What Bitcoin’s US$70,000 support zone means for traders after this week’s volatility

What Bitcoin’s US$70,000 support zone means for traders after this week’s volatility

The cryptocurrency market just witnessed a powerful reminder of how leverage and sentiment can collide to create violent price moves. A sharp Bitcoin-led rally forced over-leveraged short sellers to cover, triggering around US$471 million in crypto derivatives liquidations across major exchanges within 24 hours. About US$471 million of futures positions were wiped out, with roughly US$348 million from shorts and US$123 million from longs as BTC pushed toward US$74,000.

This was not random noise. It was a classic short squeeze, fuelled by crowded bearish positioning, negative funding, rising open interest, and strong ETF inflows into BTC and ETH. I have seen this pattern repeat across cycles, and each iteration teaches the same lesson. When leverage builds on one side of the market, the reversal does not just correct the price; it resets positioning with force.

The scale of the flush matters because it reveals where the real risk lives. Data from derivatives trackers shows roughly US$471 million in crypto futures liquidations over 24 hours, with shorts taking the majority of the hit at about US$348 million versus US$123 million in longs, as Bitcoin and Ethereum ripped higher toward key resistance near US$74,000. This pattern matches reporting that a BTC surge to the mid-70,000s erased over US$500 million in leveraged positions, with the largest daily wipeout of shorts since late February in some samples.

The pain concentrated in major coins such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other large caps, where leverage runs deepest. That tells us the move was big enough to reset a lot of leveraged positioning, not just a minor intraday shakeout. When the largest shorts get squeezed in the most liquid names, the signal travels fast through the entire derivatives complex.

Behind the numbers sat a textbook setup. After recent macro and geopolitical volatility, many traders rebuilt short exposure, with funding rates turning negative and open interest climbing as BTC dipped into the mid-60,000s. When spot prices reversed higher amid renewed ETF inflows and easing macro fears, exchanges’ risk engines began liquidating underwater shorts into a rising market, forcing additional buy orders and accelerating the upside.

Similar dynamics played out on ETH, where more than US$100 million in shorts were liquidated in a day, compared with a much smaller amount of long liquidations. Bears leaning too hard into downside with high leverage can turn into forced buyers, amplifying rallies beyond what spot demand alone would justify. I view this as a structural feature of modern crypto markets, not a bug. Derivatives and ETF flows now act as powerful amplifiers, and anyone trading without watching funding rates and open interest is flying blind.

This squeeze did not happen in isolation. Global markets on 6 March 2026 were dominated by risk-off sentiment as the conflict among the US, Israel, and Iran drove a broad retreat in risk assets. While US stock futures showed some stability early in the day, Asian and European equities fell sharply, heading toward their steepest weekly losses in years. US major indices closed lower on Thursday due to soaring oil prices and geopolitical fears. The Dow Jones dropped 784.67 points to close at 47,954.74. The S&P 500 declined 0.56 per cent to 6,830.71. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.26 per cent to 22,748.99.

Overseas, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.1 per cent on Friday, marking its worst week in six years. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.66 per cent to 54,915 points. In Europe, major indices such as the FTSE 100, DAX, and CAC 40 declined by 1.5 per cent to 1.6 per cent amid ongoing energy disruption fears. Oil prices anchored the move, with WTI crude surging above US$80 per barrel following reports of an Iranian strike on an oil tanker and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Rising energy and labour costs fuelled fears that the Federal Reserve would maintain high interest rates to combat sticky inflation.

The US Dollar gained as a safe-haven, heading for its best week since 2024. Gold prices remained volatile, briefly hitting US$5,400 earlier in the week before settling near US$5,100 by Thursday. Investors awaited the US Non-Farm Payrolls and Retail Sales reports for February to gauge the health of the labour market. In that backdrop, Bitcoin’s initial surge toward US$74,000 stood out as a sharp counter-trend move before macro gravity reasserted itself.

Post-event, derivatives metrics suggest that some excess leverage on the short side has been cleared, with funding rates normalising and open interest stabilising slightly lower. Order book data still shows dense liquidity zones both above and below the current price, and prior episodes suggest that traders are quick to re-leverage once volatility cools.

For risk monitoring, the key signals are funding rates, especially if they flip extreme again, sharp jumps in open interest, and any renewed surge in ETF flows that could interact with crowded futures positioning. The immediate squeeze may be over, but this remains a high-leverage environment where sudden price moves and positioning shifts can still trigger large, fast liquidation cascades. I watch these signals closely because they often telegraph the next inflection before price confirms it.

Bitcoin now trades down 1.72 per cent to US$71,244.79 over the past 24 hours, underperforming a slightly weaker broader market, primarily driven by a risk-off shift amid escalating Middle East tensions. It shows a strong correlation of 0.86 with Gold, indicating a shared macro-driven move. The primary reason remains geopolitical risk from the US-Iran conflict, which spiked oil prices and triggered a flight from risk assets.

A secondary factor was technical rejection at the key US$74,000 resistance level, where selling pressure overwhelmed buyers. Near-term, if BTC holds above the US$70,000 to US$71,000 whale bid zone, it could retest US$74,000. A break below risks a move toward US$67,500. I see this range as the battlefield where macro narrative and derivatives positioning will duel for control.

What should readers take from this sequence?

  • First, the reported US$471 million liquidation wave resulted from an aggressive short buildup caught offside by a strong Bitcoin-led rebound, not from a structural failure in the market. It has cleared some speculative froth, and derivatives activity and ETF flows remain powerful amplifiers, so future positioning extremes could again translate into abrupt squeezes rather than smooth trend moves.
  • Second, in a world where oil can jump above US$80 on geopolitical headlines, and equities can post their worst week in years, crypto will continue to mirror macro risk while retaining its own leverage-driven volatility.
  • Third, independent analysis matters more than ever. Crowded narratives can flip fast when funding rates turn, open interest spikes, or ETF flows accelerate. I prefer to track the plumbing, not just the price.

With all that said, I expect volatility to remain elevated as markets digest geopolitical shocks, inflation data, and the ongoing tug-of-war between risk-on and risk-off flows. Bitcoin’s correlation with Gold at 0.86 reminds us that macro drivers can dominate in the short term, even for an asset built on decentralisation. The derivatives layer adds a crypto-native amplifier that can exaggerate moves in either direction. If funding rates flip extreme again or open interest jumps while price consolidates, prepare for another squeeze. 

 

Source: https://e27.co/what-bitcoins-us70000-support-zone-means-for-traders-after-this-weeks-volatility-20260306/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Anndy Lian: Speculative crypto trading thrives on volatility

Anndy Lian: Speculative crypto trading thrives on volatility

Anndy Lian, a well-regarded figure in the cryptocurrency industry, has highlighted the role of high volatility in driving speculative trading. He suggests that for traders seeking significant profits, embracing volatility and leverage can be enticing, akin to staying in a casino with high stakes.

Lian’s perspective indicates that stability, such as a stagnant price or a slow upward trend around $2, might not appeal as much to investors keen on rapid market movements. This approach underlines the speculative nature of crypto investments and the allure of potential high returns, despite inherent risks.

 

 

Lian’s views on market dynamics align with his previous emphasis on the importance of safeguarding digital assets, as highlighted in his commentary on the advantages of using cold wallets for enhanced security. Additionally, his reflections on speculative trading recall his earlier advocacy for greater innovation in crypto exchange listings, where he underscored the need for a more robust regulatory and market framework amid rapid industry growth.

 

Source: https://tradersunion.com/news/market-voices/show/559452-crypto-volatility-speculation/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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September’s market curse: Are you ready for the volatility storm?

September’s market curse: Are you ready for the volatility storm?

Traders across Wall Street pushed stocks higher on Tuesday, demonstrating remarkable resilience in the face of unsettling developments at the Federal Reserve.

The S&P 500 climbed by a modest but significant 0.42 per cent, clawing back the losses from Monday and hovering tantalisingly close to its recent peaks just shy of 6500. This uptick came even as news broke of a dramatic overhaul at the Fed, where President Trump moved to oust Governor Lisa Cook amid allegations of mortgage fraud, marking an unprecedented intervention in the central bank’s governance.

Investors appeared to dismiss the potential for instability, focusing instead on the broader economic signals that suggested stability amid uncertainty. This shakeup, the first time in the Fed’s 111-year history that a president has fired a governor, has sparked legal battles and widespread concern among economists about the erosion of the institution’s independence.

Cook has vowed to challenge the dismissal in court, arguing that it violates the Federal Reserve Act’s protections against removals without cause. The market’s reaction stayed muted, with buyers stepping in to support equities and prevent a deeper slide.

Technical tensions in US stocks

This Fed turmoil unfolds against a backdrop of mixed technical indicators for stocks. The S&P 500 has struggled to dip below its 20-day moving average of 6392, a key support level that has held firm since the lows in April. Bulls have defended this threshold aggressively, underscoring the short-term upward bias in prices.

However, momentum oscillators tell a different story. The Relative Strength Index and Moving Average Convergence Divergence have formed lower highs compared to the overbought peaks seen in July, signalling a clear negative divergence from the price action. Such patterns often indicate exhaustion among buyers, where the enthusiasm that drove the rally begins to wane, setting the stage for a period of consolidation or correction.

History supports this cautionary view, as August and September have long earned notoriety as the most volatile months for US equities, with September posting the weakest average returns of any month. Over the past century, the S&P 500 has declined in September more often than not, with an average loss of about 0.7 per cent, driven by factors like end-of-quarter portfolio rebalancing and seasonal slowdowns in economic activity.

As summer winds down, traders brace for erratic swings, and this year proves no exception, with the VIX volatility index spiking by an average of 8.4 per cent in August alone based on data stretching back to 1990.

Global markets react cautiously

Global markets reflected this tentative mood, with movements remaining largely subdued as of mid-morning in Tokyo. Japan’s Topix index slipped by 0.2 per cent, reflecting ongoing concerns about yen strength and export competitiveness.

In contrast, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 edged up by 0.2 per cent, buoyed by gains in mining stocks amid stable commodity prices. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng advanced 0.3 per cent, supported by tech sector rebounds, while mainland China’s Shanghai Composite dipped 0.1 per cent on worries over slowing manufacturing data.

European futures pointed to a modest opening, with Euro Stoxx 50 contracts rising 0.3 per cent, as investors awaited further clarity on monetary policy from the European Central Bank. These incremental shifts highlight a world economy grappling with uneven recovery, where regional divergences persist amid shared pressures from inflation and geopolitical tensions.

Currencies stay range-bound

Currencies traded in a narrow range, underscoring the lack of decisive momentum in foreign exchange markets. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index held steady, as traders weighed the implications of the Fed’s internal strife against hints of potential rate adjustments.

The euro remained unchanged at US$1.1633, finding support near its recent lows but failing to break higher amid eurozone growth concerns. The Japanese yen weakened by 0.2 per cent to 147.65 per dollar, continuing its slide as carry trades unwound.

Meanwhile, the offshore yuan showed little movement at 7.1492 per dollar, stabilised by People’s Bank of China interventions but vulnerable to US tariff threats. These currency dynamics reflect a broader wait-and-see approach, where participants hold back from bold positions until the dust settles on US policy directions.

Crypto turbulence intensifies

Cryptocurrencies faced sharper headwinds, with Bitcoin holding flat at US$111,294.45 after a bruising week that exposed the sector’s vulnerability to macroeconomic shifts. Ether dropped 0.6 per cent to US$4,562.26, pulling back from its recent highs. The primary cryptocurrency endured a gruelling decline last week, sliding gradually before plummeting to a multi-week low just under US$112,000 on Friday, ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s much-anticipated speech at the Jackson Hole symposium.

Powell’s remarks, which hinted at forthcoming rate reductions to support a cooling labor market while maintaining inflation targets, initially ignited a surge in Bitcoin, propelling it above US$117,000 within minutes. However, the gains proved fleeting, as the asset retraced to around US$115,000 over the weekend.

The real shock arrived Sunday evening, when Bitcoin tumbled several thousand dollars to below US$111,000, a level last visited on July 10. This abrupt drop wiped out roughly US$200 billion from the cumulative market capitalisation of all cryptocurrencies, bringing it to US$3.930 trillion.

Alternative coins followed suit, with Ethereum retreating from a fresh all-time high of US$4,950 to just over US$4,600, and Ripple struggling below the US$3 mark after rejection at US$3.1. Assets like Solana, Cardano, Tron, Dogecoin, Stellar, and Chainlink posted similar declines, while Sui, Litecoin, Aave, Pepe, Ena, Mantle, Okb, Uniswap, and Ethereum Classic suffered steeper losses of up to eight per cent.

Powell’s speech shifts market sentiment

Powell’s address provided critical context for these movements, emphasising a shift in risks where upside inflation pressures have diminished but downside employment threats have grown. He declared that the time has arrived for policy adjustments, with the direction toward easing clear, though the pace remains data-dependent.

Unemployment stands at 4.3 per cent, up from early 2023, but job gains persist, and inflation has cooled to 2.5 per cent over the past year. This dovish tilt initially fuelled optimism in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as lower rates typically encourage investment in speculative sectors.

Yet, the subsequent pullback in Bitcoin and its peers illustrates the market’s sensitivity to perceived over-optimism, with traders locking in profits amid fears of delayed cuts due to the Fed’s ongoing boardroom drama.

A precarious moment for markets

In my opinion, this moment feels precarious. Traders have shrugged off the Fed shakeup for now, but history warns against complacency. When presidents encroach on central bank autonomy, as Trump has by targeting Cook and nominating allies like Stephen Miran, it risks politicising decisions that should prioritise economic data over electoral timelines.

Past attempts to influence the Fed, such as during the Nixon era, led to inflationary spirals and eroded public trust. If Cook’s legal challenge succeeds or drags on, it could paralyse the board, delaying critical actions like rate cuts and amplifying volatility.

Stocks may remain buoyant near records, but the negative divergences in technicals suggest a digestion phase is looming, especially in the notoriously choppy August-September window. Investors should trim risk now, avoiding aggressive bets on equities until clarity emerges.

In cryptocurrencies, the volatility serves as a stark reminder of the asset class’s immaturity. Bitcoin’s wild swings around Powell’s speech mirror patterns from 2021 and 2024, where dovish signals sparked brief euphoria followed by sharp corrections. The sector’s US$3.93 trillion market cap, while impressive, remains dwarfed by traditional markets and prone to sentiment-driven dumps.

Ethereum’s retreat from its peak highlights how even strong performers falter when broader risk appetite wanes. That said, if the Fed delivers cuts in September despite the turmoil, crypto could rebound strongly, as cheaper borrowing often funnels capital into high-growth areas.

My advice aligns with the prudent strategy outlined in recent analyses: steer clear of over-leveraged positions in the near term, but position to capitalise on any volatility-induced dips ahead of the historically favourable October-to-March period for stocks and digital assets alike. The Fed’s independence hangs in the balance, and markets that ignore this do so at their peril.

Ultimately, sustainable growth demands policy rooted in expertise, not executive fiat, and the current path threatens to undermine that foundation.

 

Source: https://e27.co/septembers-market-curse-are-you-ready-for-the-volatility-storm-20250827/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j