India’s debt-backed stablecoin challenge to US dollar dominance explained

India’s debt-backed stablecoin challenge to US dollar dominance explained
As governments worldwide debate the merits and dangers of digital currencies, India appears poised to launch its own state-backed stablecoin that uses government debt as collateral.

Proponents argue that the Asset Reserve Certificate (ARC) could hasten the global drive towards de-dollarisation, lower India’s borrowing costs and create a “virtuous cycle” for public funding by diversifying the country’s investor base.

By tying the token to sovereign debt, developers aim to create a transparent system that complements the central bank’s monetary framework and limits outflows of local liquidity into dollar-backed cryptocurrencies.
The ARC, under development by international blockchain giant Polygon and India-based fintech Anq, would function as a stablecoin: a cryptocurrency engineered to maintain a steady value, avoiding the volatility that plagues speculative digital assets like bitcoin.

Every unit of the regulated digital token would be backed one-to-one by Indian government securities or treasury bills – debt instruments issued by the state to finance public spending – maintaining a steady value pegged to the rupee while operating on private blockchain infrastructure.

Its backers say that by tying the digital token directly to sovereign debt, India could keep local liquidity at home instead of letting it leak offshore.

“Success could establish India as the template for upholding private blockchain innovation while maintaining financial sovereignty,” Benjamin Grolimund, general manager of cryptocurrency exchange Flipster, told This Week in Asia.

ARC could enable “significant crypto market capture” for the world’s most populous nation, he said. “India’s move asserts the trend towards de-dollarisation as other [Asia-Pacific] hubs advance their own currency-backed stablecoin frameworks”.

‘Legal limbo’

India, home to one of the world’s largest crypto user bases, has seen surging adoption among both its vast diaspora and a young, digitally native population.

Digital currencies are helping to meet the diaspora’s remittance needs, while young Indian adults are increasingly embracing crypto trading, according to a recent Chainalysis report.

Yet cryptocurrencies remain unregulated in the country, neither illegal nor formally sanctioned, following a 2020 Supreme Court decision that overturned a ban by the central bank amid concerns about its potential for money laundering and terrorism financing.

The ARC’s success could depend on whether India can establish regulatory frameworks to address consumer protection, market conduct and financial stability.

Analysts note the need for legislative clarity: would ARCs be recognised as digital government securities or as payment instruments? Would oversight fall solely under the central bank or be shared with the Securities and Exchange Board of India?

Defining the regulator will be crucial, as will clarifying if non-residents can hold the token, whether settlements can occur offshore and what mechanisms exist for clean conversion between rupees and foreign currency.

“Without statutory backing, disputes over redemptions, custody failures or censorship could land in legal limbo,” warned Anndy Lian, a Singapore-based adviser on blockchain policy.

Risks vs rewards

While Singapore, Hong Kong and Japan have experimented with similar digital tokens, India’s ARC could be the first public, tradeable stablecoin issued privately but backed by state assets.

“India may do something no other major economy has attempted; turn its government securities into a programmable digital asset,” said Raj Kapoor, chairman of the India Blockchain Alliance.

Such a token would align with the Indian central bank’s push to introduce a digital currency and secure the benefits of crypto without dollar-denominated dependence, Kapoor said.

Success is far from certain, however. Overcentralisation risks rebranding government bonds without meaningful innovation, while under-regulation could introduce legal and financial vulnerabilities.

“The risk is that, if over-controlled, it becomes just dematerialised G-Secs [government securities] in a new wrapper with little innovation,” Kapoor said.

But if designed with care, it could be the catalyst that pulls decentralised finance and global liquidity into India’s bond market, strengthening the rupee and setting a new global benchmark.

 

Source: https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/economics/article/3333378/indias-debt-backed-stablecoin-challenge-us-dollar-dominance-explained?registerSource=loginwall

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author. The latest book is Web4: The Age of Autonomous Intelligence.

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Annum Capital Publishes Stablecoin Report for Family Offices

Annum Capital Publishes Stablecoin Report for Family Offices

Annum Capital, a leading financial services group in Hong Kong, today released “Flying Cash: Rise of Stablecoins” – a report that discusses historical precedents and ongoing evolution of stablecoins and provides insights for family offices and wealth managers at a time when technological maturity, regulatory clarity, and rising institutional demand are converging to drive the rise of stablecoins.

This report is co-authored by Annum Capital, Deane Consulting and Anndy Lian, and supported by global firms including Schroders Capital, FTSE Russell, FactSet, Aberdeen, Marex, Synpulse as well as Hong Kong’s local institutions such as Family Office Association of Hong Kong (FOAHK), China Family Office Research Institute, uSmart, Easyview, and Turoid.

  • This report examines the evolution of asset-backed, privately-issued instruments of value transfer, drawing parallels from financial innovations in ancient China (e.g. “flying cash” in Tang dynasty) to more recent incarnations including stablecoins.
  • The report narrates the birth of USDT and USDC, and recounts how stablecoins have gone mainstream when the stars were finally aligned. The report reviews global regulatory stance towards stablecoins, from initial ambivalence to gradual encouragement to potential jurisdictional competition on the horizons.
  • The economic implications of stablecoins are explored, including digital dollarization in emerging markets, new dynamics in the US deficit calculus, challenges to policy independence, and how the reduced friction in payment can impact the velocity of money and market volatilities.
  • The report also surveys the broader digital assets ecosystem – issuers, exchanges, infrastructure providers, custodians, corporate adopters, and early movers in Hong Kong.

This report is the first publication of the Annum Capital Digital Finance Whitepaper Series, a multi-year collaboration project between Annum Capital and its partners in traditional and digital finance.

Click to download the report: https://www.annum.com.hk/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Annum-Capital_Stablecoin-Report_August-2025.pdf

 

About Annum Capital

Annum Capital is a Hong Kong-based financial services group with market leadership in external asset management (EAM), fund management, index investing, private markets, and strategic advisory.

About Deane Consulting

Founded by Andrew Deane, a well-known publisher and specialist adviser in the wealth management sector, Deane Consulting works with companies in the wealth eco-system across Asia, Middle East and Europe on strategic topics.

About Anndy Lian

Anndy Lian is an all-rounded business strategist in Asia. He has provided advisory across a variety of industries for local, international, and public-listed companies and governments. He is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur, book author, investor, board member, and keynote speaker.

Disclaimer:

This report – “Flying Cash: Rise of Stablecoins” – is intended solely for informational purposes for family offices and wealth managers. It has not been reviewed or approved by any regulatory authority in Hong Kong or elsewhere.

Any reference to specific cryptocurrencies, tokens, digital assets, financial instruments, insurance or investment products, platforms, or companies is provided solely for illustrative or informational purposes. Such references do not constitute, and should not be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, endorsement, or recommendation to transact in any of the products or entities mentioned, nor do they represent the formation of any legal or advisory relationship.

This report does not constitute investment advice or advertisement or invitation to acquire, dispose of or trade any assets or products referred to in this report. Nothing in this report should be relied upon as a basis for making any investment decision. This report does not constitute and should not be regarded as financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.

This report is intended for readers in Hong Kong and is to be distributed only in jurisdictions where local laws and regulations allow its distribution.

This report is based on resources as of July 2025 that the authors reasonably believe to be reliable. The authors do not give any warranty on the accuracy of the information contained in this report and accept no liability of any kind for any damage or loss of any nature arising from or in connection with this report.

© 2025 Annum Capital. All rights reserved. This press release and the report referenced herein are protected by copyright and other intellectual property laws. No part of this material may be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, displayed, published, or broadcast in any form or by any means, including photocopying, recording, or other electronic or mechanical methods, without the prior written permission of Annum Capital.

 

Check out the press release at:
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/annum-capital-publishes-stablecoin-report-for-family-offices-302539668.html

Read the report at:
https://www.annum.com.hk/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Annum-Capital_Stablecoin-Report_August-2025.pdf

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author. The latest book is Web4: The Age of Autonomous Intelligence.

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Keep Calm: Hong Kong’s Stablecoin Rules Explained

Keep Calm: Hong Kong’s Stablecoin Rules Explained

Let’s be clear about Hong Kong’s new stablecoin regime. After months of poring over statutes, speaking with regulators, and sifting the louder myths from the quieter facts, the signal is finally audible through the noise. Much of the commentary mistakes a drizzle for a monsoon. If you’ve been fretting about whether Tether suddenly needs a Hong Kong license, or whether buying USDT at a neighborhood shop has become illicit, exhale. What follows is a plain-English guide to what the rules actually do—no hedging, no techno-mystique, just the architecture as written. Think of it as a field note from someone who’s read the fine print so you don’t have to.

Here’s the frame: the Stablecoins Ordinance took effect on August 1. Serious teams moved ahead of that date because the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) spent years laying the groundwork and finalized its guidance only recently. The core principle is straightforward. If you’re issuing new fiat-referenced stablecoins—think USDT or USDC-style instruments pegged to a sovereign currency—you need the HKMA’s blessing. No license, no minting in Hong Kong. Full stop.

The biggest misconception is scope. These rules are not a blanket on every imaginable interaction with a stablecoin. They are tightly aimed at issuance—the moment a token is created and enters circulation. When the law describes “regulated activity,” it means minting, not downstream trading. If baking bread is issuance, groceries and restaurants are secondary markets. The ordinance regulates the bakery, not the bodega. Swapping USDT at a Hong Kong OTC desk or trading it on a local exchange does not, by itself, breach the rulebook. A great many people have been panicking over the wrong thing.

Which brings us to Tether and Circle, the familiar elephants in the room. Do USDT and USDC need Hong Kong licenses? No. And it’s not a matter of corporate intransigence; it’s baked into the statute. The ordinance targets stablecoins issued in Hong Kong and pegged to the Hong Kong dollar. USDT and USDC are minted offshore and reference the U.S. dollar. Unless those firms decide to launch a brand-new HKD-pegged product from within Hong Kong—a prospect for which they’ve shown no appetite—they fall outside the framework as written. That’s not defiance; it’s design.

So what counts as “in Hong Kong”? Not where someone clicks “mint” on a laptop. The analysis looks at the whole enterprise: legal domicile, where operations are run, where reserves are held, and how and to whom the product is marketed. A Cayman-registered firm that runs its day-to-day from a central office, holds reserves with local institutions, and pushes its product to Hong Kong users is very likely within the HKMA’s remit. Blockchains may be borderless; businesses are not.

That naturally leads to the term “active promotion.” The Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) has long drawn a line here: marketing to Hong Kong residents without the right approvals is risky. But “active promotion” is more than merely having a website that loads in Kowloon. It looks like targeted campaigns at Hong Kong users, accepting local payment rails, publishing Chinese-language materials aimed at this market, running roadshows or community events here, and regularly pitching local platforms or investors. If your sales team courts Hong Kong exchanges and you host meetups in central, that’s active promotion. If your site is globally visible but you do nothing to cultivate Hong Kong users, you’re far less exposed. Intent matters; you can’t “accidentally” market to Hong Kong.

Another point lost in the rumor mill: the HKMA can’t conjure new obligations by fiat. Any expansion of regulated activities must be announced through the Hong Kong Gazette. This is not creeping, back-channel rulemaking. It’s a transparent process with public notice. So if someone warns you that “OTC desks might be randomly banned next month,” they’re trading in speculation, not law. The ordinance sets the perimeter; widening it requires due procedure.

On licensing, this is where theory meets practice. Unlike many financial licenses, you don’t just download an application packet and hit “submit.” You first sit down—formally—with the HKMA. That pre-application conversation is a filter. Supervisors will test your model: how you mint and redeem, how reserves are safeguarded, how audits work, and how you’d handle stress. Why the gatekeeping? Because Hong Kong doesn’t intend to franchise dozens of interchangeable issuers. The HKMA has said as much: the market cannot sustain a crowd of “USDC-but-with-a-new-name” projects. They want serious operators with real systems, not façades.

Teams that have gone through these preliminaries report a consistent hierarchy of concern: protect users first, everything else second. Reserve quality sits at the top—cash and cash equivalents that are liquid, high-grade, and cleanly custodied. Segregation is scrutinized: are customer assets bankruptcy-remote? Redemption mechanics are stress-tested: can users get out, at par, under pressure? One applicant spent multiple meetings walking through their audit pipeline—frequency, independence, scope. The message is blunt: if you cannot prove, not merely promise, that your token is fully and transparently backed, don’t queue up.

What about non-HKD stablecoins? The current rules are deliberately narrow: they explicitly target HKD-pegged products. A U.S. dollar-referenced coin issued from Hong Kong is not automatically captured unless it’s being actively marketed here as a payment instrument. That leaves a gray band that the HKMA will almost certainly address over time. For now, a euro-pegged token issued in Hong Kong but aimed solely at European users likely sits outside the scope. Start touting it to Hong Kong consumers as a way to pay for dim sum, and you’ve crossed into regulated territory.

This targeted approach distinguishes Hong Kong from the EU’s MiCA, which sweeps far more broadly. Hong Kong’s priority is the stability and credibility of the Hong Kong dollar. That’s strategically sensible. You do not want a proliferation of unofficial “digital HKD”s fragmenting the monetary system. It also means day-to-day usage of the big, dollar-referenced incumbents—USDT among them—remains largely unaffected. Markets haven’t convulsed because, for most users, little changes in the near term. The sharper impact will be on would-be issuers of local-currency tokens.

Timing matters. The ordinance cleared LegCo in May and took legal effect on August 1. With the law now in force, the pre-application and formal filing process is underway. Expect the first approvals, if any, to arrive no earlier than early 2026. The HKMA has signaled—as clearly as regulators ever do—that speed will not be the metric. That’s a feature, not a bug. Fast-tracked licensing has gone poorly elsewhere; Hong Kong is opting for methodical vetting.

For ordinary residents, the near-term impact is modest. Your ability to buy USDT or USDC is not suddenly curtailed. The meaningful change will come if local firms begin offering HKD-pegged tokens for everyday payments. Those products will require HKMA approval, and rightly so. Imagine taxi apps, supermarkets, or utility providers each pushing their own “digital HKD.” Without guardrails, you’d get fragmentation and confusion. The ordinance is an anti-chaos measure as much as a pro-innovation one.

A final plea against absolutism: this framework is neither an existential threat to crypto nor a magic wand for financial modernization. It is a pragmatic, bounded attempt to protect monetary stability while creating a lane for credible innovation. When the HKMA says the market can support only a handful of issuers, it isn’t stinginess; it’s prudence. You don’t need twenty digital Hong Kong dollars. You need one or two that the public can trust.

The deeper story is cultural. Hong Kong is pivoting from crypto spectacle to institutional plumbing. After the carnage of 2022, the city is choosing guardrails first and productization later. That may feel slow to the “move fast and break things” set, but ask anyone burned by opaque reserves and imploding pegs whether deliberation is a vice or a virtue. This is what learning looks like.

So, practical advice. First, map your activity honestly against the ordinance: are you issuing or merely facilitating use? Second, if issuance is anywhere in scope, start or continue the pre-application dialogue with the HKMA now; it’s already in effect. Third, treat Telegram lore and X threads as background noise and rely on the published guidance. The statute itself reads like legal spaghetti, but the HKMA’s plain-language materials are, refreshingly, actually plain.

The regime is not perfect—no regime is—but it is necessary. Stablecoins now function as critical rails for the broader digital-asset economy; leaving them ungoverned invites familiar disasters. By focusing on the HKD, Hong Kong is protecting its monetary core without strangling optionality elsewhere. The real test will come when the first applications are approved or rejected. That’s when we’ll see just how tight the screws really are. Until then, trade the anxiety for accuracy. When the subject is money, clarity isn’t a luxury—it’s the whole point. We’ve done enough guessing. It’s time to deal in facts.

 

Source: https://intpolicydigest.org/keep-calm-hong-kong-s-stablecoin-rules-explained/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author. The latest book is Web4: The Age of Autonomous Intelligence.

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