Ether soars past US$4,300, gold hits US$3,400: Is a new duty rule about to crash the market?

Ether soars past US$4,300, gold hits US$3,400: Is a new duty rule about to crash the market?

A wave of cautious hope surrounding a potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire has buoyed global risk sentiment, propelling US stock markets to their strongest weekly performance since June. The S&P 500 climbed 0.8 per cent, the Nasdaq surged one per cent, and the Dow Jones edged up 0.5 per cent, primarily driven by a rally in big technology stocks. This optimism stems from reports of diplomatic engagements, including a confirmed meeting between Presidents Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump, which has sparked speculation about a possible de-escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Such a development could alleviate a significant geopolitical overhang, fostering a more favourable environment for risk assets. This positivity is tempered by uncertainties in US monetary policy, trade dynamics, and the evolving role of cryptocurrencies, particularly stablecoins, in reshaping global finance.

The US stock market’s recent gains reflect a broader market narrative of resilience amid geopolitical and economic crosscurrents. The technology sector, a perennial driver of market momentum, has been at the forefront, with companies like Nvidia and AMD playing pivotal roles. Reports indicate that these chipmakers have agreed to remit 15 per cent of their China chip sales revenue to the US government to secure export licenses, a move that underscores the intricate balance between national security and economic interests.

This agreement, while facilitating continued access to the lucrative Chinese market, has sparked debate about its legality under the US Constitution, which prohibits export taxes. Critics argue it could set a precedent for unconventional trade policies, while supporters view it as a pragmatic compromise to maintain technological competitiveness. The deal highlights the strategic importance of semiconductors in global trade, particularly as tensions between the US and China intensify. Despite these complexities, the tech-driven rally in US equities signals investor confidence in the sector’s long-term growth prospects, even as trade uncertainties loom.

In the bond market, US Treasuries experienced a decline last Friday, with yields rising by 3 to 5 basis points across the curve in a subdued trading session. Investors remain focused on the Federal Reserve’s leadership transitions, particularly President Trump’s nomination of Stephen Miran, Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, for a Fed governor role. This appointment has fuelled speculation about a potential shift toward a more dovish monetary policy stance, as Miran’s economic philosophy aligns with Trump’s preference for lower interest rates to stimulate growth.

The US Dollar Index, which dipped 0.22 per cent, later recovered some ground following this news, reflecting market sensitivity to Fed leadership changes. The anticipation of upcoming inflation data, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due on Tuesday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) report on Thursday, adds another layer of complexity.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s recent comments at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, suggesting that a September rate cut is less likely and will hinge on macroeconomic data, have tempered expectations for immediate easing. These reports will be critical in shaping the Fed’s policy trajectory, as persistent inflationary pressures could force a more hawkish stance, impacting both equity and bond markets.

Geopolitical and policy developments have also swayed commodity markets. Gold prices surged to nearly US$3,400 per ounce after a US government agency ruled that gold bars would be subject to duties, triggering volatility in bullion markets. The White House’s promise of a forthcoming clarification has done little to quell uncertainty, as investors grapple with the potential cost implications for gold as a safe-haven asset.

Meanwhile, Brent crude prices remained unchanged after a volatile session, reflecting the market’s indecision amid ceasefire optimism and ongoing geopolitical risks. The stability in oil prices suggests a wait-and-see approach, as traders assess whether reduced tensions in Eastern Europe could ease supply concerns or if other global factors, such as US tariffs, might sustain price pressures.

In Asia, equity indices opened with mixed performance, signalling varied regional responses to global developments. US equity index futures, however, point to a positive opening, suggesting that the momentum from last week’s rally may persist. This divergence underscores the fragmented nature of global risk sentiment, where local economic conditions and policy responses shape market outcomes.

For instance, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index has benefited from a recovery in Chinese technology stocks, driven by President Xi Jinping’s public engagement with tech leaders, signalling a potential easing of regulatory pressures. This contrasts with mainland China’s more subdued market performance, highlighting the nuanced dynamics within Asian markets.

The cryptocurrency market has emerged as a focal point of investor enthusiasm, propelled by significant policy shifts in the US Bitcoin soared past US$121,000, and Ethereum reached US$4,300, fuelled by President Trump’s executive order exploring the inclusion of cryptocurrencies in 401(k) retirement accounts. This move, which also considers private equity, could unlock substantial demand by opening millions of American retirement portfolios to higher-risk assets.

Spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have outpaced Bitcoin ETFs, attracting US$461 million in inflows over the past week, reflecting robust institutional interest. Ethereum’s price, now 11 per cent below its all-time high of US$4,878, may continue to outperform Bitcoin if these inflows persist. The influence of large corporate treasuries, as noted by industry expert Anndy Lian, underscores their role in driving price action. Lian’s assertion that investors should remain steadfast as long as these treasuries continue buying highlights the market’s reliance on institutional momentum.

Stablecoins, a subset of cryptocurrencies pegged to assets like the US dollar or Bitcoin, are reshaping the competitive landscape between the US and China. In Hong Kong, new legislation aims to position the city as a global hub for stablecoins and Web3 technologies, which leverage blockchain for decentralised internet applications. This strategic pivot seeks to restore Hong Kong’s stature as a financial powerhouse amid intensifying global competition.

In the US, the Trump administration’s embrace of cryptocurrencies, bolstered by campaign support from crypto advocates, signals a proactive approach to integrating digital assets into mainstream finance. The passage of stablecoin regulations in both jurisdictions underscores their potential to revolutionise global finance by offering stable, blockchain-based alternatives to traditional currencies. This rivalry carries risks, as stablecoins could disrupt monetary policy frameworks and challenge the dominance of fiat currencies like the dollar and renminbi.

From a personal perspective, the convergence of these developments paints a picture of a world at a financial crossroads. The optimism surrounding a potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire offers a glimmer of hope for stabilising global markets, but the path forward remains fraught with uncertainty. The US stock market’s resilience, driven by technology giants, reflects a broader trend of innovation outpacing geopolitical and economic headwinds. The reliance on tech stocks raises concerns about market concentration and vulnerability to sector-specific shocks.

The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on rate cuts, coupled with upcoming inflation data, suggests that monetary policy will remain a critical determinant of market direction. The cryptocurrency surge, particularly in stablecoins, signals a transformative shift toward decentralised finance, but it also introduces new risks, including regulatory ambiguity and market volatility. The US-China rivalry over stablecoins and Web3 technologies underscores the strategic importance of digital innovation, but it also highlights the potential for economic fragmentation if competitive tensions escalate.

As markets continue to evolve, adaptability and informed decision-making will be paramount in capitalising on emerging opportunities while mitigating inherent uncertainties.

 

Source: https://e27.co/ether-soars-past-us4300-gold-hits-us3400-is-a-new-duty-rule-about-to-crash-the-market-20250811/

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북한 해킹 ’15억 달러’, 아시아 암호화폐 시장 ‘취약성’ 노출

북한 해킹 ’15억 달러’, 아시아 암호화폐 시장 ‘취약성’ 노출

북한 해커들이 암호화폐 거래소 바이비트(Bybit)를 해킹하여 약 15억 달러(약 2조 원)에 달하는 디지털 자산을 탈취한 사건이 발생했다.

이는 아시아의 신생 암호화폐 시장이 가진 취약성을 여실히 드러냈을 뿐만 아니라, 북한의 사이버 작전이 더욱 정교해지고 있음을 보여주는 사례로 주목받고 있다고 10일(현지시각) 사우스차이나모닝포스트(SCMP)가 보도했다.

미국 블록체인 분석 회사 체이널리시스(Chainalysis)의 보고서에 따르면, 지난 2월 21일 발생한 이번 해킹은 북한에서 발생하는 사이버 작전의 규모와 정교함이 비약적으로 발전했음을 의미한다.

도난당한 자금은 2025년 상반기 전 세계에서 도난당한 모든 디지털 자산의 거의 70%를 차지하며, 이는 아시아 디지털 생태계의 보안 균열이 확대되고 있음을 보여준다.

전문가들은 바이비트 해킹 사건의 규모가 가장 우려스러운 요소가 아니라고 경고한다. 국가 개입의 명백한 징후와 함께 기술적 숙련도의 정도는 훔친 자금이 북한의 무기 및 군사 프로그램에 직접 유입되어 국제 안보를 위협하고 있다는 우려를 불러일으켰다.

체이널리시스의 디데릭 반 베르쉬(Diederik van Wersch) 아세안 지역 이사는 “북한은 광범위한 증거를 통해 라자루스 그룹과 같은 정교한 해킹 그룹과 연관되어 있다”고 지적하며 “이는 단순한 사이버 보안 사고가 아니라 심각한 국가 안보 문제”라고 경고했다.

사이버 보안 전문가들은 동남아시아, 특히 캄보디아, 미얀마, 라오스가 취약한 법치주의, 권위주의적 보호, 경제적 절망의 복합 작용으로 인해 사이버 범죄의 글로벌 허브가 되었다고 지적한다.

이러한 배경 속에서 북한은 제재로 인해 다른 수익원이 막히자 암호화폐 도난에 끊임없이 집중하고 있다.

싱가포르 정부 간 블록체인 고문 앤디 리안(Anndy Lian)은 “북한 해커들의 기술적 기량은 이제 정통한 사이버 보안 전문가조차 표적으로 삼을 수 있다”고 말했다.

체이널리시스는 2025년에는 사이버 범죄 활동이 눈에 띄게 확대될 것으로 예상하며, 해커들이 고부가가치 개인 지갑을 의도적으로 표적으로 삼고 있다고 경고한다.

최근 홍콩이 암호화폐 친화적인 정책을 추진하고 있지만, 전문가들은 혁신과 함께 강력한 보안을 구축하는 데 중점을 둬야 한다고 강조한다.

한국과 일본 등 아시아의 선진국들은 북한과의 지정학적 근접성 때문에 특히 해킹에 취약하며, 인도네시아와 같은 신흥 경제국도 디지털 금융의 인기가 높아지면서 위험에 처해 있다.

 

 

 

Source: https://www.g-enews.com/article/Global-Biz/2025/08/2025081017380566150c8c1c064d_1

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How North Korea’s US$1.5 billion hack exposed Asia’s crypto weaknesses

How North Korea’s US$1.5 billion hack exposed Asia’s crypto weaknesses
It began, as so many epochal crimes do, with a single breach. But by the time the dust had settled on the Bybit hack, nearly US$1.5 billion in digital assets had vanished, exposing not just the vulnerabilities of Asia’s fledgling crypto markets but the growing reach of North Korea’s cyber operatives.

The hack on February 21 represented a quantum leap in the scale and sophistication of cyber operations emanating from North Korea, according to a report released last month by American blockchain analysis firm Chainalysis.

It accounted for nearly 70 per cent of all stolen digital assets globally in the first half of 2025 – laying bare the widening security cracks in Asia’s digital ecosystem and signalling the arrival of a new era of cybercrime that is increasingly targeting victims around the globe, from Bybit’s Dubai headquarters to the United States and beyond.

Last year, North Korea-linked cybercriminals were responsible for an estimated US$1.3 billion in losses, then the highest figure on record. But this year is shaping up to be even worse for the victims, with Pyongyang’s state-sponsored hackers on track to reap even greater illicit rewards, according to the Chainalysis report.

Experts warn that the sheer size of the Bybit heist is not the most alarming element. The degree of technical proficiency, coupled with clear signs of state involvement, have raised concerns that the stolen funds are being funnelled directly into North Korea’s arms and weapons programmes, fuelling instability far beyond the digital realm.

“While North Korea typically doesn’t claim responsibility for these cyber exploits, extensive evidence has linked them to sophisticated hacking groups like the Lazarus Group,” Diederik van Wersch, regional director for Asean at Chainalysis, told This Week in Asia.

The Lazarus Group, a shadowy collective of state-sponsored cybercriminals infamous for siphoning off billions from the cryptocurrency industry, is thought to be behind the Bybit hack. The group’s modus operandi? Exploiting security vulnerabilities in order to finance the North Korean regime by employing complex laundering methods to obscure the trail of stolen funds.

“These aren’t merely cybersecurity incidents, they represent significant national security concerns,” van Wersch warned. “The UN has confirmed that North Korea uses these stolen funds to finance its weapons programmes, making these attacks a direct threat to international security.”

The United States and its allies have repeatedly accused Pyongyang of using cyberattacks to fund its military and nuclear ambitions.

Pyongyang has never officially acknowledged any connection to the Lazarus Group, but it is believed to be unique in its state-directed quest for financial gain through hacking. Its operations, which include advanced social engineering and the infiltration of crypto platforms via compromised IT staff, have set a new standard for financial cybercrime.

Asia: cybercrime epicentre?

The dangers are not confined to any one country. Southeast Asia – Cambodia, Myanmar and Laos, in particular – has now become a global hub for cybercrime, cybersecurity experts say, driven by a toxic mix of weak rule of law, authoritarian protection and economic desperation.
International sanctions and the closure of criminal platforms such as Russia’s Garantex and Cambodia-based Huione Guarantee have barely made a dent in the volume of illicit cyber transactions, which Chainalysis estimates hit US$51 billion worldwide in 2024 alone.
Against this backdrop, North Korea’s relentless focus on cryptocurrency theft had been propelled by US-led sanctions strangling its other revenue streams, said Anndy Lian, a Singapore-based intergovernmental blockchain adviser.

“It seems likely that this phenomenon could inspire other countries, particularly those facing political instability or sanctions, to engage in similar activities,” he said. “However, replicating North Korea’s capabilities requires significant investment in cyber infrastructure and expertise, which may be challenging.”

Research suggests that while North Korea leverages a mixture of services to launder its gains, other nations that lack its technical sophistication would indeed struggle to emulate its success.

The technical prowess of Pyongyang’s hackers was now such that it allowed them to “target even well-versed cybersecurity professionals”, Lian said, adding that their increasingly elaborate laundering networks complicated the recovery of stolen assets.

In Asia’s other cybercrime hotspots, such as Myanmar and Cambodia, the focus has tended to be more on scamming and money laundering, but this threat matrix now appears to be evolving.

According to Chainalysis, 2025 has seen a marked expansion of cybercriminal activities: more laundering, larger cross-border networks and a disturbing rise in physical violence.

‘Wrench attacks’

For the hackers’ victims the pain can be both financial and physical. Chainalysis in its report described a “particularly disturbing subset” of recent thefts known as “wrench attacks”.

Far less sophisticated than the image of an invisible hand picking the digital pockets of unsuspecting crypto adopters, these actual assaults rely on violence and threats of force to extract assets from victims.

The kidnapping and murder of Chinese-Filipino tycoon Anson Que, former CEO of Ellison Steel, earlier this year provided a chilling example of these so-called wrench attacks in action. Investigators believe his death was linked to ransom payments laundered through casino gaming and digital shell accounts to obscure the money trail.
Meanwhile, Asia’s digital boom has in many ways made it a magnet for cybercriminals. Japan, Indonesia and South Korea now rank among the world’s leading victims of stolen digital funds, reflecting not only their increasing adoption of crypto but also their exposure to North Korean hackers – with the infamous 2016 Bank of Bangladesh cyber heist being an early and illuminating case in point.
That US$81 million theft from the bank’s account at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York was one of the largest cyber heists ever recorded at the time. The attack, attributed to the Lazarus Group, was ultimately traced back to servers in the Philippines, where much of the stolen money was laundered through casinos.

A decade on and the “velocity and consistency” continues to grow exponentially, Chainalysis warns. It took hackers just 142 days this year to surpass the US$2 billion mark in global losses, compared to 214 days in 2022. At this rate, total losses could exceed US$4.3 billion by year’s end, the report warned.

The soaring prices of cryptocurrencies and other digital tokens have only made things worse. Bitcoin, for example, hit an all-time high of more than US$123,000 last month, buoyed in part by favourable signals from US President Donald Trump’s administration and a growing global appetite for crypto assets.

Chainalysis data shows that attackers are now deliberately targeting high-value individual wallets, with bitcoin theft accounting for a disproportionate share of losses. As asset values rise, the incentive for thieves grows ever larger.

“The current crypto market momentum also presents increased opportunities for attackers,” van Wersch said, adding that the liquidity and cross-border nature of digital tokens made them especially attractive targets.

Experts warn that advanced economies such as South Korea and Japan are especially exposed to hacks due to their proximity to North Korean actors and their thriving crypto markets, while emerging economies like Indonesia are also at risk as digital finance gains in popularity.

“Geopolitical tensions may motivate North Korea to target these nations, as seen in reports linking attacks to historical adversaries,” Lian said of Japan and South Korea.

Building smarter defences

Amid the surge in cybercrime, there are signs of hope. Advances in tracing cryptocurrency transactions now allow for near-instant tracking of funds and the transparency of blockchain technology provides some measure of visibility into illicit flows.

“As jurisdictions like Hong Kong move forward with progressive stablecoin legislation, the focus should be on building robust security alongside innovation,” van Wersch said.

“The key is implementing sophisticated real-time threat monitoring systems and leveraging advanced blockchain analytics that can help prevent attacks before they occur.”

Real-time monitoring and predictive technologies are set to become indispensable, as hackers probe for vulnerabilities across the region’s digital infrastructure. Crypto exchanges, in turn, must demonstrate to regulators and users alike that they can safeguard funds against increasingly resourceful adversaries, according to van Wersch.

Jake Sims, founding partner of Operation Shamrock – a global coalition working to disrupt Southeast Asian cybercrime networks – stressed the complexity of taking on state-linked actors, as well as the risks of financial contagion.

“The use of crypto for laundering cyber-scam proceeds certainly erodes public and regulatory confidence in digital assets,” he said. “Unresolved enforcement gaps in Southeast Asia risk contaminating broader digital finance ecosystems.”

Earlier this year, Hong Kong was ranked as the second-most crypto-friendly city in the world, behind only the Slovenian capital of Ljubljana, by migration platform Multipolitan.

Regional rival Singapore, meanwhile, was recently named as one of the most crypto-obsessed countries globally, after research from digital asset exchanges ApeX Protocol and Taurex found nearly one in four Singaporeans owned cryptocurrency in 2024.

Recent high-profile attacks have exposed the urgency with which robust defences need to be built. In July last year, US$235 million was stolen from Indian crypto exchange WazirX by North Korean hackers masquerading as legitimate users – a breach that ultimately led to the closure of the platform and a restructuring plan by its Singapore-based parent Zettai.

Lian said such incidents had exposed persistent weaknesses in the security of even major exchanges and risked provoking a regulatory backlash that could stifle digital innovation.

Hong Kong, which has spent years steadily building a regulatory framework for virtual assets, has so far licensed 10 virtual asset trading platforms including New York-based Bullish, which in February became the first international crypto exchange to gain approval in the city.

Experts are now calling for regional and international cooperation, from establishing intelligence-sharing platforms to harmonising cryptocurrency regulation, to help reduce risks.

Joint efforts under the aegis of the United Nations might exert much-needed diplomatic pressure, Lian suggested, while targeted sanctions could help stem the tide of cyber crimes.

A “harm minimisation approach” targeting revenue streams and increasing reputational costs and legal expenses for jurisdictions that host cybercriminals was another option, Sims said.

Regulators needed to strengthen both domestic security and cross-border collaboration, he argued, possibly through task forces operating outside the Association of Southeast Asian Nations.

“A subregional task force outside formal Asean structures may actually be more effective for constraining harms emerging in high-risk contexts, like Cambodia where political will is lacking,” Sims said.

Despite differing international treatment, Sims said that North Korea and Cambodia shared “significant similarities … in terms of the degree of consolidated coercive power, the degree of state involvement in criminal activity, and the global reach of state-embedded criminal industries”.

The recent border conflict with Thailand could also lead “Cambodia’s scam-invested elite to look away from the Thai border as they evaluate new locations”, he said. “But it is important to note that scam compounds in Cambodia are everywhere.”

So what of Asia’s digital future? While new tools built using artificial intelligence can flag scam scripts and analyse transaction patterns for signs of deep-faked identities, Sims cautioned that technology alone was insufficient to combat cybercrime.

“These tools will need to be complemented by human intelligence, as well as policy reforms and enforcement mechanisms,” he said. “Without political will and cross-border cooperation, AI and other technological interventions will only offer partial mitigation.”

For now, it would seem that no one is immune. The Bybit hack may have set a new record, but it is unlikely to be the last. Asia’s digital future will depend on what happens next.

 

Source: https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/economics/article/3321262/how-north-koreas-us15-billion-hack-exposed-asias-crypto-weaknesses

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