—while justified—might be premature.

Investors should temper their optimism with vigilance, as the risk of renewed tensions looms large. For now, though, this development is a net positive, easing some of the uncertainty that has plagued global markets.

US inflation: A rising tide with policy implications

While trade tensions ease, another challenge is heating up: inflation. Data expected on Wednesday is set to reveal that US consumers faced slightly faster inflation in May, particularly in merchandise, as companies pass along higher import duties from the trade dispute.

According to a Bloomberg survey of economists, the core consumer price index—excluding volatile food and energy prices—is projected to rise by 0.3 per cent in May, the largest monthly increase in four months, pushing the annual rate to 2.9 per cent. This uptick is notable because it signals that inflationary pressures, once dismissed as temporary, might be sticking around.

What does this mean for the economy? Higher inflation, especially driven by merchandise costs tied to import duties, could squeeze consumer purchasing power and pressure businesses’ profit margins. More critically, it puts the Federal Reserve in a tricky spot.

The Fed has maintained that current inflation is “transitory,” a byproduct of supply chain disruptions and post-pandemic recovery. But if these numbers persist or accelerate, the central bank might need to rethink its dovish stance. Raising interest rates to cool inflation could stabilise prices but risks slowing economic growth—a delicate balancing act.

For investors, this inflation data is a key signal. Growth stocks, like those in the Nasdaq, are particularly sensitive to rising rates, which increase borrowing costs and reduce the present value of future earnings. If the Fed hints at tightening, we could see a rotation out of tech-heavy indices into value stocks or safe-haven assets.

For now, the market seems to be pricing in a wait-and-see approach, but Wednesday’s data will be a litmus test for what’s ahead.

Bond markets: Mixed signals reflect uncertainty

The bond market offers another lens into this evolving landscape. As US and Chinese officials negotiated in London, US Treasury yields showed mixed movements. The 10-year yield slipped by 1.2 basis points to 4.47 per cent, and the 30-year yield dropped by 2 basis points to 4.93 per cent.

These declines suggest investors are seeking safety in long-term bonds, possibly due to lingering concerns about global growth despite the trade deal optimism. Meanwhile, the two year yield ticked up by more than 1 basis point to 4.01 per cent, hinting at expectations of near-term rate hikes from the Fed to combat inflation.

This divergence is telling. The drop in longer-term yields reflects a flight to quality—investors hedging against economic slowdown or geopolitical risks. Conversely, the rise in the two year yield aligns with the inflation narrative, as shorter-term bonds are more sensitive to monetary policy shifts.

Together, these movements paint a picture of a market grappling with mixed signals: hope for trade-driven growth versus caution about inflation and policy tightening. For bond investors, this suggests a period of volatility ahead, where flexibility and close monitoring of Fed signals will be crucial.

Currency and commodities: Subtle shifts with big implications

In currency and commodity markets, we see further ripples from these developments. The US Dollar Index edged up by 0.11 per cent to 99.05, a modest gain that could reflect confidence in the US economy bolstered by the trade deal. A stronger dollar often signals optimism about US growth relative to other economies, though it can also pressure export-driven nations by making their goods pricier.

On the commodities side, Brent crude fell by 0.25 per cent to US$66.87 per barrel, and gold dipped by 0.1 per cent to US$3324.55 per ounce. These declines might seem counterintuitive amid improving risk sentiment—gold, after all, thrives on uncertainty. But they likely indicate that investors are less worried about geopolitical risks and more focused on economic normalisation.

Alternatively, softer demand or oversupply could be at play, particularly for oil. Either way, these shifts suggest a market recalibrating its expectations, with commodities taking a backseat to equities and crypto in the current narrative.

Cryptocurrency boom: Bitcoin, altcoins, and a centralisation conundrum

Speaking of crypto, the cryptocurrency market is on fire. Bitcoin reclaimed the US$110,000 level for the second day running, up 0.9 per cent in the last 24 hours as of Tuesday’s close. Altcoins stole the show, though, with the CoinDesk 20 index—tracking the top 20 cryptocurrencies—jumping 3.3 per cent.

Ether, solana, and chainlink posted gains of five per cent to seven per cent, while uniswap and aave skyrocketed by 24 per cent and 13 per cent, respectively. This surge was sparked by SEC Chair Paul Atkins’ optimistic remarks on decentralised finance (DeFi) on Monday, hinting at a regulatory thaw that could legitimise and accelerate crypto adoption.

This rally is exciting, but it’s not without complications. Michael Saylor’s relentless bitcoin accumulation through his company, Strategy, is raising eyebrows. Saylor’s strategy—leveraging debt to amass bitcoin—has pushed Strategy’s holdings to a level that some, including digital asset bank Sygnum, view as problematic.

Sygnum’s recent report warns that “large, concentrated holdings are a risk for any asset,” arguing that Strategy’s dominance could undermine bitcoin’s long-term institutional appeal. They suggest smaller, risk-adjusted treasury allocations as a smarter play for most firms, a view that resonates with my own concerns.

On June 7, I posted on X that bitcoin’s increasing centralisation—driven by players like Saylor—makes it less distinct from fiat currencies. I don’t oppose integrating bitcoin into financial systems; in fact, I see it as beneficial. But if bitcoin mirrors the centralised structures of traditional finance, it risks losing its ethos as a decentralised reserve currency.

Strategy’s approach, while bold, could set a precedent that overshadows more balanced strategies, deterring institutions wary of concentration risks or market manipulation.

My perspective: Optimism tempered by caution

So, where do I stand on all this? The US-China trade de-escalation is a welcome relief, lifting global risk sentiment and giving markets a much-needed boost. But I’m skeptical of the market’s exuberance—it feels a bit like champagne wishes before the cork’s fully popped.

Inflation is the wild card; if it keeps climbing, the Fed’s hand might be forced, and that could dampen the party. Bond yields reflect this tension, with investors hedging their bets, while the dollar’s strength and commodity dips suggest a cautious optimism.

In crypto, the rally is thrilling, but Saylor’s bitcoin hoard is a red flag. I align with Sygnum’s view: concentration risks could alienate institutions just as bitcoin gains traction. My June 7 stance holds—bitcoin’s promise lies in decentralisation, and we shouldn’t let it walk the fiat path. Investors should embrace crypto’s potential but diversify to mitigate these risks.

In short, we’re in a complex, fluid moment. The trade deal is a win, but inflation, policy shifts, and crypto centralisation are challenges to watch. Stay sharp, stay diversified, and don’t bet the farm on any single narrative—because in this landscape, change is the only constant.

 

Source: https://e27.co/from-trade-talks-to-bitcoin-barons-how-saylors-grip-could-derail-market-optimism-20250611/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

From ADP to Bitcoin: How US economic indicators are shaping global financial landscapes

From ADP to Bitcoin: How US economic indicators are shaping global financial landscapes

Many would ask: how global risk sentiment has retreated in response to weaker-than-expected US economic data and related developments, offering a rich tapestry of interconnected events to unpack. From disappointing employment figures to surprising contractions in the services sector, and from mixed market reactions to intriguing movements in the cryptocurrency space, there’s a lot to explore.

My aim here is to share my perspective on these developments, weaving together facts, data, and informed insights. Let’s dive in.

The story begins with a trio of US economic reports that have collectively rattled investor confidence. First, the May ADP employment report delivered a sobering surprise: job growth fell significantly short of expectations. This isn’t just a statistical blip—it’s a signal that the US labour market, often a bedrock of economic stability, might be softening.

A weaker labour market can set off a chain reaction: fewer jobs mean less consumer spending, which in turn can dampen business investment and economic growth. With the official payrolls report looming on Friday, this ADP miss has heightened anticipation and anxiety about whether the trend will hold.

Then there’s the ISM services index, which unexpectedly slipped to 49.9 in May—the first sub-50 reading in nearly a year. For those unfamiliar, a reading below 50 indicates contraction, and in a sector that forms the backbone of the US economy, this is no small matter.

The abrupt pullback in demand, compounded by the pressures of higher tariffs, suggests that the economic slowdown—previously confined largely to manufacturing—may now be spreading. It’s a red flag that the broader economy could be losing steam, and it’s understandably spooked investors who rely on the services sector’s resilience.

The Fed’s latest Beige Book report only deepens the gloom. Covering the past six weeks, it notes that the US economy has contracted, with hiring slowing and both consumers and businesses voicing concerns about tariff-related price increases. This paints a picture of an economy under strain, where trade tensions are no longer abstract policy debates but tangible pressures on costs and confidence.

Tariffs, by raising the price of imported goods, threaten to squeeze profit margins and push inflation higher—twin challenges that could stifle growth if unchecked. Together, these three reports form a narrative of vulnerability that has sent global risk sentiment into retreat.

How have markets responded? The reaction has been a classic flight to safety, tempered by pockets of resilience. US stock markets closed mixed on Wednesday, reflecting the uncertainty. The Dow Jones dipped by 0.22 per cent, and the S&P 500 barely nudged up by 0.01 per cent, while the Nasdaq gained a modest 0.32 per cent. This split performance hints at cautious optimism in technology stocks, perhaps buoyed by their long-term growth potential, even as broader economic worries weigh on other sectors.

Meanwhile, US Treasuries rallied sharply, with yields tumbling across the curve. The 10-year Treasury yield fell 9.9 basis points to 4.355 per cent, and the two year yield dropped 8.5 basis points to 3.866 per cent. This surge in bond prices—driving yields down—signals that investors are seeking the relative safety of government debt, a move reinforced by expectations that the Federal Reserve might cut rates twice this year to cushion the economy.

The US Dollar Index weakened by 0.44 per cent, a decline that could stem from those same rate-cut expectations or broader doubts about the US economic outlook. A softer dollar often accompanies a shift toward safer assets, and here, gold played its traditional role as a haven, rising 0.6 per cent to US$3,373 per ounce.

On the flip side, Brent crude oil slid 1.2 per cent to US$65 per barrel, pressured by fears of waning global demand amid a slowing economy and reports that Saudi Arabia favours boosting OPEC+ output after July. These commodity movements underscore the interplay between economic health and resource markets—a dynamic that’s critical to watch.

Across the Pacific, North Asian equities offered a counterpoint, staging a strong rebound driven by technology and semiconductor sectors. This rally, mirrored by gains in Asian equity indices during early trading today, suggests that some investors still see opportunity amid the gloom, particularly in innovation-driven industries. Yet US equity index futures point to a lower open, hinting that Wall Street remains wary of the road ahead.

Now, let’s pivot to a fascinating subplot: the cryptocurrency market, where developments are adding both promise and peril to the mix. JPMorgan Chase’s decision to allow clients to use spot Bitcoin ETFs—like BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT)—as collateral is a game-changer. Announced on June 4, this move applies globally across retail and institutional clients, marking a significant step toward integrating regulated crypto exposure into mainstream finance.

By treating Bitcoin ETF holdings akin to stocks or real estate in net worth and liquidity calculations, JPMorgan is signaling confidence in the asset class’s legitimacy. This builds on a trend: spot Bitcoin ETFs, approved in January 2024, now manage over US$128 billion in assets, a testament to their explosive growth and appeal.

This shift aligns with a broader evolution in the crypto landscape. Wells Fargo analysts recently noted that Bitcoin is entering an “institutional phase,” with new “Bitcoin treasury” companies emerging in the wake of MicroStrategy’s success. MicroStrategy, now rebranded as Strategy, holds a staggering 580,955 Bitcoins, acquired through a mix of equity, debt, and cash flow.

Its stock has soared 132 per cent over the past year, reflecting investor enthusiasm for its dual focus on Bitcoin and AI analytics. Similarly, Nasdaq-listed K Wave Media plans to raise US$500 million to build a Bitcoin treasury, aiming to emulate Japan’s Metaplanet. These moves suggest that corporations are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a strategic asset—a hedge against inflation or a growth play in a digital age.

But it’s not all smooth sailing. Bitcoin, trading below US$105,000 on Wednesday, faces risks. Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick warns that a drop below US$90,000 could trigger liquidations among non-crypto public companies holding Bitcoin, potentially halving corporate ownership. And then there’s the China factor. Reports from outlets like Financial Express and Hindustan Times claim that China has banned private Bitcoin ownership, sparking sell-offs among some investors.

Yet here’s the catch: there’s no official confirmation from Chinese authorities—no statements from the Cyberspace Administration, the People’s Bank of China, or other key regulators. The Financial Express cited a “Binance report,” but Binance’s official research offers no such update, and a linked source on Binance Square—a user forum—points only to a ticker page. Without a verifiable announcement, this “ban” smells more like rumour than reality, leaving the crypto market in a state of uneasy speculation.

So, what does all this mean for global risk sentiment? At its core, the retreat stems from a US economy showing cracks—soft jobs data, a shrinking services sector, and tariff-fuelled angst. Investors are responding rationally: piling into Treasuries and gold, dialing back on riskier bets like oil, and watching the dollar weaken. Yet the picture isn’t uniformly bleak. Tech stocks and North Asian equities hint at resilience, while the crypto market straddles a line between institutional embrace and regulatory shadows.

Looking ahead, the implications are multifaceted. For stocks, the mixed signals suggest selective opportunities—tech may hold up better than industrials if the slowdown deepens. Bonds, buoyed by rate-cut bets, could see further gains if the Fed turns dovish. Commodities like gold will likely shine in uncertainty, while oil faces demand headwinds.

The dollar’s trajectory hinges on Fed policy and global confidence in US growth. And for Bitcoin, JPMorgan’s move is a bullish signal, but unconfirmed China risks loom large—investors should tread carefully until clarity emerges.

In my view, we’re in a moment of heightened uncertainty, where economic data, market reactions, and geopolitical rumors are colliding. I’d advise readers to stay vigilant—watch Friday’s payrolls, track Fed rhetoric, and dig beyond headlines on China.

Diversification feels wise here: balancing safe havens with calculated risks in tech or crypto could navigate this choppy terrain. The global economy isn’t collapsing, but it’s wobbling, and how it steadies itself will shape sentiment for months to come. That’s the story as I see it—grounded in data, alive with human stakes, and open to the twists still unfolding.

 

Source: https://e27.co/from-adp-to-bitcoin-how-us-economic-indicators-are-shaping-global-financial-landscapes-20250605/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j