SOL /BTC prediction: Can Solana arrest year-long decline, return to growth?

SOL /BTC prediction: Can Solana arrest year-long decline, return to growth?

Solana’s SOL has been seeing a surge in investor interest as it continues to expand its network with more exciting projects coming up. Despite dipping by 87.8% since its all-time high in November 2021, experts are saying that a rebound is near while bitcoin (BTC) is down by around 70% since November 2021 gains.

How do the two coins trade against each other and what does the SOL to BTC forecast suggest amid a bear market? Let’s take a look at the SOL/BTC pair and some of the factors that may shape its exchange rate.

What is SOL/BTC?

SOL/BTC is the exchange rate between SOL, the native cryptocurrency of the Solana blockchain platform, and BTC, the native token of the Bitcoin Network.

Bitcoin was first mined in 2009 by its creator or group of creators who prefer to keep their identity a secret using the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. It is also the first ever platform to use a blockchain to build, exchange, store and distribute the digital coin.

The cryptocurrency is used as a peer-to-peer payments method, and over the last 10 years it has also become an investment vehicle.

Bitcoin uses a Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism. The cryptocurrency is given as a reward to miners who solve mathematical equations to prove the legitimacy of BTC transactions.

The maximum number of newly mined bitcoins is limited at 21 million. After every 210,000 mined BTC blocks (this takes around four years), the blockchain experiences a halving event, which cuts the number of BTC coins in circulation by half.

Solana is a public, open-source blockchain that hosts a number of projects in the likes of decentralised finance (DeFi) applications, non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and Web3.

It prides itself in its low transaction costs (at less than $0.01), fast speed (at 400 milliseconds per block) and security (it is censorship resistant). The blockchain was nicknamed the ‘Ethereum killer’, as it aims to improve what the Ethereum blockchain is lacking.

It was founded in 2017 by a former Qualcomm (QCOM) employee and Dropbox software engineer Anatoly Yakovenko and his colleague Greg Fitzgerald. In contrast to BTC, Solana uses a Proof of History (PoH) consensus mechanism for verifying transactions on the blockchain, which uses an alternative method for calculating time.

Some of the network’s key functions allow users to mint, sell and trade NFTs, create their own DeFi projects, write smart contracts, build Web3 games and accept payments in crypto form.

SOL coins are ERC-20 standard, meaning that they were developed on the Ethereum (ETH) network and are primarily used for interacting on the blockchain.

SOL to BTC price history

Since SOL’s launch in 2020, the SOL to BTC rate struggled to pick up momentum, moving sideways for around 10 months before starting to gain speed at the end of February 2021.

Between late February 2021 and mid-August 2021 the pairing fluctuated between values as low as 0.0001781BTC and as high as 0.001179BTC. The SOL to USD price chart followed a similar trend, fluctuating between $13 and $49.

SOL to BTC price chart, 2020 - 2022

Between 15 August 2021 and 9 September 2021, however, the SOL/BTC pair surged, rising by more than 385%, up from 0.0009374BTC to 0.004576BTC as Solana was being discovered by a number of celebrities, such as Mike Tyson and Jason Derulo. This was also the time when the SOL to BTC reached its all-time high, as seen on the price chart above.

Between 9 September 2021 and 20 October 2021 the SOL/BTC price lost nearly 50% of its gains, dropping to 0.002425BTC as the BTC price in US dollars started to see major gains, surging by around 39% within the period from $46,000 to $64,000.

BTC to USD price chart, 2013 - 2022

In line with other major cryptocurrencies, the SOL/BTC rate regained a big portion of its losses as it rose to 0.004202BTC by 7 November 2021, at the time when the SOL value in USD reached its all-time high of $258.78.

SOL to USD price chart, 2020 - 2022

Up until the start of January 2022, the SOL to BTC exchange rate was fluctuating between 0.004000BTC and 0.003000BTC before falling more than 60% to 0.001149BTC on 13 June 2022, amid overall broad negative investor sentiment.

In terms of technical analysis, the chief digital advisor at the Mongolian Productivity Organisation and author of NFT: From Zero to Hero, Anndy Lian, told Capital.com that the SOL price could be headed towards a trend reversal, as of 28 October.

“The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that the token is in the overbought zone, signalling a reversal could be on the way,” he said.

The pairing’s current exchange rate (28 October) is 0.00151BTC, up by 31.4% since its 13 June 2022 dip.

What is driving SOL/BTC?

On 30 September 2022, the Solana Mainnet Beta cluster experienced an outage, which led to a temporary collapse in the blockchain. This saw the SOL to BTC exchange rate drop by 3.1% within a week, down to 0.001682BTC by 7 October 2022, from 0.001735BTC on the day of the outage.

Dr. Pooja Lekhi, professor of global financial institutions, risk management approach and financial management at University Canada West, told Capital.com:

“Solana has experienced several recent network outages and failures. In the beginning of June, validators in the network stopped processing new blocks for several hours and apps built on Solana’s blockchain were taken offline, which sent its price down more than 12%.”

Projects built on Solana have potential to affect the token’s future price. On 27 October, the Web3 platforms built on Solana Decentralised Engineering Corporation (DEC) and Teleport announced that they have raised funding to bring a Web3 Uber rival (TRIP) to the Solana blockchain, something Ethereum co-creator Vitalik Buterin theorised a while back.

Lian noted that bringing the ridesharing industry to the Solana ecosystem “would surely put SOL into a high utility mode”.

In addition, Solana had partnered with artist Nancy Baker Cahill. She launched her first NFT collection on the blockchain that was shown across 90 billboards on Times Square. Metaplex, an NFT ecosystem built on Solana, also announced it was bringing a new asset class that will allow “creators to enforce royalties at the protocol level by extending the Token Metadata program, which powers 99%+ of all NFTs on Solana.”

Dr. Lekhi noted that until Solana network’s upgrade, “stability will remain a major concern for the SOL, adding:

“It is expected that the Mainnet version will stop the power outage issue. The SOL market had set higher benchmarks for its prices, along with developments in decentralised exchanges, Solana NFT marketplace, Yield aggregators and online games.”

The date for the upgrade launch is yet to be announced.

The enthusiasm surrounding Solana also comes following the news about Saga, its flagship Android phone, which will start shipping in 2023, Lian noted. Solana announced that Saga will have its first mint event on 28 October, which will only be available to those who pre-ordered the phone.

SOL/BTC price prediction

Based on the analysis of past performance, as of 28 October, algorithm-based forecasting service Wallet Investor predicted that SOL/USD could fall to $2.947 in 2023. The platform did not provide a price prediction for 2027.

In terms of its BTC value forecast, the site saw BTC/USD trade at $23,107.27 in 2023 and reach $36,574.97 by 2027.

While Wallet Investor did not provide a direct SOL to BTC forecast, data suggested that the exchange rate could be 0.00012754BTC in 2023.

DigitalCoinPrice predicted that SOL/USD could rise to $36.55 by the end of 2022. The site’s data, as of 28 October, showed that the coin was expected to trade at $49.68 in 2023 and $80.94 in 2025. Its long-term prediction saw the coin reaching $169.10 in 2030.

The site also gave an upbeat BTC/USD forecast, as of 28 October, expecting the coin to grow to $25,646.42 by the end of 2022, reach $33,474.34 in 2023, $53,010.14 in 2025 and surpass $112,000 in 2030.

DigitalCoinPrice’s SOL to BTC forecast for 2022 expected the pair to reach 0.0014252BTC and 0.0014841BTC in 2023. The site’s SOL/BTC forecast for 2025 stood at 0.0015269BTC. Its long-term SOL/BTC forecast for 2030 was 0.0015098BTC.

Dr. Lekhi noted that 2022 was not a good year for SOL, however, the coin may observe a steady growth in the coming months as a rebound in SOL’s price is anticipated.

Lian added that interest in SOL is “extremely high” which could mean that its future movement could be “overall positive”, adding that “with the strong ecosystem backing its value, the rebound can be promising.”

Remember that analysts’ and algorithm-based predictions can be wrong and shouldn’t be used as a substitute for your own research.

Always conduct your own due diligence on a cryptocurrency project before trading, looking at the latest news, a wide range of analyst commentary and technical analysis. Note that past performance does not guarantee future returns. And never trade money you cannot afford to lose.

 

Source: https://capital.com/sol-btc-prediction-solana-bitcoin-exchange

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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Solana price prediction: Where is the SOL coin headed?

Solana price prediction: Where is the SOL coin headed?

Dubbed the ‘Ethereum killer’, Solana’s native cryptocurrency, SOL, saw its price grow almost tenfold last year. However in recent months, the token has been struggling to pick up speed, losing nearly 70% of its value by mid-March 2022.

A recent spike in major outages faced by the blockchain threw many investors off, with SOL’s price falling to $107.24 by 20 April 2022.

On 12 April 2022, Solana was listed on Robinhood, with high hopes of attracting new investors. Can it regain past highs, and what’s in store for the Solana (SOL/USD) forecast?

What is Solana?

Unlike many other popular blockchains that operate using Proof-of-Work (PoW) or Proof-of-Stake (PoS) algorithms, Solana was the first to introduce a Proof-of-History (PoH) algorithm, which allows the blockchain to operate quickly while staying secure and decentralised.
Founded in 2017 by former Qualcomm employee and Dropbox software engineer Anatoly Yakovenko and his colleague Greg Fitzgerald, Solana’s main goal was to create an open-source project that implemented a new, high-performance permissionless blockchain.

Because of its PoH algorithm, Solana can process over 250,000 transactions a second , marking it as a competitor to Ethereum (ETH), the second highest cryptocurrency by market capitalisation, as of 20 April. Ethereum has become the leader in decentralised finance (DeFi) due to its compatibility with smart contracts, which enable the building of decentralised applications (dApps).

However, while Ethereum remains the second largest cryptocurrency, its popularity has also made the blockchain very expensive and slow to use, which allowed for the creation of Solana.

According to Solana’s official website, the platform is “the fastest blockchain in the world and the fastest growing ecosystem in crypto, with thousands of projects spanning DeFi, NFTs, Web3 and more”.

In addition to being fast, Solana is also cheap – average fees are less than $0.1 – and censorship-resistant, allowing the application to remain open and run freely.

Solana allows users to:

  • Mint, sell and trade non-fungible tokens (NFTs) at high throughput and low prices. As of 20 April, over 5.7m NFTs have been created on the network.
  • Create their own DeFi projects and easily write smart contracts aided by the blockchain’s high transaction throughput, very low fees, low latency and great efficiency.
  • Build Web3 games, which will operate at lightning speed.
  • Accept payments in cryptocurrencies.

Solana’s ecosystem covers a number of lending protocols, DeFi projects, NFT marketplaces, Web3 Apps and decentralised exchange (DEX) projects. It also includes Phantom, a Solana wallet built for DeFi and NFTs, and Audius, a decentralised music sharing platform.

Solana is powered by its native cryptocurrency, SOL, an ERC-20 token running on the Ethereum network. SOL is used to pay for transaction fees and any purchases in the Solana ecosystem and staking.

The total supply of SOL tokens exceeds 511m, with over 333m tokens currently in circulation, according to data provided by CoinMarketCap at the time of writing (20 April).

The SOL cryptocurrency has a market capitalisation of more than $35bn and is the 7th most popular token, above Dogecoin (DOGE), Terra (LUNA) and Shiba Inu (SHIB).

Will SOL coin price go up or down? Technical outlook

Since SOL’s launch in 2020, the coin has struggled to pick up any momentum moving sideways for around 10 months before starting to gain speed by the end of February 2021.
Between late February 2021 and mid-July 2021, the token battled values that dropped as low as $13 and did not exceed $56.

However, when the token’s value finally started to rise at the beginning of August 2021, it did so very quickly, surging by 407.1% within a month, up from $37.67 on 8 August 2021 to $191.04 on 8 September 2021, a then record high.

Solana to USD chart, 2020 - 2022

The SOL cryptocurrency reached an all-time high on 6 November 2021, hitting $258.93 – a 35.5% surge on its September 2021 value. The bullish trend was in line with other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin (BTC) and Binance (BNB).

Since then, however, the trend has reversed, with the SOL token price decreasing by 65%, down to $78.94 by 13 March 2022, amid broad negative market sentiment as tensions started to rise on the Russia-Ukraine border and the outbreak of the war.

A mini surge occurred in the following three weeks as the coin managed to win back 73.2% of its value, rising to $136.78, following the publication of Solana’s energy use report, which stated that the blockchain’s carbon footprint has greatly decreased since December 2021.

Solana to USD chart, January - April 2022

SOL token technical analysis provided by CoinCodex showed that short-term sentiment for the coin was pretty neutral at the time of writing (20 April), with 22 indicators pointing to ‘sell’ and 8 to ‘buy’.

relative strength index (RSI) reading of 27 was in oversold territory. A reading of 30 or below would indicate that the asset is becoming undervalued and a trend reversal is likely to occur. The token is trading above its five-and 10-day moving averages, yet close to its R1 resistance level of $110.82.

Is Solana (SOL) a good investment?

Some of the biggest SOL coin news came as the platform announced a change in the leadership of its Solana Foundation Council on 18 April 2022. The council was established in 2020 with the aim of advancing the adoption of decentralised technologies as a public good. It’s been helping the Solana ecosystem develop.
On 29 March 2022, Solana launched Solana Pay, a “build your own online store” application on its blockchain. It allows users to create a storefront and accept low-fee, global payments directly into their wallets without the need for a bank or credit card.

Since launching, over 600 merchants have engaged with Solana Pay while others started incorporating the ecosystem into their payment flows, thus encouraging space for new investors to join the blockchain.

What is your sentiment on ETH/USD?

On 1 April 2022, the platform also announced that the Solana Hacker House World Tour will be making a comeback in new cities globally, including London, Tokyo and Barcelona, sparking international interest.

Additionally on 12 April 2022, Solana was listed on Robinhood, which, according to BigONE Exchange chair in Asia, Anndy Lian, is likely to boost SOL coin’s future price.

“An equally impressive partnership which has supported the bullish price… is the 12 April news from popular app Robinhood that it was listing SOL for the first time,” he said.

Lian told Capital.com that in addition to the listing, the price of the SOL coin to USD has been driven by debate sparked by Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk’s bid to buy Twitter (TWTR).

“This announcement over the Web3 future of the social networking platform, prompted FTX crypto exchange CEO Sam Bankman-Fried to suggest Twitter could move on-chain using the low-cost, high-speed Solana blockchain.”

In the past, Solana has hinted at wanting to work with Musk, replying to his tweets on the social media platform.

In addition, Lian told Capital.com that FTX’s investment in its own NFT platform on Solana , as well as OpenSea’s beta version launch on the blockchain, could boost SOL coin’s future price.

“Set in the context of pressure on altcoins, the outlook for the token price could be modestly optimistic after a bearish beginning to 2022,” he told Capital.com.

“Recent partnerships news support this thesis, and it’s also supported by the ‘Social Solana Prices Estimates’ on CoinMarketCap; with over 5000 voting (median average) for a 17.75% increase in price to $121.49 by the end of April; and over 2000 voting for a $127.42 price level by the end of May.”

On the minus side, however, It’s important to note that the blockchain is prone to network outages. During March and April 2022, Solana suffered nine network outages, seven of which were determined as “major”.

“The two key risks are firstly, if the bottom falls out of the altcoin market due to a ‘black swan’ event such as a Russian default impacting the wider markets; and a specific risk being if Solana suffers another serious network outage which leaves not just users but partners looking to other layer 1 options for a low cost, high speed blockchain alternative to Ethereum,” Lian told Capital.com.

Solana prediction 2022-2025, 2030

Despite recent bearish SOL token price action, algorithm-based forecasting service Wallet Investor gave a bullish SOL coin price prediction at the time of writing (20 April).
The site noted that SOL is “an awesome investment”, adding that it has a long-term earning potential of 576.24%.

Based on its analysis of past price performance, the website expected that the token could trade at $226.371 in 2023 and jump to $726.904 by 2027.

DigitalCoinPrice supported the positive Solana (SOL) crypto price prediction, but projected a much slower pace of growth in the following years, predicting that the token could rise to $150.10 by the end of 2022, $207.89 by the end of 2024 and $230.34 by the end of 2025.

For the end of 2028, the site projected a $387.31 SOL price target. Its long-term SOL future price prediction suggested that the cryptocurrency could have the potential to reach $523.61 by 2030.

Note that price predictions can be wrong. Forecasts shouldn’t be used as a substitute for your own research. Always conduct your own due diligence. And never invest or trade money you cannot afford to lose.

 

Original Source: https://capital.com/solana-sol-price-prediction-is-it-a-solid-investment

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j