Gold hits US$5K and crypto bleeds: What comes next?

Gold hits US$5K and crypto bleeds: What comes next?

As global markets opened for trading on Monday, January 26, investors found themselves navigating a landscape shaped by escalating geopolitical friction, shifting monetary expectations, and a historic surge in gold prices that eclipsed the psychological US$5,000 per ounce threshold. The confluence of these forces has created a volatile yet revealing moment in financial history. This moment reflects not only immediate market reactions but also deeper structural anxieties about the stability of traditional financial systems, the role of safe-haven assets, and the fragile confidence underpinning both equities and digital assets.

Gold’s ascent to over US$5,000 an ounce marks more than just a new record. It signals a profound loss of faith in fiat stability and institutional safeguards. This rally did not emerge in isolation. It unfolded against a backdrop of weakening US dollar sentiment, driven by fears of Japanese intervention in currency markets and renewed speculation about potential US tariffs targeting Greenland. A move that, while seemingly niche, underscores the broader trend of economic nationalism and strategic resource competition. In such an environment, capital naturally seeks refuge.

Gold, with its millennia-long reputation as a store of value, becomes the default destination when trust in policy predictability erodes. The strength of gold-related equities in Hong Kong, which helped propel the Hang Seng Index to its fourth consecutive gain, further illustrates how this flight to safety is translating into real portfolio allocations across Asia.

Meanwhile, US stock futures pointed lower at the open, reflecting investor caution ahead of a critical earnings week. The tech sector, long the engine of market returns, now stands at a crossroads. Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, and Apple are all scheduled to report results, and their performance will likely dictate whether the Nasdaq can sustain its narrow 0.28 per cent gain from Friday, January 23, when it closed at 23,501.24. That modest advance stood in stark contrast to the broader market malaise. The S&P 500 barely held onto a 0.03 per cent rise to finish at 6,915.61, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 285.30 points, or 0.58 per cent, to 49,098.71, dragged down by a nearly 4 per cent drop in Goldman Sachs. These divergences suggest growing selectivity among investors, who are increasingly unwilling to reward broad market exposure without clear earnings justification, especially in a climate where macro risks loom large.

In Asia, policymakers are responding with strategic moves aimed at reinforcing regional financial autonomy. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority’s decision to double the size of its RMB Business Facility to RMB200 billion (US$28 billion) is a deliberate step toward deepening offshore renminbi liquidity and reducing reliance on the US dollar in trade and settlement. This aligns with China’s long-term goal of internationalising its currency, particularly as geopolitical tensions incentivise alternative financial architectures. Meanwhile, Singapore’s central bank is expected to hold its monetary policy steady, reflecting a more cautious stance in a region where inflation dynamics remain manageable but external shocks could quickly alter the calculus.

The cryptocurrency market, however, tells a different story, one of fragility and systemic vulnerability. Over the past 24 hours, the total crypto market cap fell by 1.9 per cent, extending a seven-day decline of 6.94 per cent. Despite retaining a modest 0.63 per cent gain for the month, the recent slide reveals how quickly sentiment can turn when trust is breached.

Two major security incidents acted as catalysts. In South Korea, prosecutors confirmed a phishing attack led to staggering losses of seized Bitcoin, while in the US, 40 million dollars worth of crypto was stolen from government-controlled addresses. These were not random hacks. They targeted institutions entrusted with custody of digital assets, raising urgent questions about the adequacy of current safeguards. When even state-held crypto proves vulnerable, retail and institutional participants alike reassess their exposure.

This erosion of confidence triggered a cascade of forced selling. In just 24 hours, 145 million dollars in Bitcoin long positions were liquidated, a staggering 4,829 per cent increase from baseline levels, with longs accounting for 98 per cent of all liquidations. Simultaneously, open interest in Bitcoin derivatives rose by 14 per cent, indicating that traders had piled into leveraged bets just before the downturn. The result was a classic deleveraging spiral.

As prices dipped below key technical supports, margin calls triggered automated sell-offs, which pushed prices lower, triggering more liquidations. Funding rates have turned slightly negative at minus 0.001 per cent, suggesting that short-term sentiment has shifted bearish, though not yet into panic territory. Still, the speed and scale of the unwind reveal how thin the line remains between orderly correction and disorderly collapse in highly leveraged crypto markets.

From my view, these developments underscore a pivotal tension in today’s financial ecosystem. There is a growing divergence between traditional safe-haven behaviour and the still-unproven resilience of digital alternatives. Gold’s record high reflects centuries of accumulated trust, while crypto’s sharp pullback exposes its continued dependence on speculative leverage and institutional credibility, both of which remain works in progress. The thefts from government-held wallets are particularly damning because they strike at the very premise that regulated custody can mitigate risk. If even federal agencies cannot secure digital assets, what hope do exchanges or self-custody solutions offer to the average investor?

Moreover, the timing could not be more consequential. With the US Senate set to discuss a new crypto bill this week, regulators now face immense pressure to respond, not just with rhetoric, but with concrete frameworks that address custody standards, transparency, and systemic risk. A reactive crackdown could deepen the selloff, while a measured, innovation-friendly approach might restore some confidence. But given the current mood, shaped by both geopolitical uncertainty and market fragility, any misstep could accelerate capital flight from digital assets toward time-tested stores of value.

Today may be remembered not just for gold’s historic milestone, but as a stress test for the entire architecture of modern finance. Traditional markets are grappling with slowing momentum and earnings uncertainty. Asian economies are quietly building parallel financial rails. The crypto sector is confronting its Achilles’ heel, the gap between technological promise and operational reality. For investors, the path forward demands discernment. Blind faith in either legacy systems or decentralised ideals is no longer tenable. Instead, survival and profit will belong to those who can navigate this hybrid landscape with eyes wide open, recognising that true resilience lies not in ideology, but in adaptability.

 

Source: https://e27.co/gold-hits-us5k-and-crypto-bleeds-what-comes-next-20260126/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

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The US Wants Crypto Innovation: So Why Is It Still Regulating with an Orange-Era Test?

The US Wants Crypto Innovation: So Why Is It Still Regulating with an Orange-Era Test?
  • The Howey test struggles to classify decentralized crypto networks and modern token designs.
  • Functional token utility should matter more than speculative trading expectations.

The United States financial regulatory landscape stands at a critical juncture. With the recent passage of key stablecoin legislation, the GENIUS Act in July 2025, and the ongoing, highly anticipated debate over comprehensive market structure bills like the CLARITY Act in early 2026, the nation is opening up to the crypto economy.

This momentum, coupled with a discernible shift in administrative posture from enforcement-heavy to innovation-friendly, signals a new era for digital assets.

Why the Howey Test No Longer Fits Crypto

The cornerstone of U.S. securities law, the 1946 Howey test, remains an anachronistic and ill-suited tool for the nuances of a rapidly evolving, often decentralized technological paradigm.

It is my firm opinion that relying solely on this decades-old precedent for a modern, multi-trillion-dollar global market is a fool’s errand that stifles innovation while failing to provide genuine investor protection. A new, crypto-centric framework is not just a regulatory desire; it is an economic necessity.

An Orange Grove Test Meets Decentralized Finance

The original Howey test, born from a dispute over orange groves in Florida, determines a security if there is an investment of money in a common enterprise with a reasonable expectation of profits derived solely from the efforts of others.

This framework, while flexible in its time, struggles to capture the essence of decentralized finance (DeFi), where the efforts of others are often distributed among countless, sometimes anonymous, participants, governed by immutable code rather than a central corporation.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has attempted to modernize its application, most notably with 2025 guidance emphasizing the expectation of profit and issuer influence criteria. This still leaves a gaping chasm of uncertainty, particularly for projects aiming for true decentralization.

Legal Uncertainty and the Cost to Institutional Adoption

The current approach fosters an environment where an asset may be considered a security at launch but a commodity later. This legal gray area is what most institutional investors fear to tread, thus hindering mainstream adoption and keeping the U.S. from cementing its crypto capital status.

We need a bespoke instrument, a DeFi Howey, that provides the clear token taxonomy that regulators and builders alike desperately need. This new test must be built on the reality of distributed ledger technology (DLT), not shoehorned into an outdated agricultural precedent.

Toward a Crypto-Centric Regulatory Framework

Drawing on proposals such as Commissioner Hester Peirce’s safe harbor and the functional token taxonomy advanced by industry leaders, I propose a crypto-centric regulatory framework built around four core rules. The goal is to promote U.S. innovation while preserving investor protection.

Rule One: The Decentralization Threshold

A modern framework must establish a clear, verifiable standard for decentralization. Once a network or protocol meets this threshold, it should exit securities law oversight and fall under a commodity framework, likely overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

Rather than relying on vague claims of “no central party,” regulators should assess measurable factors such as token ownership dispersion, the number of independent validators, and the immutability of smart contracts.

For example, if no single entity, including the founding team, controls more than a defined share—such as 20%—of governance tokens or validation power, the project would qualify. This provides a predictable path from launch to decentralization, addressing one of the industry’s most persistent legal uncertainties.

Rule Two: Functional Utility Versus Speculative Intent

The framework should prioritize a token’s actual use within a live network over speculative expectations. Tokens that serve clear, consumptive purposes—such as paying network fees, accessing services, or participating in on-chain governance—should be treated differently from passive investment instruments.

This functional approach better reflects how crypto networks operate and reduces the risk of utility tokens being swept into securities litigation solely due to secondary-market trading behavior.

Rule Three: Transparency and On-Chain Disclosure

Investor protection should be achieved through standardized, on-chain disclosures rather than traditional prospectuses. Projects should provide machine-readable information on audits, token supply and distribution, governance structures, and material risks.

This “code is law, disclosure is compliance” model aligns with the transparency of public blockchains and builds on disclosure principles embedded in the CLARITY Act.

Rule Four: Intermediary Liability and Consumer Safeguards

Regulation should focus on centralized intermediaries where most retail users interact. The GENIUS Act sets a useful precedent through reserve requirements and AML obligations. Strong oversight of exchanges and service providers can protect consumers without constraining decentralized innovation.

A Narrow Window to Get Crypto Regulation Right

The U.S. is at a pivotal moment. The current legislative momentum offers a rare chance to get this right. By moving beyond the archaic limitations of the Howey test and embracing a bespoke, forward-thinking framework, we can provide the regulatory clarity the market craves, protect investors, and ensure America remains a global leader in the digital financial revolution.

Sticking to the old ways in a new world is a path to irrelevance, and that is a price the U.S. economy cannot afford to pay.

 

Source: https://www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/the-us-wants-crypto-innovation-so-why-is-it-still-regulating-with-an-orange-era-test/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j

Black Tuesday: Billions in US stocks and cryptocurrencies wipe out

Black Tuesday: Billions in US stocks and cryptocurrencies wipe out

The sudden collapse of US equity markets on Tuesday, January 20, 2026, represents a dramatic shift in investor sentiment as geopolitical friction takes centre stage. This selloff, the most severe since October, stems directly from a sudden escalation in international trade tensions. Investors spent the long Martin Luther King Jr. Day weekend processing President Trump’s threat to impose aggressive tariffs on eight European nations.

These penalties are a response to countries opposing his renewed efforts to acquire Greenland. The Nasdaq Composite bore the brunt of this anxiety, leading a broader market retreat that spared few sectors. This volatility reflects a deep-seated fear that new trade barriers will disrupt global commerce and erode the profitability of major multinational corporations.

The fallout hit the technology sector particularly hard. Every member of the Magnificent Seven saw significant losses as the market re-evaluated the stability of global supply chains. As uncertainty spread, capital fled toward traditional safe havens. Both gold and silver reached new record highs, with gold specifically surging 4.7 per cent to hit the US$4,800 mark. This movement highlights a distinct lack of confidence in the US dollar under the current geopolitical climate.

Simultaneously, the bond market faced immense pressure. Long-term US Treasury yields climbed to a four-month peak, driven in part by a massive rout in Japanese bonds, where yields reached all-time highs. This global synchronisation of rising yields suggests a widespread re-pricing of risk across all major asset classes.

The cryptocurrency market did not escape this risk-off environment, plummeting 4.09 per cent over 24 hours and extending a painful 7.5 per cent weekly loss. While some proponents view digital assets as a form of electronic gold, the current data proves otherwise. Bitcoin maintained a strong positive correlation of 0.73 with the Nasdaq-100, while its inverse correlation with gold stood at -0.95.

This confirms that in moments of acute stress, the market treats digital assets as high-risk speculative plays rather than stable stores of value. The breakdown of Ethereum below the critical US$3,000 support level further accelerated the decline, dragging the broader altcoin market down as institutional and retail confidence wavered.

Internal market mechanics exacerbated the crypto price collapse through a massive leveraged long squeeze. Bitcoin liquidations reached US$199 million within a single day, a staggering 1,581 per cent increase from the previous period. This represents the largest single-day flush the market has seen since October 2025.

In the hours leading up to the crash, perpetual open interest rose by 7.23 per cent as traders placed overleveraged bets on Bitcoin reaching US$95,000. When prices fell below US$90,000, these positions triggered a cascade of forced liquidations. This technical breakdown created a classic bull trap, where positive funding rates lured in buyers just before the volatility forced them out of their positions.

Looking ahead, the path to recovery for both stocks and digital assets appears difficult. The crypto Fear and Greed Index currently sits at 32, indicating a state of market capitulation. For a floor to form, Bitcoin must hold its support at US$84,000 while institutional buyers absorb the ongoing sell-side pressure.

Market participants are now shifting their focus toward the upcoming US fourth-quarter GDP data scheduled for release on January 25. If those figures show economic weakness, the pressure on risk assets will likely intensify. For now, the combination of aggressive tariff rhetoric, a deleveraging of speculative positions, and broken technical levels suggests that the era of easy gains has met a significant roadblock.

 
 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j