CNA Explains: Singapore’s tightened crypto licensing rules – ‘closing the door’ or ‘raising the bar’?

CNA Explains: Singapore’s tightened crypto licensing rules – ‘closing the door’ or ‘raising the bar’?

SINGAPORE: The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has moved to tighten its regulation of unlicensed cryptocurrency firms operating in the country.

Digital token service providers based in Singapore that only serve overseas markets will need to be licensed by Jun 30 – or they’ll have to suspend or cease their unregulated activities here.

Why is MAS doing this?

Experts told CNA the authority was closing a loophole in the industry.

“It’s a step towards consistency,” said intergovernmental blockchain advisor Anndy Lian, adding that ensuring digital token service providers meet the same standards could bolster trust.

Prior to the regulation, providers targeting overseas markets could sidestep licensing requirements and exploit “lighter oversight” while operating from Singapore, he noted.

“This move levels the playing field and likely reflects pressure to align with global anti-money laundering efforts,” said Mr Lian.

Mr Adrian Ang, a partner at Allen & Gledhill’s financial services department, added that it was necessary to support standards set by the global money laundering and terrorist financing watchdog, the Financial Action Task Force.

“Without regulation, the anonymity, speed and cross-border nature of their activities make this sector highly vulnerable to criminal abuse,” he said.

How will firms be affected?

As of Jun 19, MAS has granted digital payment token licences to 33 institutions, including major players like Coinbase and OKX.

While unlicensed digital payment token services can still apply for a local license, MAS has said that it has “set the bar high” and will “generally not issue” one.

Bitget and Bybit are among the top ten exchange operators by volume that do not have a Singapore licence.

A Bloomberg report said Bitget will relocate staff to jurisdictions such as Dubai and Hong Kong, and that Bybit has plans to follow suit.

But experts pointed out that it is the smaller firms that will feel the heat.

While larger firms have in-house legal and compliance departments and experience in dealing with licensing frameworks, smaller and mid-sized players face an “uphill task,” said Mr Mike Chiam, a fintech lawyer at Foxwood LLC.

“Many of them relied on operating from Singapore under a ‘non-retail, overseas-only’ assumption. That assumption no longer holds,” he said.

For these firms – which include unlicensed crypto exchanges, over-the-counter brokers and decentralised finance projects targeting overseas markets – compliance costs, legal restructuring or a complete shutdown are on the table, he added.

Mr Lian, who knows of many small firms trying to shift out of Singapore since early June, agreed that added compliance costs and processes weigh heavily on these.

“I’ve seen startups struggle with similar red tape elsewhere, and it risks pushing innovation to less regulated regions if not handled carefully,” he said.

What about employees?

Mr Chiam said a common question he’s had to deal with relates to whether employees whose job scope involves dealing with digital tokens must relocate.

Based on his law firm’s understanding from employees’ enquiries, it has found that such workers are generally not affected by MAS’ stricter rules, he said.

Practically speaking, employees working for digital token firms do not have to relocate – or at least, that is not the legislative intention, Mr Chiam added.

“On a positive note, employees appear to be interested in knowing how to better comply with regulations and keep abreast of such updates – overall a heightened awareness of the regulatory stance,” he said.

An employee from MEXC, who requested anonymity, observed that other centralised exchanges have introduced additional know your customer (KYC) checks and anti-money laundering (AML) frameworks.

These policies verify customers’ identities, to prevent illicit activity and to comply with global regulations.

Although MEXC does not have a local licence, the employee said his colleagues in Singapore have not been significantly affected.

“There are some observed changes within the compliance and legal teams, but for the most part, it is still business as usual,” he said.

An employee from Bitget, who also requested anonymity, claimed that about ten members of the customer service team were laid off earlier in June.

CNA has reached out to MEXC and Bitget for comment, as well as other firms listed in Singapore but not licensed by MAS.

What does it mean for the industry here?

Ms Angela Ang, who heads Asia Pacific’s policy and strategic partnerships at blockchain intelligence company TRM Labs, said that while Singapore’s approach to crypto may not resonate with everyone, it has been “very consistent”.

“Firms that are not operating this specific kind of business model should not be unduly alarmed. Crypto businesses can still obtain licences here if they are prepared to have a substantive presence, including servicing Singapore customers,” said Ms Ang.

She added that the industry has had “significant runway” to make preparations since the Financial Services and Markets Act was passed in April 2022.

In a media release on Jun 6, MAS also said its position has been “consistently communicated” for a few years since its first response to public consultation issued in February 2022.

It added that based on available information, it was aware of a “very small number” of providers affected.

Allen & Gledhill’s Mr Ang agreed that most crypto firms here should have already undertaken licensing considerations prior to commencing their business, as licensing requirements have been “in force for many years.”

Ultimately, the move should not be misread as Singapore turning hostile to digital assets, Mr Chiam said.

“Instead, the law is making it clear: If your fintech wants to use Singapore’s framework and reputation, you must meet Singapore’s standards,” he said.

“In that sense, Singapore isn’t closing the door – it’s raising the bar.”

 

Source: https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/crypto-licensing-mas-cna-explains-5186446

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Global markets in limbo: The Fed’s rate decision and Bitcoin’s next move

Global markets in limbo: The Fed’s rate decision and Bitcoin’s next move

The Federal Reserve’s latest decision to hold interest rates steady, paired with cautious remarks from Chair Jerome Powell, has cast a shadow over global risk sentiment. Meanwhile, Bitcoin teeters on the edge of a significant technical move, with traders eyeing key levels amid a backdrop of economic and geopolitical uncertainty.

On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously to maintain the Fed funds rate within the range of 4.25 per cent to 4.5 per cent, a decision that aligned with market expectations. However, the real story emerged from Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference, where he underscored the challenges facing the central bank.

Powell pointed to tariff-driven economic uncertainty and persistent inflation risks as major hurdles complicating the Fed’s ability to ease monetary policy aggressively. His remarks suggest a central bank that is treading carefully, wary of stoking inflation further while grappling with signs of a slowing economy.

The Fed’s updated economic projections reinforced this cautious outlook. Growth forecasts for 2025 were downgraded to 1.4 per cent from 1.7 per cent in March, signalling weaker economic momentum. Inflation expectations rose to three per cent from 2.7 per cent, reflecting ongoing price pressures, while the unemployment rate is now projected to increase to 4.5 per cent from 4.4 per cent.

These figures paint a picture of an economy caught between sluggish growth and stubborn inflation, a scenario that leaves little room for bold policy shifts. This signals a Fed that’s more likely to prioritise stability over stimulus in the near term, a stance that could keep markets on edge as investors search for clearer direction.

Markets react with hesitation

The US equity markets closed Wednesday with a lack of conviction, reflecting the uncertainty sparked by the Fed’s messaging. The S&P 500 slipped by a marginal 0.035 per cent, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.10 per cent, and the Nasdaq Composite eked out a modest gain of 0.13 per cent.

This mixed performance suggests investors are unsure how to interpret the Fed’s reluctance to pivot toward rate cuts, especially with economic growth faltering and inflation lingering above the Fed’s two per cent target. This indecision could persist, particularly with US stock and bond markets closed today for Juneteenth, leaving traders with fewer immediate catalysts to drive sentiment.

In the bond market, we observed a subtle divergence that suggests shifting expectations. The two-year US Treasury yield fell by 1 basis point to 3.941 per cent, possibly indicating that investors anticipate short-term rates will hold steady or ease slightly as growth slows.

Meanwhile, the 10-year yield edged up by 0.2 basis points to 4.391 per cent, suggesting mild concerns about longer-term inflation or economic resilience. This flattening yield curve dynamic is something I find intriguing; it could imply that the market is pricing in a prolonged period of uncertainty rather than a sharp recession or recovery.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) climbed to 98.91, extending Tuesday’s 0.8 per cent surge. The dollar’s strength likely stems from its safe-haven status amid global unease, bolstered by the Fed’s relatively hawkish tone compared to other central banks. Gold, however, bucked its usual role as a safe-haven asset, falling 0.6 per cent to US$3,369 per ounce. I suspect the stronger dollar played a role here, as it often exerts downward pressure on gold prices.

On the flip side, Brent crude oil rose 0.3 per cent to US$76.70 per barrel, a move that could reflect supply-side worries or geopolitical tensions rather than robust demand. These commodity movements highlight how currency dynamics and external factors are currently overshadowing traditional risk-on/risk-off patterns.

A global patchwork of central bank responses

While the Fed holds its ground, other central banks are charting their own courses, reflecting the diverse economic pressures at play globally. The Bank of England (BOE) is expected to maintain its interest rate at 4.25 per cent today, a decision that aligns with the Fed’s cautious approach as the UK balances inflation and growth concerns.

In contrast, a Bloomberg survey suggests the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is poised to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.0 per cent, a move that would underscore Switzerland’s ongoing struggle with deflationary pressures and a strong franc. This is a pragmatic step, though it risks further weakening the SNB’s already limited policy toolkit.

In Asia, the Philippines’ Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is anticipated to lower its target reverse repurchase rate by 25 basis points, signaling a shift toward supporting growth amid softening economic conditions. Taiwan’s Central Bank (CBC), however, is expected to hold its benchmark rate steady, opting for stability in a region where trade and tech sectors remain critical drivers. These varied responses fascinate me—they illustrate how interconnected yet distinct the global economy is, with each central bank tailoring its strategy to local realities while keeping an eye on the Fed’s lead.

Asian equity indices opened lower today, tracking the uneven cues from Wall Street and the Fed’s outlook. This softness aligns with my sense that risk sentiment is retreating globally, as investors weigh the combined impact of slower growth, sticky inflation, and policy uncertainty. It’s a reminder that no market operates in isolation; what happens in Washington reverberates across continents.

Bitcoin’s technical tightrope

Against this macroeconomic backdrop, Bitcoin is capturing attention as it navigates a precarious technical setup. Trading near US$104,773, the cryptocurrency is squeezed between a rising trendline and a descending 50-period exponential moving average (EMA) at US$105,529. This triangle pattern, often a sign of impending volatility, is underscored by recent price action: three consecutive candles with lower wicks have defended support around US$104,000, demonstrating buyer resilience; yet, the 50-period EMA caps any upward push.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is flattening, hinting at the possibility of a bullish crossover—a development that could spark upward momentum. A close above US$105,530 would be the bullish trigger, potentially driving Bitcoin toward US$106,650 and US$107,750.

Conversely, a break below US$103,500 would tilt the outlook bearish, with support levels at US$102,180 and US$100,450 coming into focus. Currently, the price prediction leans bearish due to mixed catalysts; however, I believe the market’s next move hinges on whether volume and momentum confirm a breakout or breakdown.

What strikes me about Bitcoin here is its dual nature—it’s both a speculative asset tied to risk sentiment and a potential hedge against economic turmoil. If global markets falter under the weight of the Fed’s caution and geopolitical risks, Bitcoin could face selling pressure alongside equities.

Yet, its historical resilience and appeal as an inflation hedge might draw buyers if traditional assets lose ground. I’m inclined to watch US$104,000 as a pivotal level for now; holding above it keeps the bullish case alive, while a drop below US$103,500 could signal a deeper pullback.

Options market signals caution

The Bitcoin options market offers another layer of insight, revealing a pronounced tilt toward downside protection. On Deribit, the put-to-call volume ratio spiked to 2.17 over the past 24 hours, reflecting heavy demand for put options—contracts that allow holders to sell at a set price, effectively insuring against declines.

For options expiring June 20, open interest in puts struck at US$100,000 now dominates, with a put-to-call ratio of 1.16. This surge in protective bets suggests traders are bracing for a potential drop to that US$100,000 level, driven perhaps by geopolitical jitters or broader economic fears.

I find this options activity telling. It’s not outright panic—call options are still in play—but it shows a market on guard, with participants unwilling to bet big on upside without clearer signals. In my view, this hedging reflects the same uncertainty rippling through equities and bonds: no one’s quite sure where the next shoe will drop, so they’re preparing for the worst while hoping for the best.

My take on the bigger picture

Stepping back, I see a global market landscape defined by hesitation and complexity. The Fed’s decision to hold rates steady, paired with Powell’s guarded comments, sets a tone of restraint that’s reverberating worldwide.

Weaker growth, higher inflation, and rising unemployment form a challenging trifecta that limits the Fed’s room to maneuver, and I suspect this will keep volatility elevated as markets seek clarity. The mixed signals from stocks, bonds, and commodities only deepen the ambiguity—investors seem caught between fear of a slowdown and faint hope for a soft landing.

For Bitcoin, the technical setup and options sentiment suggest a market at a tipping point. I lean slightly bearish in the short term, given the weight of global risks and the lack of a strong bullish catalyst. A break below US$103,500 wouldn’t surprise me, especially if equity markets stumble further.

That said, Bitcoin’s ability to decouple from traditional assets during times of crisis keeps me open to an upside surprise if it clears US$105,530 with conviction. Either way, I’d urge traders to stay nimble and closely monitor volume. Confirmation will be key.

Ultimately, this feels like a moment for patience rather than bold bets. The Fed’s caution, global policy divergence, and Bitcoin’s technical tension all point to a period of flux. For investors, staying informed and flexible will be critical as we navigate this uncertain terrain. Whether it’s a breakout or a breakdown, the next few days could set the tone for markets well beyond June.

 

Source: https://e27.co/global-markets-in-limbo-the-feds-rate-decision-and-bitcoins-next-move-20250619/

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Bitcoin Slides as Trump’s Middle East Warning Rattles Markets

Bitcoin Slides as Trump’s Middle East Warning Rattles Markets

Tensions in the Middle East have once again shown how global unrest can shake financial markets. The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran has sent Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market into a decline. Over the past 24 hours, the total global crypto market value has dropped by more than 3% according to data from CoinGecko.

In Brief

  • Global crypto market fell over 3% in 24 hours amid rising geopolitical tensions.
  • President Donald Trump’s early G7 exit and warning on Tehran added to investor anxiety.
  • Michael van de Poppe said the dip may be due to a typical pre-FOMC risk-off move, not just geopolitics.

Trump’s Actions Trigger Market Reaction

US President Donald Trump’s early exit from a world leaders’ meeting and his Truth Social post stirred concern among traders.

He had travelled to Canada for the G7 summit but left ahead of schedule. The reason, he said, was the rising tensions between Israel and Iran.

Fox News reported that Trump asked the National Security Council to ready the White House’s Situation Room. Not long after, he posted on Truth Social, urging people in Tehran to evacuate immediately. The message added to market concerns.

The White House later confirmed his early departure. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said Trump arrived on Sunday and held meetings but left after Monday’s dinner due to the crisis.

Bitcoin Drops but Holds Key Level

Trump’s sudden exit and warning caused a dip in Bitcoin’s price. Before the news broke on Monday, Bitcoin had climbed to an intraday high of $108,780. But following the developments, the price started to fall.

Despite the recent dip, Bitcoin has managed to stay above the $100,000 mark since early May. Crypto analyst Anndy Lian suggested that Bitcoin’s recent steadiness signals growing maturity. He noted that its ability to stay above $100,000, even during political tensions, reflects increasing investor confidence.

Lian pointed to strong institutional investment, with the iShares Bitcoin Trust bringing in about $12 billion this year. He added that Bitcoin’s recent drop reflects market fears sparked by geopolitical tensions, but its ability to hold steady suggests it is becoming more than just a risky asset.

Still, not everyone believes the market drop is directly tied to the Middle East. Analyst Michael Van de Poppe shared a different view. He posted on his X page that Bitcoin was already starting to weaken before the recent headlines.

He noted that a drop below $105,000 could trigger liquidations, likely leading to a deeper decline. While some blame global tensions, van de Poppe sees the move as a typical “risk-off” correction ahead of the upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting.

Altcoins didn’t escape the downturn either. In the last 24 hours, Ethereum has slipped more than 4%, Ripple’s XRP dropped about 4%, and Binance’s BNB lost 2%.

Other tokens like Dogecoin, Solana, and Cardano each fell over 5% within the same timeframe.

Analysts Stay Bullish Despite the Dip

Despite the dip, some analysts remain optimistic about major tokens. They see strong technical patterns forming in XRP, Ethereum and Dogecoin.

Despite the optimism, tensions in the Middle East continue to rise. Several countries, including China, have urged their citizens in Israel to leave immediately via land borders due to growing risks.

The Russian embassy echoed the same advice. Ambassador Anatoly Viktorov told local media that all Russians in Israel should leave until the fighting stops.

It remains to be seen how things will unfold in the coming days. But if the conflict continues, it could weigh heavily on global financial markets, causing Bitcoin and altcoins to drop even further.

 

Source: https://www.cointribune.com/en/bitcoin-slides-as-trumps-middle-east-warning-rattles-markets/

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