Nvidia stumbles, crypto shivers, markets wobble: The AI reckoning begins

Nvidia stumbles, crypto shivers, markets wobble: The AI reckoning begins

Global markets absorbed a sharp technology sell-off that began in the US session, triggered by what traders now call a Nvidia hangover. The artificial intelligence leader’s latest earnings, while technically in line with forecasts, failed to feed the market’s insatiable appetite for perfection.

Investors reacted by rotating capital out of high-flying tech names and into more cyclical sectors like financials, a move that left the Nasdaq and S&P 500 in the red while the Dow Jones Industrial Average eked out a nominal gain. This session underscores a fragile truth. When expectations run too far ahead of reality, even solid results can spark a retreat.

The numbers tell a clear story. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.18 per cent to 22,878.38, with technology and communication services bearing the brunt of the selling. The S&P 500 dropped 0.54 per cent to 6,908.86, pulled lower by a 5.5 per cent slump in Nvidia, its worst single-day performance since April 2025.

Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up 0.03 per cent to 49,499.20, supported by gains in major banks such as JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped 3.2 per cent, threatening an impressive 11-week winning streak. This rotation reveals how tightly markets now tie AI enthusiasm to semiconductor valuations, and how quickly sentiment can shift when growth narratives face even minor scrutiny.

Broader macro signals added to the cautious tone. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell to 4.01 per cent, with analysts noting a bull flattening of the yield curve that often signals concerns about moderating global growth. At the same time, spot gold rose to approximately US$5,193.20 per ounce, an increase of over US$21 from the previous session, as investors weighed geopolitical progress in US-Iran nuclear talks. These moves suggest capital is seeking both safety and optionality, a pattern that typically emerges when equity momentum stalls and uncertainty about the growth path intensifies.

Asian markets reflected the risk-off mood at the open. The Nikkei 225 dropped 0.25 per cent, and South Korea’s Kospi fell 1.74 per cent. Yet despite the daily dip, Asian stocks remain on track for their best February on record, with the MSCI Asia Pacific Index up 6.3 per cent for the month. In Singapore, the STI opened down 0.19 per cent at 4,954.87, but the local market has seen a strong recovery overall in 2026, with the STI rising 22.7 per cent year to date.

Corporate news added another layer. Block Inc shares surged over 20 per cent in after-hours trading following a surprise announcement of plans to cut 4,000 roles, nearly half its workforce, in a strategic pivot toward AI. This stark move highlights how companies are reshaping their cost structures to chase the next wave of technological investment, even at high human cost.

The crypto market mirrored this macro-driven risk-off move, falling 1.22 per cent to US$2.32T in 24 hours. Critically, the 24-hour correlation with the S&P 500 stood at 89 per cent, a level that leaves little room for the decoupling narrative some enthusiasts still promote. This tight linkage shows crypto now behaves as a high-beta risk asset, moving in lockstep with traditional equity sentiment and liquidity expectations.

For those who view speculative financial activities as forms of gambling with better odds, this correlation is not surprising but rather a confirmation that crypto’s price discovery remains deeply embedded in the broader financial system’s risk appetite.

Under the surface, crypto-specific dynamics amplified the move. The Fear and Greed Index held at Extreme Fear with a reading of 16, reflecting deep-seated caution among participants. Simultaneously, total derivatives open interest fell 6.83 per cent in 24 hours, signalling a rapid deleveraging of speculative positions.

When traders exit leveraged bets amid uncertainty, downward pressure intensifies, creating feedback loops that can overshoot fundamental values. This environment rewards those who monitor liquidity signals and derivatives flows more closely than headline narratives, a practice aligned with a disciplined, independent approach to market analysis.

From a technical perspective, the market now tests the US$2.32T level, which aligns with the 78.6 per cent Fibonacci retracement. The next major support sits at the yearly low of US$2.17T. A break below that level could trigger a test of the 200-day moving average near US$3.05T, while a rebound above US$2.44T, the 38.2 per cent retracement, would suggest the selloff is losing momentum.

Resistance also builds at the 50 per cent retracement near US$2.52T. Yet these traditional technical tools must be applied with caution. Decentralised crypto systems do not conform to legacy regulatory tests like the Howey test, and their valuation frameworks must evolve beyond equity-market analogies to account for network effects, token utility, and on-chain activity.

This moment reveals the tension between AI-driven hype cycles and the underlying mechanics of market structure. When a single company’s earnings can ripple across equities, bonds, commodities, and crypto, it signals both the centrality of technology to modern growth narratives and the fragility of sentiment-driven valuations.

Independent analysis becomes essential here. Rather than chasing the latest headline, investors benefit from watching liquidity indicators, derivatives positioning, and cross-asset correlations. These metrics offer clearer signals about where capital truly flows when fear replaces greed, and they help separate structural shifts from temporary noise.

In conclusion, the near-term path for crypto likely hinges on whether the US$2.17T support holds. If it does, a relief bounce toward US$2.44T remains possible as short-term oversold conditions ease. If it breaks, the test of the 200-day moving average near US$3.05T could invite deeper recalibration.

For traditional markets, the question is whether AI expectations can stabilise without further violent repricing. The bull flattening in yields, the rotation into financials, and the sharp move in gold all point to a market searching for a new equilibrium. In this environment, those who combine technical awareness with a critical view of narrative-driven investing will be best positioned to navigate the next phase.

 

Source: https://e27.co/nvidia-stumbles-crypto-shivers-markets-wobble-the-ai-reckoning-begins-20260227/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Trump tariffs shake markets: Why gold soars as Bitcoin stumbles in 2025

Trump tariffs shake markets: Why gold soars as Bitcoin stumbles in 2025

Today’s market wrap offers a fascinating snapshot of a world grappling with shifting risk sentiments, trade tensions, and the evolving dynamics of traditional and alternative assets. Global risk sentiment has shown signs of improvement, with Asian shares rebounding after what was described as their worst day on record. Japan, in particular, has taken the lead in early trading gains, buoyed by optimism that it might receive preferential treatment in trade negotiations with US President Donald Trump’s administration.

Meanwhile, Trump’s unwavering stance on imposing additional tariffs—despite pleas from trading partners—has kept markets on edge, with the S&P 500 teetering on the brink of a bear market. This backdrop of uncertainty, coupled with fluctuating performances in Hong Kong and China amid threats of a 50 per cent tariff hike, paints a complex picture of global finance.

Add to that China’s central bank stepping in to bolster its sovereign fund for local stock purchases, and we’re witnessing a multifaceted tug-of-war between policy, sentiment, and economic fundamentals.

Let’s look into the specifics. The US markets have been a rollercoaster, with the MSCI US index slipping 0.2 per cent after a volatile session. Within that, the Communication Services sector stood out, climbing 1.0 per cent and offering a glimmer of resilience amid the chaos.

Treasury yields, which had recently pulled back sharply, rebounded with the 10-year yield rising 18.9 basis points to 4.18 per cent and the 2-year yield up 11.1 basis points to 3.76 per cent. This uptick suggests a market recalibrating its expectations, perhaps anticipating inflationary pressures or a shift in Federal Reserve policy signals.

The US Dollar index, meanwhile, edged up 0.2 per cent, stabilising after recent losses, while gold took a hit, dropping 1.8 per cent to hover around US$3,000 per ounce. This decline in gold, often seen as a safe-haven asset, could reflect profit-taking or a reaction to rising yields, which typically make non-yielding assets less attractive.

On the energy front, Brent crude fell 2.1 per cent to below US$65 per barrel, weighed down by tariff-related demand concerns and OPEC+ members increasing output—a double whammy for oil prices.

Across the Pacific, Asian equities have mostly climbed in early trading, with Japan’s optimism setting the tone. This bounce-back follows a brutal sell-off, and it’s encouraging to see markets attempting to find their footing. US equity index futures are also signalling a positive start, with an implied opening gain of 1.6 per cent. This suggests that, despite the tariff threats and economic downturn fears, investors are willing to bet on a recovery—at least for now.

But beneath this surface-level resilience lies a deeper story, particularly when we zoom in on two assets that have captured the world’s attention in recent years: gold and bitcoin. From November 2022 to November 2024, these two moved in a relatively tight correlation, with gold rising 67 per cent and bitcoin soaring nearly 400 per cent.

Analysts had long argued that their shared appeal as hedges against weak global currency policies would keep them aligned. Yet, in 2025, that relationship has begun to unravel, with gold up 16 per cent since late March and bitcoin down more than six per cent. What’s driving this divergence, and what does it mean for investors?

Bitcoin’s journey over the past few years has been nothing short of remarkable. Its meteoric rise—peaking above US$109,000 in January 2025—can be traced to a surge in institutional adoption. Heavyweights like BlackRock, VanEck, and Fidelity have deepened their stakes in the cryptocurrency market, lending it a level of legitimacy that was once unthinkable. Countries like El Salvador have gone further, integrating bitcoin into their financial systems, while the US government has floated plans for a strategic crypto reserve, signalling a potential shift in how nations view digital assets.

New financial products have also fuelled this growth. Take, for instance, CME Group’s Bitcoin Friday futures, which offer contracts as small as 1/50th of a coin, lowering the barrier to entry for retail investors. And just yesterday, Cboe Global Markets announced its new Cboe FTSE Bitcoin Index Futures, set to launch on April 28.

These cash-settled contracts, trading under the XBTF ticker, are designed to give traders more precise control over their bitcoin exposure without needing to hold the asset itself. Paired with Cboe’s recent options tied to bitcoin ETFs, these innovations are broadening the toolkit available to investors, reinforcing bitcoin’s staying power.

But the road hasn’t been smooth. Bitcoin faced significant sell pressure earlier today, dipping to US$74,604 before rebounding to above US$79,000. Even with this recovery, it’s down 3.1 per cent in the past 24 hours and nearly 30 per cent from its January peak. Analysts at IT Tech recently highlighted a spike in the Exchange Inflow Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric, which tracks the movement of older coins that have been dormant for extended periods.

A surge in CDD often signals that long-term holders are moving their assets to exchanges, potentially to sell. This could reflect profit-taking after bitcoin’s massive run-up or a reaction to broader market uncertainty, including Trump’s tariff threats and fears of an economic slowdown. Whatever the cause, this selling pressure underscores bitcoin’s volatility—a trait that sets it apart from gold, even as both assets vie for the “safe-haven” mantle.

Gold, by contrast, has followed a steadier path in 2025. Its 16 per cent gain since late March reflects a flight to safety amid tariff tensions and rising yields. Unlike bitcoin, gold benefits from its centuries-old reputation as a reliable store of value, especially when economic storm clouds gather. The recent drop to US$3,000 per ounce might suggest some profit-taking, but the broader trend points to sustained demand.

Rising Treasury yields, which typically pressure gold prices, haven’t derailed its upward trajectory, perhaps because investors see tariffs and geopolitical risks as outweighing the yield factor. This resilience highlights a key difference: while bitcoin thrives on institutional momentum and speculative fervour, gold draws strength from its stability and universality.

So, what’s my take on all this? As someone who’s spent years dissecting market trends, I see this divergence as a natural evolution of two assets with overlapping but distinct identities. Bitcoin’s pullback doesn’t diminish its long-term potential; the institutional backing and innovative products like the Cboe FTSE Bitcoin Index Futures suggest it’s here to stay.

But its volatility—exacerbated by tariff fears and profit-taking—reminds us that it’s still a young, dynamic asset prone to sharp swings. Gold, meanwhile, is playing its classic role as a steady hand in turbulent times, bolstered by its tangible nature and historical gravitas. The fraying correlation between the two isn’t a sign of weakness but rather a maturation of the market, where each asset is finding its own lane.

Looking ahead, the global risk sentiment will hinge on how Trump’s tariff policies unfold. Japan’s early gains signal hope for targeted trade deals, but the broader threat of levies on dozens of countries could keep markets jittery. The S&P 500’s flirtation with bear market territory is a red flag, and if economic downturn fears intensify, we could see more wild swings across asset classes. For now, Asian shares are offering a glimmer of optimism, and US futures suggest a willingness to rebound.

But with Brent crude sliding and China’s central bank stepping in, the stakes remain high. My job is to keep digging—tracking the data, questioning the narratives, and piecing together the story as it unfolds. Today’s market wrap is just one chapter in a saga that’s far from over, and I’ll be here, pen in hand, to chronicle what comes next.

 

Source: https://e27.co/trump-tariffs-shake-markets-why-gold-soars-as-bitcoin-stumbles-in-2025-20250408/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j