How Important is Donald Trump to the Future of Crypto?

How Important is Donald Trump to the Future of Crypto?

The failed assassination attempt on pro-crypto US presidential candidate Donald Trump’s life has the crypto community reevaluating his importance to the future of the crypto industry.

As we come to terms with the shocking incident that occurred at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania on July 13, 2024, we speak to experts about Trump’s importance to the crypto industry and what could happen if he becomes the 47th president of the United States.

In this article, Techopedia’s expert panel discusses everything from the US Securities and Exchange Commission‘s (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler’s future to Trump’s anti-central bank digital currency (CBDC) campaign.

Key Takeaways

  • Polls suggest a return to the White House for former president Trump after the assassination attempt on his life.
  • Experts consider the crypto landscape under Donald Trump based on his recent crypto remarks.
  • Anndy Lian says Donald Trump’s influence on the future of cryptocurrency is significant.
  • Shiven Moodley says Gary Gensler will be replaced by a pro-crypto candidate if Trump wins.
  • Jacob Martin says a Republican win will see crypto rally alongside stocks.
  • Vijay Pravin says halting CBDCs could “undermine America’s dominance”
  • Trump confirms he will deliver a speech at the Bitcoin 2024 Conference event in July.

How important is Donald Trump to the Future of Crypto?

Over the weekend, absurd new Trump-based memecoins surfaced, and crypto prices traded in the green as the market breathed a sigh of relief after government officials reassured the public that the former President was safe.

 

We contacted experts, analysts, and crypto fund managers to hear their opinions on Trump’s importance to the crypto industry.

Anndy Lian, intergovernmental blockchain expert and author of ‘Blockchain Revolution 2030, told Techopedia:

“In my humble opinion, Donald Trump’s influence on the future of cryptocurrency is significant.

“His potential re-election could usher in a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment, fostering innovation and growth in the sector.

“The recent events have only strengthened his position as a key figure for the crypto community, making his political fortunes closely tied to the future trajectory of digital currencies.”

 

Sergei Chmel, managing partner of alternative investment firm SeQuant Capital, acknowledged that Trump was “more favorable” for the crypto industry in comparison to current U.S. President Joe Biden.

However, Chmel added that the crypto industry had become too big for the White House resident to ignore at the end of the November 2024 U.S. Presidential election.

“Maybe Trump is a bit more favorable to crypto than Biden, but considering ETH ETF approval, it seems the Biden administration realizes how big the industry has become. They can’t undo it anymore.”.

Shiven Moodley, chief operating officer and macro strategist at brokerage firm 80eight Group, said Trump was “somewhat important” for the crypto industry in the US over the long-term.

Moodley added that Trump’s “free market ideology, promise of lower corporate taxes and crypto-friendly regulations could have “cascading effects.”

Is Trump a Genuine Crypto Supporter or Testing a Political Strategy?

Next, we asked crypto market experts what they thought of Trump’s sudden shift to pitch himself as the “Crypto President.”

After all, not so long ago, in July 2019, Trump tweeted that he was not a “fan of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies,” calling them “highly volatile,” “based on thin air” and “unregulated.”

Vijay Pravin, founder of NFT data platform bitsCrunch, shared his view with Techopedia:

“Trump’s viewpoint has obviously changed since he made disparaging remarks about crypto. Since that time frame, the crypto market has evolved substantially, with the long-awaited ETF approvals spurring on greater levels of institutional interest.”

Meanwhile, Lian pointed out three key reasons as to why Trump has had this change of heart:

  • Progress on the crypto regulatory front
  • Crypto’s growing political and economic influence
  • Trump’s election strategy to differentiate himself from the Biden camp.

Lian added:

“Trump has shifted his position, likely recognizing the growing influence and voter base within the crypto community. This change of heart seems to be driven by the desire to capitalize on Biden’s regulatory approach, which has not been well-received by many crypto advocates.”

What Happens to Gary Gensler if Trump Gets Elected?

The U.S. SEC chairman Gary Gensler has been crypto’s arch-nemesis since President Biden took office in 2021.

From suing crypto exchanges and custodial wallet developers to repeatedly calling cryptocurrencies (other than Bitcoin) unregistered securities, Chair Gensler has done enough to provoke the ire of the crypto faithful.

The length of Gensler’s tenure as SEC chair will entirely depend on the U.S. Presidential election results, as the U.S. president has the power to select one of the five SEC commissioners to be the organization’s chairman.

According to Moodley, Gensler will likely be replaced as SEC chair for a “pro-blockchain technology individual” if Trump gets elected for his second term.

“That will lead to major blockchain developments coming from the US but will also shift the regulatory framework from backwards-thinking to forward-looking.”

Elsewhere, Jacob Martin, general partner of crypto venture capital firm 2Punks Capital, told Techopedia:

“A Republican win is likely a boon for crypto and American tech in general. I would assume a stock market rally to coincide.

“At the same time, a Democrat win with Biden as the nominee and a non-removal of Gary Gensler would be about the most bearish and confusing possible outcome for the next few years in crypto.”

What Will Happen to CBDCs Under Trump?

Next, we talk to industry experts about how CBDC development will take shape in the U.S. with Trump at the helm.

Trump’s anti-CBDC stance has been well-received by the crypto faithful. The former president shares community concerns related to privacy breaches and mass surveillance that many fear will arise with CBDC deployment.

In fact, Trump promised to “never allow the creation of a central bank digital currency.”

 

But will Trump as president have the power to stop CBDC developments in the US?

Lian told Techopedia that Trump’s power to end the ongoing CBDC development program is limited by the independence of the Federal Reserve.

“The Federal Reserve, which is responsible for the development and potential implementation of a CBDC, operates independently of the executive branch. This means that while Trump could influence policy and public opinion, he would not have the direct authority to unilaterally halt the CBDC program.”

Meanwhile, Pravin took a cautious stance and said that halting the CBDC development project could “undermine America’s position as a dominant hub for crypto activity.”

“CBDCs are a significant pillar of the digital economy, and a range of nations have already explored the concept of CBDCs to modernize payment systems, enhance financial inclusion and strengthen monetary control.

“Halting CBDC development might discourage innovation and investment in the US crypto space, potentially causing large firms to set up operations in more crypto-friendly jurisdictions.”

The Bottom Line

The crypto industry is doubling down on Donald Trump. After the assassination attempt in Pennsylvania, the chances of Trump winning the November 2024 U.S. Presidential election hit an all-time high of 71% on crypto-based prediction market Polymarket.

Since the attempt on his life, Trump has already confirmed that he will deliver a speech at the Bitcoin 2024 Conference event scheduled to start on July 25, 2024, where he is sure to receive a hero’s welcome.

But, whatever happens in November 2024, this election campaign has showcased crypto’s newfound political relevance. Chmel, one of our expert panel members, summed it up:

“No matter who will be in charge, the genie is out of the bottle, and industry will grow rapidly from here.”

 

Source: https://www.techopedia.com/how-important-is-donald-trump-to-the-future-of-crypto

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Web3 Promise and Perils: An Exclusive Interview with Anndy Lian

Web3 Promise and Perils: An Exclusive Interview with Anndy Lian

Web3: buzzword or breakthrough? Skeptics dismiss it as a passing fad, while proponents herald it as the next internet revolution. In this candid conversation, we challenge Anndy Lian, a leading voice in the blockchain community, an Intergovernmental Blockchain Expert and Best-Selling Author, to address the doubts and concerns surrounding Web3. Lian shared his insights on the technological, regulatory, and adoption challenges that Web3 faces, while also highlighting the transformative potential it holds for industries, economies, and our digital experiences.

The Shib: In your own words, what is Web3, and what are the key distinctions between Web3  and the current internet (Web2)?

Lian: Web3 represents the evolution of the internet into a space where users have more control and ownership over their digital interactions. It’s built on the principles of decentralization, enabled by blockchain technology, which allows for a network that isn’t controlled by any single entity. This contrasts with the current iteration of the internet, known as Web2, where centralized platforms hold significant power over user data and content distribution.

In the Web3 vision, the internet becomes a place where users can interact without surrendering personal information to service providers. Instead of data being stored on servers owned by a few large companies, it’s distributed across a network of nodes, making it more resistant to censorship and outages. This shift also introduces the concept of tokenization, where digital assets or tokens can represent anything from currency to ownership rights, accessible through secure digital wallets.

Another key aspect of Web3 is transparency. Since it’s built on blockchain, all transactions and data exchanges are recorded on a public ledger, which anyone can verify. This level of openness is a stark departure from the often opaque practices of Web2 companies. Moreover, Web3 aims for interoperability, where different applications and services can work together seamlessly, unlike the siloed nature of many Web2 services.

Identity in Web3 is also transformed. Users can have a single, self-sovereign identity that they can use across multiple platforms without needing separate accounts for each service. This not only simplifies the user experience but also enhances privacy and security.

The Shib: What are the most compelling potential benefits and use cases of Web3 that could reshape industries, economies, and our digital experiences? What are the most significant challenges and risks associated with Web3 adoption?

Lian: Web3 is like a fresh canvas for the digital world, offering a palette of possibilities that could revolutionize how we interact online. It’s akin to the leap from snail mail to email, but on a grander scale. The most compelling potential of Web3 lies in its ability to give power back to the people. Imagine a world where you’re not just a user but a stakeholder in the platforms you use. This shift could transform industries by fostering innovation without the need for centralized gatekeepers.

In the creative sector, artists could sell their work directly to fans without intermediaries taking a cut. In finance, decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms could offer loans and savings accounts managed by smart contracts, not banks. For the everyday internet user, imagine logging into different services with a single digital identity that you control, not a tech giant.

But it’s not all sunshine and rainbows. The road to Web3 is paved with challenges. The technology is complex, and for many, it’s like learning a new language. There’s also the issue of scalability; blockchain networks can be slow and expensive to use. And let’s not forget the regulatory maze. Governments are still figuring out how to deal with cryptocurrencies and digital assets, which are at the heart of Web3.

Security is another concern. While blockchain is secure by design, nothing is foolproof. There have been high-profile hacks of DeFi platforms and crypto exchanges. These incidents raise questions about the readiness of Web3 to handle our digital lives.

In short, Web3 has the potential to be a game-changer, democratizing the internet and sparking a new wave of digital innovation. But it’s a bit like the Wild West right now, full of opportunity and danger. Navigating this new frontier will require patience, education, and a careful approach to risk management. It’s an exciting time to be online, and the future is unwritten.

The Shib: Do you believe Web3 will be a passing trend, or is it the dawn of a new internet  era? What factors will determine its long-term success or failure?

Lian: Web3 feels like the early days of a revolution, much like the internet in the ’90s or smartphones in the early 2000s. It’s not just a fleeting trend; it’s the groundwork for a new digital epoch. The promise of a decentralized, user-empowered web is too potent to ignore. It’s like we’re at the cusp of a new dawn, where the internet becomes more than a tool—it becomes a community.

The long-term success of Web3 hinges on several factors. First, it needs to be user-friendly. Right now, it’s like a tech enthusiast’s playground, complex and intimidating for the average person. For Web3 to truly take off, it must be as easy as Web2. People should be able to interact with it as naturally as they scroll through a social media feed.

Second, scalability is crucial. The current blockchain infrastructure can be like a two-lane road when we need a highway. It has to support millions of transactions swiftly and affordably to become mainstream. Third, there’s the question of security. The more we rely on Web3, the more attractive it becomes to bad actors. Building a secure yet open system is one of the biggest challenges it faces.

Regulation will also play a pivotal role. Governments around the world are grappling with how to approach this new frontier. The decisions they make could either stifle innovation or nurture it. And finally, there’s adoption by businesses and developers. They’re the ones who will build this new world, and their embrace of Web3 technologies will be a deciding factor in its success.

In essence, Web3 is not just a new set of technologies but a new philosophy for the digital age. Its success or failure will be determined by how well it can balance the ideals of decentralization with the practicalities of everyday internet use. It’s an ambitious vision, and like any grand endeavor, it will face its share of skeptics and setbacks. But if history has taught us anything, it’s that the boldest ideas often have the most enduring impact. Web3 has the potential to be one of those ideas.

The Shib: How will Web3 impact the way we own and control our digital assets, data, and  online identities? What are the implications for privacy, security, and user empowerment?

Lian: It’s about shifting the control of digital assets, data, and identities back into our hands. In this new era, your online identity becomes your passport, granting access across various platforms without surrendering your personal details to each one. It’s like having a VIP pass to every club in town, but the bouncers can’t see your home address.

This shift promises a boost in privacy, as the need to share personal information diminishes. Your data becomes a treasure chest that only you can unlock, rather than being left out in the open for companies to pick through. Security-wise, blockchain’s robust architecture acts like a fortress, defending against unauthorized access and ensuring that transactions are tamper-proof.

However, with great power comes great responsibility. User empowerment means we must be vigilant custodians of our digital keys. Losing them could lock us out of our own digital kingdom. Moreover, the decentralized nature of Web3 means there’s no ‘customer service’ to call if things go awry. It’s a brave new world, one where we’re both the rulers and the guards of our digital realm. The implications are vast, and the potential for a more private, secure, and user-centric internet is immense. It’s a shift towards true digital sovereignty.

The Shib: Which specific industries or sectors are most likely to be disrupted or transformed  by Web3 technologies in the coming years? Can you provide concrete examples  of how this transformation might unfold?

Lian: It is poised to be a game-changer for several industries, much like the arrival of the internet itself. It’s not just a new layer of technology; it’s a seismic shift in how we’ll interact with the digital world.

Take the art world, for example. With Web3, artists can mint their creations as non-fungible tokens (NFTs), ensuring authenticity and ownership in a way that’s never been possible before. It’s like turning a painting into a one-of-a-kind digital masterpiece that can be bought, sold, and collected without fear of forgery.

In finance, Web3 could usher in a new era of decentralized finance (DeFi). Imagine a world where you can lend, borrow, and invest without ever walking into a bank or filling out a pile of paperwork. Smart contracts on blockchain could automate these transactions, cutting out the middlemen and potentially offering better rates and more accessibility.

The gaming industry is also on the cusp of transformation. Web3 could enable gamers to truly own the items they earn or buy in games, carrying them across virtual worlds. It’s like having a universal inventory that’s recognized in every game you play.

These examples are just the tip of the iceberg. Web3 has the potential to reshape industries by creating new business models, revenue streams, and ways for consumers to engage. It’s a brave new world, and we’re all part of the journey. The transformation is already beginning, and it’s only going to accelerate from here.

The Shib: If you were to advise entrepreneurs, investors, or policymakers about Web3, what  would be your top recommendations for navigating this emerging landscape?

Lian: Navigating the Web3 landscape is like exploring a new continent. It’s vast, untamed, and full of potential. For entrepreneurs, my advice is to focus on user experience. Web3 can be complex, so making it accessible is key. Think of it as building bridges over technological rivers. Investors should look for projects that not only have solid tech but also a clear vision of how to integrate into the current digital ecosystem. It’s like planting seeds in fertile ground—look for where they can grow.

Policymakers have a delicate task. They must balance regulation and innovation. It’s a dance between setting boundaries and allowing freedom. The goal should be to protect consumers without stifling the creative spirit that drives Web3 forward.

For all, staying educated is crucial. Web3 is evolving rapidly, and keeping up with its developments is like keeping a boat steady in a fast-moving current. Be adaptable, be vigilant, and be ready to pivot. This new digital landscape is unfurling its map, and those who can read it well will be the ones to find the treasure.

Anndy Lian’s insights offer a sobering yet hopeful perspective on Web3. While the potential benefits are undeniable, the road ahead is not without its hurdles.  Lian’s balanced approach reminds us that Web3 is not a magic bullet, but rather a complex ecosystem that requires careful navigation.  The success of Web3 hinges on overcoming technical, regulatory, and adoption challenges, but the reward could be a truly decentralized and user-empowered internet.

For further insights from Anndy Lian and other industry experts, be sure to check out The Shib’s Alpha Insights.

About the Speaker:

Anndy Lian is an Intergovernmental Blockchain Expert, Best-Selling Author, and a highly respected figure in the blockchain and cryptocurrency space. He is a sought-after advisor to governments and businesses on blockchain adoption and regulation, and his insights are invaluable for anyone interested in the future of Web3.

 

Source: https://news.shib.io/2024/07/10/web3-promise-and-perils-an-exclusive-interview-with-anndy-lian/

 

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Meme coins: More than just a joke, a guide for investors

Meme coins: More than just a joke, a guide for investors

The world of cryptocurrency is wild. It’s full of crazy ideas, high risk, and yes, even some laughs. Lately, meme coins, digital currencies based on internet jokes and pop culture have been all the rage. They’ve drawn in investors with their wild price swings and passionate online communities.

Dogecoin, the Shiba Inu dog that started it all, might have begun as a lighthearted jab at Bitcoin, but some meme coins have skyrocketed in value. This leaves many wondering: how do you invest in this wacky but risky corner of the crypto market?

The truth is, there’s no guaranteed way to win with meme coins. Their value depends on a weird mix of things, so the usual ways of judging investments don’t apply as much here. A strong community and lots of trading can be good signs, but you need to look deeper when it comes to these crypto jokesters. Here are some key things to consider, along with a healthy dose of caution:

Looking beyond the hype: A strong community

A big and enthusiastic online following on Reddit, Discord, or Telegram can be a good thing but don’t just look at the surface. Here’s what you really need to see:

  • Real talk, not just memes: A good community talks about the memecoin’s future plans, how it might be used for more than just laughs, and how it might work with other projects. Look for people who genuinely care about the coin’s future, not just those mindlessly cheering it on.
  • Coders on the case: A dedicated team actively working on the tech behind the meme coin is a good sign. Look for frequent updates, code posted on platforms like Github, and clear ways to talk to the developers.
  • Keeping things clean: A well-moderated online community helps get rid of negativity, false information, and scams where people try to pump up the price and then dump their coins for a quick profit. Look for active moderators who keep the conversation healthy.

Trading volume: A double-edged sword

Lots of trading means there’s a lot of interest in the meme coin, which can make the price go up in the short term. But be careful:

  • Fake pumps: Beware of sudden spikes in trading that come out of nowhere. These could be the work of “whales” (people with huge amounts of coins) trying to drive the price up so they can sell for a quick profit.
  • Slow and steady wins the race: Look for trading that gradually increases over time. This suggests real growth, not just a temporary burst of excitement.
  • Big exchanges are good: Being on well-known cryptocurrency exchanges makes the meme coin more visible and easier to trade, which can lead to higher trading volume.

Beyond the basics: The x-factors

While a strong community and active trading are important, there are other things that can affect a meme coin’s success:

  • Celebrity tweets: A tweet from a big name like Elon Musk can send a meme coin’s price through the roof (remember Dogecoin?). However, relying on celebrities is risky because their interest can fade fast. Ideally, the celebrity actually holds and believes in the meme coin.
  • Real-world use: Memecoins that have a real-world purpose, like being used in online games or making payments, are more likely to stick around for the long haul than those that are just hype.
  • Fear of missing out (FOMO): This is when people buy something because they’re scared they’ll be left behind if they don’t. Be careful of buying sprees fueled by FOMO, and always do your own research before investing. We’ve seen this happen a lot with meme coins on Solana lately. Hopefully, they’ll show more stable growth later this year.

Laughter is great, but don’t invest based on it

Memecoins can be a fun and interesting part of the crypto world. They create a sense of community and offer the chance to make a lot of money (or lose it all). But if you only invest in them because they’re funny or because there’s a lot of buzz online, you’re setting yourself up for disaster.

By looking at data like how engaged the community is, trading volume, and other important factors, you can approach meme coins with a bit more caution and maybe even some success (without the tears).

Remember, a good meme might make you laugh, but it shouldn’t be the only reason you invest your hard-earned money. And hey, maybe someday we’ll even get that Dogecoin ETF!

 

Source: https://e27.co/meme-coins-more-than-just-a-joke-a-guide-for-investors-20240708/

 

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