Dubbed the ‘Ethereum killer’, Solana’s native cryptocurrency, SOL, saw its price grow almost tenfold last year. However in recent months, the token has been struggling to pick up speed, losing nearly 70% of its value by mid-March 2022.
A recent spike in major outages faced by the blockchain threw many investors off, with SOL’s price falling to $107.24 by 20 April 2022.
On 12 April 2022, Solana was listed on Robinhood, with high hopes of attracting new investors. Can it regain past highs, and what’s in store for the Solana (SOL/USD) forecast?
What is Solana?
Because of its PoH algorithm, Solana can process over 250,000 transactions a second , marking it as a competitor to Ethereum (ETH), the second highest cryptocurrency by market capitalisation, as of 20 April. Ethereum has become the leader in decentralised finance (DeFi) due to its compatibility with smart contracts, which enable the building of decentralised applications (dApps).
However, while Ethereum remains the second largest cryptocurrency, its popularity has also made the blockchain very expensive and slow to use, which allowed for the creation of Solana.
According to Solana’s official website, the platform is “the fastest blockchain in the world and the fastest growing ecosystem in crypto, with thousands of projects spanning DeFi, NFTs, Web3 and more”.
In addition to being fast, Solana is also cheap – average fees are less than $0.1 – and censorship-resistant, allowing the application to remain open and run freely.
Solana allows users to:
- Mint, sell and trade non-fungible tokens (NFTs) at high throughput and low prices. As of 20 April, over 5.7m NFTs have been created on the network.
- Create their own DeFi projects and easily write smart contracts aided by the blockchain’s high transaction throughput, very low fees, low latency and great efficiency.
- Build Web3 games, which will operate at lightning speed.
- Accept payments in cryptocurrencies.
Solana’s ecosystem covers a number of lending protocols, DeFi projects, NFT marketplaces, Web3 Apps and decentralised exchange (DEX) projects. It also includes Phantom, a Solana wallet built for DeFi and NFTs, and Audius, a decentralised music sharing platform.
Solana is powered by its native cryptocurrency, SOL, an ERC-20 token running on the Ethereum network. SOL is used to pay for transaction fees and any purchases in the Solana ecosystem and staking.
The total supply of SOL tokens exceeds 511m, with over 333m tokens currently in circulation, according to data provided by CoinMarketCap at the time of writing (20 April).
Will SOL coin price go up or down? Technical outlook
However, when the token’s value finally started to rise at the beginning of August 2021, it did so very quickly, surging by 407.1% within a month, up from $37.67 on 8 August 2021 to $191.04 on 8 September 2021, a then record high.
The SOL cryptocurrency reached an all-time high on 6 November 2021, hitting $258.93 – a 35.5% surge on its September 2021 value. The bullish trend was in line with other cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin (BTC) and Binance (BNB).
Since then, however, the trend has reversed, with the SOL token price decreasing by 65%, down to $78.94 by 13 March 2022, amid broad negative market sentiment as tensions started to rise on the Russia-Ukraine border and the outbreak of the war.
A mini surge occurred in the following three weeks as the coin managed to win back 73.2% of its value, rising to $136.78, following the publication of Solana’s energy use report, which stated that the blockchain’s carbon footprint has greatly decreased since December 2021.
SOL token technical analysis provided by CoinCodex showed that short-term sentiment for the coin was pretty neutral at the time of writing (20 April), with 22 indicators pointing to ‘sell’ and 8 to ‘buy’.
A relative strength index (RSI) reading of 27 was in oversold territory. A reading of 30 or below would indicate that the asset is becoming undervalued and a trend reversal is likely to occur. The token is trading above its five-and 10-day moving averages, yet close to its R1 resistance level of $110.82.
Is Solana (SOL) a good investment?
Since launching, over 600 merchants have engaged with Solana Pay while others started incorporating the ecosystem into their payment flows, thus encouraging space for new investors to join the blockchain.
What is your sentiment on ETH/USD?
Additionally on 12 April 2022, Solana was listed on Robinhood, which, according to BigONE Exchange chair in Asia, Anndy Lian, is likely to boost SOL coin’s future price.
“An equally impressive partnership which has supported the bullish price… is the 12 April news from popular app Robinhood that it was listing SOL for the first time,” he said.
“This announcement over the Web3 future of the social networking platform, prompted FTX crypto exchange CEO Sam Bankman-Fried to suggest Twitter could move on-chain using the low-cost, high-speed Solana blockchain.”
In the past, Solana has hinted at wanting to work with Musk, replying to his tweets on the social media platform.
In addition, Lian told Capital.com that FTX’s investment in its own NFT platform on Solana , as well as OpenSea’s beta version launch on the blockchain, could boost SOL coin’s future price.
“Set in the context of pressure on altcoins, the outlook for the token price could be modestly optimistic after a bearish beginning to 2022,” he told Capital.com.
“Recent partnerships news support this thesis, and it’s also supported by the ‘Social Solana Prices Estimates’ on CoinMarketCap; with over 5000 voting (median average) for a 17.75% increase in price to $121.49 by the end of April; and over 2000 voting for a $127.42 price level by the end of May.”
On the minus side, however, It’s important to note that the blockchain is prone to network outages. During March and April 2022, Solana suffered nine network outages, seven of which were determined as “major”.
“The two key risks are firstly, if the bottom falls out of the altcoin market due to a ‘black swan’ event such as a Russian default impacting the wider markets; and a specific risk being if Solana suffers another serious network outage which leaves not just users but partners looking to other layer 1 options for a low cost, high speed blockchain alternative to Ethereum,” Lian told Capital.com.
Solana prediction 2022-2025, 2030
Based on its analysis of past price performance, the website expected that the token could trade at $226.371 in 2023 and jump to $726.904 by 2027.
DigitalCoinPrice supported the positive Solana (SOL) crypto price prediction, but projected a much slower pace of growth in the following years, predicting that the token could rise to $150.10 by the end of 2022, $207.89 by the end of 2024 and $230.34 by the end of 2025.
For the end of 2028, the site projected a $387.31 SOL price target. Its long-term SOL future price prediction suggested that the cryptocurrency could have the potential to reach $523.61 by 2030.
Note that price predictions can be wrong. Forecasts shouldn’t be used as a substitute for your own research. Always conduct your own due diligence. And never invest or trade money you cannot afford to lose.
Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.
Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.
An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.