April 12th, 2025

Building communities and navigating the future of Web3: Insights from Anndy Lian at Hong Kong Consensus 2025

The Hong Kong Consensus 2025 spotlight stage was abuzz with energy as industry leaders gathered to discuss the future of Web3. The event featured a presentation by Thomas Kay, Vice President of WEEX Global, followed by a fireside chat with Anndy Lian, a best-selling author and prominent figure in the blockchain space.

While Kay’s presentation highlighted WEEX Global’s impressive growth trajectory and innovative features, it was the fireside chat with Lian that truly captivated the audience, offering deep insights into community building, the evolving role of exchanges, and the future of Web3 projects.

WEEX global: A brief overview

Kay opened the session with an overview of WEEX Global’s journey since its inception in 2018. The exchange has grown exponentially, boasting over 6 million users globally and a daily trading volume of US$5 billion.

With a focus on providing top-tier liquidity, a vast array of trading pairs, and innovative features like 400x leverage, WEEX has positioned itself as one of the fastest-growing exchanges in the world. Kay also emphasised the platform’s commitment to security, highlighting their 1,000 BTC protection fund and robust risk control systems.

While the presentation showcased WEEX’s achievements and future plans, including global expansion and compliance efforts, the real highlight of the session was the fireside chat with Lian.

Fireside chat: The art and science of community building

The fireside chat began with Kay asking Lian about the challenges of building communities in the Web3 space. Lian, known for his candid and insightful commentary, didn’t hold back.

“Building a community is a lot tougher than people think,” Lian remarked. He explained that the landscape has evolved significantly since 2018. Back then, users were less informed, and it was easier to attract them with simple incentives like airdrops.

Today, however, users are more sophisticated and demand real value. “You can’t just throw airdrops at people and expect them to stay. Communities need to be built on trust, value, and long-term vision,” he added.

Lian emphasised the importance of creating a loyal community that aligns with the project’s goals. “We don’t need communities that come for the incentives and leave the next day. We need communities that stay because they believe in what you’re building,” he said.

The role of exchanges in community building

Kay and Lian also discussed the role of exchanges in fostering strong communities. Kay noted that WEEX is committed to supporting projects that prioritise community engagement. “We want to back projects that are building loyal communities, not just chasing short-term gains,” he said.

Lian agreed, highlighting the need for unity within the Web3 ecosystem. “Exchanges, big projects, and smaller projects need to work together. Emerging markets like Russia, Kenya, and Brazil offer immense potential, and collaboration can unlock new opportunities,” he said.

He also stressed the importance of transparency, particularly when it comes to listing fees. “Normies are getting smarter. They’re asking tough questions about how exchanges operate, and transparency is key to building trust,” he noted.

The future of exchanges: Security and accessibility

When asked about the future role of exchanges in the Web3 space, Lian identified two key areas: security and accessibility. “Users want exchanges that offer an extra layer of security. They also want seamless on-ramp and off-ramp solutions to move their funds safely and efficiently,” he explained.

Kay echoed this sentiment, pointing to WEEX’s efforts to enhance security through their protection fund and compliance initiatives. He also acknowledged the challenges posed by “key opinion leaders” (KOLs) who often prioritise short-term traffic over long-term value. “Not every KOL is worth partnering with. We focus on working with genuine users and communities,” he said.

Memes as a gateway to Web3

The conversation then shifted to the role of meme coins in the Web3 ecosystem. Lian described meme coins as “door openers” that attract new users to the space.

However, he cautioned that their success depends on strong community backing and a clear roadmap. “A typical roadmap starts with a meme, followed by utility, and eventually evolves into something bigger, like merchandise or even global franchises,” he said.

Lian shared an example of how a meme-based project could transition into a sustainable business. “Imagine an ‘Anndy Café’ that becomes a global clubhouse for networking. The revenue from the café could be used to support the project, creating a self-sustaining ecosystem,” he suggested.

He also highlighted the importance of partnerships in ensuring the longevity of meme projects. “If you’re not in the top 300 or 500, survival is tough. Partnering with exchanges and other Web3 players can make a big difference,” he said.

The challenges of sustainability

Lian didn’t shy away from addressing the challenges faced by Web3 projects. He criticised projects with poor leadership and no clear plans for sustainability. “Most memes fail because they have no roadmap and no real leaders. They’re just boosting sentiment without delivering results,” he said.

He urged projects to focus on building real value for their communities. “Your community should work for their own bags. If they’re invested in the project’s success, it will last much longer,” he said. He also called on exchanges to prioritise quality over quantity when listing projects. “Instead of giving money to KOLs, give it to the projects that are building something meaningful,” he suggested.

Transparency and trust: The way forward

The fireside chat concluded with a discussion on the importance of transparency in the Web3 space. Lian praised WEEX for its efforts to be transparent about its operations and partnerships. “Transparency builds trust, and trust is the foundation of any successful community,” he said.

Kay agreed, emphasising that WEEX is committed to supporting projects that align with their values. “We’re not just looking for short-term gains. We want to build long-term partnerships with projects that share our vision,” he said.

Final thoughts

The fireside chat between Kay and Lian at Hong Kong Consensus 2025 offered a wealth of insights into the challenges and opportunities in the Web3 space. From the importance of community building to the evolving role of exchanges, the discussion highlighted the need for collaboration, transparency, and long-term vision.

As the Web3 ecosystem continues to grow, the lessons shared by Lian and Kay will undoubtedly serve as a valuable guide for projects, exchanges, and communities alike. Whether it’s through innovative features, strong partnerships, or a commitment to transparency, the future of Web3 will be shaped by those who prioritise value and trust above all else.

Source: https://e27.co/building-communities-and-navigating-the-future-of-web3-insights-from-anndy-lian-at-hong-kong-consensus-2025-20250326/

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April 11th, 2025

Bitcoin battles, gold soars: How tariffs are reshaping wealth

The global financial markets are navigating a storm of uncertainty, and as an observer with a front-row seat to this unfolding drama, I find myself both fascinated and apprehensive about the forces at play. The past week has been a rollercoaster, with stocks and bonds caught in a relentless selloff driven by escalating trade tensions that have markets on edge.

The White House’s decision to slap a staggering 145 per cent tariff on Chinese imports has sent shockwaves through global economies, and even the brief reprieve offered by President Trump’s 90-day tariff pause hasn’t been enough to restore confidence. Investors are rattled, and for a good reason—the spectre of a US recession looms large, and the ripple effects could reshape the global economic landscape.

As I unpack the market’s reaction, I see a complex interplay of fear, opportunism, and cautious hope, with assets like gold and Bitcoin reflecting the broader search for stability in a world that feels increasingly unmoored.

Let’s begin with the equity markets, where the mood is unmistakably grim. The MSCI US index plummeted 3.5 per cent on Friday, a sharp decline that underscores the market’s growing unease. Defensive sectors like Consumer Staples and Utilities managed to hold their ground, with the former eking out a modest 0.2 per cent gain and the latter slipping just 0.6 per cent.

These sectors, often seen as safe harbours during turbulent times, are benefiting from investors’ flight to quality. But the broader picture is one of retreat—Asian equities, led by Japan, were down in early trading, and US equity futures signalled another weak open, with a projected 0.5 per cent drop.

The MSCI gauge of Asian stocks is on track for its third consecutive week of losses, a streak that reflects the region’s vulnerability to trade disruptions. China and Hong Kong, which briefly rallied on hopes of fresh stimulus from Beijing, gave back those gains on Friday as reality set in: tariffs of this magnitude could choke off growth, and no amount of stimulus may fully offset the damage.

The bond market, meanwhile, is telling its own story of unease. The US Treasury yield curve has steepened, a sign that investors are bracing for a mix of inflationary pressures and economic slowdown. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed 9.3 basis points to 4.42 per cent, reflecting concerns that tariffs could drive up costs and fuel inflation.

At the same time, the 2-year yield dipped 4.6 basis points to 3.86 per cent, suggesting that markets are pricing in slower growth and potential rate cuts down the line. This steepening curve is a classic signal of uncertainty—investors are torn between the immediate inflationary impact of tariffs and the longer-term risk of a recession.

The bond market’s volatility has been exacerbated by a selloff that some analysts liken to the “dash for cash” seen during the early days of the COVID-19 crisis. Hedge funds, caught off guard by the rapid rise in yields, have been forced to unwind leveraged positions, adding to the market’s fragility.

The US dollar, typically a safe haven in times of crisis, is under pressure, with the dollar index sliding 2.0 per cent. This decline reflects growing concerns about US economic growth, as tariffs threaten to disrupt trade and erode confidence in American assets. Meanwhile, the euro and yen are gaining ground, a sign that investors are seeking non-US alternatives.

The yen, in particular, benefits from its status as a safe-haven currency, while the euro’s strength may reflect Europe’s efforts to present a united front against US trade policies. But let’s not kid ourselves—Europe isn’t immune to the fallout. A 20 per cent US tariff on European goods could hammer exporters, and the STOXX 600’s recent slide suggests that investors are already pricing in pain.

Gold, unsurprisingly, is shining bright amid the chaos. Up 3.0 per cent and pushing toward US$3,250 an ounce, the precious metal is basking in its role as the ultimate safe haven. Investors are piling in, driven by fears of economic instability and the inflationary pressures that tariffs could unleash. Gold’s upward momentum feels relentless, and I can’t help but see it as a barometer of the market’s deepest anxieties.

When even US Treasuries—long considered the bedrock of safety—are being dumped in favour of cash and gold, you know the ground is shifting. Brent crude, on the other hand, is struggling, down 3.3 per cent and hovering just above US$62 per barrel. The combination of tariff-induced demand fears and OPEC+’s decision to ramp up output is keeping oil prices in check, a rare bit of relief for consumers but a headache for energy producers.

Then there’s Bitcoin, which occupies a curious niche in this turbulent landscape. At US$79,474, it’s down 3.5 per cent over the past day and 2.24 per cent over the last month, according to CoinMarketCap. April has been a wild ride for the cryptocurrency, with Trump’s tariff announcements triggering sharp swings.

The initial panic on April 2 sent Bitcoin reeling, as investors fled risk assets. But the pause in tariffs has sparked a tentative recovery, with signs of a corrective bullish wave emerging. The Relative Strength Index is showing early positive divergence, hinting that the selling pressure may be easing. Still, Bitcoin faces a tough road ahead. If it can’t break through the US$84,000 resistance level, it risks stalling out.

But if bullish momentum builds, we could see it test US$96,000. What strikes me about Bitcoin is its dual nature—it’s both a speculative asset and a potential hedge against fiat currency debasement. In a world where tariffs are stoking inflation fears, Bitcoin’s narrative as “digital gold” gains traction, even if its volatility keeps it from being a true safe haven.

As I reflect on these developments, I’m struck by the broader implications of this trade war. Tariffs of this scale—145 per cent on China, 20 per cent on Europe, and a baseline 10 per cent on nearly all US imports—are a gamble with high stakes. The White House argues they’re a tool to protect American industries and level the playing field, but the immediate fallout suggests otherwise. Supply chains are buckling, consumer prices are poised to rise, and corporate earnings are under threat.

The market’s reaction—plunging stocks, surging gold, and a weakening dollar—tells me that investors see more pain ahead than promise. China’s retaliatory tariffs, now at 84 per cent on US goods, signal that this isn’t a one-sided fight. Beijing’s hints at further stimulus may cushion the blow, but they’re unlikely to fully offset the drag of restricted trade.

What worries me most is the potential for a self-fulfilling prophecy. Markets are pricing in a US recession, with some estimates putting the odds as high as 60 per cent. If businesses pull back on investment and consumers tighten their belts, that fear could become reality. The Federal Reserve, already grappling with sticky inflation, faces an impossible choice: cut rates to stimulate growth and risk fuelling inflation, or hold firm and watch the economy sputter.

The bond market’s volatility suggests that investors are losing faith in the Fed’s ability to thread the needle. And while Trump’s tariff pause offers a glimmer of hope, it’s a temporary reprieve at best. Negotiations with over 75 countries are underway, but the threat of renewed levies looms large, especially for China.

On the flip side, there’s an argument to be made that markets are overreacting. The US economy has shown resilience before, and corporate America is adept at adapting to new realities. If tariffs force companies to reshore production, it could spark a manufacturing renaissance, creating jobs and strengthening domestic supply chains.

The pause in tariffs has already triggered massive relief rallies, with the S&P 500 posting its biggest one-day gain since 2008 earlier this week. And let’s not forget that volatility creates opportunities—savvy investors are snapping up beaten-down stocks and positioning for a rebound. Bitcoin, too, could benefit if inflation fears drive demand for alternative assets.

Still, I can’t shake the sense that we’re at a tipping point. The global economy is interconnected, and policies that disrupt trade flows don’t just hurt one nation—they reverberate worldwide. Emerging markets like Vietnam, already reeling from currency devaluations, face a precarious future. Europe’s export-driven economies are bracing for impact, and even Japan, with its safe-haven yen, isn’t immune to the slowdown.

As I look at the data—plunging stock indices, soaring gold, and a bond market in disarray—I see a world grappling with uncertainty. My view is cautiously pessimistic: while markets may find moments of relief, the underlying tensions won’t resolve quickly. Investors should buckle up for a bumpy ride, with safe havens like gold and selective defensives offering the best shelter in this storm.

Source: https://e27.co/bitcoin-battles-gold-soars-how-tariffs-are-reshaping-wealth-20250411/

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April 10th, 2025

Gold jumps 3.3 per cent, Nasdaq soars 12.1 per cent, Bitcoin increases 7 per cent: Inside Trump’s tariff rollback effects

April 10, 2025, the world woke up to a dramatic shift in global risk sentiment, spurred by President Donald Trump’s unexpected announcement of a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for most countries, excluding China.

This move, paired with a jaw-dropping 125 per cent tariff hike on Chinese imports, has sent shockwaves through markets, igniting a rollercoaster of reactions that deserve a deep and thoughtful exploration. Let’s unpack this market wrap, weaving together the data, the human stakes, and my own take on what it all means.

The announcement came like a thunderclap after days of escalating tension, with both the US and China locked in a high-stakes game of economic brinkmanship. Just yesterday, tariffs on China jumped by another 50 per cent, pushing the total to an unprecedented 125 per cent. It’s a bold, almost theatrical escalation, signalling that Trump is doubling down on his hardline stance against Beijing.

Meanwhile, the 90-day pause on tariffs for other nations—a flat 10 per cent duty remains in place—offers a lifeline for negotiations, a chance to step back from the edge of a full-blown global trade war. The markets, ever sensitive to such twists, responded with a fervour that hadn’t been seen in years.

The S&P 500 surged 9.5 per cent, its largest single-day rally since October 2008, while the Nasdaq soared 12.1 per cent, marking its biggest daily gain in 24 years. The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, often dubbed Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” plummeted 35.8 per cent to 33.62, a dramatic exhale after peaking at 52.33. It’s as if the markets collectively sighed in relief, at least for now.

What’s driving this euphoria? For one, the pause on universal tariffs has lifted a dark cloud of uncertainty that had been suffocating investor confidence. The prospect of reciprocal tariffs—matching duties imposed by other countries on US goods—had threatened to choke global trade, spike inflation, and drag economies into recession. Trump’s decision to hit the brakes, even temporarily, suggests a willingness to negotiate rather than bulldoze ahead, a pragmatic pivot that markets have seized upon.

But it’s not all rosy. The US-China trade war is intensifying, and with neither side showing signs of backing down, the stakes are higher than ever. The 125 per cent tariff on China is a gauntlet thrown down, a dare for Beijing to retaliate further or come to the table. It’s a risky play, and one that could backfire if China opts for escalation over compromise.

Turning to the bond market, US Treasury yields paint a complex picture. The 10-year yield climbed 3.9 basis points to 4.332 per cent, and the 2-year yield leaped 18.2 basis points to 3.908 per cent, reflecting a surge in risk-on sentiment. Yet, the 20-year and 30-year yields bucked the trend, easing slightly, a subtle hint that investors remain wary of the long-term fallout from this trade saga.

The robust demand at the 10-year Treasury note auction underscores a flight to quality amid the chaos—investors still see US debt as a safe harbour, even as yields tick higher. The US Dollar Index, however, barely budged, slipping just 0.1 per cent. This muted response stands in contrast to the sharp declines in safe-haven currencies like the Swiss franc and Japanese yen, both down 1.0 per cent, as risk appetite roared back to life.

Commodities, too, joined the rally. Gold, often a barometer of fear, surged 3.3 per cent—its biggest one-day gain since March 2020—settling above US$3,100 per troy ounce. At first glance, this might seem counterintuitive given the risk-on mood, but it reflects a dual narrative: relief at the tariff pause, coupled with lingering unease about the US-China standoff. Brent crude oil, meanwhile, climbed 4.2 per cent to US$65 per barrel, buoyed by optimism that a broader trade war might be averted, at least for now.

Over in Asia, indices like the HSCEI rose 3.2 per cent, fuelled by hopes of more Chinese stimulus to counter the tariff squeeze. It’s a fragile optimism, though—US equity futures are already signalling a lower open, suggesting that yesterday’s euphoria might be short-lived.

The crypto market, ever a wild card, erupted in tandem with traditional assets. Bitcoin surged eight per cent to reclaim US$84,000, its strongest intraday gain since mid-March, sparked by Trump’s tariff rollback. Technical indicators hint at a potential sell-wall at US$85,000 as traders eye profits, but the momentum is undeniable. This rally comes on the heels of BlackRock CEO Larry Fink’s Monday warning that global markets could sink 20 per cent if tariffs took full effect—a prediction that now looks prescient, though his call for a “buying opportunity” has proven spot-on with this rebound.

Binance, commanding nearly half of Bitcoin’s spot trading volume, has solidified its dominance, with its altcoin market share swelling from 38 per cent to 44 per cent in Q1. It’s a testament to the exchange’s ability to capitalise on volatility, though it’s squeezing competitors in the process.

Ethereum, however, tells a darker story. Sliding to US$1,380—a level unseen since March 2023—it’s caught in a relentless downtrend, battered by macroeconomic headwinds and uncertainty over US trade policies. Sentiment in the crypto space is souring, with investors questioning whether ETH’s bullish structure can hold. Yet, there’s a glimmer of hope: CryptoRank data shows Ethereum trading below its realised price, a rare signal that’s historically preceded strong recoveries. It’s too early to call a bottom, but this could be an accumulation zone for the brave.

On the central bank front, the Fed’s March FOMC minutes offered little solace, overshadowed by trade developments. Policymakers flagged “longer-lasting inflationary pressures” from tariffs, with risks to inflation skewed upward and employment downward. It’s a sobering assessment, hinting at a Fed that’s boxed in—rate cuts could stoke inflation further, while holding steady might choke growth. Across the Pacific, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) delivered a 25-basis-point cut, as expected, with a dovish tilt suggesting more easing ahead as Trump’s tariff fallout unfolds. Central banks are on edge, and rightly so.

So, what’s my take? This market wrap is a tale of two narratives: relief and reckoning. The 90-day tariff pause has unleashed a wave of optimism, giving stocks, commodities, and Bitcoin a much-needed boost. It’s a lifeline for a global economy teetering on the brink, and investors are grabbing it with both hands.

But the US-China trade war is a festering wound that won’t heal easily. That 125 per cent tariff is a provocation, and China’s next move—whether retaliation or negotiation—will shape the months ahead. The markets may be celebrating today, but this feels like a sugar high, not a sustainable recovery. Volatility isn’t going anywhere; the VIX may have eased, but at 33.62, it’s still elevated, signaling more turbulence to come.

I’m skeptical of Trump’s strategy. The pause is a shrewd tactical retreat, but the China escalation reeks of bravado over substance. It’s a gamble that could juice US manufacturing in the short term—hence the market’s cheer—but risks long-term damage if global trade fractures. The Fed’s caution and the RBNZ’s dovishness underscore the fragility of this moment.

For investors, it’s a time to tread carefully: the rally is real, but the risks are just as tangible. Gold’s surge tells me fear hasn’t left the building, and Ethereum’s woes remind us that not every asset thrives in chaos. As a journalist, I’ll keep digging, watching for the next twist in this saga—because if there’s one thing I’ve learned, it’s that in markets and politics, the only constant is change.

Source: https://e27.co/gold-jumps-3-3-per-cent-nasdaq-soars-12-1-per-cent-bitcoin-increases-7-per-cent-inside-trumps-tariff-rollback-effects-20250410/

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