Republican Senate majority signals more ‘pro-crypto Congress’

Republican Senate majority signals more ‘pro-crypto Congress’

The Republican Party has secured majority control of the United States Senate, offering a promising outlook for cryptocurrency regulations in the world’s largest economy.

Republicans took control after securing key Senate seats in Ohio and West Virginia, according to the Associated Press.

Over 240 pro-crypto candidates were elected to the House of Representatives and Senate in a “historic achievement” for clear crypto regulations in the US, according to Anastasija Plotnikova, the CEO and co-founder of Fideum, a regulatory and blockchain infrastructure firm focused on institutions.

Plotnikova told Cointelegraph:

“It paves the way for harmonized crypto regulations that will drive innovation, boost competition and incentivize talent to return. The US crypto industry worked for years to make this happen, and I eagerly await seeing the deliverables implemented.”

A Republican-led Senate, paired with a presidential administration that supports crypto, could lead to innovation-friendly regulations. This could help the US regain ground as a global leader, particularly as Europe moves closer to implementing its comprehensive regulatory framework, the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) bill, by the end of 2024.

Lighter regulations and more oversight for CFTC

A Republican Senate may finally bring clarity to US crypto regulations, according to Anndy Lian, author and intergovernmental blockchain expert.

He told Cointelegraph:

“The Republican focus on reducing government oversight could lead to a lighter regulatory touch, which would be a win for the industry […] A Republican Senate could mean fewer aggressive anti-crypto moves and more opportunities for open discussions about how to support innovation.”

The new Senate may review delayed business-friendly bills like the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act, which would grant the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) exclusive jurisdiction over digital asset trading, Lian added.

Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act of 2022. Source: Congress.gov

The crypto industry is also hoping to see the approval of the Bitcoin Act, championed by Wyoming Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis. The bill proposes the creation of a strategic Bitcoin BTCtickers down$75,398 reserve for the US, making it the first nation to use it as a “savings technology.”

The bill cited the US’ “soaring inflation rates” and the national debt reaching “unprecedented heights” as reasons for the adoption of Bitcoin reserves to bolster the country’s balance sheet.

Republican Senate to change SEC oversight over crypto industry?

Controlling the Senate is at least as important for the future of crypto regulations as the president, according to James Davies, CEO of Crypto Valley Exchange.

This could significantly change the Securities and Exchange Commission’s oversight of the crypto space, Davies told Cointelegraph:

“This shift changes SEC oversight, which has proven to be as impactful as, if not more than, the SEC chair […] Now we await public announcements from Trump on SEC nominations to fulfill his promises to the US crypto community that supported him.”

Davies said he hopes that Chris Giancarlo, former CFTC chair, will be nominated for Gensler’s seat at the SEC.

The crypto industry sees the 2024 presidential elections as a net positive. Coinbase co-founder and CEO Brian Armstrong said it was “America’s most pro-crypto Congress ever,” which will facilitate more explicit crypto regulations.

 

Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/republicans-majority-control-us-senate-pro-crypto-congress

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j

Trump Vs. Harris: Crypto Experts Give Final U.S. Election Analysis

Trump Vs. Harris: Crypto Experts Give Final U.S. Election Analysis

In the build-up to the 2024 U.S. presidential elections, Bitcoin (BTC) flirted with all-time highs regarding the possibility that pro-crypto candidate Donald Trump would take the helm at the White House.

While polls are set to close on November 5, it could take days or even weeks for a winner to be declared, depending on how close the contest is.

If you are wondering whether now is a good time to buy Bitcoin, we have compiled all the information you need to know about the 2024 U.S. presidential election race.

Key Takeaways

  • The crypto markets nervously await the 2024 U.S. election outcome between Trump and Harris.
  • Polymarket favors Trump as the pro-crypto candidate, contrasting with traditional poll projections.
  • A Harris win may present a Bitcoin buying opportunity, while Trump could boost crypto optimism.
  • Key crypto experts share insights with Techopedia on the potential shift in the regulatory environment post-election.

The Tight 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Race

According to a poll by the New York Times (NYT) and Siena College, the 2024 U.S. presidential election race is the closest it has been in decades.

While odds on the crypto prediction market Polymarket showed Trump as a clear favorite to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with Trump at a 61% chance compared to Kamala Harris’ 39%traditional pollsters and media houses expect a tighter contest.

Ahead of the November 5 voting deadline, NYT’s polls highlighted seven battleground states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – that could decide the fate of the election.

As of November 5, Polymarket polls showed Trump had a 60% chance of winning in Pennsylvania. However, NYT and Siena College’s final set of polls said both Trump and Harris had a 48% chance each of winning in Pennsylvania.

In 2020, current U.S. president Joe Biden won the Pennsylvania state with a narrow 1.17% margin over Trump. The 2016 U.S. presidential election saw Trump win in Pennsylvania by a slender margin.

What Happens to Crypto Post-Election? Expert Analysis

Techopedia reached out to industry experts for exclusive insights on the impact of the U.S. presidential election on the crypto market.

Anndy Lian: Republican Majority in Congress is Key for Crypto Industry

Techopedia reached out to Anndy Lian, intergovernmental blockchain advisor and author of Blockchain Revolution 2030, for his thoughts on the U.S. presidential election race.

Firstly, Lian highlighted how crucial it was for the Trump-led Republican party to secure a majority in both houses of the U.S. Congress.

“For Republicans to effectively push through pro-crypto legislation, they really need to secure a majority in both houses. Without that majority, even a pro-crypto president might struggle to get meaningful bills passed.”

“So, while a Trump victory could spark optimism in the crypto space, the real key to unlocking potential growth lies in having a Republican majority in Congress.

“This combination could pave the way for policies that truly benefit the crypto market and help it thrive in the long run,” he added.

Next, we asked Lian what was in store for the crypto industry if Harris-led Democrats were to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

“Harris has talked about supporting technological advancements, including digital assets, but there’s a concern that her policies might not stray far from the regulatory frameworks already in place.

“This could lead to an environment that focuses heavily on consumer protection and oversight, which might limit the more hands-off approach that many crypto advocates prefer.

“In the end, while a Democratic administration under Harris may not be as favorable for crypto as a Republican one, it doesn’t mean the industry is doomed.

The real question will be how her administration chooses to navigate the fast-changing world of cryptocurrencies.”

Finally, we asked Lian what he thought of the common notion that crypto regulations will change for the better no matter who wins the U.S. presidential elections.

“The idea that crypto regulations will improve regardless of who wins the presidency is an interesting one, but I think it oversimplifies a complex issue,” said Lian.

“The regulatory environment is influenced not just by the presidency but also by Congress, state governments, and international regulations.

“Even if there’s a general trend toward better regulations, the specifics will depend on the political climate and the priorities of those in power.”

10x Research: Harris Win Will Be Buying Opportunity

In a research note to Techopedia, 10x Research said the election outcome could hinge on “just one or two critical swing states”.

The Singapore-based crypto research firm noted that Bitcoin prices could slump 9% if Harris wins, while a Trump win could result in a 5% increase in Bitcoin prices.

10x Research added that a Harris win could present Bitcoin investors with a “buying opportunity.”

“The primary driver of this bull market, dating back to at least June 2023, has been the institutional adoption of Bitcoin, sparked by BlackRock’s application for a Bitcoin Spot ETF…

“Even if Harris were to ‘remain’ U.S. President, the impact on Bitcoin would likely be minimal,” said 10x Research.

However, 10x Research noted that this “buying opportunity” is not applicable to other cryptocurrencies, especially Solana (SOL), as a Harris win would lower the chances of a Solana ETF being approved.

“Crypto (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana) could be up +5% if Trump wins, Bitcoin might be down -9% if Harris wins, and Solana -15%. Hence, a long Bitcoin vs. short Solana could be a reasonable election trade,” said 10x Research.

The Bottom Line

The run-up to the 2024 U.S. presidential election has been incredibly interesting to observe as a crypto enthusiast.

Be it the newfound political importance of the crypto industry or the divergence between traditional polls and crypto platform polls, one thing is for certain: we will remember 2024 as the year crypto came of age.

As we conclude this article, we would like to remind readers that cryptocurrencies are volatile assets. Always do your own research before investing. The information in this guide does not constitute investment advice and is meant for informational purposes only.

 

 

 

Source: https://www.techopedia.com/trump-vs-harris-crypto-experts-final-election-analysis

 

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j

Market Makers in Crypto: Heroes or Villains?

Market Makers in Crypto: Heroes or Villains?

Cryptocurrency has taken the financial world by storm, offering new opportunities and challenges. Among the many facets of this digital revolution is market making, a practice that ensures cryptocurrencies remain liquid and tradable. However, recent legal actions by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have brought to light the ethical and regulatory dilemmas that accompany this essential function.

What Exactly Is Market Making?

Imagine trying to buy or sell a cryptocurrency, only to find that there are no buyers or sellers. This is where market makers come in. They act as intermediaries, always ready to buy or sell, which keeps the market moving smoothly. Quoting both buy and sell prices helps reduce the gap between what buyers are willing to pay and what sellers want to receive, known as the bid-ask spread. This is crucial in the world of cryptocurrencies, where prices can swing wildly in a matter of minutes.

In traditional finance, market making is a well-established practice, governed by clear rules and regulations. It helps maintain market stability and efficiency, which benefits everyone, from small investors to large institutions. But the world of cryptocurrency is different—less regulated, more volatile, and often shrouded in mystery. This environment can sometimes blur the lines between legitimate market making and unethical manipulation.

The SEC’s Crackdown: A Wake-Up Call

Recently, the SEC charged several companies and individuals, including ZM Quant, Gotbit, and CLS Global, with market manipulation. The allegations are serious. These entities are accused of creating a false sense of activity in the market, misleading investors about the true demand for certain crypto assets. Practices like wash trading—where the same asset is bought and sold repeatedly to inflate trading volumes—are at the heart of these charges. Such tactics are illegal in traditional markets and undermine trust in the financial system.

Wash trading gives the illusion of liquidity and demand, enticing unsuspecting investors to jump in. Another tactic, known as spoofing, involves placing large orders with no intention of executing them, misleading traders about market conditions and unfairly influencing prices. These manipulative strategies have long been outlawed in traditional markets, but the relative novelty and complexity of cryptocurrencies have made them easier to exploit.

The ethical landscape of cryptocurrency market making is complex. Transparency and honesty are crucial for maintaining trust and fairness. Market makers should clearly disclose their trading activities, strategies, and any potential conflicts of interest. This transparency allows other market participants to make informed decisions and helps regulators keep an eye out for manipulative practices.

Conflicts of interest are another significant concern. Market makers might have stakes in specific projects or hold large positions in the assets they trade. These conflicts can skew their trading decisions, potentially harming clients and the broader market. To mitigate these risks, market makers should implement strict policies to separate their market-making activities from other trading operations and disclose any potential conflicts to clients and regulators.

The Regulatory Landscape: A Work in Progress

Regulating cryptocurrency market making is a challenge, with different countries taking varied approaches. In the United States, the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) have started to regulate cryptocurrency markets, especially when digital assets are classified as securities or derivatives. These agencies have issued guidelines and taken enforcement actions to curb manipulative practices and protect investors.

Elsewhere, countries like Japan and South Korea have introduced specific licensing requirements for cryptocurrency exchanges and market makers. These regulations aim to enhance transparency, protect investors, and promote market integrity. However, the global and decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies presents significant challenges for regulators. The lack of a central authority and the pseudonymous nature of transactions make it difficult to monitor and enforce compliance effectively.

Additionally, the cross-border nature of cryptocurrency trading means that market makers may be subject to different regulations in different jurisdictions, leading to potential regulatory arbitrage.

To address these challenges, regulators and market participants must collaborate to develop a more unified and coordinated approach to cryptocurrency market regulation. This could involve creating international standards and best practices, as well as leveraging advanced technologies like blockchain analytics tools to monitor and enforce compliance.

Looking Ahead: The Future of Market Making

As the cryptocurrency industry continues to grow and mature, the role of market makers will remain crucial in ensuring liquidity and stability. However, the industry must address the ethical and regulatory challenges that have emerged. Market makers must adhere to high ethical standards, promoting transparency and fairness in their operations. Regulators, on the other hand, need to develop comprehensive frameworks that protect investors while fostering innovation.

The convergence of regulatory standards with those of traditional financial markets is likely to happen as the cryptocurrency industry matures. This will require market makers to adapt to evolving regulations and ensure that their practices align with principles of fairness, transparency, and investor protection.

In conclusion, while market making is a legitimate and necessary practice in cryptocurrency trading, it is essential to distinguish between ethical market making and manipulative practices. The recent SEC charges serve as a reminder of the potential for abuse in this space and underscore the need for robust regulatory frameworks and ethical standards. By addressing these challenges, the cryptocurrency industry can continue to thrive, offering new opportunities for investors and market participants alike.

 

 

 

Source: https://news.shib.io/2024/10/28/market-makers-in-crypto-heroes-or-villains/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.

j j j