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Markets at a crossroads: Trump’s Fed clash, Powell’s pivot, and global ripple effects

Markets at a crossroads: Trump’s Fed clash, Powell’s pivot, and global ripple effects

On this late summer day in 2025, financial markets around the world display a mix of caution and optimism as investors digest a flurry of economic data, geopolitical tensions, and corporate developments. The overarching narrative centres on anticipation for key upcoming events like Nvidia’s earnings report and the personal consumption expenditures inflation figures, which could sway Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates.

At the same time, President Donald Trump’s bold move to dismiss Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook injects fresh uncertainty into the mix, highlighting ongoing frictions between the White House and the central bank. Stocks in the United States closed lower yesterday, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.3 per cent to around 6,439, the Dow Jones Industrial Average shedding 349 points to finish at approximately 44,150, and the Nasdaq 100 declining 0.4 per cent amid sector rotations that hit consumer staples, health care, and utilities hardest.

This pullback follows a strong rally last week, driven by dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium, where he signalled potential rate cuts as early as September. Traders now price in an 86 per cent likelihood of such a move, reflecting hopes that lower borrowing costs will bolster economic growth amid signs of cooling inflation.

Trump’s move against the Fed

Turning to the macroeconomic landscape, Trump’s announcement yesterday afternoon marks a significant escalation in his longstanding feud with the Federal Reserve over monetary policy. He cited allegations of mortgage fraud against Cook, a claim that has drawn sharp rebukes from Democrats and raised questions about the independence of the central bank. Cook, for her part, quickly responded that she intends to continue her duties, setting the stage for potential legal battles.

This development comes at a delicate time, as the Fed navigates dual mandates of price stability and maximum employment. Experts view the action as an attempt by Trump to exert more influence over interest rate decisions, particularly after he has repeatedly criticised the Fed for not cutting rates aggressively enough to support his economic agenda.

The president posted the removal letter on his Truth Social account, accusing Cook of deceitful conduct in financial matters and expressing a lack of confidence in her ability to serve. While markets initially shrugged off the news, with the dollar paring some losses, the incident underscores broader concerns about policy interference that could erode investor trust in the institution responsible for steering the world’s largest economy.

Economic indicators and housing trends

Recent economic indicators paint a picture of an economy that remains resilient but shows pockets of weakness. New single-family home sales in July slipped 0.6 per cent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 652,000 units, which beat economists’ expectations of 630,000 but represented a slowdown from June’s revised 4.1 per cent gain.

The median sales price dropped to US$403,800, down 5.9 per cent year-over-year, suggesting builders are offering incentives like price cuts and mortgage rate buydowns to attract buyers in a high-interest environment. This data aligns with broader housing market trends, where affordability challenges persist despite a gradual easing in mortgage rates.

Meanwhile, the Dallas Fed’s Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey for August revealed a dip in activity, with the general business activity index falling to -1.8 from 0.9 in July, indicating a mild contraction in the sector. Production slowed to 15.3 from 21.3, though it stayed above long-term averages, and new orders turned positive at 5.8 for the first time since January.

Employment held steady at 8.8, with one in five firms adding staff while 11 per cent reduced headcounts. Capacity utilisation and shipments provided some bright spots, with the latter surging to a three-year high of 14.2. These figures highlight regional disparities, as Texas grapples with energy sector fluctuations and supply chain issues, yet overall sentiment points to cautious optimism for future growth.

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index edged lower to -0.19 in July from -0.18 in June, marking the fourth consecutive month of below-trend economic activity. Only one of the four broad categories, production worsened, while three others continued to drag on the index, underscoring persistent headwinds in employment, sales, and personal consumption.

This subpar performance reinforces the narrative of a cooling economy, which bolsters the case for Fed rate cuts but also raises flags about potential recession risks if growth stalls further. Investors closely monitor these metrics, as they influence expectations for monetary policy adjustments that could ripple through asset classes.

Regional markets: US, Europe, and Asia

In equities, European markets mirrored the US downturn yesterday, with the STOXX Europe 50 falling 0.8 per cent to 5,444 and the broader STOXX 600 declining 0.5 per cent to 559. Banks bore the brunt of the losses, as investors reassessed rate-cut probabilities following Powell’s remarks.

Notable movers included BBVA down two per cent, BNP Paribas dropping 3.5 per cent, and UniCredit slipping 0.4 per cent after it converted its stake in Commerzbank to shares. On the positive side, JDE Peet’s soared 17.5 per cent amid a 15.7 billion euro takeover bid by Keurig Dr Pepper.

In comparison, Puma climbed 16 per cent on speculation of a potential acquisition by the Pinault family. These corporate deals inject some buoyancy, but the overall retreat reflects trimmed bets on aggressive Fed easing, even as European Central Bank officials hint at their own policy shifts.

Asian markets provided a counterpoint, with substantial gains in Hong Kong and mainland China yesterday. The Hang Seng Index surged 1.9 per cent to 25,830, its highest level since October 2021, fuelled by US rate-cut hopes and fresh stimulus from Beijing. The People’s Bank of China injected a net 465.7 billion yuan into the system, the largest daily addition since July, boosting liquidity and propelling tech stocks higher.

The Hang Seng Tech Index rose three per cent ahead of Nvidia’s earnings, with standout performers like KE Holdings up 5.6 per cent, Galaxy Entertainment gaining 5.3 per cent, Lenovo advancing 3.9 per cent, Meituan climbing three per cent, and Tencent rising 2.4 per cent. Consumer, property, and financial sectors also benefited from Shanghai’s decision to scrap property taxes for first-time homebuyers.

In China, the Shanghai Composite climbed 1.51 per cent to 3,884, a 10-year high, while the Shenzhen Component gained 2.26 per cent to 12,441. This rally stems from easing US-China trade tensions, policy support expectations, and positive spillover from Wall Street’s recent surge.

Investors now await the upcoming purchasing managers’ index and industrial profit data for further clues on China’s recovery trajectory. Top gainers included Cambricon up 11.4 per cent, China Northern Rare Earth advancing 9.9 per cent, and Hygon Information soaring 12.9 per cent.

Currencies, commodities, and fixed income

In foreign exchange markets, the US dollar staged a rebound, with the DXY index climbing to 98.20 amid broader currency fluctuations. The euro weakened against the greenback, reflecting divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Fed and the European Central Bank.

This strength in the dollar comes despite Trump’s Fed actions, which initially pressured the currency but later saw it pare losses as gold trimmed gains. Commodities extended their upward momentum, with oil prices touching US$65 per barrel after four straight days of gains. Brent crude eased slightly today after surging nearly two per cent yesterday on concerns over Russia-Ukraine supply disruptions, but the overall trend points to tightening global inventories and geopolitical risks supporting higher prices.

In fixed income, demand for short-term US Treasuries remained robust, with three- and six-month bills attracting strong bids at recent auctions. Yields on the 10-year note hovered around 4.26 per cent last week, down modestly as investors sought safety amid equity volatility.

Crypto sector shifts and Ethereum’s momentum

The cryptocurrency sector experienced significant turbulence, with digital asset investment products recording US$1.43 billion in outflows last week, the heaviest since March, according to CoinShares. Trading volumes in exchange-traded products jumped to US$38 billion, 50 per cent above the 2025 average, reflecting heightened activity amid shifting sentiment tied to US monetary policy signals.

Early-week outflows reached US$2 billion, but inflows of US$594 million materialised later following Powell’s dovish Jackson Hole speech. Bitcoin suffered the most, with US$1 billion in outflows, while Ethereum saw US$440 million exit, though the latter rebounded strongly mid-week. Month-to-date, Ethereum boasts US$2.5 billion in net inflows compared to Bitcoin’s US$1 billion outflows, adjusting year-to-date figures to 26 per cent of assets under management for Ethereum versus 11 per cent for Bitcoin.

This divergence suggests institutional investors are reallocating toward Ethereum, drawn by its role in layer-two networks and growing adoption through exchange-traded funds. Altcoins showed mixed results, with XRP attracting US$25 million, Solana US$12 million, and Cronos US$4.4 million, indicating selective confidence in ecosystems with robust user bases.

Tom Lee from Bitmine highlight Ethereum’s potential, predicting prices could reach US$10,000 by year-end 2025, with upside to US$12,000-US$15,000 in bullish scenarios. Lee draws parallels to Bitcoin’s 2017 surge, emphasising Ethereum’s utility in decentralised finance and corporate treasury strategies.

He points to key support levels around US$4,300, where buyers have historically intervened, and notes that holding above US$4,067 could stabilise the asset short-term. Breaking US$5,100 might trigger a rally toward US$5,450, levels that guide strategic trading rather than impulsive moves.

Beyond speculation, Ethereum positions itself as a foundational element in digital finance, attracting hedge funds, family offices, and corporations for long-term holdings rather than quick trades. In a volatile market, Lee’s counsel emphasises patience, adherence to plans, and vigilance on price thresholds to navigate dips as buying opportunities.

Outlook: Navigating opportunity and risk

From my perspective, today’s dynamics reveal an economy at a crossroads. Trump’s intervention in the Fed risks politicising an institution designed for independence, potentially leading to market instability if it erodes global confidence in US policy.

The resilient economic data, better-than-expected home sales, and positive new orders in manufacturing suggest the foundation remains solid, supporting Powell’s case for measured rate cuts. Asian gains underscore how interconnected global markets have become, with China’s stimulus providing a buffer against US uncertainties.

In crypto, the shift toward Ethereum signals maturing investor preferences, favoring utility over pure store-of-value narratives like Bitcoin’s “digital gold.” Overall, while short-term volatility looms with Nvidia’s report and PCE data, the broader outlook favours growth if policymakers avoid missteps.

Investors who focus on fundamentals over headlines stand to benefit, as these events test the durability of the post-pandemic recovery. This intricate web of factors demands careful navigation, but it also offers opportunities for those attuned to the nuances.

 

Source: https://e27.co/markets-at-a-crossroads-trumps-fed-clash-powells-pivot-and-global-ripple-effects-20250826/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

Global sentiment lifts off: The US-EU agreement’s ripple through stocks, commodities, and digital currencies

Global sentiment lifts off: The US-EU agreement’s ripple through stocks, commodities, and digital currencies

The announcement of a US-EU trade agreement on Sunday has acted as a catalyst, easing tensions that had previously weighed on investor confidence. This development has had a ripple effect across various markets, influencing equities, bonds, commodities, and cryptocurrencies.

As we approach a week marked by high-stakes economic events and corporate earnings, understanding these dynamics becomes increasingly crucial. In my view, the renewed optimism is a welcome change, though the mixed signals in some markets suggest that caution remains warranted.

Let me tell you more.

A boost from the US-EU trade agreement

The US-EU trade agreement has emerged as a pivotal factor in lifting global risk sentiment. For months, trade uncertainty had cast a shadow over markets, with investors wary of escalating tariffs and disruptions to global supply chains.

The deal announced on Sunday has alleviated some of these concerns, fostering a more risk-on environment. Investors are now more inclined to allocate capital to growth-oriented assets like stocks, rather than seeking refuge in traditional safe havens like bonds or gold.

This shift reflects a broader belief that economic stability might be within reach, at least in the short term. However, with major events like the Federal Open Market Committee meeting and US payroll data looming, the sustainability of this optimism remains an open question.

US markets: Choppy trading and rising yields

In the United States, stock markets closed mixed after a volatile session, capturing the complexity of the current environment. The S&P 500 inched up by 0.02 per cent, signalling modest gains, while the NASDAQ climbed 0.33 per cent, driven by strength in technology stocks.

Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped by 0.14 per cent, hinting at lingering caution among traders. This uneven performance suggests that while the trade agreement has bolstered confidence, investors are still grappling with uncertainties tied to upcoming economic releases and corporate earnings.

US Treasury yields, which often serve as a barometer of market sentiment, edged higher across the curve. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by 2.2 basis points to 4.410 per cent, and the two-year yield ticked up by 0.2 basis points to 3.926 per cent.

These increases suggest that investors are shifting away from the safety of government bonds, aligning with the broader risk-on sentiment. Higher yields also reflect expectations of stronger economic growth, though they could pressure equity valuations if the trend accelerates.

The US Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar’s strength against major currencies, advanced by 1.01 per cent. A stronger dollar typically accompanies periods of economic optimism, as it did here, fuelled by the trade deal and improving risk appetite. This dollar rally could pose challenges for US exporters, but it also underscores the market’s faith in the resilience of the US economy.

Commodities: Diverging paths for gold and brent crude

Commodities have displayed divergent trends amid the shifting sentiment. Gold, a classic safe-haven asset, extended its retreat, falling by 0.68 per cent to US$3,315 per ounce.

This decline is understandable in the context of a rising risk appetite, as investors reduce their holdings of gold in favor of assets with higher potential returns. I see this as a natural response to the trade agreement, though gold could regain favor if new uncertainties emerge.

In contrast, Brent crude oil surged by 1.9 per cent to US$70 per barrel, propelled by President Trump’s proposal to impose secondary tariffs on nations purchasing Russian oil ahead of a 50-day deadline. This move has raised concerns about a tighter oil supply, which is expected to boost prices.

The rally also reflects the improving global economic outlook, which tends to lift energy demand. The energy market remains vulnerable to geopolitical shifts, and any escalation in trade disputes could alter this trajectory.

Asian markets and US futures: A mixed outlook

Asian stock markets mirrored the uneven performance seen in the US, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 pulling back by 1.1 per cent. This decline likely stemmed from profit-taking after recent gains, though it highlights that not all regions are fully embracing the risk-on wave. Despite this, US equity index futures suggest that US stocks will open higher, pointing to sustained positive momentum.

Investors are now fixated on a packed week ahead, featuring the FOMC meeting, US ISM manufacturing data, non-farm payrolls, second-quarter GDP figures, and earnings from four of the “Magnificent Seven” tech giants. These events will likely determine whether the current optimism persists or wanes.

Cryptocurrencies: Ethereum’s surge and Bitcoin’s mining milestone

The cryptocurrency market has also captured attention, with Ethereum briefly topping US$3,900, its highest level since December, before pulling back. This surge underscores growing investor enthusiasm for Ethereum, driven by its expanding role in decentralised finance and smart contract applications.

Bernstein analysts have noted that Ethereum treasuries, companies holding Ethereum as a reserve asset, are adopting a distinct approach compared to their Bitcoin-focused counterparts. These treasuries generate staking rewards, providing a yield on their holdings, which marks a significant evolution in how institutions utilise cryptocurrencies.

The analysts caution that this model introduces liquidity and security risks. Staking contracts, while generally liquid, can require days-long queues to unstake, forcing Ethereum treasuries to balance availability with yield optimisation. More advanced strategies, such as restaking or DeFi-based yield generation, further complicate matters by exposing firms to vulnerabilities in smart contracts.

This trade-off between yield and risk highlights the maturing nature of the crypto market, where innovation often comes with growing pains. Companies will need to navigate these challenges carefully to sustain Ethereum’s momentum.

Bitcoin, meanwhile, has seen its mining power approach a new record, with the 7-day average hashrate reaching 942 exahashes per second. This figure sits just below the all-time high of 943.6 exahashes per second set in mid-June, according to data from Blockchain.com.

The hashrate, which tracks the total computing power dedicated to mining Bitcoin, offers insight into the network’s security and the confidence of miners. The recent surge suggests that miners remain bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term prospects, despite its price cooling off in recent weeks.

This increase in mining power has persisted despite a new all-time high in Bitcoin’s difficulty, which adjusts to make mining more challenging as more power is added. Miners’ willingness to expand operations under these conditions reflects their belief in future price gains, likely driven by Bitcoin’s historical resilience and growing institutional adoption.

I find this development encouraging, as it signals a robust foundation for Bitcoin, though it also raises questions about energy consumption and profitability if prices stagnate.

My perspective: Optimism tempered by caution

From my standpoint, the advance in global risk sentiment is a positive development, particularly after months of trade-related uncertainty. The US-EU agreement has provided a much-needed lift, and its effects are evident across equities, currencies, and commodities.

The strength in the US dollar and Brent crude, coupled with Ethereum’s price surge and Bitcoin’s mining milestone, paints a picture of a market eager to move forward. Yet, the mixed performance of US and Asian stock markets, along with gold’s decline, reminds us that not all investors are thoroughly convinced.

The week ahead will be crucial in determining whether this momentum is sustained. The FOMC meeting could signal shifts in monetary policy, while economic data, such as payrolls and GDP, will shed light on the health of the US economy. Earnings from tech giants will also play a role, given their outsized influence on market indices.

In my opinion, the current risk-on environment offers opportunities, but investors should remain vigilant. The cryptocurrency space, with its blend of innovation and risk, exemplifies this duality. Ethereum treasuries and Bitcoin miners are pushing boundaries, yet they face hurdles that could temper their progress.

 

Source: https://e27.co/global-sentiment-lifts-off-the-us-eu-agreements-ripple-through-stocks-commodities-and-digital-currencies-20250729/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

The inflation ripple effect: From Wall Street to cryptocurrency to Washington

The inflation ripple effect: From Wall Street to cryptocurrency to Washington

The story begins with the latest inflation report, a document that has sent shockwaves through financial markets worldwide. In June, the US headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed by 2.7 per cent year-over-year, surpassing economists’ estimates of 2.6 per cent.

Core inflation, which strips out the often erratic swings in food and energy prices, held steady at 2.9 per cent year-over-year, aligning with expectations. At first glance, these numbers might seem like mere statistics, but they carry profound weight.

Inflation is the heartbeat of an economy, and the Federal Reserve monitors it closely to calibrate interest rates. When prices rise too quickly, the Fed might tighten policy to cool things down; when they lag, it might ease rates to spur growth.

This time, the higher-than-anticipated headline CPI signals that tariff-related price pressures are starting to bite, pushing out hopes for rate cuts this year.

This development is a double-edged sword. On one hand, it reflects the real-world impact of trade policies, like tariffs, which ripple through supply chains and hit consumers in the wallet.

On the other hand, it complicates the Fed’s delicate balancing act. With inflation stubbornly above the Fed’s two per cent target, the central bank faces pressure to keep rates elevated, a stance that could dampen economic momentum just as growth shows signs of faltering.

Analysts I’ve followed suggest that earlier optimism for rate cuts this year is fading rapidly, replaced by a resigned expectation that the Fed will hold firm to prevent inflation from deepening. This shift is significant because it affects everything from mortgage rates to corporate investment, shaping the economic landscape for months to come.

Market reactions: A tale of divergence

The markets didn’t take this news lying down. In the US, the reaction was a study in contrasts. The S&P 500 dipped by 0.4 per cent, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average took a steeper hit, falling 1.0 per cent. Yet the NASDAQ, defying the gloom, edged up by 0.2 per cent, buoyed by reports of resumed chip sales to China.

This split fascinates me. It shows how different sectors digest the same data differently. The tech-heavy NASDAQ likely received a boost from the chip news, a lifeline for semiconductor firms in a tense trade environment. Meanwhile, the broader S&P 500 and Dow, with their mix of industries, seemed more rattled by inflation’s implications for interest rates and costs.

The bond market echoed this unease. US Treasuries stumbled, with the 10-year yield rising 4.8 basis points to 4.481 per cent and the two-year yield climbing 4.0 basis points to 3.940 per cent. Higher yields signal that investors are seeking a higher return for holding government debt, a classic response to inflation fears or expectations of tighter monetary policy.

I see this as a sign of markets bracing for a Fed that’s less dovish than hoped, a shift that could ripple into borrowing costs everywhere.

Currency markets told a similar story. The US Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar against major currencies, surged 0.6 per cent to 98.62, its highest level in three years. This strength makes sense: if the Fed holds rates steady while others cut, the dollar becomes a magnet for capital.

In contrast, the Japanese Yen slumped 0.8 per cent to 148.88, its weakest level since early April, as it was dragged down by a sell-off in Japan’s bond market. To me, this divergence highlights the interconnected yet fragmented nature of global markets, which each react to local cues within a shared economic web.

Across the Pacific, Asia offered a mixed bag. China’s real GDP growth remained steady at 5.2 per cent year-over-year, a respectable figure; however, nominal GDP growth declined to 3.0 per cent, the slowest pace since 2023. June data painted a grimmer picture: retail sales slowed, fixed asset investment weakened, and home prices and property investment took a deeper dive.

Yet Hong Kong’s tech stocks shone, driving regional gains even as Asian equity indices wavered in early trading. I find this resilience in tech intriguing, a glimmer of optimism amid China’s broader economic clouds. It suggests that investors still see value in innovation, even when domestic demand falters.

Then there’s the cryptocurrency market, which has taken a bruising. US-listed crypto stocks like Canaan Inc., down over 10 per cent, Circle, off nearly five per cent, and Riot Platforms and CleanSpark, each shedding more than three per cent, felt the heat.

Big names like Coinbase, Robinhood, and MicroStrategy weren’t spared either. This sell-off, sparked by the CPI data and the Fed’s steady-rate stance, stripped away a hoped-for boost for Bitcoin.

I’ve always viewed crypto as a wild card: touted as an inflation hedge, yet hypersensitive to interest rate shifts. Here, higher rates made safer assets, such as bonds, more appealing, dimming the allure of crypto. It’s a reminder of how volatile this space remains, tethered to macroeconomic tides.

Political drama: The GENIUS Act’s stumble

While markets churned, Washington delivered its drama. The US House of Representatives hit a wall when a procedural motion to advance the GENIUS Act, alongside the CLARITY Act and the Anti-CBDC Act, failed with 196 votes in favour and 222 against. Dubbed “Crypto Week,” this was intended to be a landmark moment for crypto regulation, but it ultimately ended in a stalemate.

The GENIUS Act, short for “Generating Efficient Networks for Innovation and Utility in Stablecoins,” aims to clarify the rules for stablecoins, digital currencies tied to assets such as the US dollar. The CLARITY Act aims to clarify the legal standing of crypto, while the Anti-CBDC Act opposes the development of a central bank digital currency (CBDC). These bills could shape America’s crypto future, either fostering innovation or reining it in.

The snag came from within the Republican ranks. Some GOP lawmakers balked at the GENIUS Act’s lack of a full CBDC ban, fearing it left room for a digital dollar they see as a privacy nightmare. Marjorie Taylor Greene voiced this worry, arguing the bill indirectly props up a CBDC framework, a sentiment echoed by others in her party.

This internal rift derailed the vote, despite President Donald Trump’s plea to support the bill and solidify US crypto leadership. His words fell flat, exposing a GOP at odds with itself.

Democrats, led by Maxine Waters, pounced. They mocked Republican disarray and doubled down on their opposition to the GENIUS Act, citing insufficient safeguards and risks of unchecked financial experimentation. Their earlier “Anti-Crypto Corruption Week” had already telegraphed this stance.

To me, this clash is more than partisan theatre. It’s a microcosm of a bigger struggle: how to regulate a technology that’s outpacing policy. I lean toward clarity in regulation, believing it could unlock crypto’s potential while curbing its excesses. But I get the skepticism, too, the fear of opening Pandora’s box without knowing what’s inside.

My take

Economically, the inflation spike and the Fed’s response signal more challenging times ahead. I worry about the squeeze on households and businesses if rates remain high, yet I see the logic in taming inflation before it spirals out of control.

Markets, with their choppy reactions, reflect this uncertainty, a tug-of-war between fear and opportunity. In Asia, China’s slowdown hints at deeper structural woes, though tech’s tenacity offers hope.

Politically, the GENIUS Act’s flop is a missed chance, but it’s not the end. I think the US risks falling behind if it can’t sort out crypto rules soon, especially as other nations race ahead. The GOP’s split and Democrats’ resistance highlight how ideology and caution can stall progress. I’d argue for a middle path: regulate enough to protect, but not so much as to stifle. Trump’s vision of crypto dominance is bold, but it needs a united front to work.

Looking forward, the Fed’s next moves and Congress’s retry on crypto will be pivotal. Markets will stay jittery, and I suspect volatility is our new normal.

For now, we’re left with questions: Can the US balance economic stability and innovation? Will political will align with technological reality? I’ll keep digging for answers, but one thing’s clear: this week’s turbulence is just the start.

 

Source: https://e27.co/the-inflation-ripple-effect-from-wall-street-to-cryptocurrency-to-washington-20250716/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j