Total Value Locked Is A Lie; Now Decentralization Is A Lie Too?

Total Value Locked Is A Lie; Now Decentralization Is A Lie Too?

The decentralized finance landscape, once a frontier for radical transparency and sovereign ownership, has increasingly begun to resemble the very labyrinthine financial systems it originally sought to replace. We find ourselves in an era where the metrics used to judge success, specifically Total Value Locked (TVL), have become distorted by layers of rehypothecation and recursive leverage. When we look at the dashboard of a major protocol and see billions of dollars in value, we are often looking at a digital mirage. This is a series of claims built upon claims, where the same dollar is counted four, five, or ten times over. This structural fragility is not merely a technical quirk. It is a systemic sickness that masks true risk and necessitates the very centralized interventions that the industry claims to have moved past.

To understand how $1,000 can effectively become $1 million in the eyes of a data aggregator, one must understand the modern DeFi loop. In a vacuum, decentralization implies a one-to-one relationship between an asset and its utility. But the hunger for yield has pushed developers and users to create a Matryoshka doll of financial instruments. You deposit $1,000 worth of ETH into a protocol; that is your base TVL. The story does not end there. You borrow $800 against that ETH and deposit it into a second protocol. Now, the aggregate TVL across the ecosystem is recorded at $1,800, despite only $1,000 in real capital. By the time you borrow $600 against that $800 and repeat the process three or four more times, the on-chain data suggests a thriving, multi-thousand-dollar economy. In reality, it is a precarious tower of debt where a minor price fluctuation in the underlying asset can trigger a cascading liquidation that wipes out the entire stack.

This phenomenon scales exponentially when we move from the retail level to the institutional level. The leap from $1 million to $1 billion in TVL is often achieved through the same smoke-and-mirrors tactics, just with more sophisticated wrappers. We are currently witnessing a cycle of yield juicing that involves liquid staking, restaking, and liquid restaking tokens. This is what some call the old economist trick. A user starts by staking ETH with a provider like Lido to receive stETH. They then take that stETH, which is a receipt for their capital, and deposit it into a restaking protocol like EigenLayer. To maintain liquidity, they use a liquid restaking protocol like KelpDAO to receive rsETH. This rsETH is then used as collateral on a lending platform like Aave to borrow more ETH, which is then fed back into the loop. Each step adds a layer of TVL to the ecosystem’s statistics, but also a layer of smart-contract risk and counterparty dependency. We have reached a point where the value in DeFi is more about the velocity of receipts than the stability of assets.

The danger of this complexity was laid bare in the recent crisis involving the KelpDAO exploit and the subsequent intervention by the Arbitrum Security Council. This event serves as a perfect case study for why the current state of DeFi is fundamentally sick. The sequence of events was a masterclass in modern systemic risk. The rsETH tokens, which were already several layers removed from the original staked ETH, relied on a cross-chain bridge called LayerZero to maintain their utility. When a vulnerability was exploited by actors linked to North Korea, the underlying collateralization of the rsETH tokens was compromised. Because these tokens were being used as collateral in leveraged looping positions across the ecosystem, the entire stack became stuck. Traders were left with unprofitable and uncloseable positions. The contagion threatened to spread to every protocol that had integrated these receipt tokens.

What followed was perhaps even more revealing about the state of the industry than the exploit itself. The Arbitrum Security Council took emergency action to freeze 30,766 ETH, which is nearly $100 million at current market rates, held in an address linked to the exploit. By their own admission, the council performed a technical maneuver that effectively allowed them to move funds as if they were the hacker. They did this by temporarily upgrading a contract to override the standard permissions of the blockchain. While this action was undoubtedly taken to protect the community and recover stolen assets, it shatters the illusion of immutability that serves as the bedrock of decentralized philosophy. The funds were successfully transferred to an intermediary frozen wallet on April 20 at 11:26pm ET. They can now only be moved by further action by Arbitrum governance.

If a small group of twelve individuals can, at their discretion, decide which transactions are valid and which are not, we must ask ourselves if we are actually decentralized. The technical answer is a resounding no. We are currently operating under a system of progressive decentralization, which is often a polite euphemism for centralization with a promise to change later. The Arbitrum Security Council is a 12-person multisig body elected by the Arbitrum DAO. Its power is absolute in times of crisis. If nine out of those twelve members were compromised, they would possess the God Mode keys to the entire chain. They could perform privileged operations on any contract, freeze any wallet, and alter the state of the ledger at will. This is not the vision of a permissionless financial system. It is a high-tech version of a central bank committee operating with even less regulatory oversight.

The defense for such measures is always security and integrity. If the council can intervene to stop a bad actor, who defines what bad is? Today, it is a North Korean hacker. Tomorrow, it could be a political dissident, a rival protocol, or a user who simply participated in a trade that the council deemed harmful to the ecosystem stability. When we give a council the power to move funds without a private key, we are admitting that the code is not law. Instead, the council is the law.

This brings us to the broader ethical and structural crisis in DeFi. We have built a system that is too complex to be allowed to fail. Because it is too complex to fail, it cannot be truly decentralized.

 

Source: https://www.benzinga.com/Opinion/26/04/51967206/total-value-locked-is-a-lie-now-decentralization-is-a-lie-too

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Bitcoin Ordinals profitability falls in July, but total inscriptions pile on

Bitcoin Ordinals profitability falls in July, but total inscriptions pile on

Revenue for NFT services on the Bitcoin network, or the aggregate value of marketplace fees and creator royalties, declined over July even as total Ordinals inscriptions crossed 20 million.

A screenshot of Ordinals Punks, from Bitcoin Ordinals Market
Image: Ordinals.Market

The profitability of Ordinals inscriptions, an iteration of non-fungible tokens (NFTs) on the Bitcoin network, declined throughout July, Forkast Labs data show.

Monthly NFT services revenue, or the sum of marketplace fees and creator royalties on the Bitcoin network, fell to US$1.22 million in July from US$3.13 million in June, suggesting lower profitability for Ordinals sales on the Bitcoin network.

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Ordinals is an iteration of NFTs on Bitcoin, the world’s first and largest blockchain network by market capitalization. Bitcoin had a market capitalization of US$562 billion as of Tuesday, dominating 48.2% of the total cryptocurrency market.

Despite lower profitability, Ordinals broke a daily inscriptions record on July 30 with 422,164, after reaching 20 million total inscriptions on July 28, showing the market’s continued support and interest in Bitcoin-native NFTs, according to data from Dune Analytics. The network exceeded 21 million total inscriptions on Tuesday.

Kadan Stadelmann, chief technical officer of blockchain infrastructure firm Komodo, said that the oversaturation of Ordinals is among the main factors contributing to the declining profitability of Bitcoin NFTs.

“With an influx of new projects and artists entering the space, buyers now face a plethora of options, diluting the value and appeal of individual pieces,” Stadelmann told Forkast.

Tom Tirman, the chief executive officer of NFT rental platform IQ Protocol, suggested that the persistent creation of Ordinals could be a strategic move by investors who — having missed out on prior opportunities — are aiming to position themselves advantageously for the anticipated future expansions of Bitcoin NFTs.

“As we often see in other vital innovations recorded in the industry in the past, Ordinals are bound to regain their momentum after a remarkable use case is tagged with them,” he said.

Profits from secondary market sales have also been declining. The average sale price for Ordinals fell to US$214.03 in July from US$900 in June and US$1,178 in May, according to CryptoSlam data. At its peak in March, Ordinals traded at an average value of US$9,357.

According to Yehudah Petscher, NFT strategist at Forkast Labs, the weaker Ordinals price reflects lower NFT sales volume, as declining interest from buyers pushes sellers to lower prices.

“There’s too much potential on the crypto side of things for traders to want to trade NFTs or Ordinals right now, and there’s also a bit of a liquidity issue. Simply put, traders are out of money. Bitcoin and crypto in general running will fix both of these issues,” said Petscher.

Not just Bitcoin

Although key performance indicators for Ordinals tumbled in July, the Bitcoin network maintained its position as the month’s second most active blockchain in the world for NFTs ranked by sales volume with over US$64.9 million, trailing Ethereum’s US$273.9 million, CryptoSlam data shows.

“The decline in total revenue for NFT services on the Bitcoin network after May does not necessarily signify a lack of interest in Ordinal inscriptions specifically,” Anndy Lian, author of NFT: From Zero to Hero, told Forkast. “Instead, it points to a broader trend in the NFT market as a whole. The decrease in revenue is likely indicative of a general downturn in the NFT market, affecting all types of NFT services and not just Ordinal inscriptions.”

David Atterman, the chief executive officer of crypto-based engagement platform Most.Fan, agreed with Liann, attributing the falling profitability of Ordinals to the poor performance of the overall NFT market.

“Projects that do not carry utility for new users and that do not focus on mass adoption, quickly lose their significance and are unlikely to recover at the next bull run,” said Atterman.

According to Petscher, the next NFT bull run will follow the cryptocurrency market.

“We also need to see some type of innovation happen in NFTs to bring back traders who have realized that currently, there’s not much substance that’s worth investing in,” he said.

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Standard Chartered, a British multinational bank, said in a July research report that Bitcoin prices will top US$120,000 in 2024, fueled by Bitcoin’s halving event set to occur in April 2024. The halving will reduce Bitcoin’s current supply inflow of 6.25 BTC every 10 minutes to 3.125 BTC. Each halving cycle to date has resulted in a new price record for Bitcoin.

Source: https://forkast.news/bitcoin-ordinals-profitability-inscriptions/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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938NOW Keith de Souza interviews Anndy Lian on Usage of Blockchain on Technologies on the Total Supply Chain.

938NOW Keith de Souza interviews Anndy Lian, CEO of Linfinity Singapore on Usage of Blockchain Technologies on the Total Supply Chain. Catch it on 938NOW.

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j