Bitcoin reclaims key technical levels, Ethereum leads broader market gains

Bitcoin reclaims key technical levels, Ethereum leads broader market gains

The digital asset market displays a distinct realignment as institutional investors re-enter the space with renewed vigour. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin advanced by 0.69 per cent to US$65,111.21, closely tracking a broader 0.77 per cent increase in the total cryptocurrency market capitalisation. While these daily gains might appear modest at first glance, the broader context reveals a significant shift in market mechanics.

For two consecutive months, heavy capital flight dominated the digital asset space, draining billions of dollars from regulated investment vehicles. Today, that prolonged bleeding has stopped. Fresh capital flows back into spot investment products, driven by a shifting macroeconomic environment that has effectively neutralised short-term rate fears.

At the core of this price stabilisation lies a decisive turnaround in institutional allocations. Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the United States recorded a second consecutive week of positive net inflows, attracting US$273.1 million over the 14-day period. This influx ended an arduous eight-week streak of sustained outflows that had previously erased more than US$8.2 billion from institutional funds.

Data from SoSoValue highlights BlackRock and its flagship IBIT fund as the primary catalyst behind this capital recovery. When institutional entities shift from persistent distribution to aggressive accumulation, market sentiment undergoes a structural change. Retail traders often take their cues from these large-scale movements, demonstrating that institutional asset managers view current price levels as attractive entry points.

Macroeconomic conditions provided the necessary spark for this institutional pivot. Soft labour market data from July 2, 2026, combined with a cooling consumer price index reading for June, fundamentally altered expectations regarding monetary policy. Financial markets rapidly recalculated the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike at the upcoming July meeting, reducing the probability down to just six per cent.

This easing of fears of monetary tightening removed a major headwind that had suppressed risk assets throughout early summer. Investors who previously fled to safe-haven cash positions are now reallocating capital to liquid risk assets, recognising that central bankers have little justification to tighten financial conditions further in the immediate future.

The structural nature of this rally becomes even clearer when examining the leverage dynamics within derivative markets. While spot buying laid the initial foundation, a dramatic short squeeze amplified the upward trajectory. Over a single 24-hour window, total Bitcoin liquidations exploded by 561 per cent, reaching US$90.45 million. Bearish traders who aggressively bet against the market suffered heavy losses, as short positions accounted for 70 per cent of forced liquidations.

As forced buying swept through derivative exchanges, aggregate open interest simultaneously expanded by 8.09 per cent. This combination indicates that new leveraged capital entered the market alongside forced liquidations, creating a self-reinforcing mechanical drive that pushed prices through technical resistance zones.

From an analytical perspective, Bitcoin now faces a critical technical crucible. The immediate battle line centres around US$65,261, a price point that served as the firm floor during the consolidation phase in February but now acts as overhead resistance. A decisive daily closing bar above US$65,261, validated by expanding trading volume, would clear a structural path toward the Fibonacci extension level at US$67,664.

On the downside, the market remains supported by the US$64,154 weekly simple moving average. Should selling pressure resurface and break that weekly average, Bitcoin risks a deeper retracement toward the US$62,402 support zone. Everything now hinges on whether spot buyers can sustain momentum heading into late July.

While Bitcoin captures major headlines, Ethereum has quietly outperformed the market leader by posting a 1.53 per cent gain over the past 24 hours to trade at US$1,897.99. This outperformance stems directly from a powerful resurgence in demand for institutional spot funds. According to tracking data from CryptoNews, spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds in the United States registered US$105 million in net inflows during the week of July 13 to July 17, 2026.

Much like its Bitcoin counterpart, this surge marked the end of an eight-week outflow streak and delivered the strongest weekly capital inflow for Ethereum products since April. BlackRock’s ETHA fund commanded the vast majority of these purchases, driving a 73.05 per cent surge in 24-hour trading volume.

Ethereum’s upward momentum relies on more than just exchange-traded fund activity. Fundamental ecosystem metrics demonstrate accelerating adoption across major corporate and network entities. Treasury giant Bitmine expanded its balance sheet holdings to 5.78 million tokens, securing an impressive 4.8 per cent of the total circulating supply of Ethereum.

At the same time, Robinhood Chain has rapidly gained traction as a premier layer-2 network, attracting over US$141 million in bridged Ether. These parallel developments highlight a dual-engine growth model where corporate treasuries accumulate asset reserves while expanded layer-2 utility boosts underlying network activity. This combination creates a durable floor under Ethereum’s market valuation.

Technical charts reflect this fundamental strengthening across multiple timeframes. Ethereum currently trades comfortably above its 30-day simple moving average at US$1,874.91 and hovers near the 23.6 per cent Fibonacci retracement at US$1,898.91. Traders keep a close watch on the US$1,850 support level, which marks the boundary between a continued bullish structure and a potential breakdown.

If buyers preserve the US$1,850 threshold and push prices convincingly beyond US$1,900, the market will target the recent swing high of US$1,916 before attempting a broader run toward the psychological US$2,000 barrier. A failure to hold US$1,850 could rapidly trigger a decline back down toward the US$1,800 demand zone.

The crucial test for digital asset markets arrives with the Federal Reserve policy decision on July 28 and July 29, 2026. Derivative markets currently assign a 94 per cent probability to central bankers leaving benchmark interest rates unchanged. While a pause remains the baseline expectation, market participants must pay close attention to central bank guidance following the meeting.

A hawkish surprise or restrictive commentary could easily rattle investor confidence, reverse fragile exchange-traded fund capital flows, and force a severe retest of lower support levels across both Bitcoin and Ethereum.

My perspective on this market shift emphasises cautious optimism grounded in verifiable capital flows rather than speculative hype. I will continue to monitor. You should too.

 

Source: https://e27.co/bitcoin-reclaims-key-technical-levels-ethereum-leads-broader-market-gains-20260721/

Anndy Lian is an early blockchain adopter and experienced serial entrepreneur who is known for his work in the government sector. He is a best selling book author- “NFT: From Zero to Hero” and “Blockchain Revolution 2030”.

Currently, he is appointed as the Chief Digital Advisor at Mongolia Productivity Organization, championing national digitization. Prior to his current appointments, he was the Chairman of BigONE Exchange, a global top 30 ranked crypto spot exchange and was also the Advisory Board Member for Hyundai DAC, the blockchain arm of South Korea’s largest car manufacturer Hyundai Motor Group. Lian played a pivotal role as the Blockchain Advisor for Asian Productivity Organisation (APO), an intergovernmental organization committed to improving productivity in the Asia-Pacific region.

An avid supporter of incubating start-ups, Anndy has also been a private investor for the past eight years. With a growth investment mindset, Anndy strategically demonstrates this in the companies he chooses to be involved with. He believes that what he is doing through blockchain technology currently will revolutionise and redefine traditional businesses. He also believes that the blockchain industry has to be “redecentralised”.