加密货币崩盘引发人们对“玩赚游戏”未来的恐惧

加密货币崩盘引发人们对“玩赚游戏”未来的恐惧

上周玩赚游戏 Axie Infinity 收入为 988,400 美元,这是自2021年2月以来该游戏的周收入首次低于 100 万美元。 2021 年 8 月 8 日这一周,Axie Infinity 收入创下超 2.15 亿美元的最高值,从 2021 年 11 月开始,由于 Axie 游戏内代币的发行和销毁机制不平衡,代币贬值,抑制了玩家继续使用游戏的热情,因此导致Axie Infinity 收入稳步下降。

尽管被一些人称为游戏的未来,但玩赚游戏(P2E)面临着艰难的困境。随着加密市场动荡,比特币和以太坊大幅下跌,支持玩赚游戏的代币也受到了打击——Polygon代币从1美元跌至0.5美元,Axie Infinity代币从约30美元跌至20美元,Smooth Love Potion代币首次跌至1美分以下。

在我们深入探讨之前,有必要解释一下玩赚游戏,它们是如何工作的,以及它们为何如此重要。

P2E 游戏的核心是通过将游戏时间和精力与潜在奖励联系起来来激励玩家——可收藏的物品,通常是某种形式的NFT,与加密货币相关联,可以转售以换取现实世界的货币。通过游戏,玩家不仅可以随机赚取收入,还可以在一些游戏中,例如Axie Infinity,克隆、繁殖或创造新的有价值的收藏品。这些游戏在亚洲部分地区(例如菲律宾)广受欢迎,在那里它正在成为帮助人们摆脱贫困的新兴职业。

在过去的两年里,投资者将游戏领域视为一个机会,认为 P2E 游戏将是下一个大事件。

有人认为 P2E 游戏将取代免费游戏 (F2P) 模式,后者见证了从《英雄联盟》到《堡垒之夜》等各种游戏的兴起。根据 DappRadar 的数据,仅在 2022 年第一季度,风险资本家就向工作室和发行商投资了超过 25 亿美元,用于构建玩赚游戏和元宇宙平台。

加密货币的波动性很大。因此,游戏赚取收入引起了人们的注意,在加密货币行业站稳脚跟之前,它将继续潮起潮落。

玩赚游戏存在风险

法律专家警告称,对于有效投资于高风险资产的参与者来说,没有安全网,如果项目失败或资产市场枯竭,他们非常容易受到攻击。

随着全球监管机构寻求控制加密货币本身,几乎没有人对 NFT 或P2E游戏的相对利基分支进行监管,这些游戏通常使用游戏中的加密代币,然后可以兑现为传统货币。

伦敦律师事务所 Fladgate 的加密货币助理 David Lee 说,“在这样的项目中存储任何价值都是有风险的。基于区块链的游戏的收益通常是通过以项目的原生代币支付的奖励来实现的。”

代币或游戏中资产的价值都没有保证,因为它们的价值通常由市场供需决定。这意味着价格可能会出现大幅波动,如果项目变得不那么受欢迎或被遗弃,那么这些资产就有可能变得一文不值。

然而,这些游戏的倡导者表示,成功是建立在技能、策略和运气等因素的综合之上的。

去年,Axie Infinity被吹捧为主流区块链应用的最佳候选者之一。这款游戏由越南开发商Sky Mavis于2018年推出,在加密货币世界大受欢迎。它为一些玩家提供了全职工作前景,而 Sky Mavis 在由 Andreessen Horowitz 领导的 1.52 亿美元融资后估值为 30 亿美元。Axie Infinity应该预示着围绕加密构建的玩赚游戏的新时代。

一年后,Axie 未来看起来更加坎坷。

Sky Mavis 的 Ronin 区块链遭受了灾难性的黑客攻击,在身份不明的黑客手中损失了超过 6 亿美元,并且由于 Sky Mavis 冻结了 Ronin 交易,玩家的资金陷入了困境。在此之前,Sky Mavis 就面临着关于其长期可持续性的更大问题。 Axie Infinity 的游戏世界将随心所欲的加密货币市场与大型多人游戏的复杂经济运作相结合。而且,当它试图通过一款新的免费游戏来重塑自己时,这种情况让我们得以一窥当炒作达到极限时会发生什么。

玩赚游戏的未来之路

Axie Infinity在市场上的领先成功(2021年第三季度总收入为7.816亿美元,到2021年底其代币价格创下历史新高 155 美元),在黑客攻击后现在看起来是否受到了威胁?事实上,它的用户参与度(以日活跃用户数衡量)已经从去年11月的峰值下降了40%。综上所述,这是否意味着围绕这个新兴行业的炒作被夸大了?

一些主要采用障碍包括加密游戏平台使用的以太坊速度缓慢,由于以太坊的高gas费而导致购买NFT的高成本,更不用说它对环境的影响了。但从增长的角度来看,或许更能说明问题的是,很少有大型游戏开发商涉足这一领域。一个关键的障碍是创新游戏模式本身的关键盈利性质:从 100% 的游戏内经济销售额流向开发者的模式,转变为玩家社区赚取更大比例的交易量的模式,很难让人接受。换句话说,这意味着在一个去中心化的生态系统中,开发者对游戏中的经济控制较少。

Block Games 的增长主管 Rasa Petuch 在接受采访时表示,为了让玩赚游戏的行业发展,需要有大量的常规游戏玩家涌入,而目前用户主要是为了赚钱而不是玩游戏,而开发者专注于游戏代币经济学而不是游戏本身。 Petuch 说:“传统游戏玩家还没有出现,因为一方面,游戏还没有出现,而且许多传统游戏玩家都持怀疑态度”。

她认为,当该行业出现真正优质且有趣的游戏时,玩赚游戏会真正改变。她说, “这是我一直在考虑的一点,另一点是关于主机游戏的。他们还没有为区块链做好准备,他们是整个游戏行业的重要组成部分。”

在 Electronic Arts 最近的财报电话会议上,首席执行官 Andrew Wilson 表示,虽然 NFT 和游戏赚钱市场还处于早期阶段,但它确实指向了游戏的未来发展。Wilson说,“在某种程度上,有很多炒作。但我确实认为这将成为我们行业未来的重要组成部分。”

BigONE Exchange董事长 Anndy Lian 表示,尽管 NFT 的总体市场与 2021 年相比正在放缓,但需求水平仍然在增长。2 月份 NFT 销售额突破 40 亿美元。Lian说, “我相信,P2E游戏的增长潜力很大。现在是对大型游戏工作室和游戏机制造商的主导地位进行调整的时候了。玩赚不仅对游戏玩家有好处,对希望以新方式在更公平的竞争环境中竞争的未来开发者也是如此。”

 

 

Original Source: https://finance.sina.cn/blockchain/2022-06-07/detail-imizmscu5498284.d.html?from=wap

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Speech by Anndy Lian at Blockchain Fest 2022: Implementing NFTs for your business

Speech by Anndy Lian at Blockchain Fest 2022: Implementing NFTs for your business

Introduction

The rise of NFTs seems unstoppable following the recent sale of CryptoPunks to Yuga Labs, and the minting of metaverse land by Yuga just recently netting the company over £250 million. However, while this may seem just another chapter in the rise of NFTs in the digital collectable world the striking thing in 2022 is how they are going mainstream. The signs of mass adoption are already to be found online in social media channels, as people start to use their favorite NFTs for their Twitter or Reddit profile pictures; in turn the popularity has undoubtedly caught the imagination and marketing budgets of big brands, with both retailers and global brands like Adidas joining the NFT movement. With recent news that Facebook-owned Instagram will start testing the integration this week and will not charge any fees for posting and sharing NFTs on the platform it’s time to start taking the business use of NFTs seriously.

While the majority of consumers may be skeptical for good reason, as the user interface remains complicated for many people, this is not a passing trend, NFTs are here to stay. Which begs the question, how can businesses both large and small make use of this fascinating technology for the benefit of their customers and their own profitability? Clearly a major motivator for business involvement in the NFT market is to generate their own revenue. This is true for businesses looking to give away their NFTs as a promotional campaign, to consider the value of the NFTs on the re-seller market, and how that could also generate revenue. However, it’s worth underlying the fact that NFTs are just one small part of the broader new wave of the web called web3, which includes the metaverse and cryptocurrencies. And with Facebook going in hard with billions of dollars in metaverse-related spending (around $10 billion on AR, VR, and related hardware as well as the development of metaverse apps and services), and US theater chain AMC recently announcing significant customer spend using crypto, now’s the time to take a closer look at why NFTs have a real business case to consider.

Its perhaps useful to consider the comparison with the early days of the internet, when some industries found the new online world easier to take advantage of than others, with books sellers facing an easier task to e-commerce than say fresh food retailers. Similarly, now NFTs are more readily used by sports and media companies looking to create new sources of revenue from media assets. While the NBA’s Topshots is often cited, having become an integral part of the NBA fanbase, with a valuation of up to $7.5 billion (Sept 2021) the real expansion of the use of NFTs in 2022 has been in European football. Like the NBA it’s a way to engage a younger section of fans, and like the use of NFTs in the music business it has the advantage of building on an existing community of fans. The example of Sorare, which has built on the market for digital football trading cards, is the standout example of a business which originally built its revenue as a fantasy football league buy moved into NFTs. However, while this is one niche business that has seen the opportunity to expand its appeal and revenue through NFTs it does point to a powerful engagement element that all online businesses, particular consumer facing ones, namely community.

As business owners know, and marketers even more so in this competitive multi-channel online world, serving and sustaining a customer base over time that reduces the costs of customer acquisition and retention requires building and sustaining a loyal community. As shown with the case of football or music fans, each of which come with respective ready-made communities, NFTs are a great way to reach and retain communities. These include loyalty programs, which reward customers for their loyalty and encourage them to continue to do business with you, to B2B style membership programs, that allow businesses to give exclusive members-only content or discounts. **The bulk of the NFT community, as of right now, is on Twitter and Discord. There are many overlapping correlations between building a community on Twitter or Discord and doing so on more traditional social media platforms like Facebook or Instagram but there are some things to keep in mind with the current NFT community.

For example, many people inside the NFT communities right now work anonymously, meaning that they don’t use their real names, real photos, or public branding. This is opposite from platforms like Facebook, which requires your real name, or Instagram and TikTok, which rely heavily on seeing the face behind the brand. Inside the NFT community, they rely mostly on the merit of what you’re bringing to the community, your connection, and the conversation. There’s no judgment based on followers, platform size, or how nice your photos look. And this takes some getting used to, especially when the majority of social media marketing over the past decade or so has centered on things like showing the face of the brand because audiences prefer to connect with a person rather than a brand. That still holds true. People do prefer to connect with other people over things like logos. In regard to Discord, the connection comes through that conversation rather than through the picture. **

Assets and commodities

By attaching NFTs to physical goods, an additional level of guarantee can be offered to distributors and consumers to prove that the goods in question are the real deal. Examples might be NFT-enabled ear tags for premium beef cattle, allowing each animal to be tracked from ‘farm to fork’ with total accuracy. Likewise, shipments of commodities (e.g., grain, iron ore or water) can be assigned a unique NFT so their progress through the supply chain can be reliably traced.

NFTs can help prevent ‘leakage’ of genuine goods along the supply chain, as well as stopping counterfeit goods being introduced or substituted. They can also be utilized to guarantee specific characteristics of goods, such as methods and circumstances of production. Several fashion houses are looking to use NFTs to assure their customers their fashion pieces have been manufactured sustainably and ethically, and the gemological industry is exploring the use of NFTs to restrict the sale of ‘blood diamonds’.

As a fundamental aspect of blockchain, this concept is, in principle, scalable down to the level of individual items. Although the state of technology and the relatively high transaction fees for updating NFTs mean that such use cases are currently viable only for high-value assets, we can expect to see diamonds with NFTs linked to unique laser-engraved serial numbers, bottles of fine wine with NFT-enabled QR codes, or sports cars with vehicle identification numbers backed by NFTs.

Investments

NFTs can also be used to enable fractionalized or micro-investment in such assets, where an individual acquires a small share in a diamond, an artwork, or a plot of land, to name a few. This might seem somewhat counterintuitive as it effectively undoes the non-fungibility of a NFT by rendering its fractions fungible! However, there is a growing market for such things and, while it is still at a very embryonic stage, financial authorities around the world are working to extend their regulatory regimes in order to cover the new risks and opportunities presented.

Licenses, certificates, registrations

Many of us are still happy to accept a formal-looking certificate at face value, but the sale and use of fraudulent qualifications is widespread. In an era of hard-copy documents, the question of authenticity and security was traditionally addressed by using special paper, unique seals, holograms, and wet-ink signatures. None of these translates satisfactorily to the digital world, but NFTs are perfectly designed to verify electronic information, increasing efficiency, and reducing the administrative burden of keeping and checking records.

Collectibles and gaming

CryptoKitties, a game run on the Ethereum blockchain, was one of the first commercial use cases for NFTs. It allows players to ‘breed’ virtual cats, selecting sires and queens for specific traits much as in the real world. Animals with proven pedigrees can become extremely valuable – in 2018 one CryptoKitty sold for US$140,000.  Similarly, ZEDRun is a platform for breeding and racing digital horses where successful breeders can earn significant sums of money in prize money and stud fees.

Several online gaming platforms, including My Crypto Heroes and Aavegotchi, allow the purchase of NFT-backed in-game items to allow players to level up and gain unique advantages over their competitors.

While the trade in sporting highlights, such as NBA TopShot’s tokenisation of basketball matches, is akin to the market for digital art (covered in our previous article), NFTs can also be used to verify physical collectibles. Ethernity is a leading marketplace for NFT-backed real-world items such as limited-edition baseball bats and, in 2019, Austrian Post launched Crypto Stamps which can be used like normal stamps or collected and traded on the blockchain.

Tickets

Ticketing for sport, music and other events has been plagued in recent years by forgeries and fraudulent practice in resales. The immutable and ‘trustless’ nature of blockchain technology promises to help address some of these issues. While it may not be practicable (or even desirable) to completely eliminate ticket resellers, it may be possible to reduce sales of fake tickets and the use of automated botnets by scalpers to corner markets for specific events.

Creative industries

As highlighted earlier where much of the innovative use of NFTs that is currently taking place is within the creative industries, especially for individual artists and musicians to create new communities between collectors, fans, galleries, artists, musicians, sculptors, painters, and a whole new generation of digital only artists. Artists are able to build a long term relationship with their fans by offering a proportional share of royalties, and NFC is the perfect vehicle. American rapper Riff Raff is really interesting. His music is on the new Sonic Hedgehog film, he’s an up and coming artist who decided, for his next album, I’m going to sell 5,000 $100 shares. And that’s the royalties for the album, $500,000, directly earned from his fans. In a recent BigONE NFT discussion the wider use of NFTs to help musicians, collectors and fans was led by Token||Traxx co-founder Tommy Danvers, who has produced artists such as Beyonce during his career. He pointed out that tech companies have led the music business over the last 15 to 20 years, creating a system where less than 12% of music income actually ends up with the creators themselves. For him, the value of NFTs is that it allows for unique things that you can attach to any aspect of creativity, from musical tracks to tickets, to live performances. What makes NFTs valuable is that while they are unique, they are also tradeable. His aim is to build a new system built around NFTs to replace the one that’s operated at the detriment of musicians, but which allows artists, curators (DJs and podcasters) and collectors to work together.

Challenges faced in using NFTs: education and security

Two main challenges face the business adoption of NFTs is they are going to deliver, namely education within the business and with customers, and safety and security issues around use of NFTs. One of the best things Gary Vaynerchuk did before launching his NFT was to spend a month or so on Twitter educating his audience about NFTs first. If you’re planning on leading your business into the NFT space, start by educating your audience on what an NFT is and how you’re integrating it into your services and community. Because NFTs are still very new, many people are still somewhat skeptical about what an NFT is, what it does, and what they can do with it. They don’t yet know what a wallet is, how to set up a wallet, or how to keep their funds secure once everything is set up. As the business owner and community leader in your NFT space, you’ll want to take time to show your audience where to go to create their wallet, how to create their wallet, and explain to them what NFTs are before you even launch your NFT. This will help your audience accept and move into the NFT space with you. If you don’t do this extra step to prepare your existing audience for the advent of NFTs inside your business, then you risk losing them right as your NFT launches. Instead, you want them primed and ready to buy into your NFT and help build your community by buying into it. And that requires that your audience understand the value of NFTs in general but also the value of your specific NFT and what they’re going to get out of it.

At the recent BigONE expert discussion on NFTs a key issue came up that’s very relevant for businesses to ensure their adoption of this new technology is successful, namely safety. It’s really kind of sad and ironic that the entire point of a blockchain is this concept called Byzantine fault tolerance, meaning all the different people you’re connecting with, how do you trust that the messages you’re sending and receiving are legitimately part of consensus, meaning everyone there who’s participating agrees that this digital item that you use to control is now transferred from you to someone else, and now they control it. It’s very easy to do with a physical item, I just hand it to you and ever knows, oh, now it’s in your possession, it’s yours. But a picture of an item is very challenging. How do you know I didn’t send it to 20 other people before I sent it to you? While the concept of NFTs enabled people to say provably with cryptographic security, you are the correct owner.  The challenge is it can be very confusing.

One option to make life easier for businesses and customers is to use a solution by the FIO (Foundation for Interwallet Operability) which provides human readable addresses to your crypto interactions. So instead of a big, long, Ethereum address, or a long, Tezos address, businesses can have their own address, whether for a record label, or whatever the situation might be. And that’s a human readable experience for sending and receiving these digital assets. What’s good about the FIO’s solution to making NFTs more user friendly and more secure is that you can also sign into your NFTs with human readable addresses. So, when an artist makes a painting for example, he or she’s gonna he signs it like any piece of art, right? They sign it and to say, this is mine, I did this. If somebody then tries to take a copy of this jpeg, or a copy of this song file and pretend that they’re me, and then go minted on some other blockchain on some other.

The issue is how do you know that it’s the real NFT, as most people don’t actually check the contract address. Rather than invite government regulation it’s important for the crypto industry to self-regulate, and as much as possible to do so with self-sovereign tools like the FIO protocol, that are open source, openly, freely accessible, permissionless systems that actually reward all the participants. So, it’s worth businesses considering some solution to sign your NFTs with human readable addresses, so the artists get rewarded, the platform developers get rewarded, the participants get rewarded, via the value created by the blockchain itself.

Experiment with authenticity

Wading into the murky waters of Web3 will seem daunting at first. Over time, brands, businesses, and individual creators must figure out what works for them through trial, error and observing what succeeds and fails for others. Remember that much like with Web1 and Web2, sincere adoption and creative experimentation will attract greater rewards in the long term. Faking community membership by co-opting NFT slang in social media posts can backfire by making your business appear out-of-touch, and so token NFT art collection efforts will probably get you as far as your dotcom era vanity websites did.

The good news is that the true impact of NFTs will unfold gradually over the next few years, and there’s plenty of time to figure the space out for you and your customers. Your eventual audience is the entirety of your existing and future customers, not today’s early adopter crypto community. So don’t simply measure success by your NFT prices on popular marketplaces like Sorare or OpenSea. Rather, focus your success metrics towards those that better illuminate a future for your business in which NFTs both anchor all real-world products and experiences while also extending them into the digital world of your choosing.

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Stablecoins Are Here to Stay – And Regulators Must Get On Board

Stablecoins Are Here to Stay – And Regulators Must Get On Board

The recent collapse of the TerraUSD algorithmic stablecoin has put the popular crypto asset in the spotlight. And its repercussions are only just starting to be felt, from talk of government regulation from US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, to Tether temporarily losing its USDT 1:1 peg to the dollar, to an all-time low of US$0.95, and with investors withdrawing more than US$10 billion in the past two weeks.

Kathleen Breitman, a co-creator of the Tezos blockchain, speaking to CNBC on the topic said: “As much as I relish seeing things that don’t make sense fail, there’s always a tinge of like, ‘Are people going to extrapolate from this that everything that’s a stablecoin is unsound?’”

At the same time, a statement from the G7 on May 20 warned that “no global stablecoin project should begin operation until it adequately addresses relevant legal, regulatory and oversight requirements through appropriate design and by adhering to applicable standards.”

Despite recent events stablecoins remain a necessary and popular part of the crypto ecosystem.

Despite recent events stablecoins remain a necessary and popular part of the crypto ecosystem. In a October 2021 report from DBS – Singapore’s largest bank – recognized that “Stablecoins have gained momentum” while also noting concerns about stablecoins to withstand high volatility. In fact, Singapore is no stranger to stablecoin innovation, with the launch of the XSGD pegged to the Singaporean dollar in 2020 by StraitsX, with a market cap of almost US$200 million and records over US$1 million in traded volume on a daily basis it’s the world’s largest non-USD fiat-backed stablecoin. I’m also impressed by the Jarvis Network, which has its own set of stablecoins collateralized with USDC, including SGD in late 2021.

These innovations support Singapore’s leading role as a regional crypto hub, with government and startups working in partnership.

Even after the Terra crash, stablecoins still have a total market cap of over US$160 billion, according to CoinMarketCap, with market leader Tether currently worth around US$73 billion, having surged from just US$4.1 billion at the start of 2020.

That said, Tether has not escaped the current slump unscathed, having lost US$11 billion in vale since its US$84.2 billion on May 11. In a statement on Monday May 23 Tether sounded an understanding note, welcome in the current situation, acknowledging that following its loss of peg that “it’s natural that investors might have questions about what stops USDT from facing a similar fate.” But confirmed it had US$70 billion of collateral. I agree the strength of Tether, compared to most traditional banks, has been its ability to process withdrawal of 10% of its assets in a few days.

Check the fine print

Despite these “collateralized assurances,” the data shows crypto whales leaving Tether for USDC. Not surprisingly these whales regard USDC, as the safer option, bearing in mind USDC reports its assets monthly. However, those same whales might want to check the small print.

Circle claims that each USDC is backed by a reserve dollar, and other “approved investments”, these are not detailed. Indeed, the wording on the Circle website changed from the “backed by US dollars” to “backed by fully reserved assets” by June 2021. The third most popular stablecoin, BUSD, created in 2019 as a collaboration with Binance and Paxos, which grew in market cap of around US$1B at the start of 2021, to over US$14.6 billion at the end of 2021, and is now up to over US$18 billion is I believe another winner from the Terra crash, due in large part due to the security involved with the token. As both regulated by the New York State Department of Financial Services, and publicly audited very month, its likely to benefit from the demand for secure stablecoins going forward.

I’m also heartened by the positive post-Brexit approach to stablecoins from the UK government, which clearly recognizes that stablecoins are here to stay, and we need all governments and regulators to get behind that fact.

As an industry we also need to recognise that algorithmic stablecoins are a “different kettle of fish.”

But as an industry we also need to recognise that algorithmic stablecoins are a “different kettle of fish.” I concur with Chris Burniske’s assessment that while it’s unwise to think they’ll never be a workable algorithmic stablecoin, if such an asset needs to either go up or stay stable to work, then it’s not going to survive the crypto market.

Let’s also not forget in the push to get mainstream adoption of crypto that that also raises the risk of contagion to the wider economy. The problem is if the folks who got hit hardest, the retail investors, who bet on LunaUSD because they were told it was “safe”, decide to pull back from other assets.

That said, a balance needs to be struck in terms of protecting investors, the risk in investing in altcoins is different from that with stablecoins. I’m in agreement that regulation needs to happen, but a balance needs to be struck, in protecting investors, and which also allows for rapid innovation which is key to the success of the crypto industry.

 

Original Source: https://blockhead.co/2022/05/29/stablecoins-are-here-to-stay-and-regulators-must-get-on-board/

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