Tag Archives: panic

Crypto market bleeds US$44B as US$78M Bitcoin liquidations spark panic

Crypto market bleeds US$44B as US$78M Bitcoin liquidations spark panic

Global financial markets navigated a holiday-shortened week with United States exchanges shuttering their doors on Monday, February 16, 2026, for Presidents’ Day. The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq stood silent while traders worldwide turned their attention to international venues where activity unfolded against the backdrop of Lunar New Year celebrations that closed mainland Chinese markets for an entire week. This confluence of calendar events created an unusual trading environment in which sentiment flowed primarily through Asian and European channels, without the usual gravitational pull of American price discovery.

Asian markets absorbed the previous Friday’s benign United States inflation report with measured optimism. The consumer price index had climbed just 0.2 per cent in January, a figure that reinforced expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year. Japanese equities edged higher as participants digested fourth-quarter 2025 gross domestic product data showing the economy had reversed a deep contraction from the prior period and eked out modest growth.

Australian shares followed suit, with the ASX 200 gaining ground as banking-sector earnings reports delivered unexpected strength. These gains proved fragile when juxtaposed against cryptocurrency markets, which operated independently of traditional asset correlations and plunged 1.85 per cent to a total valuation of US$2.35 trillion over a 24-hour period.

The digital asset selloff originated from an alleged coordinated Bitcoin dump by major exchanges totalling more than US$4.5 billion, according to social media chatter that spread rapidly on February 15. Whether substantiated or not, the narrative ignited a cascade of forced liquidations that erased US$78.23 million in Bitcoin long positions within a single day.

Market psychology shifted abruptly as fear replaced complacency and traders scrambled to reduce leverage across the board. This deleveraging event exposed the fragility inherent in the highly leveraged crypto markets, where perception often moves prices more decisively than fundamentals. Bitcoin itself remained relatively stable around US$68,800 after weekend volatility, but the broader ecosystem suffered disproportionately as capital fled riskier assets.

Ethereum emerged as a critical pressure point in the downturn, falling 5.86 per cent and underperforming the wider market by more than 2x. On-chain analytics revealed a whale transferring 261,020 ETH worth approximately US$820 million to Binance, an action traders interpreted as imminent selling pressure. This technical breakdown below the US$2,000 psychological threshold triggered a domino effect across altcoins, with meme coins bearing the brunt of the punishment.

SHIB, DOGE, and PEPE all dropped six per cent to eight per cent as risk aversion intensified. Ethereum’s role as the bellwether for alternative cryptocurrencies meant its weakness transmitted rapidly throughout the ecosystem, amplifying losses beyond what Bitcoin’s price action alone would suggest.

Currency and commodity markets reflected a more subdued global mood. The United States Dollar Index held steady at 96.82 while the Japanese yen weakened slightly by 0.2 per cent to approximately 152.80 per dollar. Energy markets remained under pressure with Brent crude trading below US$68 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering near US$63.

Gold continued its remarkable ascent, trading near US$5,014 per ounce, a level that speaks to persistent demand for non-yielding safe havens despite improving inflation data. These traditional markets operated with relative calm compared to the turbulence in digital assets, highlighting a growing divergence between crypto and conventional financial instruments during periods of stress.

European markets in the United Kingdom and the Eurozone maintained normal operations with participants awaiting key economic releases later in the week, including industrial production and consumer confidence figures. Without American trading desks active, European volumes remained thin, and directional moves were limited.

This vacuum allowed cryptocurrency markets to dominate financial headlines despite their comparatively small size relative to global equity and bond markets. The episode underscored how digital assets now command disproportionate media attention and retail trader focus even during periods when traditional markets observe holidays.

From my perspective, this selloff represents a necessary correction after months of speculative excess rather than a fundamental breakdown in the crypto thesis. The market had become dangerously overleveraged with traders assuming perpetual upward momentum.

The alleged exchange, whether factual or exaggerated, served as the catalyst that exposed this fragility. What matters now is whether organic buying emerges to absorb the liquidation cascade. Retail participation reportedly increased over the weekend, according to on-chain metrics, but whether this demand proves durable remains uncertain.

The critical technical level to watch sits at US$2.17 trillion, the yearly low that, if breached, could trigger another leg down toward deeper support zones. A sustained hold above the 24-hour pivot point of US$2.36 trillion would suggest buyers have regained control, and consolidation may follow.

The disconnect between stable traditional markets and volatile crypto markets during this holiday period reveals an important evolution. Digital assets increasingly trade on their own internal dynamics rather than macroeconomic cues that drive stocks and bonds.

United States inflation data that buoyed Asian equities did little to support cryptocurrencies, which instead reacted to exchange flows, whale movements, and social media narratives. This decoupling suggests crypto has matured into its own distinct asset class with unique drivers, though it also highlights persistent immaturity in risk management practices among participants.

Looking ahead, the resumption of United States trading on Tuesday, February 17, will provide crucial context. American institutional players re-entering the market could either stabilise crypto prices through dip buying or accelerate declines if they follow the lead of leveraged speculators exiting positions.

The Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory remains generally supportive of risk assets, but crypto markets must first resolve their internal imbalances before external factors regain influence. Until exchange inflows subside and Ethereum reclaims US$2,000, the path of least resistance points downward.

This episode ultimately reinforces a timeless market truth. Leverage amplifies both gains and losses. The 1.85 per cent decline in total crypto market capitalisation masks far more violent price action beneath the surface, where highly leveraged positions faced liquidation at accelerating speeds.

For long-term believers, such corrections serve a cleansing function, removing weak hands and excessive speculation. For short-term traders, they represent existential threats.

The market now stands at an inflection point where sentiment hangs in delicate balance between capitulation and recovery. How it resolves will depend less on macroeconomic data and more on whether spot demand can absorb the remaining sell-side pressure before fear metastasises further.

 

Source: https://e27.co/crypto-market-bleeds-us44b-as-us78m-bitcoin-liquidations-spark-panic-20260216/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

Between diplomacy and panic: Markets navigate a fractured narrative

Between diplomacy and panic: Markets navigate a fractured narrative

There is a fundamental dissonance in today’s market narrative, one that pits the cautious choreography of global diplomacy against the raw, unfiltered mechanics of financial panic.

On the surface, officials like US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent project calm, insisting that Washington has no desire to escalate trade tensions with Beijing even as President Donald Trump prepares for a high-stakes meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea.

Beneath this veneer of control, markets are reacting not to words but to the tangible consequences of prolonged uncertainty: a fifteen-day US government shutdown that has frozen critical economic data releases, including the weekly jobless claims report, and a palpable retreat from risk across asset classes. This backdrop sets the stage for a market caught between macro fragility and microstructural stress, where even a modest dip in equities or a shift in Treasury yields can trigger outsized reactions.

The mixed performance of US equities on Wednesday, Dow down 0.04 per cent, S&P 500 up 0.40 per cent, Nasdaq up 0.66 per cent, reflects this indecision. Investors are neither fully embracing risk nor fleeing to safety in a coordinated manner. Instead, they are parsing every signal with heightened sensitivity.

Treasury yields ticked higher, with the 10-year yield climbing one basis point to 4.03 per cent and the two-year yield jumping three basis points to 3.50 per cent, suggesting that despite the shutdown and trade anxieties, the bond market is not yet pricing in a sharp economic contraction.

Simultaneously, the US Dollar Index slipped 0.26 per cent to 98.79, indicating a modest loss of confidence in the greenback as a safe haven. In stark contrast, gold surged 1.3 per cent to US$4,193.39 per ounce, having breached the US$4,200 mark for the first time ever on Wednesday.

This milestone is not incidental. Gold’s ascent to these unprecedented levels aligns with data showing it reached US$4,179.48 on October 14, 2025, before climbing further. By October 16, it had hit US$4,215.64, underscoring a relentless flight to safety driven by inflation fears, geopolitical strain, and institutional distrust in fiat stability.

Meanwhile, Asian markets offered a flicker of optimism, led by Korea’s KOSPI Index, which jumped 2.7 per cent. This regional rebound may reflect anticipation of the Trump-Xi meeting or simply a technical bounce after recent weakness. Such gains remain fragile, tethered to developments in Washington and Beijing that are inherently unpredictable. The oil market tells a more pessimistic story.

Brent crude fell 0.8 per cent to US$61.89 per barrel, weighed down not only by US-China trade friction but also by the International Energy Agency’s projection of a supply surplus in 2026. When energy prices falter amid trade tensions, it often signals weakening global demand expectations, a red flag for growth-oriented assets.

Into this volatile mix steps a novel financial innovation: Calamos Investments’ Bitcoin Laddered Structured Protection ETFs. These products represent a significant evolution in the integration of digital assets into traditional finance. Designed to provide upside exposure to Bitcoin while offering structured downside protection, they aim to neutralise the extreme volatility that has historically deterred conservative investors.

The flagship offering, the Calamos Laddered Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF (ticker: CBOL), seeks to match the positive price return of the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate while limiting losses through a laddered protection mechanism. This structure diversifies risk across multiple strike levels, making the ETF more compatible with model portfolios and risk-managed strategies. In theory, such instruments could transform Bitcoin from a speculative gamble into a legitimate component of diversified asset allocation, particularly for institutions bound by fiduciary constraints.

The current crypto market environment offers little support for optimism. Bitcoin’s price action is being overwhelmed by three converging bearish forces. First, leverage is unwinding at an alarming pace. Derivatives open interest has plunged 19.6 per cent over the past week, with a sharp 4.35 per cent drop in just 24 hours.

Perpetual funding rates have collapsed by 76 per cent this week, signalling a dramatic retreat from speculative long positions. This deleveraging echoes the catastrophic US$19 billion market wipeout witnessed earlier in October 2025, where low liquidity turned modest corrections into cascading liquidations.

Second, Bitcoin dominance has surged to 58.79 per cent, its highest level since June 2025, as investors flee altcoins in favour of perceived safety within the crypto ecosystem. Altcoin dominance has correspondingly collapsed to 28.34 per cent, and the Altcoin Season Index has plunged 59 per cent month-over-month to just 29, a clear signal that we are deep in “Bitcoin Season.” This capital rotation starves emerging projects of liquidity, stifling innovation and reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a digital reserve asset.

Third, new token listings are increasingly triggering profit-taking rather than accumulation. The case of YieldBasis (YB) is emblematic: after listings on Binance and OKX, its price dropped 14.25 per cent as early backers sold tokens acquired during the presale at US$0.10. A similar dynamic played out with PancakeSwap, which fell 10.6 per cent following its CAKE.PAD event.

These “sell the news” episodes are no longer isolated incidents but a recurring pattern that injects localised selling pressure into an already fragile market. The cumulative effect is a toxic feedback loop: macro uncertainty fuels risk aversion, which accelerates leverage unwinds and altcoin abandonment, while new token launches become catalysts for distribution rather than adoption.

In this context, the launch of Calamos’ structured Bitcoin ETFs arrives at a paradoxical moment. On one hand, the product is precisely what the market needs to broaden Bitcoin’s investor base and stabilise its price dynamics over the long term. On the other hand, its immediate impact may be muted by the prevailing fear and low liquidity.

Bitcoin’s seven-day RSI currently sits at 30.62, flirting with oversold territory. Historically, such levels have preceded short-term relief rallies, but without a macro catalyst such as a de-escalation in US-China tensions, resolution of the government shutdown, or a clear signal from the Federal Reserve, any bounce is likely to be shallow and short-lived.

Ultimately, the market is navigating a period of profound transition. Traditional safe havens, such as gold, are redefining their ceilings, while digital assets are being repackaged to fit within institutional risk frameworks. Until the macro fog lifts and derivatives markets stabilise, volatility will remain the dominant theme. For now, caution is not just prudent, it is the only rational response.

 

Source: https://e27.co/between-diplomacy-and-panic-markets-navigate-a-fractured-narrative-20251016/

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j

Crypto bleeds and Wall Street collapses as 0.9 PPI shock triggers Fed panic right now

Crypto bleeds and Wall Street collapses as 0.9 PPI shock triggers Fed panic right now

Markets reacted with caution yesterday as an unexpected surge in the US Producer Price Index for July rattled investors and reignited concerns over persistent inflation. The PPI climbed 0.9 per cent month-over-month, far exceeding the consensus forecast of 0.2 per cent, and pushed the annual rate to 3.3 per cent.

Analysts attribute this jump largely to businesses beginning to pass on higher import costs from recent tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. Core PPI, which strips out volatile food and energy components, also rose sharply by 0.9 per cent, lifting its yearly figure to 3.7 per cent, the highest since March.

This data suggests inflationary pressures are broadening beyond consumer goods, potentially complicating the Federal Reserve’s path to easing monetary policy. The Bureau of Labour Statistics highlighted significant increases in produce prices and services, underscoring how trade policies are filtering through the supply chain. This development highlights the double-edged sword of protectionist measures.

While tariffs aim to bolster domestic industries, they often translate into higher costs for businesses and ultimately consumers, fuelling inflation at a time when the economy is already navigating post-pandemic recovery challenges. I believe this could force the Fed into a more measured approach, balancing growth risks against the spectre of resurgent price pressures.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent added to the market’s uncertainty with his clarification on recent remarks about interest rates. On Wednesday, Bessent had suggested that short-term rates might need to drop by 150 to 175 basis points to reach a neutral level, sparking speculation about aggressive Fed action.

However, he emphasised yesterday that he was not advocating for a specific 50 basis point cut in September, instead pointing to economic models that indicate current rates are too restrictive. Bessent reiterated that his comments were observational, not prescriptive, telling interviewers that the Fed should consider a gradual reduction, perhaps starting with 25 basis points before accelerating if needed.

This backpedaling came amid criticism that the administration was pressuring the independent central bank, a recurring theme under President Trump. Market-implied odds for a September rate cut, as tracked by CME Group’s FedWatch tool, adjusted back to around 90 per cent following Bessent’s statements, aligning with levels seen before Tuesday’s milder CPI release.

Prior to the PPI data, odds had briefly surged toward certainty for a cut, but the hotter wholesale inflation figures tempered enthusiasm, with swaps now pricing in about a 96 per cent chance of at least a quarter-point reduction. From my perspective, Bessent’s interventions, while data-driven, risk undermining Fed credibility.

In an era of heightened political influence on economic policy, such public commentary could erode investor confidence, especially if it leads to perceptions of policy interference. I think the Fed will proceed cautiously, prioritising data over rhetoric, but this episode underscores the tense interplay between fiscal and monetary authorities in 2025.

Equity markets felt the brunt of this mixed sentiment, with Wall Street’s recent rally stalling as major indices closed essentially flat. The S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow Jones all hovered near unchanged, reflecting a tug-of-war between optimism over potential rate relief and worries about inflation’s resurgence. Investors appeared to shrug off the PPI surprise initially, but as the day progressed, profit-taking emerged, particularly in tech-heavy sectors sensitive to higher yields.

Bond markets, however, reacted more decisively, with short-term US Treasury yields climbing sharply. The two-year yield rose six basis points to 3.73 per cent, while the benchmark 10-year yield settled near 4.29 per cent. This inversion in the yield curve’s movement signals renewed bets on a less dovish Fed, as traders anticipate fewer or smaller cuts if inflation proves stickier than expected.

In Asia, the Hang Seng and CSI 300 indices surrendered early gains to finish down 0.37 per cent and 0.08 per cent respectively, as regional investors locked in profits from the prior rally. Today’s early trading sessions opened mixed, with some indices edging higher on hopes of global stimulus, while US equity futures pointed to a similarly uneven start.

My take here is that this sideways trading masks underlying fragility. With tariffs amplifying cost pressures, equities could face headwinds if corporate earnings begin to reflect squeezed margins. I remain cautiously optimistic for tech and growth stocks, but only if the Fed delivers on easing without stoking further inflation.

The US dollar capitalised on the higher yields, rebounding 0.4 per cent on the Dollar Index to recoup recent losses. This strength pressured commodities, with gold dipping 0.6 per cent to close at US$3,336 per ounce, as a firmer dollar and elevated rates diminished its appeal as a non-yielding asset. Oil prices, conversely, bucked the trend, advancing 1.8 per cent to around US$67 per barrel.

This uptick stemmed from dim prospects for a breakthrough at tomorrow’s US-Russia summit in Alaska, where Presidents Trump and Putin are set to discuss energy cooperation, sanctions, and geopolitical tensions. Officials from both sides have downplayed expectations, with Trump warning of potential consequences for Russian oil exports if agreements falter. Harsher sanctions could disrupt supplies, pushing Brent crude above US$80 if tensions escalate.

The summit, hosted at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson in Anchorage, marks a high-stakes diplomatic effort amid ongoing conflicts, but low hopes have traders positioning for volatility. In my opinion, oil’s resilience here is telling. Geopolitical risks often trump economic data in driving energy prices, and with Russia’s role as a major exporter, any summit fallout could exacerbate global supply strains. This as a reminder that energy markets remain vulnerable to non-economic factors, potentially offsetting any demand slowdown from higher rates.

Amid this macro turbulence, the cryptocurrency market presented a contrasting narrative, with Bitcoin demonstrating remarkable strength. The flagship digital asset surged past US$124,000 overnight before retreating to approximately US$120,991 early Thursday, still marking a 0.6 per cent gain over the past 24 hours. This move initially rode bets on Fed rate cuts fueling risk assets, but momentum waned post-PPI, as inflation doubts clouded the easing outlook.

A key on-chain indicator, Bitcoin’s realised price, has overtaken its 200-week moving average for the first time this cycle, a crossover not seen since 2020. The realised price, calculated as the realised capitalisation divided by total supply, represents the average cost basis of all Bitcoin holders, essentially the price at which coins last moved on-chain. Currently, this metric stands above the 200-week MA, which averages Bitcoin’s closing prices over roughly four years to gauge long-term cycle trends.

Historical data shows this flip coincided with the onset of the 2021 bull run, maintaining the orientation until 2022’s downturn. In the 2017 cycle, while no full crossover occurred, a retest propelled prices higher. Analysts like those at Mitrade and AInvest note that when realised price stays above the 200-WMA, bull markets tend to extend, signalling sustained holder profitability and reduced selling pressure.

This crossover, shared by analyst Van Straten via charts spanning the past decade, illustrates how Bitcoin’s uptrend has naturally elevated the realised price as investors transact at higher levels, repricing their cost bases upward. The graph reveals a clear pattern: the metric’s surge above the MA often heralds prolonged uptrends, as it indicates the average investor is in profit, discouraging mass capitulation. In 2020, the timing aligned perfectly with the bull market’s ignition, driven by institutional adoption and stimulus. Even in 2017, where realised price never dipped below, a touchpoint sparked explosive growth.

Recent X posts echo this bullish sentiment, highlighting the three-year milestone and historical precedents for extended rallies. From my standpoint, this technical milestone is profoundly significant. In a market still tethered to macro events, Bitcoin’s on-chain resilience suggests it’s maturing as an asset class, less swayed by short-term inflation blips and more by network fundamentals. I predict this could propel BTC toward US$200,000 by year-end, especially if rate cuts materialise, drawing in sidelined capital.

Altcoins, however, bore the inflation hit more acutely, underscoring crypto’s internal divergences. Ether fell 2.3 per cent to US$4,577, Solana dropped 2.9 per cent, XRP slid 5.1 per cent, and Dogecoin tumbled 7.7 per cent. These riskier tokens, often amplified versions of Bitcoin’s moves, suffered as sentiment shifted toward caution, with traders scrutinising every economic release ahead of the Fed’s September decision.

If rates remain elevated longer, the upside case for ETH and SOL dims, as higher borrowing costs curb speculative flows into DeFi and memecoins. Yet, Bitcoin’s dominance in such environments typically rises, as seen in past cycles. While altcoins face near-term murkiness, the broader crypto ecosystem benefits from Bitcoin’s leadership. Innovations like layer-2 scaling on Ethereum could mitigate downside, but patience is key until macro clarity emerges.

Overall, yesterday’s developments paint a picture of a global economy at a crossroads, where inflation’s stubbornness clashes with easing hopes, and geopolitical wildcards like the Alaska summit loom large. In crypto, Bitcoin’s realised price crossover stands as a beacon of bullish potential, backed by historical patterns and on-chain data. Drawing from financial analyses, I see this as the start of an uptrend that could define the cycle.

Investors should monitor Fed signals closely, but in my estimation, the confluence of technical strength and potential policy shifts positions digital assets for outperformance, even as traditional markets grapple with uncertainty. This dynamic reinforces my belief in crypto’s role as a hedge against fiat volatility, urging diversified portfolios in these turbulent times.

 

 

Source: https://e27.co/crypto-bleeds-and-wall-street-collapses-as-0-9-ppi-shock-triggers-fed-panic-right-now-20250815/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

www.anndy.com
j j j